HK/China Healthcare Analyst (ex-Fosun Pharma)

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

Equity Bottom-Up

Jinxin Fertility Group  / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>China has started taking measures to optimize fertility policies. The inclusion of assisted reproduction technologies in medical insurance is a general trend, which would generate increasing demand in the future.</li>
<li>From the current domestic assisted reproductive industry chain, there is significant import substitution space and growth potential in the fields of related drugs, prenatal/newborn genetic testing, and downstream medical services.</li>
<li>Companies such as Livzon/BGI/Jinxin would be the direct beneficiaries of related policy. We analyzed the industry characteristics, investment rationale, key risks and comparison with peers of these companies. </li>
</ul>


China has started taking measures to optimize fertility policies. The inclusion of assisted reproduction technologies in medical insurance is a general trend, which would generate increasing demand in the future.
From the current domestic assisted reproductive industry chain, there is significant import substitution space and growth potential in the fields of related drugs, prenatal/newborn genetic testing, and downstream medical services.
Companies such as Livzon/BGI/Jinxin would be the direct beneficiaries of related policy. We analyzed the industry characteristics, investment rationale, key risks and comparison with peers of these companies. 


China Population Policies Impact on Healthcare Companies Series - Part 1

Hygeia Healthcare Group / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>In 2022, Hygeia maintained stable revenue growth but with lower-than-expected profit performance. We think Hygeia’s profitability would improve gradually in the future as more and more new hospitals become break-even.</li>
<li>Different from Aier/Topchoice, Hygeia’s acquired hospitals would be directly incorporated into the listed company, which means all aspects of consideration would be prudent. This is clearly more beneficial for investors/shareholders.</li>
<li>Hygeia’s business model has proven to be replicable.The implementation of DRG policy has no significant impact on profitability. Hygeia is expected to have higher valuation than Aier/Topchoice in the future.</li>
</ul>


In 2022, Hygeia maintained stable revenue growth but with lower-than-expected profit performance. We think Hygeia’s profitability would improve gradually in the future as more and more new hospitals become break-even.
Different from Aier/Topchoice, Hygeia’s acquired hospitals would be directly incorporated into the listed company, which means all aspects of consideration would be prudent. This is clearly more beneficial for investors/shareholders.
Hygeia’s business model has proven to be replicable.The implementation of DRG policy has no significant impact on profitability. Hygeia is expected to have higher valuation than Aier/Topchoice in the future.


Hygeia Healthcare (6078.HK) - Profits Fell Short of Expectations, but the Outlook Remains Positive

Shanghai Haohai Biological Tec / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>The General Office of the State Council issued favorable policy for TCM industry. However, TCM still has to face VBP, therefore <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/zhangzhou-pientzehuang-pharmaceutical-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15709:1" rel="noopener">Zhangzhou Pientzehuang Pharmaceutical Co. (600436 CH)</a> and Gushengtang are our top picks..</li>
<li>Pfizer is in talks to acquire Seagen in a deal worth over US$30 billion, but we remain conservative about whether this transaction would ultimately bring expected contributions to Pfizer.</li>
<li>Haohai’s business model fails to bring ideal performance. Increasing competition/declining gross margin cast doubts on the outlook of medical aesthetics business. We’re not optimistic about its potential valuation upside.</li>
</ul>


The General Office of the State Council issued favorable policy for TCM industry. However, TCM still has to face VBP, therefore Zhangzhou Pientzehuang Pharmaceutical Co. (600436 CH) and Gushengtang are our top picks..
Pfizer is in talks to acquire Seagen in a deal worth over US$30 billion, but we remain conservative about whether this transaction would ultimately bring expected contributions to Pfizer.
Haohai’s business model fails to bring ideal performance. Increasing competition/declining gross margin cast doubts on the outlook of medical aesthetics business. We’re not optimistic about its potential valuation upside.


China Healthcare Weekly (March.3) - TCM New Policy, Pfizer to Acquire Seagen, Haohai Biological

<ul>
<li>It’s necessary for investors to understand the “true secret” of Topchoice’s success, which is impossible to copy. This is also the core reason why we’re not optimistic about the company. </li>
<li>The profit margin decline of dental implant and orthodontics businesses is inevitable, not only due to centralized procurement, but also the fierce competition of private dental hospitals in price war.</li>
<li>Topchoice is now paying for its ambition to deviate from its main business. The overall performance in 2022 may not be optimistic. We think Topchoice’s good times are over.</li>
</ul>


It’s necessary for investors to understand the “true secret” of Topchoice’s success, which is impossible to copy. This is also the core reason why we’re not optimistic about the company. 
The profit margin decline of dental implant and orthodontics businesses is inevitable, not only due to centralized procurement, but also the fierce competition of private dental hospitals in price war.
Topchoice is now paying for its ambition to deviate from its main business. The overall performance in 2022 may not be optimistic. We think Topchoice’s good times are over.


Topchoice Medical (600763.CH) - The “True Secret” of Success and the Lost Luck

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>Thirteen important departments formulated the “Work Plan for Supporting the High-quality Development of State-owned Enterprise (SOE)-run Medical Institutions”(the “Work Plan”), which reflects a significant change in government's attitude towards SOE-run hospitals.</li>
<li>The core goal of “Work Plan” is to make public medical system bigger and stronger.Changes will occur with the participation of central enterprises. It's time to change the thinking mode.</li>
<li>Government-Run hospitals/SOE-run hospitals are still the main force of China's medical service market. Their status will be higher than that of private hospitals, whose development space would be further squeezed.</li>
</ul>


Thirteen important departments formulated the “Work Plan for Supporting the High-quality Development of State-owned Enterprise (SOE)-run Medical Institutions”(the “Work Plan”), which reflects a significant change in government's attitude towards SOE-run hospitals.
The core goal of “Work Plan” is to make public medical system bigger and stronger.Changes will occur with the participation of central enterprises. It's time to change the thinking mode.
Government-Run hospitals/SOE-run hospitals are still the main force of China's medical service market. Their status will be higher than that of private hospitals, whose development space would be further squeezed.


Reform in China's Medical Service Industry: SOE-Run Hospitals Usher in a Critical Turning Point

China

Topchoice Medical Investment Corporation provides dental and oral health care services.

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Topchoice Medical (600763 CH)

China Population Policies Impact on Healthcare Companies Series - Part 1

China's population problem is already very serious. So, the government has begun to take a series of measures to optimize fertility policies. We...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

Hygeia Healthcare (6078.HK) - Profits Fell Short of Expectations, but the Outlook Remains Positive

It takes time for Hygeia to deliver stable/good profit performance considering its business nature. Due to its replicable development model, there...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

China Healthcare Weekly (March.3) - TCM New Policy, Pfizer to Acquire Seagen, Haohai Biological

New favorable policy for TCM industry was released. We analyzed our top picks. Pfizer is in talks to acquire Seagen, but we're conservative about...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang