Blue Lotus China New Economy Research, Blue Lotus Research Institute

Eric Wen

Blue Lotus China New Economy Research

China growth and global non-US Internet equities

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Blue Lotus Research is a Hong Kong Type 4 Licensed investment advisory firm focusing on Chinese growth equities and global non-US Internet equities

Equity Bottom-Up

Contemporary Amperex Technology (CATL) / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Making EV itself doesn't make money, which is why independents like Nio and XPeng are thinking alternative ways to breakeven;</li>
<li>Tesla envisioned to make money through scale, of which BYD bettered. Tesla also envisioned to make money from autonomous driving (ADS);</li>
<li>Nio plans to sell its battery swapping service while XPeng is selling ADS to Volkswagen. Both are experiments aiming at breakeven. Both also have new models to launch.</li>
</ul>


Making EV itself doesn't make money, which is why independents like Nio and XPeng are thinking alternative ways to breakeven;
Tesla envisioned to make money through scale, of which BYD bettered. Tesla also envisioned to make money from autonomous driving (ADS);
Nio plans to sell its battery swapping service while XPeng is selling ADS to Volkswagen. Both are experiments aiming at breakeven. Both also have new models to launch.


New Experiments in China's Crowded EV Space

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>BEKE US: Visiting volume surged in the first weekend after new stimulus, and transactions increased slightly.（+）</li>
<li>300274 SZ/1211 HK/300750 SZ/LI US/XPEV US/NIO US:  Except for electric vehicles, new energy exports in April were hardly positive, indicating that capturing consumers is the key to offsetting geopolitical restrictions(///////////)</li>
<li>BEKE US: Sluggish New Home Sales Prompt the PBOC to Introduce Further Stimulus Policies. (+)</li>
</ul>


BEKE US: Visiting volume surged in the first weekend after new stimulus, and transactions increased slightly.（+）
300274 SZ/1211 HK/300750 SZ/LI US/XPEV US/NIO US:  Except for electric vehicles, new energy exports in April were hardly positive, indicating that capturing consumers is the key to offsetting geopolitical restrictions(///////////)
BEKE US: Sluggish New Home Sales Prompt the PBOC to Introduce Further Stimulus Policies. (+)


[Blue Lotus Daily]:BEKE US/300274 SZ/1211 HK/300750 SZ/LI US/XPEV US/NIO US/1810 HK/BIDU US

<ul>
<li>1810 HK/ZK US/NIO US/TSLA US/XPEV US/600104 SH: Xiaomi to start double-shift production of the SU7 in June （+/-/-/-/-）</li>
<li>1810 HK/1211 HK/ LI US/ NIO US/ XPEV US: The data shows that only 2% of FSD12 users are converted to paying users, which is good for China's automatic driving(//////////)</li>
<li>LI US / NIO US/1810 HK :Li Auto takes the lead in sales in the 18th week of 2024, while Xiaomi continues to lag behind（/////）</li>
</ul>


1810 HK/ZK US/NIO US/TSLA US/XPEV US/600104 SH: Xiaomi to start double-shift production of the SU7 in June （+/-/-/-/-）
1810 HK/1211 HK/ LI US/ NIO US/ XPEV US: The data shows that only 2% of FSD12 users are converted to paying users, which is good for China's automatic driving(//////////)
LI US / NIO US/1810 HK :Li Auto takes the lead in sales in the 18th week of 2024, while Xiaomi continues to lag behind（/////）


[Blue Lotus Daily]:1810 HK/ZK US/NIO US/TSLA US/XPEV US/600104 SH/1211 HK/ LI US/LKNCY US

Covering IPOs, Healthcare and Technology Stocks

Andrei Zakharov

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>ZEEKR, a rapidly growing premium EV maker, has successfully completed its IPO and raised ~$441M. The offering was priced at the top of the range at $21 per share.</li>
<li>The company sold a total of 21M ADSs, up from the initial target of 17.5M shares. ZEEKR’s stock soared more than 30% following its strong debut on NYSE on Friday.</li>
<li>Geely Auto, Mobileye and CATL have acquired ~14.3M ADSs and overall investor sentiment was positive. I believe ZEEKR may succeed as a high-volume EV maker worldwide.</li>
</ul>


ZEEKR, a rapidly growing premium EV maker, has successfully completed its IPO and raised ~$441M. The offering was priced at the top of the range at $21 per share.
The company sold a total of 21M ADSs, up from the initial target of 17.5M shares. ZEEKR’s stock soared more than 30% following its strong debut on NYSE on Friday.
Geely Auto, Mobileye and CATL have acquired ~14.3M ADSs and overall investor sentiment was positive. I believe ZEEKR may succeed as a high-volume EV maker worldwide.


ZEEKR IPO: Strong First-Day Return and Upsized Offering

<ul>
<li>ATAT US/TCOM US : The international hotel management group maintains a cautious attitude towards China throughout the year.（-/-）</li>
<li>1211HK/LIUS/NIOUS/XPEVUS/1810HK:EV sales solid in the 5th week of April 2024, NIO continues to benefit from SU7 overflow, BYD continues to be strong, and Xiaomi deliveries decline for three consecutive weeks.(+/+/+/-/-)</li>
<li>300274 SZ / 300750 SZ/ 1211 HK : Tesla's Shanghai energy storage gigafactory was approved, mainly producing energy storage for export, benefiting China's supply chain.(+/+/ -)</li>
</ul>


ATAT US/TCOM US : The international hotel management group maintains a cautious attitude towards China throughout the year.（-/-）
1211HK/LIUS/NIOUS/XPEVUS/1810HK:EV sales solid in the 5th week of April 2024, NIO continues to benefit from SU7 overflow, BYD continues to be strong, and Xiaomi deliveries decline for three consecutive weeks.(+/+/+/-/-)
300274 SZ / 300750 SZ/ 1211 HK : Tesla's Shanghai energy storage gigafactory was approved, mainly producing energy storage for export, benefiting China's supply chain.(+/+/ -)


[Blue Lotus Daily]:ATATUS/TCOMUS/1211HK/LIUS/NIO US/XPEVUS/1810HK/300274SZ/300750 SZ/BEKEUS

China

XPeng Inc. designs, produces, and distributes electric vehicles. The Company designs, develops, manufactures and markets smart smart electric vehicles, as well as finance, parts, and maintenance services. XPeng serves customers in China.

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XPeng (XPEV US)

New Experiments in China's Crowded EV Space

Chinese EV makers are trying to breakeven by trying new business models and launching new cars. We believe they have challenges. Buying battery...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

[Blue Lotus Daily]:BEKE US/300274 SZ/1211 HK/300750 SZ/LI US/XPEV US/NIO US/1810 HK/BIDU US

Visiting volume surges after stimulus, new energy exports struggle, PBOC introduces more stimulus for sluggish new home sales.

Blue Lotus Research Institute

[Blue Lotus Daily]:1810 HK/ZK US/NIO US/TSLA US/XPEV US/600104 SH/1211 HK/ LI US/LKNCY US

Xiaomi to start double-shift production of SU7, FSD12 users conversion rate low, Li Auto leads in sales in 18th week of 2024.

Blue Lotus Research Institute

ZEEKR IPO: Strong First-Day Return and Upsized Offering

ZEEKR, a promising Geely-backed EV maker, priced its upsized IPO at $21 per share on Friday. Shares surged ~35% due to strong investor interest as...

Andrei Zakharov

[Blue Lotus Daily]:ATATUS/TCOMUS/1211HK/LIUS/NIO US/XPEVUS/1810HK/300274SZ/300750 SZ/BEKEUS

International hotel group cautious on China, EV sales strong in April with NIO benefiting, Tesla's Shanghai gigafactory approved for energy...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

New Experiments in China's Crowded EV Space

Chinese EV makers are trying to breakeven by trying new business models and launching new cars. We believe they have challenges. Buying battery...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

[Blue Lotus Daily]:BEKE US/300274 SZ/1211 HK/300750 SZ/LI US/XPEV US/NIO US/1810 HK/BIDU US

​Visiting volume surges after stimulus, new energy exports struggle, PBOC introduces more stimulus for sluggish new home sales.

Blue Lotus Research Institute

[Blue Lotus Daily]:1810 HK/ZK US/NIO US/TSLA US/XPEV US/600104 SH/1211 HK/ LI US/LKNCY US

​Xiaomi to start double-shift production of SU7, FSD12 users conversion rate low, Li Auto leads in sales in 18th week of 2024.

Blue Lotus Research Institute

ZEEKR IPO: Strong First-Day Return and Upsized Offering

ZEEKR, a promising Geely-backed EV maker, priced its upsized IPO at $21 per share on Friday. Shares surged ~35% due to strong investor interest as...

Andrei Zakharov

[Blue Lotus Daily]:ATATUS/TCOMUS/1211HK/LIUS/NIO US/XPEVUS/1810HK/300274SZ/300750 SZ/BEKEUS

​International hotel group cautious on China, EV sales strong in April with NIO benefiting, Tesla's Shanghai gigafactory approved for energy...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Visiting volume surges after stimulus, new energy exports struggle, PBOC introduces more stimulus for sluggish new home sales.

Xiaomi to start double-shift production of SU7, FSD12 users conversion rate low, Li Auto leads in sales in 18th week of 2024.

International hotel group cautious on China, EV sales strong in April with NIO benefiting, Tesla's Shanghai gigafactory approved for energy...