Overseas Chinese Equities, Aequitas Research

Ming Lu

Overseas Chinese Equities

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>In 1Q24, Revenues of Xpeng, Tongcheng, Kanzhun, and Gaotu grew by 62% YoY, 50%, YoY, 43% YoY and 34% YoY.</li>
<li>KE’s revenue decreased by 20% YoY in 1Q24 due to the weak property market.</li>
<li>Bilibili’s value added services revenue grew by 17% YoY and advertising revenue grew by 31% YoY.</li>
</ul>


In 1Q24, Revenues of Xpeng, Tongcheng, Kanzhun, and Gaotu grew by 62% YoY, 50%, YoY, 43% YoY and 34% YoY.
KE’s revenue decreased by 20% YoY in 1Q24 due to the weak property market.
Bilibili’s value added services revenue grew by 17% YoY and advertising revenue grew by 31% YoY.


China Consumption Weekly (27 May 2024): Xpeng, Tongcheng, Kanzhun, Gaotu, KE, Bilibili, and Weibo

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), CMB International

CMB International

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

Incorporated in Hong Kong, supported by the mainland and targeting in global market, CMB International Capital Corporation Limited (“CMBI”) is an integrated financial institution providing comprehensive and professional services. As a wholly-owned subsidiary of China Merchants Bank ("CMB"), by leveraging on the Group’s synergy and coordination in domestic and overseas markets, as well as CMB’s strong resources and outstanding social reputation, CMBI and its subsidiaries have been actively implementing diversified business strategies and set up an overall layout of main business segments including Corporate Finance, Asset Management, Wealth Management, Global Markets and Structured Finance, etc. Adhering to the philosophy of “being clients oriented and increasing our own values by the way of creating value for clients”, CMBI endeavors to provide quality and integrated financial services to institutional, corporate and individual customers both domestic and overseas including Hong Kong IPO sponsorship and underwriting, share placement and rights issue for listed companies, financial advisors, bonds issuance services, asset management, direct investment, wealth management, equity sales and trading, etc.

<ul><li>Maintain HOLD. Management’s upbeat view on the Mona and the new B-class sedan has probably given investors more confidence in Xpeng’s substantial sales growth in 4Q24 (similar to 4Q23) and FY25.</li><li>We have largely factored in such growth in our prior forecast. 1Q24 GPM was largely lifted by service revenue, as vehicle sales only accounted for 36% of total gross profit.</li><li>We are of the view that Xpeng is still unlikely to turn profitable in FY25E.</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Maintain HOLD. Management’s upbeat view on the Mona and the new B-class sedan has probably given investors more confidence in Xpeng’s substantial sales growth in 4Q24 (similar to 4Q23) and FY25.We have largely factored in such growth in our prior forecast. 1Q24 GPM was largely lifted by service revenue, as vehicle sales only accounted for 36% of total gross profit.We are of the view that Xpeng is still unlikely to turn profitable in FY25E.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Xpeng Inc. (XPEV US) - Await More Details About Mona

Blue Lotus China New Economy Research, Blue Lotus Research Institute

Eric Wen

Blue Lotus China New Economy Research

China growth and global non-US Internet equities

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Blue Lotus Research is a Hong Kong Type 4 Licensed investment advisory firm focusing on Chinese growth equities and global non-US Internet equities

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>Macro News Update: Our take from the decision draft of the CCP 3rd Plenary Session</li>
<li>1519 HK/ZTO US: Weekly parcel volume shows 31% y-o-y growth (+)</li>
<li>1810 HK/981 HK: Huawei’s mid-premium Nova 13 smartphone to be delayed (+//)</li>
</ul>


Macro News Update: Our take from the decision draft of the CCP 3rd Plenary Session
1519 HK/ZTO US: Weekly parcel volume shows 31% y-o-y growth (+)
1810 HK/981 HK: Huawei’s mid-premium Nova 13 smartphone to be delayed (+//)


[Blue Lotus Daily]:1519 HK/ZTO US/1810 HK/981 HK/XPEV US/LI US/NIO US/QCOM US/TSMC US

<ul><li>Maintain HOLD. We cut our FY24E net loss by RMB2.6bn to RMB6.7bn, as the 4Q23 GPM beat and the X9 may contribute a larger portion of sales.</li><li>On the other hand, Xpeng’s model pipeline in 2024 underscored our prior argument that the automaker has not found its brand proposition and comprehensive product mix.</li><li>We still see little signals for Xpeng to turn profitable in the foreseeable future, as it could be difficult for the automaker to achieve sizable sales and 15% GPM at the same time, in our view.</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Maintain HOLD. We cut our FY24E net loss by RMB2.6bn to RMB6.7bn, as the 4Q23 GPM beat and the X9 may contribute a larger portion of sales.On the other hand, Xpeng’s model pipeline in 2024 underscored our prior argument that the automaker has not found its brand proposition and comprehensive product mix.We still see little signals for Xpeng to turn profitable in the foreseeable future, as it could be difficult for the automaker to achieve sizable sales and 15% GPM at the same time, in our view.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Xpeng Inc. (XPEV US) - Margin Lift Mixed with Unexciting New Models

<ul><li>Maintain HOLD. We expect Xpeng’s 4Q23E vehicle GPM to turn positive.</li><li>However, such margin lift may not be enough to narrow its net loss significantly in FY24E.</li><li>Although we see possible share price recovery for automakers, Xpeng may lack positive catalysts, as its new models are scheduled in 2H24.</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Maintain HOLD. We expect Xpeng’s 4Q23E vehicle GPM to turn positive.However, such margin lift may not be enough to narrow its net loss significantly in FY24E.Although we see possible share price recovery for automakers, Xpeng may lack positive catalysts, as its new models are scheduled in 2H24.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Xpeng Inc. (XPEV US) - Lack of New Model Catalysts

China

XPeng Inc. designs, produces, and distributes electric vehicles. The Company designs, develops, manufactures and markets smart smart electric vehicles, as well as finance, parts, and maintenance services. XPeng serves customers in China.

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
Market Cap (USDm)	0.00
P/E	0.00
Dividend (Yield)	0.00

XPeng (XPEV US)

China Consumption Weekly (27 May 2024): Xpeng, Tongcheng, Kanzhun, Gaotu, KE, Bilibili, and Weibo

In 1Q24, Xpeng, Tongcheng, Kanzhun, and Gaotu grew by 62% YoY, 50%, YoY, 43% YoY and 34% YoY. KE’s revenue decreased by 20% YoY in 1Q24 due to the...

Ming Lu

Xpeng Inc. (XPEV US) - Await More Details About Mona

Management’s upbeat view on the Mona and the new B-class sedan has probably given investors more confidence in Xpeng’s substantial sales growth in...

CMB International

[Blue Lotus Daily]:1519 HK/ZTO US/1810 HK/981 HK/XPEV US/LI US/NIO US/QCOM US/TSMC US

CCP 3rd Plenary Session decision draft analyzed; parcel volume growth for HK/ZTO and Huawei's Nova 13 smartphone delay.

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Xpeng Inc. (XPEV US) - Margin Lift Mixed with Unexciting New Models

Maintain HOLD. We cut our FY24E net loss by RMB2.6bn to RMB6.7bn, as the 4Q23 GPM beat and the X9 may contribute a larger portion of sales.

CMB International

Xpeng Inc. (XPEV US) - Lack of New Model Catalysts

Although we see possible share price recovery for automakers, Xpeng may lack positive catalysts, as its new models are scheduled in 2H24.

CMB International

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

China Consumption Weekly (27 May 2024): Xpeng, Tongcheng, Kanzhun, Gaotu, KE, Bilibili, and Weibo

In 1Q24, Xpeng, Tongcheng, Kanzhun, and Gaotu grew by 62% YoY, 50%, YoY, 43% YoY and 34% YoY. KE’s revenue decreased by 20% YoY in 1Q24 due to the...

Ming Lu

Xpeng Inc. (XPEV US) - Await More Details About Mona

Management’s upbeat view on the Mona and the new B-class sedan has probably given investors more confidence in Xpeng’s substantial sales growth in...

CMB International

[Blue Lotus Daily]:1519 HK/ZTO US/1810 HK/981 HK/XPEV US/LI US/NIO US/QCOM US/TSMC US

​CCP 3rd Plenary Session decision draft analyzed; parcel volume growth for HK/ZTO and Huawei's Nova 13 smartphone delay.

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Xpeng Inc. (XPEV US) - Margin Lift Mixed with Unexciting New Models

Maintain HOLD. We cut our FY24E net loss by RMB2.6bn to RMB6.7bn, as the 4Q23 GPM beat and the X9 may contribute a larger portion of sales.

CMB International

Xpeng Inc. (XPEV US) - Lack of New Model Catalysts

Although we see possible share price recovery for automakers, Xpeng may lack positive catalysts, as its new models are scheduled in 2H24.

CMB International

CCP 3rd Plenary Session decision draft analyzed; parcel volume growth for HK/ZTO and Huawei's Nova 13 smartphone delay.