Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>I tally 47 - mostly firm, mostly Asia-Pac - transactions currently being discussed and analysed on Smartkarma. Inside is a timetable of upcoming key events for each deal.</li>
<li>Two new deals were discussed on Smartkarma this week: <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/haitong-international-securities-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:13153:1" rel="noopener">Haitong International Securities Group (665 HK)</a>'s Scheme; and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/aeon-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:3:1" rel="noopener">Aeon Co (8267 JP)</a>'s partial.  Arguably, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/boustead-plantations-bhd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:11418:1" rel="noopener">Boustead Plantations (BPLANT MK)</a>received another offer. </li>
<li>Key updates took place for: <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/eoflow-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36100:1" rel="noopener">EOFlow (294090 KS)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/newcrest-mining-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:691:1" rel="noopener">Newcrest Mining (NCM AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/jmdc-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28673:1" rel="noopener">JMDC (4483 JP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/boustead-plantations-bhd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:11418:1" rel="noopener">Boustead Plantations (BPLANT MK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/symbio-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20292:1" rel="noopener">Symbio Holdings (SYM AU)</a>, and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/t-k-toka-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:18678:1" rel="noopener">T&amp;K Toka Co Ltd (4636 JP)</a>.</li>
</ul>


I tally 47 - mostly firm, mostly Asia-Pac - transactions currently being discussed and analysed on Smartkarma. Inside is a timetable of upcoming key events for each deal.
Two new deals were discussed on Smartkarma this week: Haitong International Securities Group (665 HK)'s Scheme; and Aeon Co (8267 JP)'s partial.  Arguably, Boustead Plantations (BPLANT MK)received another offer. 
Key updates took place for: EOFlow (294090 KS), Newcrest Mining (NCM AU), JMDC (4483 JP), Boustead Plantations (BPLANT MK), Symbio Holdings (SYM AU), and T&amp;K Toka Co Ltd (4636 JP).


(Mostly) Asia-Pac Weekly Risk Arb Wrap: EOFlow, Newcrest, JMDC, Boustead Plantation, Symbio, Aeon

IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/aeon-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:3:1" rel="noopener">Aeon Co Ltd (8267 JP)</a> has announced a partial tender offer for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/inageya-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:13994:1" rel="noopener">Inageya Co Ltd (8182 JP)</a> to make it a consolidated subsidiary. Aeon flagged this intention on 25 April.</li>
<li>The tender offer is for a maximum of 15.7 million shares (33.78% ownership ratio) at JPY1,610, a 23.2% premium to the undisturbed price. There is no minimum acceptance condition. </li>
<li>The offer price is reasonable. Longer-term, Aeon aims to make Inageya a wholly-owned subsidiary of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/united-super-markets-holdings" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26107:1" rel="noopener">United Super Markets (3222 JP)</a> by November 2024.</li>
</ul>



Aeon Co Ltd (8267 JP) has announced a partial tender offer for Inageya Co Ltd (8182 JP) to make it a consolidated subsidiary. Aeon flagged this intention on 25 April.
The tender offer is for a maximum of 15.7 million shares (33.78% ownership ratio) at JPY1,610, a 23.2% premium to the undisturbed price. There is no minimum acceptance condition. 
The offer price is reasonable. Longer-term, Aeon aims to make Inageya a wholly-owned subsidiary of United Super Markets (3222 JP) by November 2024.


Inageya (8182 JP): Aeon’s JPY1,610 Partial Tender Offer

Travis Lundy

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/aeon-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:3:1" rel="noopener">Aeon Co Ltd (8267 JP)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/inageya-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:13994:1" rel="noopener">Inageya Co Ltd (8182 JP)</a> agreed in late April to prepare a plan so Aeon would buy 51% this year.</li>
<li>They would combine Inageya with 53+%-owned <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/united-super-markets-holdings" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26107:1" rel="noopener">United Super Markets (3222 JP)</a> aiming for a ¥1trln sales supermarket chain in Kanto. That is due end- calendar 2024.</li>
<li>There is a partial offer to buy 33+% of Inageya at a small premium, and inadequate price before merging next year. Cross-holders determine pro-ration.</li>
</ul>



Aeon Co Ltd (8267 JP) and Inageya Co Ltd (8182 JP) agreed in late April to prepare a plan so Aeon would buy 51% this year.
They would combine Inageya with 53+%-owned United Super Markets (3222 JP) aiming for a ¥1trln sales supermarket chain in Kanto. That is due end- calendar 2024.
There is a partial offer to buy 33+% of Inageya at a small premium, and inadequate price before merging next year. Cross-holders determine pro-ration.


Aeon (8267) Partial Tender at ¥1610 for Inageya (8182) Aiming for Takeover Next Year

Expert on Japan Retail and Consumer Markets, JapanConsuming

Michael Causton

Expert on Japan Retail and Consumer Markets

Real Insight on Japanese Consumer Markets

JapanConsuming

JapanConsuming is a specialist research firm producing intelligence on Japanese retail and consumer markets. Founded in 2000, JapanConsuming has become the leading provider of insights on Japanese retailers and consumer trends to retailers, brands, government agencies and investors. As well as a highly regarded monthly report on the market, JapanConsuming produces in-depth reports on retail sectors, seminars on key trends and telephone consulting to investors on trends and retailers.

JapanConsuming was founded by Michael Causton and Roy Larke. 

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Aeon just announced record revenues of more than ¥9 trillion for FY2022. </li>
<li>Its supermarkets, mall developments and drugstores continue to strengthen and even the GMS business had a good year even if it still a way to go to generate consistent profit.</li>
<li>Meanwhile, Aeon plans to pour ¥150 billion a year into group-wide digital technologies, after launching the most advanced food online operation Japan has seen yet this month.</li>
</ul>


Aeon just announced record revenues of more than ¥9 trillion for FY2022. 
Its supermarkets, mall developments and drugstores continue to strengthen and even the GMS business had a good year even if it still a way to go to generate consistent profit.
Meanwhile, Aeon plans to pour ¥150 billion a year into group-wide digital technologies, after launching the most advanced food online operation Japan has seen yet this month.


Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/trial-holdings-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36821:1" rel="noopener">Trial Holdings (5882 JP)</a> is looking to raise up to US$393m in its Japan IPO.</li>
<li>TH operates a network of retail stores that offer one-stop shopping under its everyday low price model, across a variety of daily necessities, food items and other products.</li>
<li>In this note, we talk about implied valuations in the IPO price range</li>
</ul>



Trial Holdings (5882 JP) is looking to raise up to US$393m in its Japan IPO.
TH operates a network of retail stores that offer one-stop shopping under its everyday low price model, across a variety of daily necessities, food items and other products.
In this note, we talk about implied valuations in the IPO price range


Trial Holdings IPO - Sector Lagging Margins Warrant a Discount

Japan

United Super Markets Holdings Inc is a holding company which was established through the integration of Kasumi Co., Maruetsu Inc, and MaxValu Kanto Co. The Company operates supermarkets, a retailing business, and manufactures, processes and imports the products.

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United Super Markets (3222 JP)

(Mostly) Asia-Pac Weekly Risk Arb Wrap: EOFlow, Newcrest, JMDC, Boustead Plantation, Symbio, Aeon

This insight provides a summary of gross/annualised spreads (on deals discussed on Smartkarma) across Asia-Pacific as at the last trading date, and...

David Blennerhassett

Inageya (8182 JP): Aeon’s JPY1,610 Partial Tender Offer

The tender offer is for a maximum of 15.7m shares (33.78% ownership ratio) at JPY1,610, a 23.2% premium to the undisturbed price. There is no...

Arun George

Aeon (8267) Partial Tender at ¥1610 for Inageya (8182) Aiming for Takeover Next Year

Aeon TOB for 33+% of Inageya, aiming to merge Inageya with USMH by end-2024. This is too cheap, but tough to block. LOTS of crossholders, who...

Travis Lundy

Aeon: All Signs Point to Higher Returns

Aeon has long been famous for low margins and an empire of diverse business units with less than stellar efficiency. The last five years have seen...

Michael Causton

Trial Holdings IPO - Sector Lagging Margins Warrant a Discount

Trial Holdings (5882 JP) is looking to raise up to US$393m in its Japan IPO. In this note, we talk about implied valuations.

Sumeet Singh

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

(Mostly) Asia-Pac Weekly Risk Arb Wrap: EOFlow, Newcrest, JMDC, Boustead Plantation, Symbio, Aeon

This insight provides a summary of gross/annualised spreads (on deals discussed on Smartkarma) across Asia-Pacific as at the last trading date, and...

David Blennerhassett

Inageya (8182 JP): Aeon’s JPY1,610 Partial Tender Offer

The tender offer is for a maximum of 15.7m shares (33.78% ownership ratio) at JPY1,610, a 23.2% premium to the undisturbed price. There is no...

Arun George

Aeon (8267) Partial Tender at ¥1610 for Inageya (8182) Aiming for Takeover Next Year

​Aeon TOB for 33+% of Inageya, aiming to merge Inageya with USMH by end-2024. This is too cheap, but tough to block. LOTS of crossholders, who...

Travis Lundy

Aeon: All Signs Point to Higher Returns

Aeon has long been famous for low margins and an empire of diverse business units with less than stellar efficiency. The last five years have seen...

Michael Causton

Trial Holdings IPO - Sector Lagging Margins Warrant a Discount

Trial Holdings (5882 JP) is looking to raise up to US$393m in its Japan IPO. In this note, we talk about implied valuations.

Sumeet Singh

Aeon TOB for 33+% of Inageya, aiming to merge Inageya with USMH by end-2024. This is too cheap, but tough to block. LOTS of crossholders, who...