Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

Nasdaq-100 Stock Index / Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>$SPX remains below 5783, the upper-end of important target/resistance area we've discussed for a month+ (5670-5783). 5670 was prior all-time high set in July, while 5783 is 2% above 5670.</li>
<li>It's hard to call it a "decisive" breakout if SPX isn't even 2% above its prior high.  In 2007, SPX made a top after climbing 1-2% above its prior high.</li>
<li>The 2007 topping analog has tracked the current market almost perfectly, with similar backdrops to today including new Fed cutting cycle, recession indicators going off, yield curve un-inverting, defensives outperforming</li>
</ul>


$SPX remains below 5783, the upper-end of important target/resistance area we've discussed for a month+ (5670-5783). 5670 was prior all-time high set in July, while 5783 is 2% above 5670.
It's hard to call it a "decisive" breakout if SPX isn't even 2% above its prior high.  In 2007, SPX made a top after climbing 1-2% above its prior high.
The 2007 topping analog has tracked the current market almost perfectly, with similar backdrops to today including new Fed cutting cycle, recession indicators going off, yield curve un-inverting, defensives outperforming


Still No Decisive Breakout as SPX Tests 5783 Resistance; Ideal Time to Shift to Defensives

Independent Research, Turtles all the way down

Turtles all the way down

Independent Research

Writing short articles about mis-priced boring stocks around the world.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>Lately I have seen a lot of doomporn on Twitter about Europe. A lot of people seem to almost be excited about the energy predicament Europe is in.</li><li>So I thought I would write some anti-doom porn. And in doing so I actually became a bit more pessimistic LOL. At least for the next year or two.</li><li>Since there is no denying that the EU is in a bad spot as it imported 150 billion m3 of gas from Russia.</li></ul>

Lately I have seen a lot of doomporn on Twitter about Europe. A lot of people seem to almost be excited about the energy predicament Europe is in.So I thought I would write some anti-doom porn. And in doing so I actually became a bit more pessimistic LOL. At least for the next year or two.Since there is no denying that the EU is in a bad spot as it imported 150 billion m3 of gas from Russia.

United States

Trinseo S.A. manufactures emulsion polymers and plastics. The Company offers a range of plastic, latex, and synthetic rubber products for automotive, consumer electronics, portable appliances, glazing, sheet, board coatings, packaging, and tires. Trinseo operates worldwide.

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Trinseo Sa (TSE US)

Still No Decisive Breakout as SPX Tests 5783 Resistance; Ideal Time to Shift to Defensives

Still No Decisive Breakout as $SPX Tests 5783 Resistance; On watch for SPX bull trap/failed breakout, confirmed only on a break below 5670. 2007...

Vermilion Research

Europe will be fine

Lately I have seen a lot of doomporn on Twitter about Europe. A lot of people seem to almost be excited about the energy predicament Europe is in.

Turtles all the way down

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