IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Equity Capital Markets

WuXi XDC Cayman  / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/wuxi-xdc-cayman-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:39917:1" rel="noopener">WuXi XDC Cayman Inc (1877628D HK)</a>, a leading contract research, development and manufacturing organization (CRDMO), is pre-marketing an HKEx IPO to raise US$500 million, according to press reports.</li>
<li>In <em><strong><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/wuxi-xdc-ipo-the-bull-case" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:116331" rel="noopener">WuXi XDC IPO: The Bull Case</a></strong></em>, we highlighted the key elements of the bull case. In this note, we outline the bear case.</li>
<li>The bear case rests on margins on a downward trend, large customer concentration, high related party transactions and volatile FCF generation.</li>
</ul>



WuXi XDC Cayman Inc (1877628D HK), a leading contract research, development and manufacturing organization (CRDMO), is pre-marketing an HKEx IPO to raise US$500 million, according to press reports.
In WuXi XDC IPO: The Bull Case, we highlighted the key elements of the bull case. In this note, we outline the bear case.
The bear case rests on margins on a downward trend, large customer concentration, high related party transactions and volatile FCF generation.


Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyze the monthly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine.</li>
<li>We tabulate the top stocks by inflows, outflows, and holding by mainland investors.</li>
<li>We highlight inflows into Meituan, Wuxi Biologics, SMIC, GWM, HKEX.</li>
</ul>


We analyze the monthly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine.
We tabulate the top stocks by inflows, outflows, and holding by mainland investors.
We highlight inflows into Meituan, Wuxi Biologics, SMIC, GWM, HKEX.


Hong Kong Connect Flows (October): Four Months of Inflows

HK/China Healthcare Analyst (ex-Fosun Pharma)

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

<ul>
<li>We've seen increasing global cooperation for ADC pipelines. However, licensing deals alone cannot be used as the only basis for judgment. We still need to wait for solid clinical evidence.</li>
<li>ADCs are far less "general and popularized" than PD-1. If compare ADC with GLP-1s, the difference is more obvious.How big the real market is for ADC is a question mark.</li>
<li>WuXi XDC’s share price could perform well after IPO due to positive sentiments towards ADC, but whether its long-term valuation would be higher than peers remains to be seen.  </li>
</ul>


We've seen increasing global cooperation for ADC pipelines. However, licensing deals alone cannot be used as the only basis for judgment. We still need to wait for solid clinical evidence.
ADCs are far less "general and popularized" than PD-1. If compare ADC with GLP-1s, the difference is more obvious.How big the real market is for ADC is a question mark.
WuXi XDC’s share price could perform well after IPO due to positive sentiments towards ADC, but whether its long-term valuation would be higher than peers remains to be seen.  


Pre-IPO WuXi XDC (PHIP Updates) - Some Points Worth the Attention

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/wuxi-xdc-cayman-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:39917:1" rel="noopener">WuXi XDC Cayman Inc (1877628D HK)</a>, a leading contract research, development and manufacturing organization (CRDMO), is pre-marketing an HKEx IPO to raise US$500 million, according to press reports.   </li>
<li>WuXi XDC ranked No. 2 globally and No. 1 in China among CRDMO for antibody-drug conjugates and other bioconjugates in terms of revenue in 2022, according to Frost &amp; Sullivan.</li>
<li>The bull case rests on large addressable markets, market share gains, fast-paced revenue growth, strong revenue visibility, a solid balance sheet and ambitious capacity expansion plans.</li>
</ul>



WuXi XDC Cayman Inc (1877628D HK), a leading contract research, development and manufacturing organization (CRDMO), is pre-marketing an HKEx IPO to raise US$500 million, according to press reports.   
WuXi XDC ranked No. 2 globally and No. 1 in China among CRDMO for antibody-drug conjugates and other bioconjugates in terms of revenue in 2022, according to Frost &amp; Sullivan.
The bull case rests on large addressable markets, market share gains, fast-paced revenue growth, strong revenue visibility, a solid balance sheet and ambitious capacity expansion plans.


<ul>
<li>We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position as of Oct 20th.</li>
<li>Top short increases and decreases were tabulated for one week and four week period. </li>
<li>We highlight short changes in Anta Sports, Hkex, Shenzhou Intl, China Mobile.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position as of Oct 20th.
Top short increases and decreases were tabulated for one week and four week period. 
We highlight short changes in Anta Sports, Hkex, Shenzhou Intl, China Mobile.


HK Short Interest Weekly: Anta Sports, Hkex, Shenzhou Intl, China Mobile

China

WuXi Biologics (Cayman) Inc. is a leading open-access R&D capability and technology platform company serving the pharmaceutical, biotechnology, and medical device industries, with operations in China, U.S., and Iceland.  We provide a broad and integrated portfolio of laboratory and manufacturing services throughout the drug and medical device R&D process.  Our services are designed to help our global partners in shortening the cycle and lowering the cost of drug and medical device R&D through cost-effective and efficient solutions. 

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Wuxi Biologics (2269 HK)

WuXi XDC IPO: The Bear Case

The bear case rests on margins on a downward trend, large customer concentration, high related party transactions and volatile FCF generation.

Arun George

Hong Kong Connect Flows (October): Four Months of Inflows

We analyzed the Hong Kong Connect Scheme for October and highlight flows for Meituan, Wuxi Biologics, SMIC, Great Wall Motor, HKEX.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Pre-IPO WuXi XDC (PHIP Updates) - Some Points Worth the Attention

WuXi XDC’s share price could perform well due to positive sentiments on ADC.But if the real market size of ADC is much smaller than PD...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

WuXi XDC IPO: The Bull Case

The bull case rests on large addressable markets, market share gains, fast-paced revenue growth, strong revenue visibility, a solid balance sheet...

Arun George

HK Short Interest Weekly: Anta Sports, Hkex, Shenzhou Intl, China Mobile

We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position as of Oct 20th and highlight short interest changes in Anta Sports, Hkex,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

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