Founder and Strategist, Entext Economics & Strategy

Sean Maher

Founder and Strategist

Entext Economics & Strategy

Entext provides institutional investors with distinctive, actionable asset allocation and thematic research, which typically challenges the market consensus. Our clients range from credit, equity and multi-asset hedge and pension funds to family offices and sovereign funds. 
 
We focus on identifying key inflection points in macro data and relative asset performance amid the 'groupthink'  and confirmation bias that characterizes most investment bank analysis.

Macro Driven Investment Insight

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<blockquote><p><em> </em><em>‘The ‘Peak Smartphone’ theme justified an underweight stance back in Q4 across the most heavily exposed Asian supply chain stocks, with DDR4 DRAM prices down about 20% from its January peak and NAND flash down a third. Many bulls put premature faith in AI and AVs as incremental demand drivers, certainly valid medium term, but not on a scale to offset smartphone weakness this year while for high-end chip makers the end of the crypto mining frenzy is starting to impact. TSMC said this week that sales will rise by only a ‘high single-digit’ percentage in USD terms, down from a previous (reduced) projection of 10%.</em>’</p></blockquote><div class="content-remarks"><p>Weekly Insight, July 20th 2018</p></div>

 ‘The ‘Peak Smartphone’ theme justified an underweight stance back in Q4 across the most heavily exposed Asian supply chain stocks, with DDR4 DRAM prices down about 20% from its January peak and NAND flash down a third. Many bulls put premature faith in AI and AVs as incremental demand drivers, certainly valid medium term, but not on a scale to offset smartphone weakness this year while for high-end chip makers the end of the crypto mining frenzy is starting to impact. TSMC said this week that sales will rise by only a ‘high single-digit’ percentage in USD terms, down from a previous (reduced) projection of 10%.’Weekly Insight, July 20th 2018

Bearish Tech Stance Still Performing, as 5G Rollout Looms

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyze the weekly Shanghai/Shenzhen northbound Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of September 8th.</li>
<li>We estimate the weekly outflows to be US$719.1 million, led by health care, information technology, and offset by materials, consumer discretionary, energy.</li>
<li>We highlight flows for BYD, Longi Green, ZTE, Zhongji Innolight.</li>
</ul>


We analyze the weekly Shanghai/Shenzhen northbound Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of September 8th.
We estimate the weekly outflows to be US$719.1 million, led by health care, information technology, and offset by materials, consumer discretionary, energy.
We highlight flows for BYD, Longi Green, ZTE, Zhongji Innolight.


Northbound Flows (Sep 8th): BYD, Longi Green

China

BYD Electronic International Co., Ltd. researches, develops, manufactures handset components such as handset casings and handset keypads and modules for handset manufacturers.  The Company also provides assembly services comprising assembly service and PCB assembly service to global handset manufacturers.

ZTE Corporation develops and markets switches, access servers, videoconferencing systems, mobile communication systems, data communication devices, and optical communication devices.  The Company also offers networking solutions for setup, refurbishment and optimization of networks.

Hengtong Optic-electric Co., Ltd. manufactures and distributes optical fiber and optical cables.

Suzhou TFC Optical Communication Co., Ltd. researches, develops, and distributes fiber optic components.

Yealink Network Technology Corporation Limited operates as a communication equipment manufacturer. The Company provides telephones, unified communication terminals, video conferencing systems, conference phones, and other accessories. Yealink Network Technology serves customers worldwide.

Yealink Network Technology Cor (300628 CH)

Fiberhome Telecommunication Technologies Co., Ltd. designs and manufactures telecommunication products.  The Company's products include Integrated Broadband Access Systems (IBAS), fiber optics, fiber cables, wires, and products used in the DWDM (Dense Wavelength Division Multiplexing) systems.

Shenzhen Sunway Communication Co., Ltd is mainly engaged in the development, production, marketing and technical support of mobile terminal antenna systems. The company's core products mobile terminal antennas can be applied in portable communications equipment such as mobile phones, laptops and netbooks.

Guangzhou Haige Communications Group Inc Co develops and provides communication products and services.  The Company's products and services include digital communication system, internet communication system, and global positioning system navigation receiver.

Guangzhou Haige Cmncts Grp Inc Co (002465 CH)

China Zhenhua (Group) Science & Technology Co., Ltd. designs, manufactures, and markets electronic components, telecommunication equipment, and electric machines. The Company produces capacitors, integrated circuits, electric resistors, wireless phones, visual phones, and other products. China Zhenhua (Group) Science & Technology also invests in real estate businesses.

China Zhenhua (Group) Science & Tech (000733 CH)

Beijing BDStar Navigation Co., Ltd. provides the location-based system integration, satellite navigation and positioning products and location-based information services.

Beijing Bdstar Navigation Co, Ltd. (002151 CH)

Ubiquiti Inc. provides wireless networking products and solutions. The Company offers radios, antennas, and management tools that have been designed to deliver carrier class performance for wireless networking and other applications in the unlicensed radio frequency. Ubiquiti operates in the State of New York.

Accton Technology Corporation researches, develops, manufactures, and markets computer network system products such as adapters, hubs, switches, routers, and bridges. The Company also manufactures network computers and network peripheral equipment.

Juniper Networks, Inc. provides Internet infrastructure solutions for Internet service providers and other telecommunications service providers.  The Company offers network infrastructure solutions that includes IP routing, Ethernet switching, security and application acceleration solutions.

F5 Networks, Inc. provides integrated Internet traffic management solutions designed to improve the availability and performance of mission-critical Internet-based servers and applications.  The Company's software-based solutions manage, control and optimize Internet traffic and content.  F5's solutions automatically deliver Internet content for service providers and e-businesses.

Nokia Oyj is a global communications company that operates a network of production facilities for location intelligence and network infrastructure, as well as a network of sales and customer service. The Company also operates research and software development facilities worldwide.

Telefonaktiebolaget LM Ericsson develops and manufactures network equipment and software, as well as services for network and business operations. The Company's portfolio also includes products for the enterprise, cable, mobile platform and power module markets.

Telefonaktiebolaget Lm Ericsso (ERICB SS)

Telefonaktiebolaget LM Ericsson develops and manufactures network equipment and software, as well as services for network and business operations. The Company's portfolio also includes products for the enterprise, cable, mobile platform, and power module markets.

EchoStar Corporation manufactures broadcast satellite receivers and antennas, and offers commercial satellite services.

Ciena Corporation develops and markets communications network platforms and software, and offers professional services.  The Company's broadband access, data and optical networking platforms, software tools, and global network services support worldwide telecom and cable/MSO services providers, and enterprise and government networks.

Wistron NeWeb Corporation manufactures wireless communication systems.  The Company's products include satellite communication, wireless networking, embedded antenna, and mobile handset products.

Zhongji Innolight Co., Ltd. manufactures and distributes industrial machines and machine parts. The Company produces motor stator windings, insulating machines, coil winding equipment, automatic production lines, and more. Zhongji Innolight mainly conducts businesses domestically.

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Zhongji Innolight (300308 CH)

Bearish Tech Stance Still Performing, as 5G Rollout Looms

‘The ‘Peak Smartphone’ theme justified an underweight stance back in Q4 across the most heavily exposed Asian supply chain stocks, with DDR4 DRAM...

Sean Maher

Northbound Flows (Sep 8th): BYD, Longi Green

We analyzed the Shanghai/Shenzhen Connect Scheme for last week and highlight flows for BYD, Longi Green, ZTE, Zhongji Innolight.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

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52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)