Blue Lotus China New Economy Research, Blue Lotus Research Institute

Eric Wen

Blue Lotus China New Economy Research

China growth and global non-US Internet equities

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Blue Lotus Research is a Hong Kong Type 4 Licensed investment advisory firm focusing on Chinese growth equities and global non-US Internet equities

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>XPEV US/1211 HK：Didi Autonomous Driving and GAC Aion joint venture approved to launch first commercial L4 model in 2025（///）</li>
<li>3759 HK/1548 HK/9926 HK/BGNE US/9995 HK/1801 HK：U.S. biologic drug ban may spread to more CRO companies, positive to Chinese innovative drug companies（/）</li>
<li>1810 HK/1211 HK：Lei Jun announced that more than 100,000 people have ordered Xiaomi SU7, and the number of locked orders has exceeded 40,000.（///）</li>
</ul>


XPEV US/1211 HK：Didi Autonomous Driving and GAC Aion joint venture approved to launch first commercial L4 model in 2025（///）
3759 HK/1548 HK/9926 HK/BGNE US/9995 HK/1801 HK：U.S. biologic drug ban may spread to more CRO companies, positive to Chinese innovative drug companies（/）
1810 HK/1211 HK：Lei Jun announced that more than 100,000 people have ordered Xiaomi SU7, and the number of locked orders has exceeded 40,000.（///）


[Blue Lotus Daily]:XPEV/1211 HK/3759HK/1548HK/9926HK/BGNE/9995HK/1801 HK/1810HK/LKNCY/LI/NIO/MNSO US

IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/zeekr-intelligent-technology-holding" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36785:1" rel="noopener">ZEEKR (ZK US)</a>, a premium Chinese BEV manufacturer and a subsidiary of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/geely-automobile-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:127:1" rel="noopener">Geely Auto (175 HK)</a>, has restarted its IPO process to raise US$500 million by listing on the NYSE.</li>
<li>We previously discussed the IPO in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/zeekr-ipo-the-bull-case" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:117508" rel="noopener">ZEEKR IPO: The Bull Case</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/zeekr-ipo-the-bear-case" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:117721" rel="noopener">ZEEKR IPO: The Bear Case</a>. 
</li>
<li>The latest SEC filings reinforce the bear case due to weak industry sentiment, rapidly slowing growth, ongoing operating losses and volatile FCF. </li>
</ul>



ZEEKR (ZK US), a premium Chinese BEV manufacturer and a subsidiary of Geely Auto (175 HK), has restarted its IPO process to raise US$500 million by listing on the NYSE.
We previously discussed the IPO in ZEEKR IPO: The Bull Case and ZEEKR IPO: The Bear Case. 

The latest SEC filings reinforce the bear case due to weak industry sentiment, rapidly slowing growth, ongoing operating losses and volatile FCF. 


ZEEKR IPO: Latest Updates as the IPO Process Restarts

<ul>
<li>1810 HK/1211 HK: Xiaomi SU7 pre order conversion rate estimated to be about 20-30%, reopening the Founder's Edition to increase the conversion rate（///）</li>
<li>1810 HK: Zeekr 001 exceeded 30,000 in the first month of its launch. Zeekr + SU7 may have the biggest impact on Tesla and BBA（/）</li>
<li>1810 HK/1211 HK/XPEV/ TSLA: Su7's aggressive pricing impacts ICE vehicles, Tesla, Zeekr, while also stimulating overall auto sales (//-/-/-)</li>
</ul>


1810 HK/1211 HK: Xiaomi SU7 pre order conversion rate estimated to be about 20-30%, reopening the Founder's Edition to increase the conversion rate（///）
1810 HK: Zeekr 001 exceeded 30,000 in the first month of its launch. Zeekr + SU7 may have the biggest impact on Tesla and BBA（/）
1810 HK/1211 HK/XPEV/ TSLA: Su7's aggressive pricing impacts ICE vehicles, Tesla, Zeekr, while also stimulating overall auto sales (//-/-/-)


[Blue Lotus Daily]:1810 HK/1211 HK/XPEV/ TSLA/300750 CH/9995 HK

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Horizon Robotics / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>Horizon Robotics is looking to raise US$500m in its upcoming Hong Kong IPO. The bookrunners on the deal are GS, MS and China Securities International.</li>
<li>Horizon Robotics (HR) is a provider of advanced driver assistance systems (ADAS) and autonomous driving (AD) solutions for passenger vehicles, empowered by its proprietary software and hardware technologies.</li>
<li>HR was the first and the largest Chinese company providing integrated ADAS and AD solutions in terms of annual installation volume since 2021, according to CIC.</li>
</ul>


Horizon Robotics is looking to raise US$500m in its upcoming Hong Kong IPO. The bookrunners on the deal are GS, MS and China Securities International.
Horizon Robotics (HR) is a provider of advanced driver assistance systems (ADAS) and autonomous driving (AD) solutions for passenger vehicles, empowered by its proprietary software and hardware technologies.
HR was the first and the largest Chinese company providing integrated ADAS and AD solutions in terms of annual installation volume since 2021, according to CIC.


<ul>
<li>LI/ 1211 HK/ XPEV/ NIO: In the 12th week of 2024, new energy vehicles continued to maintain steady growth, BYD once again led and Li fell behind again（///////）</li>
<li>1211 HK : China to challenge Biden’s electric vehicle plans at the WTO (+)</li>
<li>NIO US: NIO US revised down C1Q24 delivery target. (+)</li>
</ul>


LI/ 1211 HK/ XPEV/ NIO: In the 12th week of 2024, new energy vehicles continued to maintain steady growth, BYD once again led and Li fell behind again（///////）
1211 HK : China to challenge Biden’s electric vehicle plans at the WTO (+)
NIO US: NIO US revised down C1Q24 delivery target. (+)


[Blue Lotus Daily]:LI/ 1211 HK/ XPEV/ NIO

China

FAW Jiefang Group Co., Ltd, through joint ventures, manufactures and markets cars and auto parts.  The Company produces automobiles, transmission systems, and engines.  FAW Car also provides auto repair and customizing services.

BAIC BluePark New Energy Technology Co.,Ltd. operates as a passenger car manufacturer. The Company engages in research, development, and marketing of new energy vehicles and power battery system. BAIC BluePark New Energy Technology conducts businesses in China.

BAIC BluePark New Energy Techn (600733 CH)

Chongqing Changan Automobile Company Limited develops, manufactures, and markets mini cars, mini sedans, full size sedans, and engines.

Chongqing Changan Automobile Company (200625 CH)

Anhui Jianghuai Automobile Co., Ltd. manufactures and markets bus and truck chassis, gear boxes, other auto parts, and business automobiles.

NIO Inc. manufactures and sells automobiles. The Company offers electric vehicles and parts, as well as provides battery charging services. NIO serves customers worldwide.

Dongfeng Motor Group Company Limited, through joint ventures, designs, manufactures, and markets diesel engines, light trucks, automobiles, castings, and related spare parts.

China Automotive Engineering Research Institute Company Limited develops, manufactures and sells automotive products, provides consulting, automotive testing and evaluation services. The Company's main products include dump trucks, concrete mixer trucks, and sanitation trucks.

China Automotive Engg Rsrch Inst (601965 CH)

Beiqi Foton Motor Co., Ltd. manufactures and markets automobiles and parts. The Company produces light trucks, medium trucks, heavy trucks, passenger cars, and engine parts. Beiqi Foton Motor also conducts automotive wholesale businesses domestically and internationally.

Guangzhou Automobile Group Company, Ltd. manufactures, sells, and services automobiles. The Company is also involved in automobile parts and components, and auto finance and related services for both overseas and domestic markets.

Lifan Industry (Group) Company Limited develops, manufactures and sells motorcycles, cars and gasoline engines. The Company's major products include motorcycles, motorcycle engines, passenger cars, passenger car engines, gasoline engines and other terminal products such as generator sets, water pumps and lawn mowers.

MITSUBISHI MOTORS CORPORATION develops and manufactures passenger cars and its related parts.  The Company has production facilities in Japan, the US, and Thailand.  Mitsubishi Motors Corp provides vehicle-related financing and leasing service through its subsidiary.

Harley-Davidson, Inc. designs, manufactures, and sells motorcycles.  The Company's products include heavyweight touring, custom, and performance motorcycles, as well as a line of motorcycle parts, accessories, and general merchandise.  Harley-Davidson also provides motorcycle floor planning and parts and accessories financing to its North American and European dealers.

Thor Industries, Inc. produces and sells a wide range of recreation vehicles.  The Company markets its products through independent dealers located throughout the United States and Canada.  Thor's products are sold under the Airstream Classic, Dutchmen, Skamper, Infinity, Four Winds, Citation, Signature, and other names.

Mazda Motor Corporation manufactures and sells automobiles, trucks, auto parts, and its accessories.  The Company operates its business worldwide.

Yadea Group is a leading electric two wheeler brand in China. The company produces electric bikes and scooters.

Tofas Turk Otomobil Fabrikasi AS manufactures cars and automobile parts under license from Fiat.  The Group also imports Alfa Romeo and Fiat cars for domestic market and provides financing services.

Geely Automobile Holdings Limited operates as a passenger vehicles manufacturing company. The Company provides passenger vehicles development, manufacturing, sales, and other services. Geely Automobile Holdings also exports passenger vehicles.

Brilliance China Automotive Holdings Limited, through its subsidiaries, manufactures and distributes minibuses and sedans in the People's Republic of China.  The Company also manufactures and trades automotive components.

Yamaha Motor Co., Ltd. manufactures motorcycles.  The Company also produces motor vehicle engines for Toyota Motor Corp. and Ford Motor Co.  Yamaha Motor's specialty products include motor boats, snowmobiles, golf carts, and electric power generators.  Yamaha Motor sells products in Japan, North America, Europe, Asia, and South America.

Isuzu Motors Limited manufactures and markets trucks and automobile parts. The Company's products include pickup trucks, light/heavy duty trucks, medium and large-sized buses, recreational vehicles, and sport utility vehicles.

XPeng Inc. designs, produces, and distributes electric vehicles. The Company designs, develops, manufactures and markets smart smart electric vehicles, as well as finance, parts, and maintenance services. XPeng serves customers in China.

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XPeng (XPEV US)

[Blue Lotus Daily]:XPEV/1211 HK/3759HK/1548HK/9926HK/BGNE/9995HK/1801 HK/1810HK/LKNCY/LI/NIO/MNSO US

Didi and GAC Aion to launch first commercial L4 model in 2025, US biologic drug ban could benefit Chinese innovative drug companies, Xiaomi SU7...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

ZEEKR IPO: Latest Updates as the IPO Process Restarts

The latest SEC filings reinforce the bear case due to weak industry sentiment, rapidly slowing growth, ongoing operating losses and volatile FCF.

Arun George

[Blue Lotus Daily]:1810 HK/1211 HK/XPEV/ TSLA/300750 CH/9995 HK

Xiaomi SU7 and Zeekr 001 pre-orders show strong conversion rates, potentially impacting Tesla and other auto manufacturers.

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Horizon Robotics Pre-IPO Tearsheet

Horizon Robotics is looking to raise US$500m in its upcoming Hong Kong IPO. The bookrunners on the deal are GS, MS and China Securities International.

Sumeet Singh

[Blue Lotus Daily]:LI/ 1211 HK/ XPEV/ NIO

new energy vehicles continued to maintain steady growth, BYD once again led and Li fell behind again.China to challenge Biden’s electric vehicle...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

[Blue Lotus Daily]:XPEV/1211 HK/3759HK/1548HK/9926HK/BGNE/9995HK/1801 HK/1810HK/LKNCY/LI/NIO/MNSO US

​Didi and GAC Aion to launch first commercial L4 model in 2025, US biologic drug ban could benefit Chinese innovative drug companies, Xiaomi SU7...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

ZEEKR IPO: Latest Updates as the IPO Process Restarts

The latest SEC filings reinforce the bear case due to weak industry sentiment, rapidly slowing growth, ongoing operating losses and volatile FCF.

Arun George

[Blue Lotus Daily]:1810 HK/1211 HK/XPEV/ TSLA/300750 CH/9995 HK

​Xiaomi SU7 and Zeekr 001 pre-orders show strong conversion rates, potentially impacting Tesla and other auto manufacturers.

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Horizon Robotics Pre-IPO Tearsheet

Horizon Robotics is looking to raise US$500m in its upcoming Hong Kong IPO. The bookrunners on the deal are GS, MS and China Securities International.

Sumeet Singh

[Blue Lotus Daily]:LI/ 1211 HK/ XPEV/ NIO

new energy vehicles continued to maintain steady growth, BYD once again led and Li fell behind again.China to challenge Biden’s electric vehicle...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Didi and GAC Aion to launch first commercial L4 model in 2025, US biologic drug ban could benefit Chinese innovative drug companies, Xiaomi SU7...

Xiaomi SU7 and Zeekr 001 pre-orders show strong conversion rates, potentially impacting Tesla and other auto manufacturers.