Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

Travis Lundy

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>The New and Better (17 weeks old) A-H Monitor has tables, charts, measures galore to track A/H premium positioning, southbound and northbound positioning/volatility in pairs over time, etc.</li>
<li>Hs with H/A pairs under-perform their As on average. H/A Pair intracorrelation is up and A premia continue to trend better.</li>
<li>SOUTHBOUND and NORTHBOUND were net sells overall. Everybody sold tech.</li>
</ul>


The New and Better (17 weeks old) A-H Monitor has tables, charts, measures galore to track A/H premium positioning, southbound and northbound positioning/volatility in pairs over time, etc.
Hs with H/A pairs under-perform their As on average. H/A Pair intracorrelation is up and A premia continue to trend better.
SOUTHBOUND and NORTHBOUND were net sells overall. Everybody sold tech.


A/H Premium Tracker (To 24 Nov 23): H Down Vs A, SOUTHBOUND Selling Continues, Tech Still Sold

<ul>
<li>This is the somewhat-brand-spanking-new Quiddity Mainland Connect NORTHBOUND Monitor. We work off the same presentation as the A/H Premium Monitor and HK Connect SOUTHBOUND Monitor.</li>
<li>The same few names continue at the top of the gross flows list - Kweichow Moutai, Contemporary Amperex, Zhongji Innolight, etc, but the nets are changing (and Chongqing Changan)</li>
<li>Last week, NORTHBOUND were again net sellers (RMB -3.16bn), but Shanghai saw net buys. The top two flows were <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/chongqing-changan-automobi-b" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:13472:1" rel="noopener">Chongqing Changan Automobile Company (200625 CH)</a> to buy, BYD to sell.</li>
</ul>


This is the somewhat-brand-spanking-new Quiddity Mainland Connect NORTHBOUND Monitor. We work off the same presentation as the A/H Premium Monitor and HK Connect SOUTHBOUND Monitor.
The same few names continue at the top of the gross flows list - Kweichow Moutai, Contemporary Amperex, Zhongji Innolight, etc, but the nets are changing (and Chongqing Changan)
Last week, NORTHBOUND were again net sellers (RMB -3.16bn), but Shanghai saw net buys. The top two flows were Chongqing Changan Automobile Company (200625 CH) to buy, BYD to sell.


Mainland Connect NORTHBOUND Flows (To 24 Nov 23): Chongqing Changan (Bought) Vs BYD (Sold)

IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Equity Capital Markets

WuXi XDC Cayman  / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/wuxi-xdc-cayman-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:39917:1" rel="noopener">WuXi XDC Cayman (1877628D HK)</a> priced its IPO at HK$20.60 per share to raise the gross proceeds of US$470 million. The shares will start trading tomorrow.</li>
<li>We previously discussed the IPO in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/wuxi-xdc-ipo-the-bull-case" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:116331" rel="noopener">WuXi XDC IPO: The Bull Case</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/wuxi-xdc-ipo-the-bear-case" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:116507" rel="noopener">WuXi XDC IPO: The Bear Case</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/wuxi-xdc-ipo-valuation-insights" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:116962" rel="noopener">WuXi XDC IPO: Valuation Insights</a>.</li>
<li>The market sentiment on the sector has modestly weakened. However, the IPO price is attractive, with our DCF valuation of HK$22.89 per share, 11.1% above the IPO price.</li>
</ul>



WuXi XDC Cayman (1877628D HK) priced its IPO at HK$20.60 per share to raise the gross proceeds of US$470 million. The shares will start trading tomorrow.
We previously discussed the IPO in WuXi XDC IPO: The Bull Case, WuXi XDC IPO: The Bear Case and WuXi XDC IPO: Valuation Insights.
The market sentiment on the sector has modestly weakened. However, the IPO price is attractive, with our DCF valuation of HK$22.89 per share, 11.1% above the IPO price.


David Blennerhassett

<ul>
<li>On the 10th May, Aussie lithium miner <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/allkem-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:3572:1" rel="noopener">Allkem Ltd (AKE AU)</a> inked a $US10bn+ "merger of equals" with <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/livent-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27434:1" rel="noopener">Livent (LTHM US)</a>, ostensibly forming the world's fifth largest lithium producer.</li>
<li>Allkem's Scheme Meeting is the 19 December, with implementation expected on the 4 January. The IE is supportive and Allkem's board unanimously recommends the transaction. </li>
<li>This looks done. Buy Livent. And get borrow on Livent to be able to short it into the inclusion or in the days following. </li>
</ul>


On the 10th May, Aussie lithium miner Allkem Ltd (AKE AU) inked a $US10bn+ "merger of equals" with Livent (LTHM US), ostensibly forming the world's fifth largest lithium producer.
Allkem's Scheme Meeting is the 19 December, with implementation expected on the 4 January. The IE is supportive and Allkem's board unanimously recommends the transaction. 
This looks done. Buy Livent. And get borrow on Livent to be able to short it into the inclusion or in the days following. 


Allkem/​Livent Merger: 19th December Shareholder Vote

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Midea Group Co Ltd A / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>Two of the biggest deals in the Hong Kong pipeline are A/H listings for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/maanshan-dingtai-rare-a" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:4128:1" rel="noopener">S.F. Holding (002352 CH)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/midea-group-co-ltd-a" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16185:1" rel="noopener">Midea Group (000333 CH)</a>, both looking to raise around US$3bn.</li>
<li>Prior to the deals going live, we had a quick look at the A/H premium, subscription and past performance of some of the earlier A/H listings.</li>
<li>Overall, most of the recent A/H listings haven’t done much in the near term.</li>
</ul>


Two of the biggest deals in the Hong Kong pipeline are A/H listings for S.F. Holding (002352 CH) and Midea Group (000333 CH), both looking to raise around US$3bn.
Prior to the deals going live, we had a quick look at the A/H premium, subscription and past performance of some of the earlier A/H listings.
Overall, most of the recent A/H listings haven’t done much in the near term.


Past A/H Listings Performance - Have Been a Mixed Bag

China

Zhejiang Longsheng Group Co., Ltd. manufactures a variety of dyes including high intensity and rapid-dying Lonsperse Dye. The Company sells its products domestically and exports worldwide.

Zhejiang Longsheng Group Co., (600352 CH)

Zhejiang Huafeng Spandex Co., Ltd. manufactures and markets spandex products.

Hengyi Petrochemical Co., Ltd. manufactures polyester and other petrochemical products.

Zhejiang Weixing New Building Materials Co.,Ltd. develops, manufactures and sells plastic pipes.  The Company's products include poly propylene random (PPR) pipe, polyethylene (PE) pipe, high density polyethylene (HDPE) pipe, and polybutene (PB) pipe.

Zhejiang Weixing New Bldg Mtls (002372 CH)

TongKun Group Co., Ltd. develops, produces and sells polyester and Terylene filament.  The Company also invests in real estate, finance, business trade and education businesses.

Luxi Chemical Group Co., Ltd. manufactures and markets a variety of fertilizers and other chemical products.  The Company's products include urea,  synthetic ammonia, and ammonium acid carbonate.

Jiangsu Yoke Technology Co.,Ltd develops, produces and sells phosphate flame retardant and polyurethane catalyst.  The Company's products include flame retardant, tin catalyst, blowing agent, polyurethane catalyst, and auxiliary agent.

Yunnan Yuntianhua Co., Ltd. manufactures and markets fertilizers and other chemical products.  The Company's products include synthetic ammonia, urea, nitramine, pentaerythritol, sodium formate, and polyformaldehyde.  Yunnan Yuntianhua also manufactures glass fibers and lubricants.

Inner Mongolia Junzheng Energy & Chemical Group Company Limited engages in power generation, power supply, heating power production and supply, trading and chemical products.  The Company's main products include electricity, calcium carbide, ferrosilicon, PVC, and caustic soda.

Inner Mngl Jnzhng Eng & Cmci Gp (601216 CH)

LB Group Co., Ltd. produces and sells chemical products. The Company manufactures and sells titanium, zirconium fine powder materials, and other products. LB Group also exports chemical products.

MITSUBISHI GAS CHEMICAL COMPANY, INC. produces chemical products such as xylene and methanol.  The Company also manufactures engineering plastics and specialty chemicals.

NOF CORPORATION is a diversified chemical producer whose products include processed oil/fats, explosives and other chemical products. The Company has manufacturing/sales subsidiaries in US, Indonesia and China.

Orica Limited is a diversified manufacturing company.  The Company produces industrial and specialty chemicals, polyethylene, surface coatings for vehicles, food and beverage flavoring and fragrances, packaging and appliances. The Company also supplies explosive and blasting services to the mining, quarrying and construction industries.

Incitec Pivot Limited is a fertilizer manufacturer and supplier, and also a supplier for explosives products and services. The Company has operations throughout the United States, Canada, Mexico and Australia.

Resonac Holdings Corporation manufactures and distributes chemical products. The Company produces synthetic resins, petrochemical products, inorganics, and other related products. Resonac Holdings also produces ceramics, metals, carbon, electronic materials, and other products.

Mitsui Chemicals, Inc. manufactures and markets a variety of chemical products. The Company's products include ethylene, propylene and other petrochemicals, basic chemicals, synthetic resins, and fine chemicals.  The Company operates worldwide.

Quaker Chemical Corporation produces, develops, and markets custom-formulated chemical specialty products.  The Company also provides fluid management services for manufacturers around the world, primarily in the steel, automotive, and can industries.

Huntsman Corporation manufactures differentiated and commodity chemical products.  The Company markets a broad range of chemical products and formulations to a diversified group of consumer and industrial customers. Huntsman's products are used in a range of applications, including those in adhesives, aerospace, automotive, construction products, and consumer products.

SKC Co., Ltd. manufactures a variety of films, including polyester films, silicon coated films, and inkjet films.  The Company also produces chemical products, such as propylene oxide, propylene glycol, and styrene monomer. In addition, SKC provides materials for photovoltaic.

Nissan Chemical Industries, Ltd. produces a variety of chemical products, ranging from basic chemicals to functional chemical products.  The Company also manufactures agrochemicals and pharmaceutical products.

Tianqi Lithium Corporation develops, manufactures, and sells lithium products. The Company produces lithium carbonate, lithium chloride, lithium hydroxide, and other related products. Tianqi Lithium markets its products worldwide.

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
Market Cap (USDm)	0.00
P/E	0.00
Dividend (Yield)	0.00

Tianqi Lithium (9696 HK)

A/H Premium Tracker (To 24 Nov 23): H Down Vs A, SOUTHBOUND Selling Continues, Tech Still Sold

The Quiddity A/H Premium tracker (an H/A discount version is also available (and I like that one better)). Hs underperform As. Tech is worst....

Travis Lundy

Mainland Connect NORTHBOUND Flows (To 24 Nov 23): Chongqing Changan (Bought) Vs BYD (Sold)

Mainland Connect (NORTHBOUND) flows continue to sell net selling. This week was RMB -3.16bn. The big buy this week was Chongqing Changan, the big...

Travis Lundy

WuXi XDC IPO: Trading Debut

The market sentiment on the sector has modestly weakened. However, the IPO price is attractive, with our DCF valuation of HK$22.89 per share, 11.1%...

Arun George

Allkem/Livent Merger: 19th December Shareholder Vote

This looks done. Buy Livent (LTHM US). And get borrow on Livent to be able to short it into the inclusion or in days following.

David Blennerhassett

Past A/H Listings Performance - Have Been a Mixed Bag

Two of the biggest deals in the Hong Kong pipeline are A/H listings for S.F. Holding (002352 CH) and Midea Group (000333 CH). In this note, we have...

Sumeet Singh

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

A/H Premium Tracker (To 24 Nov 23): H Down Vs A, SOUTHBOUND Selling Continues, Tech Still Sold

The Quiddity A/H Premium tracker (an H/A discount version is also available (and I like that one better)). Hs underperform As. Tech is worst....

Travis Lundy

Mainland Connect NORTHBOUND Flows (To 24 Nov 23): Chongqing Changan (Bought) Vs BYD (Sold)

Mainland Connect (NORTHBOUND) flows continue to sell net selling. This week was RMB -3.16bn. The big buy this week was Chongqing Changan, the big...

Travis Lundy

WuXi XDC IPO: Trading Debut

The market sentiment on the sector has modestly weakened. However, the IPO price is attractive, with our DCF valuation of HK$22.89 per share, 11.1%...

Arun George

Allkem/​Livent Merger: 19th December Shareholder Vote

This looks done. Buy Livent (LTHM US). And get borrow on Livent to be able to short it into the inclusion or in days following.

David Blennerhassett

Past A/H Listings Performance - Have Been a Mixed Bag

Two of the biggest deals in the Hong Kong pipeline are A/H listings for S.F. Holding (002352 CH) and Midea Group (000333 CH). In this note, we have...

Sumeet Singh

Allkem/Livent Merger: 19th December Shareholder Vote