HK/China Healthcare Analyst (ex-Fosun Pharma)

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Policy risk is the biggest uncertainty for domestic medical service sector, without any overseas revenue to “hedge” such risk.</li>
<li>The market places great hope on Topchoice to become a cross-regional enterprise with high growth sustainability. Without a reliable and replicable expansion model, the high valuation is not logical.</li>
<li>Therefore, our view is that the Company's investment logic has been shaken. <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/topchoice-medical-corporation" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1102:1" rel="noopener">Topchoice Medical (600763 CH)</a> could be a short-term trade, but not long-term hold.</li>
</ul>


Policy risk is the biggest uncertainty for domestic medical service sector, without any overseas revenue to “hedge” such risk.
The market places great hope on Topchoice to become a cross-regional enterprise with high growth sustainability. Without a reliable and replicable expansion model, the high valuation is not logical.
Therefore, our view is that the Company's investment logic has been shaken. Topchoice Medical (600763 CH) could be a short-term trade, but not long-term hold.


Topchoice Medical (600763.CH) - The Logic Changes

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>Arrail is a leading premium dental service provider in China. The company launched book building to raise up to USD 87m via a Hong Kong listing.</li>
<li>In our previous notes, we looked at the company's background, its operation, its financials, and its expansion plan, and compared its key metrics with peers and provide thoughts on valuation.</li>
<li>In this note, we provide a quick update for the book building.</li>
</ul>


Arrail is a leading premium dental service provider in China. The company launched book building to raise up to USD 87m via a Hong Kong listing.
In our previous notes, we looked at the company's background, its operation, its financials, and its expansion plan, and compared its key metrics with peers and provide thoughts on valuation.
In this note, we provide a quick update for the book building.


Arrail Group (瑞尔集团) IPO: Downsized Deal Mostly Taken by Cornerstones

<ul>
<li>Arrail is a leading dental service provider in China. The company is looking to raise up to USD100m via a Hong Kong listing.</li>
<li>In our previous note, we looked at the company's background, its operation, its financials, and its expansion plan.</li>
<li>In this note, we compare the key metric with its peer and provide our thoughts on the valuation.</li>
</ul>


Arrail is a leading dental service provider in China. The company is looking to raise up to USD100m via a Hong Kong listing.
In our previous note, we looked at the company's background, its operation, its financials, and its expansion plan.
In this note, we compare the key metric with its peer and provide our thoughts on the valuation.


Arrail Group (瑞尔集团) Pre-IPO:  Peer Comp and Thoughts on Valuation

Angelalign Technology  / Equity Bottom-Up

<p>The IPO of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/angelalign-technology-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31480:1" rel="noopener">Angelalign Technology (6699 HK)</a> was obviously very successful, with the share price hitting an all-time high of HK$490/share in June 2021. However, in the following months, Angelalign’s share price continued to fall and was closed at HK$318.8/share on Oct. 25, down about 35%. On the other hand, Angelalign released it 2021 interim report. The revenue in 2021/1H was RMB571 million, up 85.0% YoY, and the net profit was RMB95.7 million, up 55.8% YoY, indicating good growth momentum. This insight mainly analyzed some points about the business and the concerns that worth investors’ attention.</p>

The IPO of Angelalign Technology (6699 HK) was obviously very successful, with the share price hitting an all-time high of HK$490/share in June 2021. However, in the following months, Angelalign’s share price continued to fall and was closed at HK$318.8/share on Oct. 25, down about 35%. On the other hand, Angelalign released it 2021 interim report. The revenue in 2021/1H was RMB571 million, up 85.0% YoY, and the net profit was RMB95.7 million, up 55.8% YoY, indicating good growth momentum. This insight mainly analyzed some points about the business and the concerns that worth investors’ attention.

Angelalign Technology (6699.HK) - Some Points Worth the Attention

Aier Eye Hospital Group / Equity Bottom-Up

<p>In August, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/aier-eye-hospital-group-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1103:1" rel="noopener">Aier Eye Hospital Group (300015 CH)</a> released its 2021 interim report. The revenue was RMB7.348 billion, up 76.47% YoY. Net profit attributed to shareholders was RMB1.116 billion, up 65.03% YoY. Net profit after deducting non-recurring gains and losses was RMB1.227 billion, up 111.92% YoY. The Company maintained high growth momentum. However, Aier’s share price was closed at RMB51.88/share on September 24, which was down about 28% from its all-time high of RMB72/share in February this year. This insight mainly analyzed the performance in 2021/1H and the concerns of the Company.</p>

In August, Aier Eye Hospital Group (300015 CH) released its 2021 interim report. The revenue was RMB7.348 billion, up 76.47% YoY. Net profit attributed to shareholders was RMB1.116 billion, up 65.03% YoY. Net profit after deducting non-recurring gains and losses was RMB1.227 billion, up 111.92% YoY. The Company maintained high growth momentum. However, Aier’s share price was closed at RMB51.88/share on September 24, which was down about 28% from its all-time high of RMB72/share in February this year. This insight mainly analyzed the performance in 2021/1H and the concerns of the Company.

Aier Eye Hospital Group (300015.CH) - The Concerns Behind the High Growth Momentum

China

China National Medicines Corp. Ltd. wholesales and retails chemical material medicines, western medicine preparations, biochemical medicines, biological products, and Chinese traditional medicines.  Through its subsidiaries, the Company also manufactures pharmaceuticals including injections, capsules, tablets, and other related products under the CNCM brand name.

Tibet Rhodiola Pharmaceutical Holding Co. develops, manufactures, and markets Tibet medicines.  The Company's products include Rhodiola capsules, Rhodiola pellets, and other related medicines.

Zhejiang Dian Diagnostics Co., Ltd. provides medical diagnostic solutions, as an outsourcer, to various general hospitals, specialized hospitals, community health service centers (stations), township (county) hospitals, medical centers,  disease prevention and control centers.

Shenzhen Neptunus Bioengineering Co., Ltd. develops, manufactures, and markets biochemical pharmaceuticals, biological products, traditional Chinese medicines, and healthcare products.  Through its subsidiaries, the Company also manufactures food.

Searainbow Holding Corp., produces chemical fibers and other textile products. The company, through its subsidiaries, also provides medical e-commerce and on-line games.

Nanjing Pharmaceutical Co. Ltd. distributes a broad range of drugs. The Company also manufactures medicines,medical apparatus, chemical reagents, and glassware.

Guangxi Liuzhou Pharmaceutical Co. Ltd. manufactures pharmaceuticals. The Company researches, develops, produces, processes, and distributes capsules, granules, tablets, pills, plasters, and raw material medicines.

Jinxin Fertility Group Limited provides assisted reproductive services. The Company offers vitro fertilization services, embryo transfer services, management services, and other services. Jinxin Fertility Group also provides ancillary medical services.

China Resources Medical Holdings Company Limited operates hospitals and clinics. The Company offers clinical treatment, healthcare management, public sanitary, and other medical health services. China Resources Medical Holdings also operates supply chain management, financing, real estate development, consumption, and other businesses.

Cachet Pharmaceutical Co., Ltd manages pharmaceutical services, wholesale and retail businesses.  The Company also operates the logistics services related to pharmacy.

Mitra Keluarga Karyasehat Tbk PT engages in hospital management and business services. The Company operates hospitals located in the Greater Jakarta Area, Surabaya and Tegal.

Alfresa Holdings Corporation is a holding company established through the merger of Azwell Inc. and Fukujin Co., Ltd.  The Company's subsidiaries mainly wholesale and manufacture medical related products including medicines, reagents, and medical tools and equipment.

SUZUKEN CO., LTD., a subsidiary of Medca Japan, wholesales and manufactures pharmaceutical products mainly to hospitals and practitioners.  The Company also provides medical equipment such as electro-cardiogram and blood pressure measurement.  Suzuken provides construction and repair works to hospitals and maintains patients' clinical records through information systems services.

AMN Healthcare Services, Inc., a temporary healthcare staffing company, provides travel nurse staffing services. The Company places nurses and allied health professionals on temporary assignments at hospitals and healthcare facilities throughout the United States.

Amedisys, Inc. is a multi-regional provider of alternate-site health care services.  The Company offers home health care nursing, home infusion therapy, and ambulatory surgery centers.  Amedisys operates offices within a network of subsidiaries in the southern and southeastern United States.

Dr. Lal PathLabs Limited operates clinical laboratories. The Company offers medical diagnostic, cardiology, radiology, pathology and imaging, health checkup, blood test, and customer care services. Dr. Lal PathLabs conducts its business in India.

Narayana Hrudayalaya Limited operates a network of hospitals. The Company offers cardiac surgery, cardiology, diabetes and endocrinology, gastroenterology, general surgery, neuroscience, facial surgery, nephrology, obstetrics and gynecology, orthopedics, oncology, pediatrics, transplant, and urology services. Narayana Hrudayalaya serves patients worldwide.

Progyny, Inc. operates as a fertility benefits management company in the US with its headquarters in New York City. The Company offers patients a benefits solution with education and guidance from a Patient Care Advocate and access to a network of fertility specialists. Progyny also aims to reduce healthcare costs for employers through their operations.

KPJ Healthcare Berhad is an investment holding company. Through its subsidiaries, the Company operates specialist medical centers and also provides pathology and laboratory services, hospital management services, drug and medical distribution along with operating a nursing college.

PT Siloam International Hospitals Tbk owns and operates hospitals. The Company offers a comprehensive range of specialist medical services including laboratory services, radiology, imaging and complex surgical procedures. Siloam International operates its hospitals throughout Indonesia.

Topchoice Medical Investment Corporation provides dental and oral health care services.

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Topchoice Medical (600763 CH)