APAC IPOs & Placements

Zhen Zhou, Toh

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/vesync" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31067:1" rel="noopener">Vesync (2148 HK)</a> is looking to raise up to US$200mn in its Hong Kong IPO.The company sells small home appliances mainly through Amazon’s e-commerce marketplace and its products range from home environment appliances to health monitoring devices. The company derived most of its revenue from North AmericaOverall, growth of Vesync has been strong as the company has adapted well by selling products that have been in demand during the California fires in 2018 - 2019 and COVID-19. Its vendor central program allowed the company to scale up quickly and sell in bulk to Amazon without having to incur fulfilment costs unlike products sold via seller central program.In this note, we will look at the company’s business, revenue drivers, deal dynamics, assumptions, and share our thoughts on valuation.

Vesync (2148 HK) is looking to raise up to US$200mn in its Hong Kong IPO.The company sells small home appliances mainly through Amazon’s e-commerce marketplace and its products range from home environment appliances to health monitoring devices. The company derived most of its revenue from North AmericaOverall, growth of Vesync has been strong as the company has adapted well by selling products that have been in demand during the California fires in 2018 - 2019 and COVID-19. Its vendor central program allowed the company to scale up quickly and sell in bulk to Amazon without having to incur fulfilment costs unlike products sold via seller central program.In this note, we will look at the company’s business, revenue drivers, deal dynamics, assumptions, and share our thoughts on valuation.

Vesync IPO - The Tale of Valuation Dichotomy

Managing Director

Elan Gore

TMI Data Science

TMI Data Science utilizes Natural Language Processing to build custom leading indicators using unstructured data sourced from the global financial, trade & traditional media.  Our proprietary software, TMI Machine, is a text-mining platform designed with the buy-side & capital markets professional in mind, text-mining the global media to discern and quantify nuanced qualitative shifts in press coverage as they apply to macroeconomics, equity indexes/ETFs, commodities, currencies, fixed income & individual equities.  TMI provides custom leading indicators and systematic trading strategies, operating at the nexus of linguistics & statistics drawing on vast experience in investment banking and hedge fund settings in senior quantitative and fundamental roles.  

TMI Data Science was founded by Elan Gore, an award-winning Senior Global Basic Materials Equity Analyst & China Economist with 15 years of experience in North American hedge funds & institutional managers; and Alessandro Porrino, Ph.D., an Algorithmic Trading Analyst and Programmer with 10 years of front-office experience ranging from complex FX option pricing to auto-hedging strategies at Bank of America Merrill Lynch and Standard Chartered.  Mr. Gore holds an MBA in Finance from New York University Stern School of Business, and Mr. Porrino holds a Ph.D. in Systems Engineering from Brunel University London.

Cross Asset Strategy

<ul>
<li>The strength of US housing has been an unassailable consensus theme coming out of the March-April shock, aided by record-low rates and signs of deurbanization</li>
<li>We text-mine across a range of housing vectors to find greater nuance to the story than headlines imply</li>
<li>Extreme sentiment readings are seen in recent reporting on housing data releases (i.e. existing home sales, housing starts, NAHB); but our text-mined indicators of homebuyer intentions, deurbanization pressure and sales reported above asking price have turned softer</li>
<li>This is partially confirmed by Zillow app store data, which peaked on a Y/Y basis in July and on an absolute basis in August, recently turning roughly flat Y/Y; and by Redfin median square footage comps, which peaked in August</li>
<li>Similarly, our indicator of wood product shortages peaked in September and has stabilized since, in-line with forest products ETF relative performance and wood product pricing</li>
<li>We suspect US housing demand has been losing momentum, but remains at elevated absolute levels</li>
</ul><div class="content-highlight">TMI Data Science utilizes Natural Language Processing to build custom leading indicators using unstructured data sourced from the global financial, trade &amp; traditional media. Our proprietary software text-mines the global media to discern and quantify nuanced qualitative shifts in press coverage as they apply to macroeconomics, equity indexes/ETFs, commodities, currencies, fixed income &amp; individual equities. </div>


The strength of US housing has been an unassailable consensus theme coming out of the March-April shock, aided by record-low rates and signs of deurbanization
We text-mine across a range of housing vectors to find greater nuance to the story than headlines imply
Extreme sentiment readings are seen in recent reporting on housing data releases (i.e. existing home sales, housing starts, NAHB); but our text-mined indicators of homebuyer intentions, deurbanization pressure and sales reported above asking price have turned softer
This is partially confirmed by Zillow app store data, which peaked on a Y/Y basis in July and on an absolute basis in August, recently turning roughly flat Y/Y; and by Redfin median square footage comps, which peaked in August
Similarly, our indicator of wood product shortages peaked in September and has stabilized since, in-line with forest products ETF relative performance and wood product pricing
We suspect US housing demand has been losing momentum, but remains at elevated absolute levels
TMI Data Science utilizes Natural Language Processing to build custom leading indicators using unstructured data sourced from the global financial, trade &amp; traditional media. Our proprietary software text-mines the global media to discern and quantify nuanced qualitative shifts in press coverage as they apply to macroeconomics, equity indexes/ETFs, commodities, currencies, fixed income &amp; individual equities. 

TMI Snapshot: Some US Housing Indicators Lose Momentum as Deurbanization Theme Appears Transitory

Equity Analyst, LightStream Research

Shifara Samsudeen, ACMA, CGMA

Equity Analyst

Long-Short Analysis on Japan, Asia and the World

LightStream Research

LightStream conducts quantitatively rigorous and data-driven analysis with a focus on Japan and Asia.

We consistently cover the Tech, Consumer and Industrial sectors, and provide ECM and Events coverage more broadly.

We supplement traditional qualitative insights from company relationships with a robust quantitative foundation that examines as much historical data as is available.
We further refine the accuracy of our insights and calls through the use of alternative data to flesh out current trends, and through a valuation framework that emphasises non-superficial peer group selection and a proper attempt to understand the metrics and changes that have driven security valuations in the past.

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Dutch health technology company, Philips during its 4Q2019 results release, announced that it will be reviewing options for future ownership of its Domestic Appliance business.</li>
<li>The domestic appliance business is engaged in the sale of coffee machines, air purifiers and air fryers and the company has booked the domestic appliance business under its Personal Health Segment.</li>
<li>Philips has a long history of business restructuring where it previously divested/spun-off its semiconductor, TVs and lighting businesses in order to narrow down its focus on healthcare equipment and personal health products.</li>
<li>In this insight, we take a look at the company’s Domestic Appliance business, potential valuation and the impact on Philips’ revenue and margins.</li>
</ul>


Dutch health technology company, Philips during its 4Q2019 results release, announced that it will be reviewing options for future ownership of its Domestic Appliance business.
The domestic appliance business is engaged in the sale of coffee machines, air purifiers and air fryers and the company has booked the domestic appliance business under its Personal Health Segment.
Philips has a long history of business restructuring where it previously divested/spun-off its semiconductor, TVs and lighting businesses in order to narrow down its focus on healthcare equipment and personal health products.
In this insight, we take a look at the company’s Domestic Appliance business, potential valuation and the impact on Philips’ revenue and margins.


Philips to Divest Domestic Appliances Business – Potential for Margin Expansion

Mark Artherton, CFA

Inteqres

Equity Bottom-Up

Samsung Electronics is a key play on the roll-out of 5G handsets and network equipment.  The impact from the 5G roll out comes from improved conditions for DRAM/NAND volume and pricing as well as network hardware and handset sales.  This catalyst has been playing out for several months and we would continue to ride this in the near future (notwithstanding concerns over coronavirus) but we struggle to see much more in the way of additional catalysts for the Samsung Electronics share price.
In the absence of significant other catalysts, we believe that the Samsung share price really will run out of steam over the next few months.  We remain positive but will look to trim overweight positions.

Samsung Electronics is a key play on the roll-out of 5G handsets and network equipment.  The impact from the 5G roll out comes from improved conditions for DRAM/NAND volume and pricing as well as network hardware and handset sales.  This catalyst has been playing out for several months and we would continue to ride this in the near future (notwithstanding concerns over coronavirus) but we struggle to see much more in the way of additional catalysts for the Samsung Electronics share price.
In the absence of significant other catalysts, we believe that the Samsung share price really will run out of steam over the next few months.  We remain positive but will look to trim overweight positions. 

Samsung Electronics Initiation - Expectations Close to Running Too High - Inteqres Practical Views

Gree Electric Appliances / Equity Bottom-Up

Gree Electric Appliances sells residential air conditioners, central air conditioners, industrial products and other home appliances. The company sells its products through distributors worldwide while it also generates a fraction of its revenue from online sales. Air conditioners and parts is the company’s core business which generated approximately 80% of the company’s revenue in 3Q2019 and at the same time, Gree’s operations are heavily concentrated in China with revenue outside of China accounting for less than 10% of consolidated revenue.The domestic AC market in China is currently growing at a low-single digit rate after seeing stellar growth over the past few years and as a result the company’s revenue growth has declined significantly over the last couple of quarters. Furthermore, a large channel inventory build-up is also expected to drive AC sales lower over the next couple of quarters. On the other hand, the company has lost its leadership in the Chinese air conditioner market to its rival Midea, and is now ranked the third largest player falling behind much smaller rival AUX who is ranked the No. 2. The industry is fiercely competitive and the companies offer steep discounts and promotions to boost their revenues which eat into company margins.

Gree Electric Appliances sells residential air conditioners, central air conditioners, industrial products and other home appliances. The company sells its products through distributors worldwide while it also generates a fraction of its revenue from online sales. Air conditioners and parts is the company’s core business which generated approximately 80% of the company’s revenue in 3Q2019 and at the same time, Gree’s operations are heavily concentrated in China with revenue outside of China accounting for less than 10% of consolidated revenue.The domestic AC market in China is currently growing at a low-single digit rate after seeing stellar growth over the past few years and as a result the company’s revenue growth has declined significantly over the last couple of quarters. Furthermore, a large channel inventory build-up is also expected to drive AC sales lower over the next couple of quarters. On the other hand, the company has lost its leadership in the Chinese air conditioner market to its rival Midea, and is now ranked the third largest player falling behind much smaller rival AUX who is ranked the No. 2. The industry is fiercely competitive and the companies offer steep discounts and promotions to boost their revenues which eat into company margins.

Gree Electric Appliance: Good Gree Is Losing the Throne to Its AC Empire

United States

Whirlpool Corporation manufactures and markets major home appliances.  The Company's principal products include laundry appliances, refrigeration and room air conditioning equipment, cooking appliances, dishwashers, and mixers and other small household appliances.  Whirlpool's products are sold worldwide

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Whirlpool Corp (WHR US)

Vesync IPO - The Tale of Valuation Dichotomy

Vesync sells small home appliances mainly through Amazon’s e-commerce marketplace and its products range from home environment appliances to health...

Zhen Zhou, Toh

TMI Snapshot: Some US Housing Indicators Lose Momentum as Deurbanization Theme Appears Transitory

We see potentially peaking momentum in US housing, as data suggests the pandemic-driven deurbanization theme seen as a multi-year secular catalyst...

Elan Gore

Philips to Divest Domestic Appliances Business – Potential for Margin Expansion

Dutch health technology company, Philips during its 4Q2019 results release, announced that it will be reviewing options for future ownership of...

Shifara Samsudeen, ACMA, CGMA

Samsung Electronics Initiation - Expectations Close to Running Too High - Inteqres Practical Views

Samsung Electronics is a key play on the roll-out of 5G handsets and network equipment. The impact from the 5G roll out comes from improved...

Mark Artherton, CFA

Gree Electric Appliance: Good Gree Is Losing the Throne to Its AC Empire

Gree Electric Appliances sells residential air conditioners, central air conditioners, industrial products and other home appliances. The company...

Shifara Samsudeen, ACMA, CGMA

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