Korea / Special Sits, Pairs, Index Rebalancing, Clepsydra Capital

Sanghyun Park

Korea / Special Sits, Pairs, Index Rebalancing

Clepsydra Capital

Investigate special situations, pairs, and index rebalancing trades in Korea.

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Carlyle's renewed interest in acquiring Hanon Systems is evident from recent local market news, indicating outreach to bankers for a potential buyout, as confirmed by a local brokerage.</li>
<li>Carlyle eyes majority control of Hanon Systems, targeting 50.5% from Hahn &amp; Co and 19.5% from Hankook Tire. Carlyle may extend a tender offer for the remaining 30%.</li>
<li>Still early stages; no solid info on deal certainty or specifics. Limited immediate trading opportunities, but worth monitoring as it progresses.</li>
</ul>


Carlyle's renewed interest in acquiring Hanon Systems is evident from recent local market news, indicating outreach to bankers for a potential buyout, as confirmed by a local brokerage.
Carlyle eyes majority control of Hanon Systems, targeting 50.5% from Hahn &amp; Co and 19.5% from Hankook Tire. Carlyle may extend a tender offer for the remaining 30%.
Still early stages; no solid info on deal certainty or specifics. Limited immediate trading opportunities, but worth monitoring as it progresses.


Local Observations on Carlyle's Possible Buyout of Hanon Systems

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

<ul>
<li>Back in 2014, Hahn &amp; Co and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hankook-tire-technology" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20031:1" rel="noopener">Hankook Tire (161390 KS)</a> acquired a 70% stake in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hanon-systems" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:11506:1" rel="noopener">Hanon Systems (018880 KS)</a> from <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/visteon-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:5471:1" rel="noopener">Visteon (VC US)</a>, an automotive electronics supplier, for ₩3.8tn.</li>
<li>Three years ago, Hahn/Hankook explored the sale of this 70% stake, which was expected to fetch ~₩8tn (US$7bn). Reportedly, Carlyle, TPG, Bain and auto supplier Mahle submitted preliminary bids.</li>
<li>That 70% stake is now worth ₩2.3tn. And reportedly, Carlyle has returned to the trough. </li>
</ul>


Back in 2014, Hahn &amp; Co and Hankook Tire (161390 KS) acquired a 70% stake in Hanon Systems (018880 KS) from Visteon (VC US), an automotive electronics supplier, for ₩3.8tn.
Three years ago, Hahn/Hankook explored the sale of this 70% stake, which was expected to fetch ~₩8tn (US$7bn). Reportedly, Carlyle, TPG, Bain and auto supplier Mahle submitted preliminary bids.
That 70% stake is now worth ₩2.3tn. And reportedly, Carlyle has returned to the trough. 


On A Charge: Hanon Systems & Renewed Interest In Hahn/Hankook's Stake

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

<ul>
<li>The review period for the September rebalance of the KOSPI Size Indices will run from 1 June to 31 August.</li>
<li>We see 6 migrations from MidCap to LargeCap, 1 new addition to LargeCap, 6 stocks moving from SmallCap to MidCap and 3 new additions to MidCap.</li>
<li>Stocks migrating upward have outperformed stocks migrating lower. But there are still stocks trading at a Price to Book of less than 1.</li>
</ul>


The review period for the September rebalance of the KOSPI Size Indices will run from 1 June to 31 August.
We see 6 migrations from MidCap to LargeCap, 1 new addition to LargeCap, 6 stocks moving from SmallCap to MidCap and 3 new additions to MidCap.
Stocks migrating upward have outperformed stocks migrating lower. But there are still stocks trading at a Price to Book of less than 1.


KOSPI Size Indices: Potential Migrations in September Are Moving

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in foreign holdings of KRX Stocks as of May 10th which has an aggregated holding worth USD540.4bn.</li>
<li>We estimate that foreign flows to be inflows of USD1,299mln. We tabulate the league table for top changes by value for 1W/4W/1Y and top stocks held by foreign institutions.</li>
<li>We highlight foreign changes in Samsung Electronics (005930 KS), Kb Financial (105560 KS).</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in foreign holdings of KRX Stocks as of May 10th which has an aggregated holding worth USD540.4bn.
We estimate that foreign flows to be inflows of USD1,299mln. We tabulate the league table for top changes by value for 1W/4W/1Y and top stocks held by foreign institutions.
We highlight foreign changes in Samsung Electronics (005930 KS), Kb Financial (105560 KS).


KRX Foreign Holding Weekly (May 10th): Samsung Electronics, Kb Financial

<ul>
<li>KKR's Offer for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/alps-logistics-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:3935:1" rel="noopener">Alps Logistics (9055 JP)</a> is a knock-out price. HUGE MINORITY WIN. This trades a little wide because the "gap risk" is so large, but it's still safe.</li>
<li>It's reasonable to expect the listing of various components of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/l-occitane-international-sa" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6772:1" rel="noopener">L'Occitane (973 HK)</a> other than in HK, would (should) be hugely accretive; for those investors who can (or may) participate.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hankook-tire-technology" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20031:1" rel="noopener">Hankook Tire &amp; Technology (161390 KS)</a> seeks a controlling stake in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hanon-systems" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:11506:1" rel="noopener">Hanon Systems (018880 KS)</a>.</li>
</ul>


KKR's Offer for Alps Logistics (9055 JP) is a knock-out price. HUGE MINORITY WIN. This trades a little wide because the "gap risk" is so large, but it's still safe.
It's reasonable to expect the listing of various components of L'Occitane (973 HK) other than in HK, would (should) be hugely accretive; for those investors who can (or may) participate.

Hankook Tire &amp; Technology (161390 KS) seeks a controlling stake in Hanon Systems (018880 KS).


Last Week in Event SPACE: Alps Logistics, L'Occitane, Hanon Systems, Perpetual Ltd

South Korea

Hanon Systems manufactures a variety of automotive air control equipment.  The Company's products include air conditioners, heaters, cooling modules, compressors, radiators, fans, evaporators, and condensers. Hanon Systems distributes its products on an original equipment manufacturing (OEM) basis.

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
Market Cap (USDm)	0.00
P/E	0.00
Dividend (Yield)	0.00

Hanon Systems (018880 KS)

Local Observations on Carlyle's Possible Buyout of Hanon Systems

Hankook Tire has entered into a MoU with Hahn & Co to acquire shares in Hanon Systems. The deal structure entails acquiring 25% of SO, half of Hahn...

Sanghyun Park

On A Charge: Hanon Systems & Renewed Interest In Hahn/Hankook's Stake

There is currently no firm Offer. It's doubtful Hahn/Hankook will sell at these levels. Hanon appears inexpensive here, with a solid backlog and...

David Blennerhassett

KOSPI Size Indices: Potential Migrations in September Are Moving

There are many changes expected for the KOSPI size indices in September. The potential upward migrations have outperformed the potential downward...

Brian Freitas

KRX Foreign Holding Weekly (May 10th): Samsung Electronics, Kb Financial

We analyzed KRX foreign holding data for the past week and highlighted foreign holding changes in Samsung Electronics, Kb Financial.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Last Week in Event SPACE: Alps Logistics, L'Occitane, Hanon Systems, Perpetual Ltd

The weekend is here! Pour yourself a coffee, grab a comfortable seat, and sift through a brief summary of insights on various events discussed...

David Blennerhassett

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)