Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

Travis Lundy

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>24 different HK-listed stocks will be tradable in RMB on the HKEX starting 19 June. They make up 35% of HKEX market cap, 40% of total turnover. They are fungible.</li>
<li>The ultimate goal is to allow mainland investors to trade HK stocks in RMB, but we're not there yet. Southbound has yet to be approved for the 21 SB-eligible names.</li>
<li>Only five of the 24 have A-shares, and of those, three (China Mobile, CNOOC, and Great Wall Motor) have wide H-share discounts. Those should be the ones to look at.</li>
</ul>


24 different HK-listed stocks will be tradable in RMB on the HKEX starting 19 June. They make up 35% of HKEX market cap, 40% of total turnover. They are fungible.
The ultimate goal is to allow mainland investors to trade HK stocks in RMB, but we're not there yet. Southbound has yet to be approved for the 21 SB-eligible names.
Only five of the 24 have A-shares, and of those, three (China Mobile, CNOOC, and Great Wall Motor) have wide H-share discounts. Those should be the ones to look at.


Great Wall Motor (2333 HK) - RMB Dual Counter Trading Starts Today, Watch that A-Share Discount

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

Tata Technologies / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tata-technologies" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:23700:1" rel="noopener">Tata Technologies (TATATECH IN)</a>  (TT) is looking to raise around US$600m in its upcoming India IPO.</li>
<li>Tata Technologies is a global engineering services company offering product development and digital solutions, including turnkey solutions, to global original equipment manufacturers (OEMs) and their tier 1 suppliers. </li>
<li>We have looked at the company’s past performance in our earlier notes, in this note we will undertake a peer comparison.</li>
</ul>



Tata Technologies (TATATECH IN)  (TT) is looking to raise around US$600m in its upcoming India IPO.
Tata Technologies is a global engineering services company offering product development and digital solutions, including turnkey solutions, to global original equipment manufacturers (OEMs) and their tier 1 suppliers. 
We have looked at the company’s past performance in our earlier notes, in this note we will undertake a peer comparison.


Tata Technologies Pre-IPO - Peer Comparison - Middling

Articles from Caixin Global, Caixin Global

Caixin Global

Articles from Caixin Global

Caixin is a media group dedicated to providing financial and business news through periodicals, online content, mobile apps, conferences, books and TV/video programs. Caixin aims to blaze a trail that helps traditional media prosper in the new media age through integrated multimedia platforms.

News from Caixin

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>Auto experts and industry executives in China are calling on regulators to explore a market-based approach to governing electric-vehicle (EV) makers’ manufacturing qualifications.</li><li>The sector confronts an influx of inexperienced and ultimately unsuccessful firms amid the country’s push towards electrification.</li><li>The success of China’s EV industry has been widely viewed as the result of years of Beijing’s supportive policies, including the use of <a href="https://www.caixinglobal.com/2023-04-06/in-depth-why-should-beijing-reinstate-subsidies-for-auto-sales-102016072.html" target="_blank" rel="noopener">subsidies</a> to spur demand, and instruments such as a strict permit system to better manage capacity.</li></ul>

Auto experts and industry executives in China are calling on regulators to explore a market-based approach to governing electric-vehicle (EV) makers’ manufacturing qualifications.The sector confronts an influx of inexperienced and ultimately unsuccessful firms amid the country’s push towards electrification.The success of China’s EV industry has been widely viewed as the result of years of Beijing’s supportive policies, including the use of subsidies to spur demand, and instruments such as a strict permit system to better manage capacity.

China’s EV Industry Calls on Regulators to Curb the Back-Seat Driving

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

<ul>
<li>There are no constituent changes for the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hang-seng-tech-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31367:1" rel="noopener">Hang Seng Tech Index (HSTECH INDEX)</a> in June but there are some free float changes and a bunch of capping changes.</li>
<li>Estimated one-way turnover is 3.2% leading to a one-way trade of HK$3bn (US$384m). There are 3 stocks with over 1 day of ADV to trade.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/trip-com-group-ltd-23a341d0-4f63-4175-a8c5-ee990906cacd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36424:1" rel="noopener">Trip.com (9961 HK)</a> has over 1x ADV to buy from <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hang-seng-tech-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31367:1" rel="noopener">Hang Seng Tech Index (HSTECH)</a> trackers. The stock is also an add to the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hong-kong-hang-seng-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22899:1" rel="noopener">Hong Kong Hang Seng Index (HSI)</a>.</li>
</ul>


There are no constituent changes for the Hang Seng Tech Index (HSTECH INDEX) in June but there are some free float changes and a bunch of capping changes.
Estimated one-way turnover is 3.2% leading to a one-way trade of HK$3bn (US$384m). There are 3 stocks with over 1 day of ADV to trade.

Trip.com (9961 HK) has over 1x ADV to buy from Hang Seng Tech Index (HSTECH) trackers. The stock is also an add to the Hong Kong Hang Seng Index (HSI).


HSTECH Index Rebalance: Float & Capping Changes Lead to US$768m Two-Way Trade

China/Asia TMT

Shawn Yang

China growth and global non-US Internet equities

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Blue Lotus Research is a Hong Kong Type 4 Licensed investment advisory firm focusing on Chinese growth equities and global non-US Internet equities

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>We think G6 has reasonable opportunities to win market share from Tesla Model. We estimate G6’s monthly delivery to reach 10%-15% of Model Y. </li>
<li>Our latest channel check found that Xpeng’s monthly order intake rebounded to a 10k level in April, higher than 6k-8k of NIO. </li>
<li>We dial up 2023 GPM estimate to 11.0%, which is 0.75ppt higher than consensus. UG to BUY due to recovered growth and margin outlook starting from 2Q23</li>
</ul>


We think G6 has reasonable opportunities to win market share from Tesla Model. We estimate G6’s monthly delivery to reach 10%-15% of Model Y. 
Our latest channel check found that Xpeng’s monthly order intake rebounded to a 10k level in April, higher than 6k-8k of NIO. 
We dial up 2023 GPM estimate to 11.0%, which is 0.75ppt higher than consensus. UG to BUY due to recovered growth and margin outlook starting from 2Q23


[XPeng (XPEV US, BUY, TP US$11.5) Rating Change]: G6 Is a Superb Answer to Tesla Model Y…UG to BUY

China

XPeng Inc. designs, produces, and distributes electric vehicles. The Company designs, develops, manufactures and markets smart smart electric vehicles, as well as finance, parts, and maintenance services. XPeng serves customers in China.

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XPeng (9868 HK)

Tata Technologies Pre-IPO - Peer Comparison - Middling

Tata Technologies (TATATECH IN) (TT) is looking to raise around US$600m in its upcoming India IPO. In this note, we undertake a peer comparison.

Sumeet Singh

China’s EV Industry Calls on Regulators to Curb the Back-Seat Driving

Auto experts and industry executives in China are calling on regulators to explore a market-based approach to governing electric-vehicle (EV)...

Caixin Global

HSTECH Index Rebalance: Float & Capping Changes Lead to US$768m Two-Way Trade

Estimated one-way turnover is 3.2% leading to a one-way trade of HK$3bn (US$384m). There are 3 stocks with over 1 day of ADV to trade. Trip.com is...

Brian Freitas

[XPeng (XPEV US, BUY, TP US$11.5) Rating Change]: G6 Is a Superb Answer to Tesla Model Y…UG to BUY

We think G6 has reasonable opportunities to win market share from Tesla Model Y. We estimate G6’s monthly delivery to reach 10%-15% of Model Y.

Blue Lotus Research Institute

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Great Wall Motor (2333 HK) - RMB Dual Counter Trading Starts Today, Watch that A-Share Discount

HKD-RMB Dual Counter Trading starts today for 24 HK-listed names. The RMB counter are fully fungible with the HKD line, but not with A-shares. Not...

Travis Lundy

Tata Technologies Pre-IPO - Peer Comparison - Middling

Tata Technologies (TATATECH IN) (TT) is looking to raise around US$600m in its upcoming India IPO. In this note, we undertake a peer comparison.

Sumeet Singh

China’s EV Industry Calls on Regulators to Curb the Back-Seat Driving

Auto experts and industry executives in China are calling on regulators to explore a market-based approach to governing electric-vehicle (EV)...

Caixin Global

HSTECH Index Rebalance: Float & Capping Changes Lead to US$768m Two-Way Trade

Estimated one-way turnover is 3.2% leading to a one-way trade of HK$3bn (US$384m). There are 3 stocks with over 1 day of ADV to trade. Trip.com is...

Brian Freitas

[XPeng (XPEV US, BUY, TP US$11.5) Rating Change]: G6 Is a Superb Answer to Tesla Model Y…UG to BUY

We think G6 has reasonable opportunities to win market share from Tesla Model Y. We estimate G6’s monthly delivery to reach 10%-15% of Model Y.

Blue Lotus Research Institute