APAC IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Clarence Chu

APAC IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

Dekon Food and Agriculture Group / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/dekon-food-and-agriculture-group" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36756:1" rel="noopener">Dekon Food and Agriculture Group (DFAG CH)</a> raised around US$128m in its Hong Kong IPO. </li>
<li>Dekon Food and Agriculture Group (DFAG) is a vertically integrated livestock farming enterprise in China.</li>
<li>We have covered various aspects of the deal in our previous note. In this note, we will talk about the demand and trading dynamics.</li>
</ul>



Dekon Food and Agriculture Group (DFAG CH) raised around US$128m in its Hong Kong IPO. 
Dekon Food and Agriculture Group (DFAG) is a vertically integrated livestock farming enterprise in China.
We have covered various aspects of the deal in our previous note. In this note, we will talk about the demand and trading dynamics.


Dekon Food and Agriculture Group IPO Trading - Tight Float at Listing, Subscription Rates Were Tepid

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/dekon-food-and-agriculture-group" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36756:1" rel="noopener">Dekon Food and Agriculture Group (DFAG CH)</a> is looking to raise up to US$128m in its Hong Kong IPO.</li>
<li>Dekon Food and Agriculture Group (DFAG) is a vertically integrated livestock farming enterprise in China.</li>
<li>In this note, we will look at past performance, and share our thoughts on valuation.</li>
</ul>



Dekon Food and Agriculture Group (DFAG CH) is looking to raise up to US$128m in its Hong Kong IPO.
Dekon Food and Agriculture Group (DFAG) is a vertically integrated livestock farming enterprise in China.
In this note, we will look at past performance, and share our thoughts on valuation.


Dekon Food and Agriculture Group IPO - Ebbs and Flows of Cycle Have Hurt Profitability

Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

TSE Tokyo Price Index TOPIX / Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>The MSCI ACWI index ACWI-US briefly fell below major support at $90.50-$91.50, though we do not consider it a "decisive" breakdown and we now see a false breakdown (bullish).</li>
<li>On MSCI ACWI (local currency), a false breakdown appears to already be in place, which is bullish as long as the index does not break to a new low.</li>
<li>MSCI EM (EEM-US) continues to hold above $36.50-$37 support, while MSCI ACWI ex-US (ACWX-US) and EAFE (EFA-US) remain above supports at $45 and $65-$66, respectively. Pullback is likely over.</li>
</ul>


The MSCI ACWI index ACWI-US briefly fell below major support at $90.50-$91.50, though we do not consider it a "decisive" breakdown and we now see a false breakdown (bullish).
On MSCI ACWI (local currency), a false breakdown appears to already be in place, which is bullish as long as the index does not break to a new low.
MSCI EM (EEM-US) continues to hold above $36.50-$37 support, while MSCI ACWI ex-US (ACWX-US) and EAFE (EFA-US) remain above supports at $45 and $65-$66, respectively. Pullback is likely over.


Japan Bullishly Inflecting; Constructive Outlook Intact; Global Pullback Likely Over

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>The June rebalance of the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hong-kong-hang-seng-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22899:1" rel="noopener">HSI</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hang-seng-china-enterprises-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22900:1" rel="noopener">HSCEI</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hang-seng-tech-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31367:1" rel="noopener">HSTECH</a> indices will use today's closing prices to cap the index constituent weights at 8%. This will lead to large flows.</li>
<li>The largest inflows will be on <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/meituan-dianping" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26970:1" rel="noopener">Meituan (3690 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/jd-com-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29043:1" rel="noopener">JD.com (9618 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/zijin-mining-group-co-ltd-h" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6358:1" rel="noopener">Zijin Mining (2899 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/baidu-inc-a55ca720-5968-48f0-8194-ac94390d065c" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:32212:1" rel="noopener">Baidu (9888 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/trip-com-group-ltd-23a341d0-4f63-4175-a8c5-ee990906cacd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36424:1" rel="noopener">Trip.com (9961 HK)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/jd-logistics" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31500:1" rel="noopener">JD Logistics (2618 HK)</a>. </li>
<li>The largest outflows will be on <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hsbc-holdings-plc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:516:1" rel="noopener">HSBC Holdings (5 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/li-auto-inc-3dbe6187-544f-40dd-b9f9-72fba9c0110e" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:33811:1" rel="noopener">Li Auto (2015 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/beijing-kuaishou-technology-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29725:1" rel="noopener">Kuaishou Technology (1024 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-construction-bank-h" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:45:1" rel="noopener">China Construction Bank H (939 HK)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/netease" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29030:1" rel="noopener">NetEase (9999 HK)</a>. </li>
</ul>


The June rebalance of the HSI, HSCEI and HSTECH indices will use today's closing prices to cap the index constituent weights at 8%. This will lead to large flows.
The largest inflows will be on Meituan (3690 HK), JD.com (9618 HK), Zijin Mining (2899 HK), Baidu (9888 HK), Trip.com (9961 HK) and JD Logistics (2618 HK). 
The largest outflows will be on HSBC Holdings (5 HK), Li Auto (2015 HK), Kuaishou Technology (1024 HK), China Construction Bank H (939 HK) and NetEase (9999 HK). 


HSI, HSCEI, HSTECH: Rebalance Flows Post Capping (June 2023)

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

<ul>
<li>Back on the 23 December, <strong><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/skyworth-group-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10941:1" rel="noopener">Skyworth Group (751 HK)</a> </strong><a href="https://www1.hkexnews.hk/listedco/listconews/sehk/2022/1223/2022122301066.pdf" target="_blank" rel="noopener">announced</a> <em>another</em> partial buyback - this time for 100mn shares (3.87% of shares out), at HK$3.80/share, a 20.25% premium to undisturbed.  </li>
<li>On the 28 March, terms were <a href="https://www1.hkexnews.hk/listedco/listconews/sehk/2023/0328/2023032800861.pdf" target="_blank" rel="noopener">bumped</a> to $5.00/share. Independent shareholders approved the whitewash waiver on the 5 May.</li>
<li>The Offer closes on the 18 May. The minimum proration is 7.8%. Expect the final proration to be higher. </li>
</ul>


Back on the 23 December, Skyworth Group (751 HK) announced another partial buyback - this time for 100mn shares (3.87% of shares out), at HK$3.80/share, a 20.25% premium to undisturbed.  
On the 28 March, terms were bumped to $5.00/share. Independent shareholders approved the whitewash waiver on the 5 May.
The Offer closes on the 18 May. The minimum proration is 7.8%. Expect the final proration to be higher. 


Hong Kong

China Foods Limited, through its subsidiaries, operates food processing businesses.  The Company processes and refines edible oil and fats, produces confectionery products, wine and beverage as well as flour including wheat and other grain products.  In addition, China Foods Limited trades food products.

Vitasoy International Holdings Limited, through its subsidiaries, manufactures and distributes food and beverages.

Nissin Foods Co., Ltd. operates as an instant food manufacturing company. The Company produces fried, cup, and buck wheat noodles. Nissin Foods markets its products worldwide.

Lam Soon (Hong Kong) Limited, through its subsidiaries, manufactures and distributes a range of food products, including flour, edible oils and vegetable fats. The Company also manufactures and distributes household cleaning products, including dishwashing detergent, laundry powder, fabric softener, and floor cleanser.

China Starch Holdings Limited manufactures cornstarch. The Company also manufactures L-lysine hydrochloride salt and other ancillary corn-refined and corn-base products such as corn slurry, corn germ, corn fiber, corn glutten meal, and agricultural fertilizers.

Four Seas Mercantile Holdings Limited, through its subsidiaries, manufactures and trades snack foods, confectionery, beverages, and frozen food products. The Company also manufactures and sells ham and ham related products.

Vedan International (Holdings) Limited manufactures and sells fermentation-based food additive and biochemical products, cassava starch-based industrial products, specialty chemical products, and beverages.

China Resources Beer (Holdings) Company Limited is an alcoholic beverage retailer.

Global Bio-chem Technology Group Company Limited manufactures corn refined and corn based biochemical products in China.  The Company also researches and develops corn based biochemical products.  The products mainly comprise cornstarch, corn gluten, corn oil, feed, modified starch, corn sweeteners, and amino acids.

Global Bio-Chem Technology Group (809 HK)

DaChan Food Asia Ltd. produces chicken feed and hatches, slaughters, and processes chicken.

China Mengniu Dairy Company Limited, through its subsidiaries, manufactures and distributes quality dairy products in China. The principal products are liquid milk products, ice cream, and other dairy products, such as milk powder. The Company markets its products under its primary MENGNIU core brand.

Want Want China Holdings Limited manufactures and trades rice crackers, snack food, beverages, and packing materials.  The Company also manufactures wheat, flour, and raw materials for the manufacture of snack foods.  Most of the company's production facilities are located in China and Taiwan.

Dali Foods Group Company Ltd. is a snack food and beverage company. The Company is actively expanding its products offering and distributes its products through retailers.

Ingredion Incorporated refines corn and produces sweeteners and starches.  The Company has customers in a wide range of industries, including the food, soft drink, brewing, pharmaceutical, corrugating, paper, and textile industries.  Ingredion has Company-owned operations, joint ventures, alliances, and technical licenses in countries around the world.

Pilgrim's Pride Corporation produces prepared and fresh chicken products in the United States and Mexico.  Through vertical integration, the Company controls the breeding, hatching, and growing of chickens and the processing, preparation, and packaging of its product lines.  Pilgrim's Pride exports its products to Canada, Eastern Europe, the Far East, and other world markets.

Nestle (Malaysia) Berhad is an investment holding company.  The Company, through its subsidiaries, markets and sells powdered milk and drinks, liquid milk and juices, instant coffee, and instant noodles. Nestle also manufactures and provides packaging for culinary and chocolate-based food products and trades flavoring ingredients.

NISSIN FOODS HOLDINGS CO.,LTD. produces instant noodle and processed food products.  The Company also develops pharmaceuticals.  NISSIN FOODS operates production facilities in overseas countries including Hong Kong, India, U.S., Singapore, and other countries.

Ruchi Soya Industries Limited manufactures soybean oil, vanaspati vegetable fat, texturized soya protein, soya flour and other soya products.  The Group has also developed Palm stearin and Palm olein cooking oils.

Tingyi (Cayman Islands) Holding Corporation, through its subsidiaries, manufactures and sells instant noodles, baked goods, and beverages in China.

Post Holdings Inc. is a food company. The Company manufactures, distributes, and markets a wide range of ready-to-eat cereal products.

WH Group Limited operates as a holdings company. The Company, through its subsidiaries, provides meat processing services, supplies chilled meat, meat products, and other related products.

Price Gauge
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WH Group (288 HK)

Dekon Food and Agriculture Group IPO Trading - Tight Float at Listing, Subscription Rates Were Tepid

Dekon Food and Agriculture Group (DFAG CH) raised around US$128m in its Hong Kong IPO. In this note, we will talk about the demand and trading...

Clarence Chu

Dekon Food and Agriculture Group IPO - Ebbs and Flows of Cycle Have Hurt Profitability

Dekon Food and Agriculture Group (DFAG CH) is looking to raise up to US$128m in its Hong Kong IPO. In this note, we will look at past performance,...

Clarence Chu

Japan Bullishly Inflecting; Constructive Outlook Intact; Global Pullback Likely Over

The MSCI $ACWI briefly fell below our $90.50 support but quickly reclaimed, suggesting a false breakdown and the likely end to this pullback in...

Vermilion Research

HSI, HSCEI, HSTECH: Rebalance Flows Post Capping (June 2023)

The June rebalance of the Hang Seng family of indices will use todays closing prices for capping. The one-way trade across all stocks across the...

Brian Freitas

Skyworth (751 HK): Thoughts On Proration

Independent shareholders approved the whitewash waiver on the 5 May. The Offer closes on the 18 May. The minimum proration is 7.8%. Expect the...

David Blennerhassett

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Dekon Food and Agriculture Group IPO Trading - Tight Float at Listing, Subscription Rates Were Tepid

Dekon Food and Agriculture Group (DFAG CH) raised around US$128m in its Hong Kong IPO. In this note, we will talk about the demand and trading...

Clarence Chu

Dekon Food and Agriculture Group IPO - Ebbs and Flows of Cycle Have Hurt Profitability

Dekon Food and Agriculture Group (DFAG CH) is looking to raise up to US$128m in its Hong Kong IPO. In this note, we will look at past performance,...

Clarence Chu

Japan Bullishly Inflecting; Constructive Outlook Intact; Global Pullback Likely Over

​The MSCI $ACWI briefly fell below our $90.50 support but quickly reclaimed, suggesting a false breakdown and the likely end to this pullback in...

Vermilion Research

HSI, HSCEI, HSTECH: Rebalance Flows Post Capping (June 2023)

The June rebalance of the Hang Seng family of indices will use todays closing prices for capping. The one-way trade across all stocks across the...

Brian Freitas

Skyworth (751 HK): Thoughts On Proration

Independent shareholders approved the whitewash waiver on the 5 May. The Offer closes on the 18 May. The minimum proration is 7.8%. Expect the...

David Blennerhassett

The MSCI $ACWI briefly fell below our $90.50 support but quickly reclaimed, suggesting a false breakdown and the likely end to this pullback in...