Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nusantara-sejahtera-raya" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:39908:1" rel="noopener">Cinema XXI (CINEMA IJ)</a> aims to raise up to US$160m in its Indonesia IPO.</li>
<li>Cinema XXI is a premium theatrical exhibition, F&amp;B and experience company. It is the largest cinema chain operator in Indonesia.</li>
<li>In this note, we talk about the not-so-positive aspects of the deal.</li>
</ul>



Cinema XXI (CINEMA IJ) aims to raise up to US$160m in its Indonesia IPO.
Cinema XXI is a premium theatrical exhibition, F&amp;B and experience company. It is the largest cinema chain operator in Indonesia.
In this note, we talk about the not-so-positive aspects of the deal.


Nusantara Sejahtera Raya (Cinema XXI) IPO - The Negatives - Private Placement, Not a Primary Raising

Cisarua Mountain Dairy / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>PT Cisarua Mountain Dairy (CMD), a producer of dairy and consumer foods, aims to raise up to US$263m in its Indonesian IPO.</li>
<li>It is a market leader in the overall yogurt sub-category as well as in the spoonable and drinking yogurt segments with a market share of 53.2%, 71.9% and 50.3%, respectively. </li>
<li>In our previous notes, links <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/cisarua-mountain-dairy-cimory-ipo-the-negatives-losing-market-share-margin-sustainability" target="_blank" rel="noopener">here</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/cisarua-mountain-dairy-cimory-ipo-the-negatives-losing-market-share-margin-sustainability" target="_blank" rel="noopener">here</a>,  we spoke about the various aspects of the deal. In we will do a peer comparison and talk about valuations.</li>
</ul>


PT Cisarua Mountain Dairy (CMD), a producer of dairy and consumer foods, aims to raise up to US$263m in its Indonesian IPO.
It is a market leader in the overall yogurt sub-category as well as in the spoonable and drinking yogurt segments with a market share of 53.2%, 71.9% and 50.3%, respectively. 
In our previous notes, links here and here,  we spoke about the various aspects of the deal. In we will do a peer comparison and talk about valuations.


Cisarua Mountain Dairy  (Cimory) IPO - Giving It the Benefit of Margin Doubts

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), BRI Danareksa Research

BRI Danareksa Research

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

As a one-stop financial solution with the vision to be the most valuable securities house, BRI Danareksa Sekuritas (BRIDS) has maintained an excellent track record and extensive experience in the capital market as an underwriter, broker, and financial advisor for individual, institutional, foreign and domestic, private and government clients. Established in 1992, PT Danareksa Sekuritas is a securities company that performs activities as a securities broker, underwriter, or arranger and financial advisor.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>We estimate sector’s 2Q24 core profit to grow at a healthy doubledigit rate, but expect weak rev. growth (2.8% yoy/ -15.8% qoq)</li><li>We see limited catalysts for 3Q24, aside from rev growth from export markets (for ICBP and MYOR).</li><li>We maintain OW rating on the sector; ICBP (TP of Rp12,900) and MYOR (TP of Rp3,200) remain as our top picks.</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

We estimate sector’s 2Q24 core profit to grow at a healthy doubledigit rate, but expect weak rev. growth (2.8% yoy/ -15.8% qoq)We see limited catalysts for 3Q24, aside from rev growth from export markets (for ICBP and MYOR).We maintain OW rating on the sector; ICBP (TP of Rp12,900) and MYOR (TP of Rp3,200) remain as our top picks.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Consumer: Expect Solid Core Profit Growth on Better Margins, Revenue Growth May Remain Soft

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), MNC Sekuritas

MNC Sekuritas

MNC Sekuritas, the first wholly-owned subsidiary established by the Group back in 1989, provides a complete range of services, from equity, fixed income, investment banking to providing research to optimize clients’ investments. Thus far, the company has more than 140 points of sales with over 100,000 clients. Content available is external broker reports authored by a third party outside the Smartkarma network and has been aggregated by an online aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed by Smartkarma in this format for user's convenience and general informational purposes only. Content does not constitute investment or financial advice and Smartkarma makes no representation or warranty regarding its accuracy or contents. Original third party author retains all copyright and other proprietary rights in the content. Access or use of third party links not controlled by Smartkarma are at the user's own risk.

<ul><li>Despite the regained volume since the end of last year, consumers continue to maintain overall spending, leading to downtrading behavior.</li><li>This is reinforced by the GDP deflator, which recorded a negative growth of -0.8% YoY in 1Q24.</li><li>Our rationale for why consumer staples remain unfavorable aligns with the current monetary policies.</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Despite the regained volume since the end of last year, consumers continue to maintain overall spending, leading to downtrading behavior.This is reinforced by the GDP deflator, which recorded a negative growth of -0.8% YoY in 1Q24.Our rationale for why consumer staples remain unfavorable aligns with the current monetary policies.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Consumer Staples Sectoral Update May 21, 2024

ASEAN Insight Provider, CrossASEAN Research

Angus Mackintosh

ASEAN Insight Provider

CrossASEAN Research

At CrossASEAN Research we strive to produce unbiased and differentiated on the ground insights on companies across South East Asia. Our Research is produced for the most part after face to face meetings and conversations with company management to dig deep into the long term vision and strategy of the companies we cover. We seek to deliver investable and actionable themes on sectors and markets across SE Asia, often in collaboration with other Insight Providers across the region, pooling the vast experience of the analysts within the Smartkarma Ecosystem. We also offer bespoke work and tailor made trips for our clients. 

Insights across South East Asia

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ultrajaya-milk-industry-trading-company" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:13892:1" rel="noopener">Ultrajaya Milk (ULTJ IJ)</a> is back to the boil in terms of sales growth for both its dairy and carton tea businesses, which both benefit from a nominalisation of mobility. </li>
<li>The company's margins have improved in the dairy business as cost pressure has abated with falling powdered milk prices. Competition has picked up but the overall market is growing sufficiently. </li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ultrajaya-milk-industry-trading-company" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:13892:1" rel="noopener">Ultrajaya Milk</a> will open a new distribution centre in 1Q2024, which should help to drive growth plus it looks to launch new product categories in 2024. Valuations are attractive.</li>
</ul>



Ultrajaya Milk (ULTJ IJ) is back to the boil in terms of sales growth for both its dairy and carton tea businesses, which both benefit from a nominalisation of mobility. 
The company's margins have improved in the dairy business as cost pressure has abated with falling powdered milk prices. Competition has picked up but the overall market is growing sufficiently. 

Ultrajaya Milk will open a new distribution centre in 1Q2024, which should help to drive growth plus it looks to launch new product categories in 2024. Valuations are attractive.


Ultrajaya Milk (ULTJ IJ) - The Milkmaid Cometh

Indonesia

PT Unilever Indonesia Tbk manufactures soaps, detergents, margarine, oil and dairy based foods, tea based beverages, ice cream, and cosmetics.

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Unilever Indonesia (UNVR IJ)

Nusantara Sejahtera Raya (Cinema XXI) IPO - The Negatives - Private Placement, Not a Primary Raising

Cinema XXI (CINEMA IJ) aims to raise up to US$160m in its Indonesia IPO. In this note, we talk about the not-so-positive aspects of the deal.

Sumeet Singh

Cisarua Mountain Dairy (Cimory) IPO - Giving It the Benefit of Margin Doubts

PT Cisarua Mountain Dairy (CMD), a producer of dairy and consumer foods, aims to raise up to US$263m in its Indonesian IPO.

Sumeet Singh

Consumer: Expect Solid Core Profit Growth on Better Margins, Revenue Growth May Remain Soft

We estimate sector’s 2Q24 core profit to grow at a healthy doubledigit rate, but expect weak rev. growth (2.8% yoy/ -15.8% qoq)

BRI Danareksa Research

Consumer Staples Sectoral Update May 21, 2024

Despite the regained volume since the end of last year, consumers continue to maintain overall spending, leading to downtrading behavior.

MNC Sekuritas

Ultrajaya Milk (ULTJ IJ) - The Milkmaid Cometh

Ultrajaya Milk will open a new distribution centre in 1Q2024, which should help to drive growth plus it looks to launch new product categories in...

Angus Mackintosh

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