Pan-Asia Index Flows & Special Situations, Quiddity Advisors

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Pan-Asia Index Flows & Special Situations

Quiddity Advisors

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>The HSTECH Index tracks the performance of the top 30 technology companies listed in Hong Kong that have high business exposure to certain technology themes.</li>
<li>In this insight, we take a look at the rankings of potential ADDs and potential DELs for the September 2024 index rebal event.</li>
<li>We do not see any index changes in September 2024 but there could be one-way flows of US$425mn due to capping.</li>
</ul>


The HSTECH Index tracks the performance of the top 30 technology companies listed in Hong Kong that have high business exposure to certain technology themes.
In this insight, we take a look at the rankings of potential ADDs and potential DELs for the September 2024 index rebal event.
We do not see any index changes in September 2024 but there could be one-way flows of US$425mn due to capping.


Quiddity Leaderboard HSTECH Sep 24: No Changes but US$425mn One-Way Flows Due to Capping

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

<ul>
<li>PCAOB officials concluded their Hong Kong visit last month and PCAOB is due to announce its annual judgment on whether it had adequate access to US listed China companies.</li>
<li>The Hong Kong visit was on the back of the 26th Aug 2022 announcement by PCAOB and CSRC that they had entered into an agreement with US authorities for access.</li>
<li>In this note, we'll talk about the latest developments, possible outcomes and implications.</li>
</ul>


PCAOB officials concluded their Hong Kong visit last month and PCAOB is due to announce its annual judgment on whether it had adequate access to US listed China companies.
The Hong Kong visit was on the back of the 26th Aug 2022 announcement by PCAOB and CSRC that they had entered into an agreement with US authorities for access.
In this note, we'll talk about the latest developments, possible outcomes and implications.


China ADRs Delisting - Friday Could Be Judgment Day for over US$800bn Mcap of Stocks

China Specialist, Auto and Industrial Specialist

Victoria Li

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>After a 86% decline on share price YTD, we believe it’s time to revisit Xpeng.</li>
<li>Having gone through all the negatives which led to Xpeng’s underperforming vs peers, we believe the market has overreacted, while the company’s advantages/technology improvements have been ignored.</li>
<li>After 4 months of sales decline, company fundamentals would bottom out from November onwards with G9 starting to speak for itself. </li>
</ul>


After a 86% decline on share price YTD, we believe it’s time to revisit Xpeng.
Having gone through all the negatives which led to Xpeng’s underperforming vs peers, we believe the market has overreacted, while the company’s advantages/technology improvements have been ignored.
After 4 months of sales decline, company fundamentals would bottom out from November onwards with G9 starting to speak for itself. 


Xpeng (9868.HK, XPEV): Painful Year, but Payoffs for Technology Improvements Ahead

<ul>
<li>Short term interruption from chips and LFP battery shortage would be eased in 2H2022.</li>
<li>Xpeng’s monthly delivery would ramp up to 30,000 cars with the launch of G9 in 3Q2022.</li>
<li>We estimate Xpeng’s net profit will turn positive at the end of 2022, which would trigger further re-rating of the stock to HK$300 (or US$77).</li>
</ul>


Short term interruption from chips and LFP battery shortage would be eased in 2H2022.
Xpeng’s monthly delivery would ramp up to 30,000 cars with the launch of G9 in 3Q2022.
We estimate Xpeng’s net profit will turn positive at the end of 2022, which would trigger further re-rating of the stock to HK$300 (or US$77).


Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyze the weekly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of July 19th.</li>
<li>The top stocks by inflows and outflows were tabulated for all market, HSCEI, mid cap and s/mid cap groups.</li>
<li>We highlight flows for ICBC (1398 HK), China Hongqiao (1378 HK).</li>
</ul>


We analyze the weekly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of July 19th.
The top stocks by inflows and outflows were tabulated for all market, HSCEI, mid cap and s/mid cap groups.
We highlight flows for ICBC (1398 HK), China Hongqiao (1378 HK).


Hong Kong Connect Flows (Jul 19th): ICBC, China Hongqiao

China

FAW Jiefang Group Co., Ltd, through joint ventures, manufactures and markets cars and auto parts.  The Company produces automobiles, transmission systems, and engines.  FAW Car also provides auto repair and customizing services.

BAIC BluePark New Energy Technology Co.,Ltd. operates as a passenger car manufacturer. The Company engages in research, development, and marketing of new energy vehicles and power battery system. BAIC BluePark New Energy Technology conducts businesses in China.

BAIC BluePark New Energy Techn (600733 CH)

Chongqing Changan Automobile Company Limited develops, manufactures, and markets mini cars, mini sedans, full size sedans, and engines.

Chongqing Changan Automobile Company (200625 CH)

Anhui Jianghuai Automobile Co., Ltd. manufactures and markets bus and truck chassis, gear boxes, other auto parts, and business automobiles.

NIO Inc. manufactures and sells automobiles. The Company offers electric vehicles and parts, as well as provides battery charging services. NIO serves customers worldwide.

Beiqi Foton Motor Co., Ltd. manufactures and markets automobiles and parts. The Company produces light trucks, medium trucks, heavy trucks, passenger cars, and engine parts. Beiqi Foton Motor also conducts automotive wholesale businesses domestically and internationally.

Guangzhou Automobile Group Company, Ltd. manufactures, sells, and services automobiles. The Company is also involved in automobile parts and components, and auto finance and related services for both overseas and domestic markets.

Lifan Industry (Group) Company Limited develops, manufactures and sells motorcycles, cars and gasoline engines. The Company's major products include motorcycles, motorcycle engines, passenger cars, passenger car engines, gasoline engines and other terminal products such as generator sets, water pumps and lawn mowers.

Jiangling Motors Corp. Ltd. manufactures and sells vehicles and related components.  The Company's main products include JMC series trucks and pickups, and Transit series commercial buses.

BAIC Motor Corporation Limited designs, researches, develops, manufactures and sells a variety of passenger vehicles in China.

PT Astra International Tbk assembles and distributes automobiles, motorcycles, and their related spare parts.  Through its subsidiaries, the Company also operates in the mining, development of plantations, financial and information technology.

Geely Automobile Holdings Limited operates as a passenger vehicles manufacturing company. The Company provides passenger vehicles development, manufacturing, sales, and other services. Geely Automobile Holdings also exports passenger vehicles.

MITSUBISHI MOTORS CORPORATION develops and manufactures passenger cars and its related parts.  The Company has production facilities in Japan, the US, and Thailand.  Mitsubishi Motors Corp provides vehicle-related financing and leasing service through its subsidiary.

Harley-Davidson, Inc. designs, manufactures, and sells motorcycles.  The Company's products include heavyweight touring, custom, and performance motorcycles, as well as a line of motorcycle parts, accessories, and general merchandise.  Harley-Davidson also provides motorcycle floor planning and parts and accessories financing to its North American and European dealers.

Yamaha Motor Co., Ltd. manufactures motorcycles.  The Company also produces motor vehicle engines for Toyota Motor Corp. and Ford Motor Co.  Yamaha Motor's specialty products include motor boats, snowmobiles, golf carts, and electric power generators.  Yamaha Motor sells products in Japan, North America, Europe, Asia, and South America.

Thor Industries, Inc. produces and sells a wide range of recreation vehicles.  The Company markets its products through independent dealers located throughout the United States and Canada.  Thor's products are sold under the Airstream Classic, Dutchmen, Skamper, Infinity, Four Winds, Citation, Signature, and other names.

Isuzu Motors Limited manufactures and markets trucks and automobile parts. The Company's products include pickup trucks, light/heavy duty trucks, medium and large-sized buses, recreational vehicles, and sport utility vehicles.

Mazda Motor Corporation manufactures and sells automobiles, trucks, auto parts, and its accessories.  The Company operates its business worldwide.

Tofas Turk Otomobil Fabrikasi AS manufactures cars and automobile parts under license from Fiat.  The Group also imports Alfa Romeo and Fiat cars for domestic market and provides financing services.

Ford Otomotiv Sanayi A.S. manufactures, imports and distributes Ford model trucks, automobiles, mini-buses, vans, trailers, and pickups.  Ford Otomotiv primarily sells its passenger vehicles and light trucks domestically, and exports majority of its commercial van production.

XPeng Inc. designs, produces, and distributes electric vehicles. The Company designs, develops, manufactures and markets smart smart electric vehicles, as well as finance, parts, and maintenance services. XPeng serves customers in China.

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XPeng (9868 HK)

Quiddity Leaderboard HSTECH Sep 24: No Changes but US$425mn One-Way Flows Due to Capping

The highest-ranked potential ADD is AAC Technologies Holdings (2018 HK) and the highest-ranked potential DEL is Ping An Healthcare (1833 HK). These...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

China ADRs Delisting - Friday Could Be Judgment Day for over US$800bn Mcap of Stocks

PCAOB officials concluded their Hong Kong visit last month and PCAOB is due to announce its annual judgment on whether it had adequate access to US...

Sumeet Singh

Xpeng (9868.HK, XPEV): Painful Year, but Payoffs for Technology Improvements Ahead

After a 86% decline on share price YTD, we believe it’s time to revisit Xpeng. We believe the market has overreacted, while the company’s...

Victoria Li

Xpeng: Milestone Year Ahead

Short term interruption from chips and LFP battery shortage would be eased in 2H2022.Xpeng’s monthly delivery would ramp up to 30,000 cars with the...

Victoria Li

Hong Kong Connect Flows (Jul 19th): ICBC, China Hongqiao

We analyzed southbound Hong Kong connect flows in the past week and highlight flows for ICBC (1398 HK), China Hongqiao (1378 HK).

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

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