Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/seven-group-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:803:1" rel="noopener">Seven Group Holdings (SVW AU)</a>'s holding in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/boral-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1487:1" rel="noopener">Boral Ltd (BLD AU)</a> continues to increase and that could lead to an index change at the June rebalance, if not earlier.</li>
<li>The <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/silver-lake-resources-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6529:1" rel="noopener">Silver Lake Resources (SLR AU)</a>/ <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/red-5-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:7940:1" rel="noopener">Red 5 Ltd (RED AU)</a> merger could lead to an index change early June.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/cie-de-saint-gobain" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:21547:1" rel="noopener">Cie De Saint-Gobain (SGO FP)</a>'s acquisition of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/csr-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:17380:1" rel="noopener">CSR Ltd (CSR AU)</a> could lead to another index change just ahead of the regular June rebalance.</li>
</ul>



Seven Group Holdings (SVW AU)'s holding in Boral Ltd (BLD AU) continues to increase and that could lead to an index change at the June rebalance, if not earlier.
The Silver Lake Resources (SLR AU)/ Red 5 Ltd (RED AU) merger could lead to an index change early June.

Cie De Saint-Gobain (SGO FP)'s acquisition of CSR Ltd (CSR AU) could lead to another index change just ahead of the regular June rebalance.


ASX200 Index Rebalance Preview: Potential Changes Prior to the June Rebalance

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in short interest of ASX Stocks as of Jul 12th (reported today) which has an aggregated short interest worth USD20.9bn.</li>
<li>We tabulate league table for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.</li>
<li>We highlight short interest changes in Wesfarmers, Mineral Resource, Macquarie, South32, Car.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in short interest of ASX Stocks as of Jul 12th (reported today) which has an aggregated short interest worth USD20.9bn.
We tabulate league table for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.
We highlight short interest changes in Wesfarmers, Mineral Resource, Macquarie, South32, Car.


ASX Short Interest Weekly (Jul 12th): Wesfarmers, Mineral Resource, Macquarie, South32, Car

<ul>
<li>With nearly 80% of the review period complete, there could be 28 adds/deletes across the S&amp;P/ASX family of indices in September.</li>
<li>There is a lot of stocks for passive trackers to trade on the index changes with the largest impacts on the potential changes to the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/s-p-asx-200" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22901:1" rel="noopener">S&amp;P/ASX 200 (AS51 INDEX)</a>. </li>
<li>The potential adds have outperformed the potential deletions by a LOT over the last few months and continued positioning could lead to further gains.</li>
</ul>


With nearly 80% of the review period complete, there could be 28 adds/deletes across the S&amp;P/ASX family of indices in September.
There is a lot of stocks for passive trackers to trade on the index changes with the largest impacts on the potential changes to the S&amp;P/ASX 200 (AS51 INDEX). 
The potential adds have outperformed the potential deletions by a LOT over the last few months and continued positioning could lead to further gains.


S&P/​​​​​​​​​ASX Index Rebalance Preview: Potential Changes from Now to September

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

Travis Lundy

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Harmony Gold Mining Co Ltd / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>The MV J-Gold Miners index represents the performance small-cap gold and silver mining companies listed around the world.</li>
<li>This index is reviewed semi-annually in March and September. During these reviews, names can be added or deleted from the index.</li>
<li>In this insight, we take a look at the potential ADDs and DELs and our flow expectations for the index rebal event in September 2024.</li>
</ul>


The MV J-Gold Miners index represents the performance small-cap gold and silver mining companies listed around the world.
This index is reviewed semi-annually in March and September. During these reviews, names can be added or deleted from the index.
In this insight, we take a look at the potential ADDs and DELs and our flow expectations for the index rebal event in September 2024.


Quiddity Leaderboard MV J-Gold Miners Sep 24:  Mergers Mean Possible Up-And-Out DELETEs

<ul>
<li>There are no constituent changes for the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/vaneck-vectors-junior-gold-miners-etf" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:32845:1" rel="noopener">VanEck Vectors Junior Gold Miners ETF (GDXJ US)</a> in June but there are a lot of float and capping changes.</li>
<li>Estimated one-way turnover is 3.9% resulting in a round-trip trade of US$418m. There are 17 stocks with over 1x ADV to trade from passive trackers.</li>
<li>The largest inflows are expected in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/cia-de-minas-buenaventura-saa" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27674:1" rel="noopener">Cia de Minas Buenaventura SAA (BVN US)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/equinox-gold-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:38705:1" rel="noopener">Equinox Gold (EQX US)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/red-5-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:7940:1" rel="noopener">Red 5 Ltd (RED AU)</a>. </li>
</ul>


There are no constituent changes for the VanEck Vectors Junior Gold Miners ETF (GDXJ US) in June but there are a lot of float and capping changes.
Estimated one-way turnover is 3.9% resulting in a round-trip trade of US$418m. There are 17 stocks with over 1x ADV to trade from passive trackers.
The largest inflows are expected in Cia de Minas Buenaventura SAA (BVN US), Equinox Gold (EQX US) and Red 5 Ltd (RED AU). 


MV Global Junior Gold Miners Index Rebalance: Round-Trip Trade of Over US$400m

Australia

Resolute Mining Limited explores for, produces and develops gold in Mali and Queensland, Australia. The Company's gold exploration projects include Syama and Ravenswood.

Imdex Ltd operates as a mining equipment, technology, and services company. The Company provides drilling fluids and down hole instrumentation to mining, oil and gas, water well, and civil engineering industries worldwide.

Regis Resources Ltd. is a mineral exploration and production company. The Company mines for gold, nickel, and copper.

Spartan Resources Limited provides exploration and mining services. The Company explores and develops gold projects in Western Australia. Spartan Resources serves customers worldwide.

Silver Lake Resources Limited is a mineral exploration company. The Company is focused on gold exploration in Western Australia.

West African Resources Ltd. is a gold exploration company. The Company acquires, explores, and develops resource projects in West Africa. West African holds mineral tenements covering the Boulsa Gold Project within central Burkina Faso as well as has applied for exploration permits over the Marandet Uranium Project, located in the Tim Mersoi Basin of northern Niger.

Mincor Resources NL is a nickel mining and exploration company with operations in the Kambalda Nickel District in Western Australia.  Through a joint venture, the Company operates the Miitel and Wannaway nickel mines in Kambalda.  The Company also has operations in projects located in Guinea, Tanzania and Fiji.

Zimplats Holdings Limited is a mining group which explores for and produces platinum group metals in Zimbabwe. The Company's exploration projects include Ngezi South and North, Hartley Platinum and Selous.

Azure Minerals Limited is a mineral exploration company. The Company is developing mineral mining projects located in Sierra Madre Occidental mining province in northern and central Mexico.

Tietto Minerals Limited provides metal exploration and mining services. The Company focuses on development and exploration of gold projects. Tietto Minerals serves customers in West Africa.

Gallantt Metal Ltd. manufactures steel.  The Company produces sponge iron, billets, and thermo mechanically treated bars.

Liuzhou Iron & Steel Co., Ltd. mainly engages in the selling of sintered products, iron and steel making and their by-products. The Company also sells rolled steel, coke and their by-products, engages in related technology export, raw materials, equipment and parts import.

Jiangsu Wuzhong Industrial Co., Ltd. develops, produces and sells medicines while engages in real estate development. The company also produces specialty chemicals.

Jiangsu Wuzhong Industrial Co., (600200 CH)

Wanguo International Mining Group Limited is  mining company. The Company is focused on the business of mining , ore processing, and the sale of concentrates in the Peoples Republic of China.

Henan Yuguang Gold&Lead Co., Ltd. smelts electrolytic lead, silver, gold, and other non-ferrous metals.  The Company also imports and exports non-ferrous metals.

Henan Yuguang Gold & Lead Co., (600531 CH)

SunCoke Energy, Inc. supplies high-quality coke used in the blast furnace production of steel, under long-term, take-or-pay contracts that pass through commodity and certain operating costs to customers. We utilize an innovative heat-recovery technology that captures excess heat for steam or electrical power generation. Our cokemaking facilities are located in US and Brazil.

Western Metal Materials Co., Ltd. manufactures and sells sheet, strip, foil, wire, bar and tube of rare and precious metal materials.

Ton Yi Industrial Corp. manufactures and markets tinplate sheets, lacquered tinplate, tinplate round cans and plastic bags.

Nickel Asia Corporation explores for and produces nickel in the Philippines.

TimkenSteel Corporation engineers, manufactures, and markets mechanical components and steel. The Company produces air-melted alloy steel bars, bearings, chains, seals, motion control systems, tubes, and precision components. TimkenSteel oil and gas, automotive, industrial equipment, mining, construction, rail, agriculture, and power generation market sectors worldwide.

Westgold Resources Limited provides gold mining services. The Company owns and operates gold mining projects. Westgold Resources conducts its business in Australia.

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Westgold Resources (WGX AU)

ASX200 Index Rebalance Preview: Potential Changes Prior to the June Rebalance

Upcoming M&A activity will result in ad hoc inclusions to the ASX200 prior to the June rebal. There could be 2-3 adds in the first few weeks of...

Brian Freitas

ASX Short Interest Weekly (Jul 12th): Wesfarmers, Mineral Resource, Macquarie, South32, Car

We analyzed ASX short interest report for the past week and highlight short interest changes in Wesfarmers, Mineral Resource, Macquarie, South32, Car.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

S&P/ASX Index Rebalance Preview: Potential Changes from Now to September

There could be 28 changes for the ASX indices in September with a lot to trade for passive trackers. The adds have outperformed the deletes by a...

Brian Freitas

Quiddity Leaderboard MV J-Gold Miners Sep 24: Mergers Mean Possible Up-And-Out DELETEs

The MV Junior Gold Miners Index is a very broad index of small-mid caps and decent tracking AUM. Deletes are either "too big" or "too small". Some...

Travis Lundy

MV Global Junior Gold Miners Index Rebalance: Round-Trip Trade of Over US$400m

Float and capping changes result in an estimated one-way turnover is 3.9% and that leads to a round-trip trade of US$418m. There are 17 stocks with...

Brian Freitas

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

ASX200 Index Rebalance Preview: Potential Changes Prior to the June Rebalance

Upcoming M&A activity will result in ad hoc inclusions to the ASX200 prior to the June rebal. There could be 2-3 adds in the first few weeks of...

Brian Freitas

ASX Short Interest Weekly (Jul 12th): Wesfarmers, Mineral Resource, Macquarie, South32, Car

We analyzed ASX short interest report for the past week and highlight short interest changes in Wesfarmers, Mineral Resource, Macquarie, South32, Car.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

S&P/​​​​​​​​​ASX Index Rebalance Preview: Potential Changes from Now to September

There could be 28 changes for the ASX indices in September with a lot to trade for passive trackers. The adds have outperformed the deletes by a...

Brian Freitas

Quiddity Leaderboard MV J-Gold Miners Sep 24: Mergers Mean Possible Up-And-Out DELETEs

The MV Junior Gold Miners Index is a very broad index of small-mid caps and decent tracking AUM. Deletes are either "too big" or "too small". Some...

Travis Lundy

MV Global Junior Gold Miners Index Rebalance: Round-Trip Trade of Over US$400m

Float and capping changes result in an estimated one-way turnover is 3.9% and that leads to a round-trip trade of US$418m. There are 17 stocks with...

Brian Freitas

S&P/ASX Index Rebalance Preview: Potential Changes from Now to September