Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in short interest of ASX Stocks as of Jul 12th (reported today) which has an aggregated short interest worth USD20.9bn.</li>
<li>We tabulate league table for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.</li>
<li>We highlight short interest changes in Wesfarmers, Mineral Resource, Macquarie, South32, Car.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in short interest of ASX Stocks as of Jul 12th (reported today) which has an aggregated short interest worth USD20.9bn.
We tabulate league table for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.
We highlight short interest changes in Wesfarmers, Mineral Resource, Macquarie, South32, Car.


ASX Short Interest Weekly (Jul 12th): Wesfarmers, Mineral Resource, Macquarie, South32, Car

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>With nearly 80% of the review period complete, there could be 28 adds/deletes across the S&amp;P/ASX family of indices in September.</li>
<li>There is a lot of stocks for passive trackers to trade on the index changes with the largest impacts on the potential changes to the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/s-p-asx-200" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22901:1" rel="noopener">S&amp;P/ASX 200 (AS51 INDEX)</a>. </li>
<li>The potential adds have outperformed the potential deletions by a LOT over the last few months and continued positioning could lead to further gains.</li>
</ul>


With nearly 80% of the review period complete, there could be 28 adds/deletes across the S&amp;P/ASX family of indices in September.
There is a lot of stocks for passive trackers to trade on the index changes with the largest impacts on the potential changes to the S&amp;P/ASX 200 (AS51 INDEX). 
The potential adds have outperformed the potential deletions by a LOT over the last few months and continued positioning could lead to further gains.


S&P/​​​​​​​​​ASX Index Rebalance Preview: Potential Changes from Now to September

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

Travis Lundy

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Harmony Gold Mining Co Ltd / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>The MV J-Gold Miners index represents the performance small-cap gold and silver mining companies listed around the world.</li>
<li>This index is reviewed semi-annually in March and September. During these reviews, names can be added or deleted from the index.</li>
<li>In this insight, we take a look at the potential ADDs and DELs and our flow expectations for the index rebal event in September 2024.</li>
</ul>


The MV J-Gold Miners index represents the performance small-cap gold and silver mining companies listed around the world.
This index is reviewed semi-annually in March and September. During these reviews, names can be added or deleted from the index.
In this insight, we take a look at the potential ADDs and DELs and our flow expectations for the index rebal event in September 2024.


Quiddity Leaderboard MV J-Gold Miners Sep 24:  Mergers Mean Possible Up-And-Out DELETEs

<ul>
<li>There are no constituent changes for the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/vaneck-vectors-junior-gold-miners-etf" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:32845:1" rel="noopener">VanEck Vectors Junior Gold Miners ETF (GDXJ US)</a> in June but there are a lot of float and capping changes.</li>
<li>Estimated one-way turnover is 3.9% resulting in a round-trip trade of US$418m. There are 17 stocks with over 1x ADV to trade from passive trackers.</li>
<li>The largest inflows are expected in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/cia-de-minas-buenaventura-saa" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27674:1" rel="noopener">Cia de Minas Buenaventura SAA (BVN US)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/equinox-gold-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:38705:1" rel="noopener">Equinox Gold (EQX US)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/red-5-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:7940:1" rel="noopener">Red 5 Ltd (RED AU)</a>. </li>
</ul>


There are no constituent changes for the VanEck Vectors Junior Gold Miners ETF (GDXJ US) in June but there are a lot of float and capping changes.
Estimated one-way turnover is 3.9% resulting in a round-trip trade of US$418m. There are 17 stocks with over 1x ADV to trade from passive trackers.
The largest inflows are expected in Cia de Minas Buenaventura SAA (BVN US), Equinox Gold (EQX US) and Red 5 Ltd (RED AU). 


MV Global Junior Gold Miners Index Rebalance: Round-Trip Trade of Over US$400m

David Blennerhassett

<ul>
<li>9 weeks ago, the FT reported Elliott Management had a stake in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/mitsui-fudosan-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:565:1" rel="noopener">Mitsui Fudosan (8801 JP)</a> and had asked them to sell cross-holdings and do a ¥1trln buyback. Mitsui responds.</li>
<li>Lawrence Ho is buying <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/melco-international-development-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:809:1" rel="noopener">Melco(200 HK)</a>. While it often pays to follows where the family invests, Melco is trading too tight for what is a simple holding company structure.</li>
<li>Avoid being long <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/aozora-bank-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6483:1" rel="noopener">Aozora Bank Ltd (8304 JP)</a> vs the Banks Index, a portfolio of other cheaper banks, etc. Minimal/negligible upside in following Murakami-san here. And Activism on Banks is difficult.</li>
</ul>


9 weeks ago, the FT reported Elliott Management had a stake in Mitsui Fudosan (8801 JP) and had asked them to sell cross-holdings and do a ¥1trln buyback. Mitsui responds.
Lawrence Ho is buying Melco(200 HK). While it often pays to follows where the family invests, Melco is trading too tight for what is a simple holding company structure.
Avoid being long Aozora Bank Ltd (8304 JP) vs the Banks Index, a portfolio of other cheaper banks, etc. Minimal/negligible upside in following Murakami-san here. And Activism on Banks is difficult.


Last Week in Event SPACE: Mitsui Fudosan, Melco, Aozora Bank, CGN New Energy

Australia

Westgold Resources Limited provides gold mining services. The Company owns and operates gold mining projects. Westgold Resources conducts its business in Australia.

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
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Westgold Resources (WGX AU)

ASX Short Interest Weekly (Jul 12th): Wesfarmers, Mineral Resource, Macquarie, South32, Car

We analyzed ASX short interest report for the past week and highlight short interest changes in Wesfarmers, Mineral Resource, Macquarie, South32, Car.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

S&P/ASX Index Rebalance Preview: Potential Changes from Now to September

There could be 28 changes for the ASX indices in September with a lot to trade for passive trackers. The adds have outperformed the deletes by a...

Brian Freitas

Quiddity Leaderboard MV J-Gold Miners Sep 24: Mergers Mean Possible Up-And-Out DELETEs

The MV Junior Gold Miners Index is a very broad index of small-mid caps and decent tracking AUM. Deletes are either "too big" or "too small". Some...

Travis Lundy

MV Global Junior Gold Miners Index Rebalance: Round-Trip Trade of Over US$400m

Float and capping changes result in an estimated one-way turnover is 3.9% and that leads to a round-trip trade of US$418m. There are 17 stocks with...

Brian Freitas

Last Week in Event SPACE: Mitsui Fudosan, Melco, Aozora Bank, CGN New Energy

The weekend is here! Pour yourself a coffee, grab a comfortable seat, and sift through a brief summary of insights on various events discussed...

David Blennerhassett

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

ASX Short Interest Weekly (Jul 12th): Wesfarmers, Mineral Resource, Macquarie, South32, Car

We analyzed ASX short interest report for the past week and highlight short interest changes in Wesfarmers, Mineral Resource, Macquarie, South32, Car.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

S&P/​​​​​​​​​ASX Index Rebalance Preview: Potential Changes from Now to September

There could be 28 changes for the ASX indices in September with a lot to trade for passive trackers. The adds have outperformed the deletes by a...

Brian Freitas

Quiddity Leaderboard MV J-Gold Miners Sep 24: Mergers Mean Possible Up-And-Out DELETEs

The MV Junior Gold Miners Index is a very broad index of small-mid caps and decent tracking AUM. Deletes are either "too big" or "too small". Some...

Travis Lundy

MV Global Junior Gold Miners Index Rebalance: Round-Trip Trade of Over US$400m

Float and capping changes result in an estimated one-way turnover is 3.9% and that leads to a round-trip trade of US$418m. There are 17 stocks with...

Brian Freitas

Last Week in Event SPACE: Mitsui Fudosan, Melco, Aozora Bank, CGN New Energy

The weekend is here! Pour yourself a coffee, grab a comfortable seat, and sift through a brief summary of insights on various events discussed...

David Blennerhassett

S&P/ASX Index Rebalance Preview: Potential Changes from Now to September