Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>We see 37 potential adds (including plenty of new listings) and 25 potential deletes (on market cap and liquidity) for the Hang Seng Composite Index in September.</li>
<li>We expect 32 stocks to be added to Southbound Stock Connect following the rebalance while 24 stocks could be deleted from the trading link and become Sell-only.</li>
<li>There are stocks that have a very high percentage of holdings via Stock Connect and there could be some unwinding prior to the stocks becoming Sell-only.</li>
</ul>


We see 37 potential adds (including plenty of new listings) and 25 potential deletes (on market cap and liquidity) for the Hang Seng Composite Index in September.
We expect 32 stocks to be added to Southbound Stock Connect following the rebalance while 24 stocks could be deleted from the trading link and become Sell-only.
There are stocks that have a very high percentage of holdings via Stock Connect and there could be some unwinding prior to the stocks becoming Sell-only.


HSCI Index Rebalance Preview and Stock Connect: Potential Changes in September

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyze the weekly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of January 5th.</li>
<li>The top stocks by inflows and outflows were tabulated for all market, HSCEI, mid cap and s/mid cap groups.</li>
<li>We highlight HK Connect flows for China Mobile, and CNOOC.</li>
</ul>


We analyze the weekly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of January 5th.
The top stocks by inflows and outflows were tabulated for all market, HSCEI, mid cap and s/mid cap groups.
We highlight HK Connect flows for China Mobile, and CNOOC.


Hong Kong Connect Flows (Jan 5th): China Mobile, CNOOC

<ul>
<li>We analyze the weekly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of December 8th.</li>
<li>The top stocks by inflows and outflows were tabulated for all market, HSCEI, mid cap and s/mid cap groups.</li>
<li>We highlight flows for Meituan, CNOOC, Tencent, Wuxi Biologics, HKEx, Xiaomi.</li>
</ul>


We analyze the weekly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of December 8th.
The top stocks by inflows and outflows were tabulated for all market, HSCEI, mid cap and s/mid cap groups.
We highlight flows for Meituan, CNOOC, Tencent, Wuxi Biologics, HKEx, Xiaomi.


Hong Kong Connect Flows (Dec 8th): Meituan, CNOOC, Tencent, Wuxi Biologics, HKEx, Xiaomi

<ul>
<li>We analyze the weekly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of June 9th.</li>
<li>The top stocks by inflows and outflows were tabulated for all market, HSCEI, mid cap and s/mid cap groups.</li>
<li>We estimate the outflows to be USD 345 million and highlight flows for Tencent, China Mobile, CCB.</li>
</ul>


We analyze the weekly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of June 9th.
The top stocks by inflows and outflows were tabulated for all market, HSCEI, mid cap and s/mid cap groups.
We estimate the outflows to be USD 345 million and highlight flows for Tencent, China Mobile, CCB.


Hong Kong Connect Flows (Jun 9th): Tencent, China Mobile, CCB

Zhejiang Leapmotor Technologie / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>We see three new listings as potential inclusions to the HSCI in December. One is already in Stock Connect, one will be added to Stock Connect while one will not.</li>
<li>Given the large market moves, there will be many changes to the HSCI in March 2023. Quite a few stocks could remain in the HSCI but drop out of Connect.</li>
<li>Some of the potential deletions/ Stock Connect drops have large Southbound holdings and some of these positions could be pared back over the next few months.</li>
</ul>


We see three new listings as potential inclusions to the HSCI in December. One is already in Stock Connect, one will be added to Stock Connect while one will not.
Given the large market moves, there will be many changes to the HSCI in March 2023. Quite a few stocks could remain in the HSCI but drop out of Connect.
Some of the potential deletions/ Stock Connect drops have large Southbound holdings and some of these positions could be pared back over the next few months.


HSCI Index Rebalance and Stock Connect: Potential Changes in December & March (There's a Lot!)

Hong Kong

Bright Smart Securities & Commodities Group Ltd. is a brokerage firm. The Company specializes in trading futures contracts on exchanges in the United States and Singapore.

Yunfeng Financial Group Limited is a financial services company. The Company provides securities trading, underwriting, placements, and other related advisory services.

Upbest Group Limited, through its subsidiaries, provides a wide range of financial services including securities broking, margin financing, loan financing, corporate finance advisory, futures broking, and asset management.

Hengtai Securities Co Ltd is a full-service securities firm. The Company operates among others brokerage and wealth management, investment management, proprietary trading, and investment banking services. Hengtou is the business name under which Hengtai Securities does business in Hong Kong.

Mason Group Holdings Limited is a health and wealth solutions conglomerate. The Company provides financial services in Hong Kong, including financial brokerage, leveraged and acquisition financing, asset and wealth management and mortgages business. Mason Group Holdings provides health solutions through its healthcare business, mother-infant-child business and dairy products business.

Goldstream Investment Limited offers customer relationship outsourcing services. The Company covers industry areas like information service, chip technology, network, advisory services on securities and asset management. Goldstream Investment also expands its business to the areas of health and medical, traffic, payment, and other fields.

China Medical & HealthCare Group Limited is an investment holding company owning subsidiaries in various business such as securities trading and investments, financial services and property investment.

China Medical & HealthCare Group Limited (383 HK)

Wealthink Ai-Innovation Capital Limited operates as an investment holding company. The Company invests in real estate industry, individual private property, stock industry, and other related industries. Wealthink Ai-Innovation Capital operates its businesses primarily throughout Hong Kong with limited overseas.

Kingkey Financial International (Holdings) Limited operates financial businesses. The Company provides securities brokerage, margin financing, insurance brokerage, wealth management, and other financial services. Kingkey Financial International (Holdings) also conducts fur trade, mink farming, and fur brokerage businesses.

Kingkey Financial International Holdings (1468 HK)

China Ding Yi Feng Holdings Limited operates as an investment holding company. The Company principally engaged in investing in listed and unlisted securities. China Ding Yi Feng Holdings mainly conducts businesses in Hong Kong.

China Ding Yi Feng Holdings Limited (612 HK)

Platinum Asset Management Limited is a fund management company. The Company specializes in global equities.

Kyobo Securities Co., Ltd. provides various financial services, such as brokerage underwriting, asset management, foreign exchange, corporate financing, and other related services to its clients in South Korea.  Kyobo Securities also offers investment information systems and investment consulting systems to its customers.

AIRA Capital Company Ltd. renders investment services. The Company invests in various types of holding companies. The Company conducts business in Thailand.

CARE Ratings Limited operates as a credit rating agency. The Company offers credit assessment of companies that helps corporates to raise capital and assists the investors to form an informed investment decision based on the credit risk. CARE Ratings serves corporates, financial sectors, state government entities, and local bodies.

Kalyani Investment Company Ltd. is an investment company. The Company invests in a diversified portfolio of the shares of both listed and unlisted companies.

Bell Financial Group Limited provides broking, investment and financial advisory services. The Company offers corporate finance, portfolio administration, investment solutions in global futures and options, currency markets, foreign exchange services. Bell Financial Group serves client in Australia.

PTC India Financial Services Ltd. is an investment special purpose vehicle of PTC India Limited established with the mandate to provide financial services in the energy value chain. The Company provides non-fund based financial services adding value to green field and brown field projects at various stages of growth and development.

Diamond Hill Investment Group provides investment management services to corporations, public entities, Taft-Hartley plans, endowments, foundations, and high-net-worth individuals and families.

PT Batavia Prosperindo Internasional Tbk offers customers business and management consultant services.

Batavia Prosperindo Internasional (BPII IJ)

SPARX Group Co., Ltd. is an asset management firm which provides investment advisory, investment trust management, and securities brokerage services. The Company provides equity and funds research, sales, and investment services for corporate and individual investors.

Value Partners Group Limited is an independent, value oriented asset management group with a focus on China and the Asia-Pacific region. The Company's investor base include institutions, corporations, statutory authorities, university endowment funds, charitable foundations, high net worth individuals, and retail investors.

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Value Partners (806 HK)

HSCI Index Rebalance Preview and Stock Connect: Potential Changes in September

There could be nearly 80 adds/deletes for the HSCI in September. That will trigger changes to the Southbound Stock Connect list and increase flows...

Brian Freitas

Hong Kong Connect Flows (Jan 5th): China Mobile, CNOOC

We analyzed southbound Hong Kong connect flows in the past week and highlight Hong Kong connect flows for China Mobile, CNOOC.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Hong Kong Connect Flows (Dec 8th): Meituan, CNOOC, Tencent, Wuxi Biologics, HKEx, Xiaomi

We analyzed southbound Hong Kong connect flows in the past week and highlight flows for Meituan, CNOOC, Tencent, Wuxi Biologics, HKEx, Xiaomi.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Hong Kong Connect Flows (Jun 9th): Tencent, China Mobile, CCB

We analyzed the Hong Kong Connect Scheme for last week and highlight flows for Tencent, China Mobile, and China Construction Bank.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

HSCI Index Rebalance and Stock Connect: Potential Changes in December & March (There's a Lot!)

There could be 3 adds in December while there will be MANY more changes in March. The adds should outnumber the deletes, but there will be many...

Brian Freitas

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