Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>The Japanese Financial Services Agency has asked the general insurers to reduce/eliminate their cross-shareholdings.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sompo-holdings-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:632:1" rel="noopener">Sompo Holdings (8630 JP)</a> had a stake over US$100m in at least 16 listed Japanese stocks, amounting to a total of around US$6bn.</li>
<li>In this note, we take a look at its stakes in various companies to see which ones could possibly be candidates for further selldowns.</li>
</ul>


The Japanese Financial Services Agency has asked the general insurers to reduce/eliminate their cross-shareholdings.

Sompo Holdings (8630 JP) had a stake over US$100m in at least 16 listed Japanese stocks, amounting to a total of around US$6bn.
In this note, we take a look at its stakes in various companies to see which ones could possibly be candidates for further selldowns.


Sompo Holdings Cross-Shareholding - At Least US$8bn of Cross-Shareholding to Sell

Metals, Ores, and Mining Firms, Mint Finance

Pranay Yadav

Metals, Ores, and Mining Firms

Deep Fundamental Analysis

Mint Finance

Mint Finance's investment research blends deep fundamental analysis with technical & quant insights. Investment strategies straddle across multiple asset classes with risk management embedded into every trade to deliver an outsized reward-to-risk ratio.

Mint Finance's research is centered around three key themes. First, energy transition and climate change. Second, artificial intelligence. Third, shifting world order with its impact across politics and monetary economics.

Cross Asset Strategy

<ul>
<li>TSE market reforms are helping underperforming Japanese firms improve profitability. </li>
<li>Japanese equities remain undervalued relative to the US with lower P/E and PEG ratios. While Japanese firms still lag on CAPEX growth, dividend growth has been higher than the US.</li>
<li>Nikkei faces headwinds from the potential strengthening of the Yen as BoJ shifts towards less accommodative policy. For now, the impact is minimal. </li>
</ul>


TSE market reforms are helping underperforming Japanese firms improve profitability. 
Japanese equities remain undervalued relative to the US with lower P/E and PEG ratios. While Japanese firms still lag on CAPEX growth, dividend growth has been higher than the US.
Nikkei faces headwinds from the potential strengthening of the Yen as BoJ shifts towards less accommodative policy. For now, the impact is minimal. 


Despite Record Crushing Ascent, Japanese Stocks Remain Bullish

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

Travis Lundy

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

<ul>
<li>The March 2024 rebal is done and dusted. When announced, there were 2 prospective DELETEs for Sep 2024. Now there is only one expected DELETE, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nippon-paper-industries-co-l" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:557:1" rel="noopener">Nippon Paper Industries (3863 JP)</a>. </li>
<li>The one likely inclusion is therefore <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ryohin-keikaku-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:2765:1" rel="noopener">Ryohin Keikaku (7453 JP)</a>. But there is more fun afoot with <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/fast-retailing-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:751:1" rel="noopener">Fast Retailing (9983 JP)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tokyo-electron-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:280:1" rel="noopener">Tokyo Electron (8035 JP)</a>. </li>
<li>The two stocks - of totally different sectors - interact somewhat, both in determining Nikkei 225 direction, and their relative potential selldowns. </li>
</ul>


The March 2024 rebal is done and dusted. When announced, there were 2 prospective DELETEs for Sep 2024. Now there is only one expected DELETE, Nippon Paper Industries (3863 JP). 
The one likely inclusion is therefore Ryohin Keikaku (7453 JP). But there is more fun afoot with Fast Retailing (9983 JP) and Tokyo Electron (8035 JP). 
The two stocks - of totally different sectors - interact somewhat, both in determining Nikkei 225 direction, and their relative potential selldowns. 


Sep24 Nikkei 225 Rebal - Now 1 ADD, 1 DELETE; Fastie+TEL Still Where the Fun Is

IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Equity Capital Markets

Kokusai Electric  / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kokusai-electric-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:40152:1" rel="noopener">Kokusai Electric (6525 JP)</a>’s 180-day IPO lock-up period for 71% of outstanding shares expires on 22 April. The shares exiting the lock-up period are worth US$4.8 billion.</li>
<li>The likely seller will be <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kkr-co-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27333:1" rel="noopener">KKR &amp; (KKR US)</a> as it was the sole selling shareholder in the IPO. The shares are currently trading at 2.4x the IPO price.</li>
<li>Kokusai anticipates a return to growth and margin improvement in FY24. However, Kokusai trades at a material premium to peer multiples and is fully priced. </li>
</ul>



Kokusai Electric (6525 JP)’s 180-day IPO lock-up period for 71% of outstanding shares expires on 22 April. The shares exiting the lock-up period are worth US$4.8 billion.
The likely seller will be KKR &amp; (KKR US) as it was the sole selling shareholder in the IPO. The shares are currently trading at 2.4x the IPO price.
Kokusai anticipates a return to growth and margin improvement in FY24. However, Kokusai trades at a material premium to peer multiples and is fully priced. 


Kokusai Electric (6525 JP): The US$4.8 Billion Lock up Expiry

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/fast-retailing-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:751:1" rel="noopener">Fast Retailing (9983 JP)</a> is the largest weight in the Nikkei 225. On Friday, it closed at 11.36% of the Nikkei 225, putting it well above the 10% cap level.</li>
<li>If the stock is above 10% on a pro-forma basis on the base date of 31 July 2024, it will get a capping coefficient. 8.4mm shares (US$2.5bn) to sell.</li>
<li>At Friday's close, we were borderline above a <em>double</em>-downweight trigger. At Monday's open, just below. 30mins later? Back well above. Lots of interesting issues and nuances here for a short.</li>
</ul>



Fast Retailing (9983 JP) is the largest weight in the Nikkei 225. On Friday, it closed at 11.36% of the Nikkei 225, putting it well above the 10% cap level.
If the stock is above 10% on a pro-forma basis on the base date of 31 July 2024, it will get a capping coefficient. 8.4mm shares (US$2.5bn) to sell.
At Friday's close, we were borderline above a double-downweight trigger. At Monday's open, just below. 30mins later? Back well above. Lots of interesting issues and nuances here for a short.


Fast Retailing (9983) - Now At Double Downweight Levels

Japan

Tokyo Electron Limited manufactures and sells industrial electronics products, such as semiconductor manufacturing machines, computer system, and electronic components.  The Company products are sold in US, Taiwan, and others as well as in Japan.

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Tokyo Electron Ltd Unsp Adr (TOELY US)

Sompo Holdings Cross-Shareholding - At Least US$8bn of Cross-Shareholding to Sell

The Japanese Financial Services Agency has asked the general insurers to reduce/eliminate their cross-shareholdings. Sompo had a stake of over...

Sumeet Singh

Despite Record Crushing Ascent, Japanese Stocks Remain Bullish

TSE market reforms boost profitability for Japanese firms, undervalued compared to US equities. Nikkei faces potential headwinds from stronger Yen...

Mint Finance

Sep24 Nikkei 225 Rebal - Now 1 ADD, 1 DELETE; Fastie+TEL Still Where the Fun Is

The Sep 2024 Nikkei 225 review now threatens to be 1 small ADD and 1 small DELETE but two-way flow of US$9bn+. The fun is on Fast Retailing and...

Travis Lundy

Kokusai Electric (6525 JP): The US$4.8 Billion Lock up Expiry

Kokusai’s 180-day IPO lock-up period for 71% of outstanding shares expires on 22 April. Kokusai trades at a material premium to peer multiples and...

Arun George

Fast Retailing (9983) - Now At Double Downweight Levels

Now clearly into double-sell territory but nota bene: A double sell only works for the first couple of %, then we're back into single-sell...

Travis Lundy

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Sompo Holdings Cross-Shareholding - At Least US$8bn of Cross-Shareholding to Sell

The Japanese Financial Services Agency has asked the general insurers to reduce/eliminate their cross-shareholdings. Sompo had a stake of over...

Sumeet Singh

Despite Record Crushing Ascent, Japanese Stocks Remain Bullish

​TSE market reforms boost profitability for Japanese firms, undervalued compared to US equities. Nikkei faces potential headwinds from stronger Yen...

Mint Finance

Sep24 Nikkei 225 Rebal - Now 1 ADD, 1 DELETE; Fastie+TEL Still Where the Fun Is

The Sep 2024 Nikkei 225 review now threatens to be 1 small ADD and 1 small DELETE but two-way flow of US$9bn+. The fun is on Fast Retailing and...

Travis Lundy

Kokusai Electric (6525 JP): The US$4.8 Billion Lock up Expiry

Kokusai’s 180-day IPO lock-up period for 71% of outstanding shares expires on 22 April. Kokusai trades at a material premium to peer multiples and...

Arun George

Fast Retailing (9983) - Now At Double Downweight Levels

Now clearly into double-sell territory but nota bene: A double sell only works for the first couple of %, then we're back into single-sell...

Travis Lundy

TSE market reforms boost profitability for Japanese firms, undervalued compared to US equities. Nikkei faces potential headwinds from stronger Yen...