IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hesai-group" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36743:1" rel="noopener">Hesai Group (HSAI US)</a> has launched a Nasdaq IPO to raise up to US$171 million at an indicative price range of US$17-19 per ADS.</li>
<li>We previously discussed the IPO in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/hesai-group-ipo-the-bull-case" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:95074" rel="noopener">Hesai Group IPO: The Bull Case</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/hesai-group-ipo-the-bear-case" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:95100" rel="noopener">Hesai Group IPO: The Bear Case</a>. </li>
<li>In this note, we present our forecasts and discuss valuation. Our analysis suggests that Hesai is unattractively valued at the IPO price range. We would pass on the IPO.</li>
</ul>



Hesai Group (HSAI US) has launched a Nasdaq IPO to raise up to US$171 million at an indicative price range of US$17-19 per ADS.
We previously discussed the IPO in Hesai Group IPO: The Bull Case and Hesai Group IPO: The Bear Case. 
In this note, we present our forecasts and discuss valuation. Our analysis suggests that Hesai is unattractively valued at the IPO price range. We would pass on the IPO.


<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hesai-group" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36743:1" rel="noopener">Hesai Group (HSAI US)</a> has launched a Nasdaq IPO to raise up to US$171 million at an indicative price range of US$17-19 per ADS.</li>
<li>In <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/hesai-group-ipo-the-bull-case" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:95074" rel="noopener">Hesai Group IPO: The Bull Case</a>, we highlighted the key elements of the bull case. In this note, we outline the bear case.</li>
<li>The key elements of the bear case rest on continuing pricing pressure, declining contract liabilities, gross margin decline, ongoing losses, worsening cash conversion cycle and FCF burn.</li>
</ul>



Hesai Group (HSAI US) has launched a Nasdaq IPO to raise up to US$171 million at an indicative price range of US$17-19 per ADS.
In Hesai Group IPO: The Bull Case, we highlighted the key elements of the bull case. In this note, we outline the bear case.
The key elements of the bear case rest on continuing pricing pressure, declining contract liabilities, gross margin decline, ongoing losses, worsening cash conversion cycle and FCF burn.


<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hesai-group" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36743:1" rel="noopener">Hesai Group (HSAI US)</a> has launched a Nasdaq IPO to raise up to US$171 million at an indicative price range of US$17-19 per ADS.</li>
<li>Hesai is a global leader in LiDAR technology for autonomous driving and ADAS. In the ADAS market, Hesai is the global leader in terms of shipment volume in 2022.</li>
<li>The key elements of the bull case rest on a solid competitive positioning, large addressable markets, high growth and a strong balance sheet.</li>
</ul>



Hesai Group (HSAI US) has launched a Nasdaq IPO to raise up to US$171 million at an indicative price range of US$17-19 per ADS.
Hesai is a global leader in LiDAR technology for autonomous driving and ADAS. In the ADAS market, Hesai is the global leader in terms of shipment volume in 2022.
The key elements of the bull case rest on a solid competitive positioning, large addressable markets, high growth and a strong balance sheet.


Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

iShares MSCI ACWI ETF / Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>Market dynamics remain healthy and we are continuing to see signs that suggest global equities are entering a new broad-based bull market.</li>
<li>Led by strength from the US, the MSCI ACWI index (ACWI-US) recently broke out to new highs above the key $105.40 resistance level, a bullish sign for global equities.</li>
<li>Global sovereign yields have moved lower in recent weeks. We expect rates to find support near current levels, creating an opportunity to add to value Sectors.</li>
</ul>


Market dynamics remain healthy and we are continuing to see signs that suggest global equities are entering a new broad-based bull market.
Led by strength from the US, the MSCI ACWI index (ACWI-US) recently broke out to new highs above the key $105.40 resistance level, a bullish sign for global equities.
Global sovereign yields have moved lower in recent weeks. We expect rates to find support near current levels, creating an opportunity to add to value Sectors.


MSCI ACWI Breaking To New Highs; Buying Financials, Consumer Discretionary, Industrials, Materials

Asian Insight Provider - Actionable ideas, CrossASEAN Research

Henry Soediarko

Asian Insight Provider - Actionable ideas

CrossASEAN Research

At CrossASEAN Research we strive to produce unbiased and differentiated on the ground insights on companies across South East Asia. Our Research is produced for the most part after face to face meetings and conversations with company management to dig deep into the long term vision and strategy of the companies we cover. We seek to deliver investable and actionable themes on sectors and markets across SE Asia, often in collaboration with other Insight Providers across the region, pooling the vast experience of the analysts within the Smartkarma Ecosystem. We also offer bespoke work and tailor made trips for our clients. 

Insights across South East Asia

Equity Bottom-Up

<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/11506" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:11506:1">Hanon Systems (018880 KS)</a> share price has outperformed its peers in the past 12 months and still command a valuation premium to its peers. In this report, we will discuss the following:<ul>
<li>1Q 2019 update</li>
<li>A look into its largest customers to date - <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/155" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:155:1">Hyundai Motor Co (005380 KS)</a>, how its market share in China has dwindled in the past few years.</li>
<li>
Diversification effort - the company has recently launched a customer diversification effort in its new business</li>
<li>Is it really Overvalued? We'll compare Hanon with its bigger, more profitable and higher inventory peers to see whether overvaluation is justifiable. </li>
</ul>

Hanon Systems (018880 KS) share price has outperformed its peers in the past 12 months and still command a valuation premium to its peers. In this report, we will discuss the following:
1Q 2019 update
A look into its largest customers to date - Hyundai Motor Co (005380 KS), how its market share in China has dwindled in the past few years.

Diversification effort - the company has recently launched a customer diversification effort in its new business
Is it really Overvalued? We'll compare Hanon with its bigger, more profitable and higher inventory peers to see whether overvaluation is justifiable. 


Hanon Systems (018880): Thesis Is Still Valid - Short.

France

Valeo designs and manufactures automobile components. The Company offers clutches, engine cooling parts, lighting, electrical systems, windshield wipers, motors and actuators, security systems, electronics, and connective systems. Valeo serves automotive industry worldwide.

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Valeo SA (FR FP)

Hesai Group IPO: Valuation Insights

In this note, we present our forecasts and discuss valuation. Our analysis suggests that Hesai is unattractively valued at the IPO price range. We...

Arun George

Hesai Group IPO: The Bear Case

The key elements of the bear case rest on continuing pricing pressure, declining contract liabilities, gross margin decline, ongoing losses,...

Arun George

Hesai Group IPO: The Bull Case

The key elements of the bull case rest on a solid competitive positioning, large addressable markets, high growth and a strong balance sheet.

Arun George

MSCI ACWI Breaking To New Highs; Buying Financials, Consumer Discretionary, Industrials, Materials

Global sovereign yields have moved lower in recent weeks. We expect rates to find support near current levels, and recommend adding exposure to...

Vermilion Research

Hanon Systems (018880): Thesis Is Still Valid - Short.

Hanon Systems (018880 KS) share price has outperformed its peers in the past 12 months and still command a valuation premium to its peers. In this...

Henry Soediarko

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