Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

Zhejiang Leapmotor Technologie / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>Leapmotor (LM) aims to raise around US$1.5bn in its Hong Kong IPO. LM is a smart EV company based in China, founded in 2015.</li>
<li>As of end Jun 22, it had delivered a total of 104,829 cars with most of its sales coming from its mini units, T03.</li>
<li>In our previous note, we spoke about the company’s past performance,  PHIP updates and undertook a peer comparison. In this note, we will talk about valuations.</li>
</ul>


Leapmotor (LM) aims to raise around US$1.5bn in its Hong Kong IPO. LM is a smart EV company based in China, founded in 2015.
As of end Jun 22, it had delivered a total of 104,829 cars with most of its sales coming from its mini units, T03.
In our previous note, we spoke about the company’s past performance,  PHIP updates and undertook a peer comparison. In this note, we will talk about valuations.


Leapmotor Pre-IPO - Thoughts on Valuation

WM Motor Technology Co Ltd / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/wm-motor-technology-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29225:1" rel="noopener">WM Motor Technology Co Ltd (WMT CH)</a> (WMM) is looking to raise about US$1bn in its upcoming Hong Kong IPO.</li>
<li>WM Motor is a smart EV player in China. As of the latest practicable date, it had a total of four main EV models. </li>
<li>In this note, we talk about the positive aspects of the deal.</li>
</ul>



WM Motor Technology Co Ltd (WMT CH) (WMM) is looking to raise about US$1bn in its upcoming Hong Kong IPO.
WM Motor is a smart EV player in China. As of the latest practicable date, it had a total of four main EV models. 
In this note, we talk about the positive aspects of the deal.


WM Motor Holding IPO - The Positives - Fast Growth Driven by Its SUV and Mainstream Focus

Global Automotive Stocks/EV Focus/Event Driven, SC Capital

SC Capital

Global Automotive Stocks/EV Focus/Event Driven

Over 22 years covering Japanese equities on both the sell side and the buy side. 

Bottom-up Japan Equities Research

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Toyota's Q1 operating profit was 28% below consensus estimates, while pretax profit only undershot by 4%. Support for 2nd &amp; 3rd-tier suppliers was the main cause.</li>
<li>While full-year operating profit target was maintained &amp; EPS slightly raised, this was due to bigger forex tailwinds. Ex-forex, FY3/23 operating profit was lowered by 28%.  </li>
<li>Much of FY3/23's negatives are one-off, which paves the way for higher profits in FY3/24. But support for suppliers while rivals grow earnings is somewhat of a concern. </li>
</ul>


Toyota's Q1 operating profit was 28% below consensus estimates, while pretax profit only undershot by 4%. Support for 2nd &amp; 3rd-tier suppliers was the main cause.
While full-year operating profit target was maintained &amp; EPS slightly raised, this was due to bigger forex tailwinds. Ex-forex, FY3/23 operating profit was lowered by 28%.  
Much of FY3/23's negatives are one-off, which paves the way for higher profits in FY3/24. But support for suppliers while rivals grow earnings is somewhat of a concern. 


Toyota's Q1 EBIT Missed by 28%; FY3/23 Guidance Effectively Lowered

<ul>
<li>Toyota announces June quarter results at 13:25 JST on Thursday, August 4th JST. <strong>We think any dip is a buying opportunity</strong>. </li>
<li>Contrary to consensus, Q1's constraints were due to supplier lockdowns in Shanghai, not the chip shortage. In fact, Toyota is seeing larger than expected chip supplies. </li>
<li>Toyota's full-year guidance is the most low-balled in the industry, which is why it's underperformed peers. Better Q2 chip supply should lead to a sharp upward revision after 1H FY3/23. </li>
</ul>


Toyota announces June quarter results at 13:25 JST on Thursday, August 4th JST. We think any dip is a buying opportunity. 
Contrary to consensus, Q1's constraints were due to supplier lockdowns in Shanghai, not the chip shortage. In fact, Toyota is seeing larger than expected chip supplies. 
Toyota's full-year guidance is the most low-balled in the industry, which is why it's underperformed peers. Better Q2 chip supply should lead to a sharp upward revision after 1H FY3/23. 


Toyota Motor's Bad Q1 Is a Buying Opportunity

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>FFW changes and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/mercari-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27149:1" rel="noopener">Mercari Inc (4385 JP)</a>'s inclusion in the TOPIX will lead to a one-way turnover of 0.55% and one-way trade of JPY 443bn (US$3.23bn) at the close today.</li>
<li>There is net buying in Consumer Discretionary, Financials and Communication Services stocks, while there will be net selling in Consumer Staples and Health Care stocks.</li>
<li>The upweights have outperformed the downweights since announcement of the changes and there has not been a lot of excess volume traded in the last couple of weeks.</li>
</ul>


FFW changes and Mercari Inc (4385 JP)'s inclusion in the TOPIX will lead to a one-way turnover of 0.55% and one-way trade of JPY 443bn (US$3.23bn) at the close today.
There is net buying in Consumer Discretionary, Financials and Communication Services stocks, while there will be net selling in Consumer Staples and Health Care stocks.
The upweights have outperformed the downweights since announcement of the changes and there has not been a lot of excess volume traded in the last couple of weeks.


TOPIX July Rebalance: Flows at the Close Today

Japan

Toyota Motor Corporation manufactures, sells, leases, and repairs passenger cars, trucks, buses, and their related parts worldwide. The Company also operates financing services through their subsidiaries. Toyota Motor builds homes, produces pleasure boats, and develops intelligent transportation systems including radar cruise control and electronic toll collection systems.

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Toyota Motor Corp Spon Adr (TM US)

Leapmotor Pre-IPO - Thoughts on Valuation

Leapmotor (LM) aims to raise around US$1.5bn in its Hong Kong IPO. LM is a smart EV company based in China, founded in 2015. In this note, we talk...

Sumeet Singh

WM Motor Holding IPO - The Positives - Fast Growth Driven by Its SUV and Mainstream Focus

WM Motor Technology Co Ltd is looking to raise about US$1bn in its upcoming Hong Kong IPO. In this note, we will talk about the positive aspects of...

Sumeet Singh

Toyota's Q1 EBIT Missed by 28%; FY3/23 Guidance Effectively Lowered

Toyota's Q1 operating profit missed by 28%, but the stock was only down 3% on the day. Management confirmed higher chip supply from Q2, which...

SC Capital

Toyota Motor's Bad Q1 Is a Buying Opportunity

Toyota Motor announces quarterly results today. Expectations are super low. We expect dip buying even if results undershoot estimates & recommend...

SC Capital

TOPIX July Rebalance: Flows at the Close Today

The TOPIX July rebalance will lead to a turnover of 0.55% and trade of JPY 443bn at the close today. The top 25 upweights have outperformed the top...

Brian Freitas

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