Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Event-Driven

Member of the Hang Seng Composite Index (HSCI) are included in the Southbound Stock Connect program if their market cap exceeds HK$5bn. However, Secondary Listings and Biotech stocks that listed under Chapter 18A of the Listing Rules were excluded from the Stock Connect program.This headline "*H.K. TO INCLUDE SECONDARY-LISTED COS IN STOCK CONNECT: SING TAO" could drive stocks that are HSCI members but not a part of Stock Connect higher. If Chapter 18A listed Biotech stocks are added to Stock Connect, they could run even more.In this Insight, we take a look at stocks that are a part of the HSCI or are expected to join the HSCI in the next review and could be eligible to be included in the Stock Connect program.

Member of the Hang Seng Composite Index (HSCI) are included in the Southbound Stock Connect program if their market cap exceeds HK$5bn. However, Secondary Listings and Biotech stocks that listed under Chapter 18A of the Listing Rules were excluded from the Stock Connect program.This headline "*H.K. TO INCLUDE SECONDARY-LISTED COS IN STOCK CONNECT: SING TAO" could drive stocks that are HSCI members but not a part of Stock Connect higher. If Chapter 18A listed Biotech stocks are added to Stock Connect, they could run even more.In this Insight, we take a look at stocks that are a part of the HSCI or are expected to join the HSCI in the next review and could be eligible to be included in the Stock Connect program.

Stock Connect - Secondary Listings and Biotech Stocks to Become Eligible?

Shimao Services Holdings Limited / Event-Driven

Hang Seng Indexes Company (HSIL) reviews the constituents of the Hang Seng Composite Index (HSCI) on a half yearly basis in March and September with data cut-off dates as of the end of December and June. The review announcement for the March 2021 review should be made on 12 February and will be effective after the close of trading on 5 March.Although there are almost no assets indexed to the HSCI, the index forms the basis of stocks that are eligible for Southbound Stock Connect. Stocks that are included in the HSCI and subsequently included in the Stock Connect program get inflows from mainland investors.Secondary Listings and Biotech stocks listed under Chapter 18A of the Listing Rules are not eligible for inclusion in the Stock Connect program.There are a lot of stocks that will join the HSCI and subsequently included as a part of the Southbound Stock Connect program - these stocks will see buying from mainland investors and could outperform their peers and the market.There are stocks that will be deleted from the HSCI and consequently deleted from the Southbound Stock Connect buy list. There are other stocks that will remain a part of the HSCI but will be removed from the Southbound Stock Connect buy list since their average market cap drops below HKD 5bn.Read on for more details and stocks affected by the changes.

Hang Seng Indexes Company (HSIL) reviews the constituents of the Hang Seng Composite Index (HSCI) on a half yearly basis in March and September with data cut-off dates as of the end of December and June. The review announcement for the March 2021 review should be made on 12 February and will be effective after the close of trading on 5 March.Although there are almost no assets indexed to the HSCI, the index forms the basis of stocks that are eligible for Southbound Stock Connect. Stocks that are included in the HSCI and subsequently included in the Stock Connect program get inflows from mainland investors.Secondary Listings and Biotech stocks listed under Chapter 18A of the Listing Rules are not eligible for inclusion in the Stock Connect program.There are a lot of stocks that will join the HSCI and subsequently included as a part of the Southbound Stock Connect program - these stocks will see buying from mainland investors and could outperform their peers and the market.There are stocks that will be deleted from the HSCI and consequently deleted from the Southbound Stock Connect buy list. There are other stocks that will remain a part of the HSCI but will be removed from the Southbound Stock Connect buy list since their average market cap drops below HKD 5bn.Read on for more details and stocks affected by the changes.

HSCI Index Rebalance and Stock Connect: Early Look at Potential Changes

HK/China Healthcare Analyst (ex-Fosun Pharma)

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

1.Industry viewpoints:<ul>
<li>Recently, the National Medical Products Administration has released a new policy (draft version) about the online drug sales.</li>
<li>Vaccine is a hot topic in 2020, so let’s talk about vaccine.</li>
<li>The upsurge in the application of AI in medical imaging in China provides a new direction for the development, which may be the most promising field for China to surpass foreign countries.</li>
</ul>2. Company news:News about the updated progress of new drugs and the marketing approval of new products from <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/betta-pharmaceuticals-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:25883:1" rel="noopener">Betta Pharmaceuticals (300558 CH)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/beigene-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27352:1" rel="noopener">BeiGene Ltd (6160 HK)</a> , Kangpu Biopharmaceuticals, and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/venus-medtech-hangzhou-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28257:1" rel="noopener">Venus MedTech (2500 HK).</a>3. Market review:Last week, stock price for healthcare sector in A share decreased 1.43%, while CSI 300 increased 1.78% over the same period of time.4. Risk Disclosure:Policy risk, R&amp;D risk, Company risk and COVID-19 risk.

1.Industry viewpoints:
Recently, the National Medical Products Administration has released a new policy (draft version) about the online drug sales.
Vaccine is a hot topic in 2020, so let’s talk about vaccine.
The upsurge in the application of AI in medical imaging in China provides a new direction for the development, which may be the most promising field for China to surpass foreign countries.
2. Company news:News about the updated progress of new drugs and the marketing approval of new products from Betta Pharmaceuticals (300558 CH), BeiGene Ltd (6160 HK) , Kangpu Biopharmaceuticals, and Venus MedTech (2500 HK).3. Market review:Last week, stock price for healthcare sector in A share decreased 1.43%, while CSI 300 increased 1.78% over the same period of time.4. Risk Disclosure:Policy risk, R&amp;D risk, Company risk and COVID-19 risk.

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

The role of lock-ups in IPOs is, as one journal <a href="https://www.jstor.org/stable/1262724?seq=1" target="_blank" rel="noopener">put it</a>, a "commitment device to alleviate moral hazard problems".
Lock-ups can be entered into and negotiated with underwriters, as is the case for secondary listings for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/netease" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29030:1" rel="noopener">NetEase (9999 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/jd-com-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29043:1" rel="noopener">JD.com (HK) (9618 HK)</a>, amongst others. For primary listings in Hong Kong, there are standard rules as to the lock-up duration.
According to <a href="https://en-rules.hkex.com.hk/rulebook/1007-0" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Main Board Rule 10.07(1)</a> (or <a href="https://en-rules.hkex.com.hk/rulebook/1316a" target="_blank" rel="noopener">GEM rule 13.16A(1)</a>), if a person/group of persons is/are listed as the controlling shareholder(s) of the issuer's listing application, shall not (apart from any offer of shares for sale discussed in the listing document):
<ol>
<li>dispose of shares (nor enter into agreements) in a period commencing on the date by reference to which disclosure of the shareholding of the controlling shareholder is made in the listing document and ending on the date which is 6 months from the date of listing (the “First Six-month Period”); and</li>
<li>dispose of shares in the period of 6 months commencing on the date on which the First Six-month Period expires, if immediately following such disposal that person or group of persons would cease to be a controlling shareholder (the “Second Six-month Period”).</li>
</ol>
An example of such wording can be found in Yadong's Group (1795 HK)'s (the most recent Main Board listing) "<a href="https://www1.hkexnews.hk/listedco/listconews/sehk/2020/1117/9515120/2020111700040.pdf" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Share Offer - Announcement of allotment results</a>".
For cornerstone investors, the following is often stated in the share offer document:
<blockquote>
Each of the Cornerstone Investors has agreed that it will not, whether directly or indirectly, at any time during the period of six months following the Listing Date, dispose of any of the Offer Shares it has purchased pursuant to the relevant Cornerstone Investment Agreement, save for certain limited circumstances ...
</blockquote>
Every week in my Event SPACE wrap, I flag large moves (~10%) in CCASS holdings over the past week or so, moves that are often outside normal market transactions.  These may be indicative of share pledges.  Or potential takeovers. Or simply help understand volume swings. 
Large movement(s) concerning recently listed companies are likely lock-up related. 
This insight looks at companies that have been listed for nearly six months or 12 months, as a guide to when insiders/controlling shareholders are permitted to sell, potentially depressing prices and creating an overhang.
A summary of Main Board listings in 2020 is attached at the bottom of this insight.

The role of lock-ups in IPOs is, as one journal put it, a "commitment device to alleviate moral hazard problems".
Lock-ups can be entered into and negotiated with underwriters, as is the case for secondary listings for NetEase (9999 HK), JD.com (HK) (9618 HK), amongst others. For primary listings in Hong Kong, there are standard rules as to the lock-up duration.
According to Main Board Rule 10.07(1) (or GEM rule 13.16A(1)), if a person/group of persons is/are listed as the controlling shareholder(s) of the issuer's listing application, shall not (apart from any offer of shares for sale discussed in the listing document):

dispose of shares (nor enter into agreements) in a period commencing on the date by reference to which disclosure of the shareholding of the controlling shareholder is made in the listing document and ending on the date which is 6 months from the date of listing (the “First Six-month Period”); and
dispose of shares in the period of 6 months commencing on the date on which the First Six-month Period expires, if immediately following such disposal that person or group of persons would cease to be a controlling shareholder (the “Second Six-month Period”).

An example of such wording can be found in Yadong's Group (1795 HK)'s (the most recent Main Board listing) "Share Offer - Announcement of allotment results".
For cornerstone investors, the following is often stated in the share offer document:

Each of the Cornerstone Investors has agreed that it will not, whether directly or indirectly, at any time during the period of six months following the Listing Date, dispose of any of the Offer Shares it has purchased pursuant to the relevant Cornerstone Investment Agreement, save for certain limited circumstances ...

Every week in my Event SPACE wrap, I flag large moves (~10%) in CCASS holdings over the past week or so, moves that are often outside normal market transactions.  These may be indicative of share pledges.  Or potential takeovers. Or simply help understand volume swings. 
Large movement(s) concerning recently listed companies are likely lock-up related. 
This insight looks at companies that have been listed for nearly six months or 12 months, as a guide to when insiders/controlling shareholders are permitted to sell, potentially depressing prices and creating an overhang.
A summary of Main Board listings in 2020 is attached at the bottom of this insight.

APAC IPOs & Placements

Zhen Zhou, Toh

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/venus-medtech-hangzhou-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28257:1" rel="noopener">Venus MedTech (2500 HK)</a> is looking to raise about US$153m in its primary placement to fund R&amp;D and working capital.In this note, we will briefly look at recent results, deal dynamics and run the deal through our framework.We have previously covered the IPO and lock-up expiry event in:<ul style="list-style-type: disc;">
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/venus-medtech-lock-up-expiry-could-face-selling-pressure" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:40248" rel="noopener">Venus Medtech Lock-Up Expiry: Could Face Selling Pressure</a> </li>
<li><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/venus-medtech-ipo-has-the-elements-for-a-hot-healthcare-deal" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Venus Medtech (启明医疗) IPO: Has the Elements for a Hot Healthcare Deal</a></li>
<li><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/venus-medtech-ipo-technical-comparison-of-venusa-valve-and-peers" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Venus Medtech (启明医疗) IPO: Technical Comparison of VenusA-Valve and Peers</a></li>
<li><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/venus-medtech-pre-ipo-thoughts-on-valuation" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Venus Medtech (启明医疗) Pre-IPO: Thoughts on Valuation</a></li>
<li><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/venus-medtech-ipo-valuation-still-ok-at-the-high-end" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Venus Medtech (启明医疗) IPO: Valuation Still OK at the High End</a></li>
<li><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/venus-medtech-ipo-trading-allocation-and-buy-level" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Venus Medtech (启明医疗) IPO Trading: Allocation and Buy-Level</a></li>
</ul>

Venus MedTech (2500 HK) is looking to raise about US$153m in its primary placement to fund R&amp;D and working capital.In this note, we will briefly look at recent results, deal dynamics and run the deal through our framework.We have previously covered the IPO and lock-up expiry event in:

Venus Medtech Lock-Up Expiry: Could Face Selling Pressure 
Venus Medtech (启明医疗) IPO: Has the Elements for a Hot Healthcare Deal
Venus Medtech (启明医疗) IPO: Technical Comparison of VenusA-Valve and Peers
Venus Medtech (启明医疗) Pre-IPO: Thoughts on Valuation
Venus Medtech (启明医疗) IPO: Valuation Still OK at the High End
Venus Medtech (启明医疗) IPO Trading: Allocation and Buy-Level


Venus Medtech (启明医疗) Placement - Already Has Ample Cash but Doesn't Hurt to Have More for R&D

China

Venus MedTech (HangZhou) Inc. develops and sells cardiovascular devices. The Company offers products including aorta, compression loading and conveying systems, and pulmonary artery. Venus MedTech (HangZhou) markets its products throughout China.

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Venus MedTech (2500 HK)

Stock Connect - Secondary Listings and Biotech Stocks to Become Eligible?

A rule change that admits Secondary listings and Chapter 18A listed Biotech stocks to the Southbound Stock Connect could see Alibaba, JD and...

Brian Freitas

HSCI Index Rebalance and Stock Connect: Early Look at Potential Changes

While the HSCI does not have assets benchmarked to it, the index review is closely watched since the index forms the basis of stocks that are a...

Brian Freitas

China Healthcare Weekly (Nov. 20)

The article summarized the new healthcare policy released, major industry viewpoints, company news and capital market review in China healthcare...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

Hong Kong IPOs: Lock-Up Expiries

A look at companies that have been listed for nearly six/12 months, as a guide to when insiders/controlling shareholders are permitted to sell,...

David Blennerhassett

Venus Medtech (启明医疗) Placement - Already Has Ample Cash but Doesn't Hurt to Have More for R&D

Venus MedTech (2500 HK) is looking to raise abouta

Zhen Zhou, Toh

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