SGX Market Strategist, Equity & Fixed Income, Singapore Exchange Ltd (SGX)

Geoff Howie

SGX Market Strategist, Equity & Fixed Income

Asia’s leading multi-asset exchange

Singapore Exchange Ltd (SGX)

Singapore Exchange is Asia’s leading and trusted market infrastructure, facilitating the exchange of capital and ideas to create value for people, businesses and economies. As a multi-asset exchange operating equity, fixed income and derivatives markets to the highest regulatory standards, SGX is a vertically integrated business that provides listing, trading, clearing, settlement, depository and data services.

With about 40% of listed companies and over 80% of listed bonds originating outside of Singapore as well as established linkages across the region and in Europe, SGX is Asia’s most international and connected exchange. Offering a full suite of derivatives products across Asian equity indices, commodities and currencies, SGX is the world’s most liquid international market for the benchmark equity indices of China, India, Japan and ASEAN.

As Asia’s pioneering central counterparty, SGX is globally recognised for its risk management and clearing capabilities, and was one of the first globally to adopt the Principles for Financial Market Infrastructure.

Headquartered in AAA-rated Singapore, SGX has over 800 employees including offices in Beijing, Chicago, Hong Kong, London, New York, Mumbai, San Francisco, Shanghai and Tokyo.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>On 27 May, the STI closed at 3,318.45, its highest close since August 2023.</li><li>STI stocks within the Real Estate Management and Development sector - Hongkong Land, City Developments and UOL Group - all booked net institutional inflow while averaging 7.1% total returns.</li><li>10 Real Estate (Ex-REITs) stocks that booked most net institutional inflow since 16 April Code Mkt Cap S$M YTD ADT S$M YTD NIF S$M YTD TR % 17 April - 27 May NIF / Mkt Cap 16 April - 27 May TR % Sector.</li></ul>

On 27 May, the STI closed at 3,318.45, its highest close since August 2023.STI stocks within the Real Estate Management and Development sector - Hongkong Land, City Developments and UOL Group - all booked net institutional inflow while averaging 7.1% total returns.10 Real Estate (Ex-REITs) stocks that booked most net institutional inflow since 16 April Code Mkt Cap S$M YTD ADT S$M YTD NIF S$M YTD TR % 17 April - 27 May NIF / Mkt Cap 16 April - 27 May TR % Sector.

STI Gains 7% over Six Weeks on Net Institutional Inflow

<ul><li>Director filings and buyback momentum return Singapore Technologies Engineering (ST Engg) led the buyback consideration tally, repurchasing 500,000 shares at an average price of S$3.97 each on Feb 29.</li><li>On Feb 26, LHT Holdings managing director Yap Mui Kee acquired 61,000 shares at an average price of S$1.05 per share.</li></ul>

Director filings and buyback momentum return Singapore Technologies Engineering (ST Engg) led the buyback consideration tally, repurchasing 500,000 shares at an average price of S$3.97 each on Feb 29.On Feb 26, LHT Holdings managing director Yap Mui Kee acquired 61,000 shares at an average price of S$1.05 per share.

Director filings and buyback momentum return

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/uol-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:142:1" rel="noopener">UOL Group (UOL SP)</a> has underperformed its Singapore peers and the drop in market cap could result in the stock being deleted from global passive portfolios in February.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/uol-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:142:1" rel="noopener">UOL Group (UOL SP)</a> has traded higher since end October and there has been a steady increase in cumulative excess volume on the stock since then.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/uol-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:142:1" rel="noopener">UOL Group (UOL SP)</a> trades richer than its closest peer, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/city-developments-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:57:1" rel="noopener">City Developments (CIT SP)</a>, on EV/Sales and EV/EBITDA. The recent outperformance presents a trading opportunity.</li>
</ul>



UOL Group (UOL SP) has underperformed its Singapore peers and the drop in market cap could result in the stock being deleted from global passive portfolios in February.

UOL Group (UOL SP) has traded higher since end October and there has been a steady increase in cumulative excess volume on the stock since then.

UOL Group (UOL SP) trades richer than its closest peer, City Developments (CIT SP), on EV/Sales and EV/EBITDA. The recent outperformance presents a trading opportunity.


UOL Group (UOL SP): At Risk of Passive Selling in February

Alpha-Centric ESG Research

Kyle Rudden

<ul>
<li>The Monetary Authority of Singapore (MAS) recently launched a public consultation regarding a Code of Conduct for ESG ratings providers and ESG data product providers in Singapore.</li>
<li>It is the right approach for Singapore – a voluntary best-practices framework furthering one of the world's most credible "green" economies, not a regulatory force-fix of something broken.</li>
<li>No surprise ratings methodology changes. No en masse upgrades/downgrades. No acute shocks to the system. Just slow and steady progress for ESG investing and finance in Singapore.</li>
</ul>


The Monetary Authority of Singapore (MAS) recently launched a public consultation regarding a Code of Conduct for ESG ratings providers and ESG data product providers in Singapore.
It is the right approach for Singapore – a voluntary best-practices framework furthering one of the world's most credible "green" economies, not a regulatory force-fix of something broken.
No surprise ratings methodology changes. No en masse upgrades/downgrades. No acute shocks to the system. Just slow and steady progress for ESG investing and finance in Singapore.


Singapore Code of Conduct for ESG Ratings Is Less Risk and More Reward

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/haw-par-corp-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:9898:1" rel="noopener">Haw Par Corp (HPAR SP)</a> is trading around multi-year trough levels on an implied stub valuation, and on an HPAR/<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/uol-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:142:1" rel="noopener">UOL Group (UOL SP)</a> ratio.</li>
<li>Preceding my comments on HPAR are the current setup/unwind tables for Asia-Pacific Holdcos.</li>
<li>These relationships trade with a minimum liquidity of US$1mn, and a % market capitalisation &gt;20%.</li>
</ul>



Haw Par Corp (HPAR SP) is trading around multi-year trough levels on an implied stub valuation, and on an HPAR/UOL Group (UOL SP) ratio.
Preceding my comments on HPAR are the current setup/unwind tables for Asia-Pacific Holdcos.
These relationships trade with a minimum liquidity of US$1mn, and a % market capitalisation &gt;20%.


Singapore

City Developments Limited is a property developer and owner. The Company, through its subsidiaries, are principally engaged in the investment of properties and shares, property management, project management and the provision of consultancy services, hospitality-related information technology, and procurement services. City Developments has a global presence.

Frasers Property Limited provides real estate ownership and development services. The Company engages in the development of land, housing projects, apartments, as well as commercial, industrial, and retail properties. Frasers Property serves customers globally.

Singapore Land Group Limited operates as a real estate company. The Company develops and invests in properties, and provides property management, information technology, development management and consultancy services, as well as trades in computers and related products, and invests in hotels and retail centers. Singapore Land Group serves clients in Singapore.

Ascendas India Trust is a business trust that invests in real estate. The trust acquires, owns, and develops land for business use.

GuocoLand Limited is a regional property company with operations in Singapore, China, Malaysia and Vietnam. Headquartered in Singapore, the principal business activities of GuocoLand and its subsidiaries (“the Group”) are property development, property investment, hotel operations and property management.

Ho Bee Land Limited develops and invests in real estate properties in Singapore and United Kingdom.  The Company also operates hotels.

Wing Tai Holdings Limited is an investment holding company whose subsidiaries invest in and develop properties, manufacture woven labels, and trade garments and architectural products and accessories.  The Company also provides management services and operates restaurants.

First Sponsor Group Limited, an investment holding company, is engaged in the property development and investment activities primarily in the People's Republic of China. Its properties include residential and commercial properties.

Yanlord Land Group Ltd is a real estate development company. The Company develops high-end residential property projects in the Peoples Republic of China.

Bukit Sembawang Estates Limited, through its subsidiaries, operates in property development, property mortgage financing, and the holding of properties and investments. The Company provides residential property development throughout Singapore.

AEON Mall Co., Ltd. develops, manages, and maintains large-scale shopping malls throughout Japan. The Company develops shopping malls, rent the space, manages and maintains the shopping malls.

Highwealth Construction Corp. develops and sells residential and commercial buildings which are constructed by independent construction contractors.

Brigade Enterprises Limited operates as a real estate development company. The Company focuses on the development of residential, commercial, and hospitality properties.

China World Trade Center Co., Ltd. provides real estate services. The Company operates office building leasing business, shopping mall leasing business, apartment leasing business, hotel management business, and other related businesses. China World Trade Center offers services in China.

Tokyo Tatemono Co., Ltd. develops, sells, and leases commercial buildings, condominiums, and houses.   The Company also develops and manages hotels, vacation houses, leisure facilities, and resort places.

Lendlease Group designs, develops, and manages property and infrastructure assets. The Company constructs apartments, commercial buildings, government offices, retirement living, and educational facilities. Lendlease serves customers worldwide.

I-Sunny Construction & Development Co., Ltd. develops and sells real estate properties.

Isunny Construction&Development (2540 TT)

C&D International Investment Group Limited is a green building property development and management company based in Hong Kong.

Hangzhou Binjiang Real Estate Group Co., Ltd. develops and sells real estate properties. The Company also manages and operates hotels.

Hangzhou Binjiang Real Estate Grp (002244 CH)

Open House Co.,Ltd. provides real estate services. The Company offers services including renting, buying, selling and appraising real estate.

UOL Group Limited is a property company. The Company has a diversified portfolio of development and investment properties, hotels, and serviced suites. UOL Group, through its subsidiary owns a portfolio of commercial assets and hotels. UOL Group operates in Asia, Oceania, and North America.

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UOL Group (UOL SP)

STI Gains 7% over Six Weeks on Net Institutional Inflow

On 27 May, the STI closed at 3,318.45, its highest close since August 2023. STI stocks within the Real Estate Management and Development sector -...

Singapore Exchange Ltd (SGX)

Director filings and buyback momentum return

Director filings and buyback momentum return Singapore Technologies Engineering (ST Engg) led the buyback consideration tally, repurchasing...

Singapore Exchange Ltd (SGX)

UOL Group (UOL SP): At Risk of Passive Selling in February

UOL Group could be deleted from global passive portfolios in February and trackers will need to sell 16x ADV. UOL Group has outperformed City Dev...

Brian Freitas

Singapore Code of Conduct for ESG Ratings Is Less Risk and More Reward

Singapore's Code of Conduct for ESG ratings is more light-handed than other regulation-based approaches, but therein lies the "less risk and more...

Kyle Rudden

2023 High Conviction: Haw Par Is Cheap

I like Haw Par here, and recommend going long outright or hedging against UOB (~58% of its NAV, 94% of its market cap). Singapore Land looks a lay...

David Blennerhassett

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