Chart based progressive global trading strategies, Chart Partners

Thomas Schroeder

Chart based progressive global trading strategies

Chart Partners

Chart Partners objective is to discover medium-term cycle turns and profit opportunities before they unfold, within structural trends while preserving capital with clear degrees of risk. We have real return ideas. 

Markets are dynamic and trading systems must reflect this. It is crucial to determine underlying correlations and lead-lag relationships within global markets and the impact on linked instruments. Our weekly Chartonics product gives you short-term trading strategies that can be applied within the medium and longer term macro trends that are mapped out in our strategy updates. 

Our methodology fuses global market variables and isolates drivers in trends. We specialize in FX, index trade in NY and Asia with a focus on Asian stocks. 

Technical Analysis

<p><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/xiaomi-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:24409:1" rel="noopener">Xiaomi Corp (1810 HK)</a> has met our ideal near term rally target at 30 and touted as the cash sell zone for a re test on the 27 pivot support. Short traders have an opportunity on an uptick.</p><p>Tactical bull call from 27+ outlined <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/xiaomi-30-target-attracts" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:51985" rel="noopener">Xiaomi 30 Target Attracts </a>on May 25 met the 30 target to sell down (30.50 resistance). Macro long touted in March as long as we hold 26 on a pullback.</p><p>Call for an initial rejection near 30 resistance and test on 27 pivot support.</p><p><strong>Pivot support:</strong> 27 price level but 26 is the key pivot support to hold to maintain bull energy (where moving averages, price and trend/pattern support coincide). Below 26 would re test 20-22.</p>

Xiaomi Corp (1810 HK) has met our ideal near term rally target at 30 and touted as the cash sell zone for a re test on the 27 pivot support. Short traders have an opportunity on an uptick.Tactical bull call from 27+ outlined Xiaomi 30 Target Attracts on May 25 met the 30 target to sell down (30.50 resistance). Macro long touted in March as long as we hold 26 on a pullback.Call for an initial rejection near 30 resistance and test on 27 pivot support.Pivot support: 27 price level but 26 is the key pivot support to hold to maintain bull energy (where moving averages, price and trend/pattern support coincide). Below 26 would re test 20-22.

XIAOMI Met 30 Target Now Set to Re Test 27 Pivot Support

IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Equity Capital Markets

<p><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/aihuishou" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:33426:1" rel="noopener">Aihuishou (RERE US)</a> operates the largest pre-owned consumer electronics transactions and services platform in China under the brand “ATRenew”, which stands for “all things renew.” The platform consists of AHS Recycle (an omnichannel business for the collection of pre-owned consumer electronics), PJT Marketplace (B2B channel) and Paipai Marketplace (B2C channel). </p><p>AiHuiShou is seeking to raise $500 million to $1 billion through an NYSE listing, according to press reports. AiHuiShou is backed by <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/jd-com-inc-adr" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:446:1" rel="noopener">JD.com Inc (ADR) (JD US)</a> (34.7% of the outstanding shares), Morningside China (14.0%), Shunwei China Internet Fund IV (7.3%) and Tian Tu Capital (8.5%). </p><p>There are 2,615 million consumer electronic devices in circulation that still have use-value in China in 2020, which 3x times the 869 million devices in circulation in the US, according to CIC. This huge volume of devices in circulation has supported the demand for second-hand or pre-owned devices in China. Currently, the penetration rate of traded pre-owned devices relative to the number of consumer electronic devices in circulation is a low 3.7% in 2020. However, this rate is forecasted to reach 9.4% by 2025, and the market is expected to grow at a 30.8% CAGR from 2020 to 2025 to reach RMB967.3 billion by 2025, according to CIC. </p><div class="content-highlight"><p>AiHuiShou as the largest player as measure by GMV and transacted devices is well-positioned to capture this market opportunity. AiHuiShou is delivering on this market opportunity through strong revenue growth, declining loss margin and improving cash burn. AiHuiShou’s business model will also appeal to investors with an ESG mandate. For investors willing to brave the risk that the current market selloff in high growth stocks persists, we think that the AiHuiShou story warrants a closer look.    </p></div>

Aihuishou (RERE US) operates the largest pre-owned consumer electronics transactions and services platform in China under the brand “ATRenew”, which stands for “all things renew.” The platform consists of AHS Recycle (an omnichannel business for the collection of pre-owned consumer electronics), PJT Marketplace (B2B channel) and Paipai Marketplace (B2C channel). AiHuiShou is seeking to raise $500 million to $1 billion through an NYSE listing, according to press reports. AiHuiShou is backed by JD.com Inc (ADR) (JD US) (34.7% of the outstanding shares), Morningside China (14.0%), Shunwei China Internet Fund IV (7.3%) and Tian Tu Capital (8.5%). There are 2,615 million consumer electronic devices in circulation that still have use-value in China in 2020, which 3x times the 869 million devices in circulation in the US, according to CIC. This huge volume of devices in circulation has supported the demand for second-hand or pre-owned devices in China. Currently, the penetration rate of traded pre-owned devices relative to the number of consumer electronic devices in circulation is a low 3.7% in 2020. However, this rate is forecasted to reach 9.4% by 2025, and the market is expected to grow at a 30.8% CAGR from 2020 to 2025 to reach RMB967.3 billion by 2025, according to CIC. AiHuiShou as the largest player as measure by GMV and transacted devices is well-positioned to capture this market opportunity. AiHuiShou is delivering on this market opportunity through strong revenue growth, declining loss margin and improving cash burn. AiHuiShou’s business model will also appeal to investors with an ESG mandate. For investors willing to brave the risk that the current market selloff in high growth stocks persists, we think that the AiHuiShou story warrants a closer look.    

AiHuiShou IPO Initiation: Turning the Vicious Cycle into a Virtuous One

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

<p><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/aihuishou" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:33426:1" rel="noopener">Aihuishou (RERE US)</a> (AHS), China’s largest pre-owned consumer electronics transactions and services platform, aims to raise up to US$1bn via a US listing. It is backed by <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/jd-com-inc-adr" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:446:1" rel="noopener">JD.com Inc (ADR) (JD US)</a>, Morningside and Tiger Global.</p><p>A total of 26.1m consumer products, worth RMB22.8bn, were transacted by AHS over twelve months ending Mar 2021. It had over 755 offline stores across 172 cities. According to CIC, it had a 6.6% market share in terms of GMV for pre-owned electronics and 8.7% market share in terms of number of pre-owned devices transacted in 2020. As per CIC, its GMV for electronics and number of devices transacted in 2020 were both greater than the next five largest platforms combined, as per CIC. </p>

Aihuishou (RERE US) (AHS), China’s largest pre-owned consumer electronics transactions and services platform, aims to raise up to US$1bn via a US listing. It is backed by JD.com Inc (ADR) (JD US), Morningside and Tiger Global.A total of 26.1m consumer products, worth RMB22.8bn, were transacted by AHS over twelve months ending Mar 2021. It had over 755 offline stores across 172 cities. According to CIC, it had a 6.6% market share in terms of GMV for pre-owned electronics and 8.7% market share in terms of number of pre-owned devices transacted in 2020. As per CIC, its GMV for electronics and number of devices transacted in 2020 were both greater than the next five largest platforms combined, as per CIC. 

AiHuiShou Pre-IPO - Mostly Positive - Pre-Owned but Well Loved

APAC IPOs & Placements

Zhen Zhou, Toh

<div>
<p><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/jd-logistics" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31500:1" rel="noopener"></a><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/jd-logistics" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31500:1" rel="noopener">JD Logistics (2618 HK)</a> raised US$3.1bn at HK$40.36 per share, close to the bottom-end of its price range in its Hong Kong IPO. </p>
</div>
<div>
<p>JD Logistics (JDL) was the leading supply chain solutions and logistics services provider in China in terms of revenue in 2018 and 2019. The company offers a full spectrum of supply chain solutions and logistics services ranging from warehousing to distribution, spanning across manufacturing to end-customers, covering regular and specialized items. </p>
</div>
<div>
<p>In this note, we will discuss deal dynamics and update valuation.</p>
</div>
<div>
<p>We had previously covered the IPO in:</p>
</div>
<div>
<ul style="list-style-type: disc;">
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/jd-logistics-ipo-updated-index-implications-and-impact-on-jd-com-holdco-valuation" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:51591" rel="noopener">JD Logistics (京东物流) IPO - Updated Index Implications and Impact on JD.com (京东) HoldCo Valuation</a> </li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/jd-logistics-ipo-widening-its-lead" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:51583" rel="noopener">JD Logistics (京东物流) IPO - Widening Its Lead</a> </li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/jd-logistics-pre-ipo-index-implications-it-will-cut-close" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:51054" rel="noopener">JD Logistics (京东物流) Pre-IPO - Index Implications - It Will Cut Close</a> </li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/jd-logistics-pre-ipo-quick-note-new-phip-with-1q21-results-changes-narrative" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:51453" rel="noopener">JD Logistics (京东物流) Pre-IPO - Quick Note - New PHIP with 1Q21 Results Changes Narrative</a> </li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/jd-logistics-pre-ipo-phip-updates-and-fine-tuning-valuation" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:51008" rel="noopener">JD Logistics (京东物流) Pre-IPO - PHIP Updates and Fine-Tuning Valuation</a> </li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/jd-logistics-pre-ipo-thoughts-on-valuation" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:50953" rel="noopener">JD Logistics (京东物流) Pre-IPO - Thoughts on Valuation</a> </li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/jd-logistics-pre-ipo-peer-comparison-shielded-from-price-war" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:50575" rel="noopener">JD Logistics (京东物流) Pre-IPO - Peer Comparison - Shielded from Price War</a> </li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/jd-logistics-pre-ipo-tethered-to-jd-group-and-looking-beyond" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:48396" rel="noopener">JD Logistics (京东物流) Pre-IPO - Tethered to JD Group and Looking Beyond</a> </li>
</ul>
</div>


JD Logistics (2618 HK) raised US$3.1bn at HK$40.36 per share, close to the bottom-end of its price range in its Hong Kong IPO. 


JD Logistics (JDL) was the leading supply chain solutions and logistics services provider in China in terms of revenue in 2018 and 2019. The company offers a full spectrum of supply chain solutions and logistics services ranging from warehousing to distribution, spanning across manufacturing to end-customers, covering regular and specialized items. 


In this note, we will discuss deal dynamics and update valuation.


We had previously covered the IPO in:




JD Logistics (京东物流) IPO - Updated Index Implications and Impact on JD.com (京东) HoldCo Valuation 

JD Logistics (京东物流) IPO - Widening Its Lead 

JD Logistics (京东物流) Pre-IPO - Index Implications - It Will Cut Close 

JD Logistics (京东物流) Pre-IPO - Quick Note - New PHIP with 1Q21 Results Changes Narrative 

JD Logistics (京东物流) Pre-IPO - PHIP Updates and Fine-Tuning Valuation 

JD Logistics (京东物流) Pre-IPO - Thoughts on Valuation 

JD Logistics (京东物流) Pre-IPO - Peer Comparison - Shielded from Price War 

JD Logistics (京东物流) Pre-IPO - Tethered to JD Group and Looking Beyond 



JD Logistics (京东物流) IPO Trading - Decent Demand + Updates to JD.com Valuation

Equity Analyst, LightStream Research

Shifara Samsudeen, ACMA, CGMA

Equity Analyst

Long-Short Analysis on Japan, Asia and the World

LightStream Research

LightStream conducts quantitatively rigorous and data-driven analysis with a focus on Japan and Asia.

We consistently cover the Tech, Consumer and Industrial sectors, and provide ECM and Events coverage more broadly.

We supplement traditional qualitative insights from company relationships with a robust quantitative foundation that examines as much historical data as is available.
We further refine the accuracy of our insights and calls through the use of alternative data to flesh out current trends, and through a valuation framework that emphasises non-superficial peer group selection and a proper attempt to understand the metrics and changes that have driven security valuations in the past.

<p><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/xiaomi-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:24409:1" rel="noopener">Xiaomi Corp (1810 HK)</a> reported 1Q2021 results on Wednesday (26<sup>th</sup> May) after market. The company’s revenues grew 54.7% YoY during the quarter to RMB76.9bn (vs consensus revenue of RMB75.1bn) while reported operating profit for the quarter grew 251.1% to RMB8.2bn (vs consensus OP of RMB4.5bn). The adjusted operating profit for the quarter (excluding fair value adjustments and profit/loss from equity investment) increased 230.0% YoY during the quarter.</p><figure class="editor-figure mceNonEditable"><img src="https://static-prod.smartkarma.com/images/media/000/209/315/original/image_89988038521622059340756.png?1622059342" class="editor-image img-responsive" data-smartkarma-image-id="209315"></figure><p>During 1Q21, Xiaomi was ranked no.3 in the global smartphone market with a market share of 14.1% which was only 1.0% below the no. 2 player <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/apple-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:666:1" rel="noopener">Apple Inc (AAPL US)</a>  who had a share of 15.1% of the global smartphone shipments in 1Q21. In the previous quarter (4Q2020), Xiaomi’s global smartphone shipments accounted for 12.1% of the worldwide shipments and the company’s smartphone shipments grew 61.9% YoY in 1Q20, the highest among all players in the market.</p><p>Xiaomi was ranked no. 4 in China smartphone market in 1Q21 with a market share of 14.6% beating iPhone maker Apple to the fifth position. During 4Q2020, Apple had a market share of 18.2% in China and ranked no. 4, however, Apple’s share of smartphone shipment in China lessened to 12.7% in 1Q21.</p>

Xiaomi Corp (1810 HK) reported 1Q2021 results on Wednesday (26th May) after market. The company’s revenues grew 54.7% YoY during the quarter to RMB76.9bn (vs consensus revenue of RMB75.1bn) while reported operating profit for the quarter grew 251.1% to RMB8.2bn (vs consensus OP of RMB4.5bn). The adjusted operating profit for the quarter (excluding fair value adjustments and profit/loss from equity investment) increased 230.0% YoY during the quarter.During 1Q21, Xiaomi was ranked no.3 in the global smartphone market with a market share of 14.1% which was only 1.0% below the no. 2 player Apple Inc (AAPL US)  who had a share of 15.1% of the global smartphone shipments in 1Q21. In the previous quarter (4Q2020), Xiaomi’s global smartphone shipments accounted for 12.1% of the worldwide shipments and the company’s smartphone shipments grew 61.9% YoY in 1Q20, the highest among all players in the market.Xiaomi was ranked no. 4 in China smartphone market in 1Q21 with a market share of 14.6% beating iPhone maker Apple to the fifth position. During 4Q2020, Apple had a market share of 18.2% in China and ranked no. 4, however, Apple’s share of smartphone shipment in China lessened to 12.7% in 1Q21.

Xiaomi: Strong Earnings; Narrows Gap with No. 2 Player Apple Globally While Beats Apple in China

China

Xiaomi Corporation manufactures communication equipment and parts. The Company produces and sells mobile phones, smart phone software,  set-top boxes, and related accessories. Xiaomi markets its products worldwide.

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Xiaomi Corp (1810 HK)

XIAOMI Met 30 Target Now Set to Re Test 27 Pivot Support

Xiaomi Corp (1810 HK) has met our ideal near term rally target at 30 and touted as the cash sell zone for a re test on the 27 pivot support. Short...

Thomas Schroeder

AiHuiShou IPO Initiation: Turning the Vicious Cycle into a Virtuous One

AiHiuShou is seeking to raise $0.5-1.0 bn through an NYSE listing. AiHuiShou is delivering on its market opportunity through strong revenue growth,...

Arun George

AiHuiShou Pre-IPO - Mostly Positive - Pre-Owned but Well Loved

Aihuishou(RERE US), China’s largest pre-owned consumer electronics transactions and services platform, aims to raise upto US$1bn via a US listing....

Sumeet Singh

JD Logistics (京东物流) IPO Trading - Decent Demand + Updates to JD.com Valuation

JD Logistics (2618 HK) is raised US$3.1bn at HK$40.36 per share, close to the bottom-end of its price range in its Hong Kong IPO.

Zhen Zhou, Toh

Xiaomi: Strong Earnings; Narrows Gap with No. 2 Player Apple Globally While Beats Apple in China

Xiaomi was ranked no.3 in the global smartphone market with a market share of 14.1% which was only 1.0% below the no. 2 player Apple who had a...

Shifara Samsudeen, ACMA, CGMA

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