External broker reports(aggregated public sources), CMB International

CMB International

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

Incorporated in Hong Kong, supported by the mainland and targeting in global market, CMB International Capital Corporation Limited (“CMBI”) is an integrated financial institution providing comprehensive and professional services. As a wholly-owned subsidiary of China Merchants Bank ("CMB"), by leveraging on the Group’s synergy and coordination in domestic and overseas markets, as well as CMB’s strong resources and outstanding social reputation, CMBI and its subsidiaries have been actively implementing diversified business strategies and set up an overall layout of main business segments including Corporate Finance, Asset Management, Wealth Management, Global Markets and Structured Finance, etc. Adhering to the philosophy of “being clients oriented and increasing our own values by the way of creating value for clients”, CMBI endeavors to provide quality and integrated financial services to institutional, corporate and individual customers both domestic and overseas including Hong Kong IPO sponsorship and underwriting, share placement and rights issue for listed companies, financial advisors, bonds issuance services, asset management, direct investment, wealth management, equity sales and trading, etc.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>Upgrade to BUY. The success of Xpeng’s recent two new models, the Mona M03 and P7+ could help Xpeng better understand its target customers’ needs and increase the chance of success for its four new models in 2025.</li><li>We raise our FY25E sales volume forecast to 390,000 units accordingly.</li><li>Such topline growth, along with its improving GPM, could turn Xpeng profitable in FY26E, based on our estimates.</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Upgrade to BUY. The success of Xpeng’s recent two new models, the Mona M03 and P7+ could help Xpeng better understand its target customers’ needs and increase the chance of success for its four new models in 2025.We raise our FY25E sales volume forecast to 390,000 units accordingly.Such topline growth, along with its improving GPM, could turn Xpeng profitable in FY26E, based on our estimates.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

XPEV US - Mona M03, P7+’s Success with 3Q24 GPM Beat Could Make Xpeng’s Breakeven Possible

<ul><li>Maintain HOLD. Xpeng’s 2Q24 earnings were largely in line with our forecast. Although we assume its 2H24E sales volume to more than double HoH, we see no loss narrowing HoH in 2H24E.</li><li>We believe that Xpeng’s vehicle gross margin could be capped by the lower-priced Mona models, as the company now bets on these models to boost sales.</li><li>We are of the view that the underlying rationale of such strategy is Xpeng’s diminishing brand image, especially as peers are narrowing the gap in autonomous driving (AD) technologies.</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Maintain HOLD. Xpeng’s 2Q24 earnings were largely in line with our forecast. Although we assume its 2H24E sales volume to more than double HoH, we see no loss narrowing HoH in 2H24E.We believe that Xpeng’s vehicle gross margin could be capped by the lower-priced Mona models, as the company now bets on these models to boost sales.We are of the view that the underlying rationale of such strategy is Xpeng’s diminishing brand image, especially as peers are narrowing the gap in autonomous driving (AD) technologies.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Xpeng Inc. (XPEV US) - Mona M03 May Not Be the Game-Changer

<ul><li>Maintain HOLD. Management’s upbeat view on the Mona and the new B-class sedan has probably given investors more confidence in Xpeng’s substantial sales growth in 4Q24 (similar to 4Q23) and FY25.</li><li>We have largely factored in such growth in our prior forecast. 1Q24 GPM was largely lifted by service revenue, as vehicle sales only accounted for 36% of total gross profit.</li><li>We are of the view that Xpeng is still unlikely to turn profitable in FY25E.</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Maintain HOLD. Management’s upbeat view on the Mona and the new B-class sedan has probably given investors more confidence in Xpeng’s substantial sales growth in 4Q24 (similar to 4Q23) and FY25.We have largely factored in such growth in our prior forecast. 1Q24 GPM was largely lifted by service revenue, as vehicle sales only accounted for 36% of total gross profit.We are of the view that Xpeng is still unlikely to turn profitable in FY25E.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Xpeng Inc. (XPEV US) - Await More Details About Mona

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>China’s passenger-vehicle (PV) retail sales volume fell 1% YoY in first four months of 2023, 2% higher than our forecast made in Dec 2022.</li><li>Wholesale volume also rose 7% YoY YTD, 3% higher than our prior forecast, largely due to doubled PV exports in the first four months of 2023.</li><li>Automakers in China started to cut inventories in Apr 2023, as we had expected.</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

China’s passenger-vehicle (PV) retail sales volume fell 1% YoY in first four months of 2023, 2% higher than our forecast made in Dec 2022.Wholesale volume also rose 7% YoY YTD, 3% higher than our prior forecast, largely due to doubled PV exports in the first four months of 2023.Automakers in China started to cut inventories in Apr 2023, as we had expected.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

China Auto Sector – Mixed picture ahead as inventory risk lingers

<ul><li>In this report, we summarize the Mar 2025 price discounts at dealers for major automakers.</li><li>Note that Mar discounts for each automaker are calculated based on the weighted average of Feb 2025 retail sales volume for each model, as Mar 2025 retail sales volume data have not been released yet.</li><li>The industrywide average discounts narrowed by 0.1ppts MoM in Mar 2025, based on our calculations, thanks to the narrowing discounts from some German brands (VW, Audi). </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

In this report, we summarize the Mar 2025 price discounts at dealers for major automakers.Note that Mar discounts for each automaker are calculated based on the weighted average of Feb 2025 retail sales volume for each model, as Mar 2025 retail sales volume data have not been released yet.The industrywide average discounts narrowed by 0.1ppts MoM in Mar 2025, based on our calculations, thanks to the narrowing discounts from some German brands (VW, Audi). Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Auto - 1Q25 Sales Volume, Discounts May Lead to Larger Earnings Divergence

China

XPeng Inc. designs, produces, and distributes electric vehicles. The Company designs, develops, manufactures and markets smart smart electric vehicles, as well as finance, parts, and maintenance services. XPeng serves customers in China.

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XPeng (XPEV US)

XPEV US - Mona M03, P7+’s Success with 3Q24 GPM Beat Could Make Xpeng’s Breakeven Possible

The success of Xpeng’s recent two new models, the Mona M03 and P7+ could help Xpeng better understand its target customers’ needs and increase the...

CMB International

Xpeng Inc. (XPEV US) - Mona M03 May Not Be the Game-Changer

Maintain HOLD. Xpeng’s 2Q24 earnings were largely in line with our forecast. Although we assume its 2H24E sales volume to more than double HoH, we...

CMB International

Xpeng Inc. (XPEV US) - Await More Details About Mona

Management’s upbeat view on the Mona and the new B-class sedan has probably given investors more confidence in Xpeng’s substantial sales growth in...

CMB International

China Auto Sector – Mixed picture ahead as inventory risk lingers

China’s passenger-vehicle (PV) retail sales volume fell 1% YoY in first four months of 2023, 2% higher than our forecast made in Dec 2022.

CMB International

Auto - 1Q25 Sales Volume, Discounts May Lead to Larger Earnings Divergence

Note that Mar discounts for each automaker are calculated based on the weighted average of Feb 2025 retail sales volume for each model

CMB International

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