Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

Foxconn Industrial Internet / Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>Not much has changed since our latest Int'l Compass from May 31, 2024 titled "Buy the Pullback." </li>
<li>We were buyers of the pullback in global equities (MSCI ACWI, ACWI ex-US, EAFE, EM, Europe, Japan, Taiwan, etc.) with important supports holding, combined with ongoing healthy market dynamics.</li>
<li>Supports are holding, and our bullish outlook (since early-November 2023) remains intact. Continue to buy dips.</li>
</ul>


Not much has changed since our latest Int'l Compass from May 31, 2024 titled "Buy the Pullback." 
We were buyers of the pullback in global equities (MSCI ACWI, ACWI ex-US, EAFE, EM, Europe, Japan, Taiwan, etc.) with important supports holding, combined with ongoing healthy market dynamics.
Supports are holding, and our bullish outlook (since early-November 2023) remains intact. Continue to buy dips.


Downgrading Europe to Market Weight; Europe Indexes Still Bullish (Price); Bullish Outlook Intact

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in short interest of TWSE Stocks as of Jun 14th which has an aggregated short interest worth USD102.4bn.</li>
<li>We tabulate league table for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.</li>
<li>We highlight short interest changes in Hon Hai, Ctbc Financial, Realtek Semi, TSMC, Lite-On Tech, Asmedia Tech, Asustek Computer.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in short interest of TWSE Stocks as of Jun 14th which has an aggregated short interest worth USD102.4bn.
We tabulate league table for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.
We highlight short interest changes in Hon Hai, Ctbc Financial, Realtek Semi, TSMC, Lite-On Tech, Asmedia Tech, Asustek Computer.


TWSE Short Interest Weekly (Jun 14th): Hon Hai, Ctbc Financial, Realtek Semi, TSMC, Lite-On Tech

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in foreign holdings of TWSE Stocks as of Jun 14th which has an aggregated holding worth USD4,617.2bn.</li>
<li>We estimate that foreign flows to be inflows of USD6,436mln. We tabulate the league table for top changes by value for 1W/4W/1Y and top stocks held by foreign institutions.</li>
<li>We highlight foreign changes in Hon Hai, TSMC, Mediatek, Quanta Computer, Realtek Semi, Evergreen Marine, Ctbc Financial, Eva Airways, Asia Vital, Asmedia Tech.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in foreign holdings of TWSE Stocks as of Jun 14th which has an aggregated holding worth USD4,617.2bn.
We estimate that foreign flows to be inflows of USD6,436mln. We tabulate the league table for top changes by value for 1W/4W/1Y and top stocks held by foreign institutions.
We highlight foreign changes in Hon Hai, TSMC, Mediatek, Quanta Computer, Realtek Semi, Evergreen Marine, Ctbc Financial, Eva Airways, Asia Vital, Asmedia Tech.


TWSE Foreign Holding Weekly (Jun 14th): Hon Hai, TSMC, Mediatek, Quanta Computer, Realtek Semi

Managing Director, Zero One, Zero One

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Managing Director, Zero One

Zero One

Founded in 2015, Zero One produces independent investment research and provides corporate finance advisory services with a focus on both listed and private technology companies. Founder Vincent Fernando has over 20 years of experience in US and Asia capital markets.

Independent Investment Research

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>We conducted a Q&amp;A with Kinik, who is a key supplier to companies including TSMC, UMC, and Micron.</li>
<li>Kinik is dramatically expanding its diamond disk capacity; these products are critical to the production of wafers for advanced semiconductor nodes.</li>
<li>We believe Kinik has high visibility into future industry demand. Gross margins are likely to expand in the coming years as advanced diamond products become increasingly important to wafer production.</li>
</ul>


We conducted a Q&amp;A with Kinik, who is a key supplier to companies including TSMC, UMC, and Micron.
Kinik is dramatically expanding its diamond disk capacity; these products are critical to the production of wafers for advanced semiconductor nodes.
We believe Kinik has high visibility into future industry demand. Gross margins are likely to expand in the coming years as advanced diamond products become increasingly important to wafer production.


TechChain Insights: Q&A with TSMC Supplier Kinik; Diamond Capex Implies Industry Strength Visibility

Taiwan Semiconductor (TSMC) - ADR / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>TSMC: +21.3% Premium; Trading at New +15-25% Range This Year</li>
<li>ASE: +12.7% Premium; We Continue to View 14%+ as Fresh Short Level</li>
<li>CHT: +1.2% Premium; Good Level to Short Relative to History</li>
</ul>


TSMC: +21.3% Premium; Trading at New +15-25% Range This Year
ASE: +12.7% Premium; We Continue to View 14%+ as Fresh Short Level
CHT: +1.2% Premium; Good Level to Short Relative to History


Taiwan Dual-Listings Monitor: TSMC Historically Extreme Premium Continues; CHT at Short Level Again

Taiwan

United Microelectronics Corporation designs, manufactures, and markets integrated circuits (ICs) and related electronic products.  The Company's main products are consumer electronic ICs, memory ICs, personal computer peripheral ICs, and communication ICs.

Price Gauge
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United Microelectronics Corp (2303 TT)

Downgrading Europe to Market Weight; Europe Indexes Still Bullish (Price); Bullish Outlook Intact

Downgrading Europe to Market Weight $FEZ $STOXX; Europe Still Bullish From a Price Perspective; Bullish Outlook Intact on $ACWI $EEM; Supports...

Vermilion Research

TWSE Short Interest Weekly (Jun 14th): Hon Hai, Ctbc Financial, Realtek Semi, TSMC, Lite-On Tech

We analyzed TWSE short interest report for the past week and highlighted short interest changes in Hon Hai, Ctbc Financial, Realtek Semi, TSMC,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

TWSE Foreign Holding Weekly (Jun 14th): Hon Hai, TSMC, Mediatek, Quanta Computer, Realtek Semi

We analyzed TWSE foreign holding data for the past week and highlighted foreign holding changes in Hon Hai, TSMC, Mediatek, Quanta Computer,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

TechChain Insights: Q&A with TSMC Supplier Kinik; Diamond Capex Implies Industry Strength Visibility

Q&A with Kinik reveals expansion of diamond disk capacity crucial for semiconductor production, indicating high visibility into future industry...

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Taiwan Dual-Listings Monitor: TSMC Historically Extreme Premium Continues; CHT at Short Level Again

Latest analysis for Taiwan ADR premiums including key levels to long or short the ADRs' premium or discount to their respective local Taiwan shares.

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Downgrading Europe to Market Weight; Europe Indexes Still Bullish (Price); Bullish Outlook Intact

Downgrading Europe to Market Weight $FEZ $STOXX; Europe Still Bullish From a Price Perspective; Bullish Outlook Intact on $ACWI $EEM; Supports...

Vermilion Research

TWSE Short Interest Weekly (Jun 14th): Hon Hai, Ctbc Financial, Realtek Semi, TSMC, Lite-On Tech

We analyzed TWSE short interest report for the past week and highlighted short interest changes in Hon Hai, Ctbc Financial, Realtek Semi, TSMC,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

TWSE Foreign Holding Weekly (Jun 14th): Hon Hai, TSMC, Mediatek, Quanta Computer, Realtek Semi

We analyzed TWSE foreign holding data for the past week and highlighted foreign holding changes in Hon Hai, TSMC, Mediatek, Quanta Computer,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

TechChain Insights: Q&A with TSMC Supplier Kinik; Diamond Capex Implies Industry Strength Visibility

​Q&A with Kinik reveals expansion of diamond disk capacity crucial for semiconductor production, indicating high visibility into future industry...

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Taiwan Dual-Listings Monitor: TSMC Historically Extreme Premium Continues; CHT at Short Level Again

Latest analysis for Taiwan ADR premiums including key levels to long or short the ADRs' premium or discount to their respective local Taiwan shares.

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Q&A with Kinik reveals expansion of diamond disk capacity crucial for semiconductor production, indicating high visibility into future industry...