Overseas Chinese Equities, Aequitas Research

Ming Lu

Overseas Chinese Equities

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>The operating margin in 1Q24 reached the highest since 2Q16, as the gross margins of all businesses improved.</li>
<li>The growth rate of online advertising is high than our estimate, but the growth rate of FinTech is lower than our estimate.</li>
<li>We believe there is still an upside of 9% and the price target will be HK$415 for the end of 2024.</li>
</ul>


The operating margin in 1Q24 reached the highest since 2Q16, as the gross margins of all businesses improved.
The growth rate of online advertising is high than our estimate, but the growth rate of FinTech is lower than our estimate.
We believe there is still an upside of 9% and the price target will be HK$415 for the end of 2024.


Tencent (700 HK): 1Q24, Highest Margin in Seven Years

Quantitative Equity Analyst, DMA

Charlotte van Tiddens, CFA

Quantitative Equity Analyst

Technology-First Company

DMA is a technology-first company that provides an end-to-end SaaS solution to institutional investors. DMA enables regulated entities like asset managers, wealth managers, investment managers and financial advisors to connect their front and back office, break silos and reduce headcount.

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Tencent reported a decent set of results for Q1 FY24. Revenue for the quarter was up 2.8% QoQ and 6.3% YoY, ahead of consensus estimates (2.3% &amp; 5.9%).</li>
<li>The gross margin came in at 53%, 3 percentage points ahead of consensus, and an increase of 7 percentage points on Q1 FY23.</li>
<li>The gross margin for the Fintech and Business Services segment, which accounts for 33% of revenue, increased by 12 percentage points to 46% (consensus 42.6%).</li>
</ul>


Tencent reported a decent set of results for Q1 FY24. Revenue for the quarter was up 2.8% QoQ and 6.3% YoY, ahead of consensus estimates (2.3% &amp; 5.9%).
The gross margin came in at 53%, 3 percentage points ahead of consensus, and an increase of 7 percentage points on Q1 FY23.
The gross margin for the Fintech and Business Services segment, which accounts for 33% of revenue, increased by 12 percentage points to 46% (consensus 42.6%).


Tencent (700 HK): Q1 FY24 Results Quick Take, Margin Expansion Drives Decent Set of Results

Equity Analyst, LightStream Research

Shifara Samsudeen, ACMA, CGMA

Equity Analyst

Long-Short Analysis on Japan, Asia and the World

LightStream Research

LightStream conducts quantitatively rigorous and data-driven analysis with a focus on Japan and Asia.

We consistently cover the Tech, Consumer and Industrial sectors, and provide ECM and Events coverage more broadly.

We supplement traditional qualitative insights from company relationships with a robust quantitative foundation that examines as much historical data as is available.
We further refine the accuracy of our insights and calls through the use of alternative data to flesh out current trends, and through a valuation framework that emphasises non-superficial peer group selection and a proper attempt to understand the metrics and changes that have driven security valuations in the past.

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tencent-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26:1" rel="noopener">Tencent (700 HK)</a> reported 4Q results today. Both revenues and OP increased 7.1% and 42.0% YoY, however, both revenue and OP fell below consensus estimates.</li>
<li>The company also announced an increase to 2023 dividends and more than doublethe size of the company's share buyback in 2024 compared to 2023.</li>
<li>We expect Internet VAS to grow at single-digits in 2024, however, high-margin new products to help boost margins in 2024.</li>
</ul>



Tencent (700 HK) reported 4Q results today. Both revenues and OP increased 7.1% and 42.0% YoY, however, both revenue and OP fell below consensus estimates.
The company also announced an increase to 2023 dividends and more than doublethe size of the company's share buyback in 2024 compared to 2023.
We expect Internet VAS to grow at single-digits in 2024, however, high-margin new products to help boost margins in 2024.


Tencent 4Q2023: Gaming Declines Yet Again, Margins Have Further Upside

<ul>
<li>We believe total revenue will grow by 7% YoY in 1Q24 and faster in the remaining three quarters of 2024.</li>
<li>We believe EPS will grow by 41% to HK$3.80, which is higher than the market consensus.</li>
<li>The stock has risen by 26% since our last Buy rating, but there is still an upside of 9% till the end of 2024.</li>
</ul>


We believe total revenue will grow by 7% YoY in 1Q24 and faster in the remaining three quarters of 2024.
We believe EPS will grow by 41% to HK$3.80, which is higher than the market consensus.
The stock has risen by 26% since our last Buy rating, but there is still an upside of 9% till the end of 2024.


Tencent (700 HK): 1Q24 Preview, EPS Up by 40%, But Upside Narrowed by Significant Price Rise

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

Travis Lundy

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

<ul>
<li>A-Shares only two days of the week and were up small Monday and Tuesday. H-shares took a breather Wednesday after trailing A-shares, then rallied hard on Thursday and Friday. </li>
<li>Net SOUTHBOUND buying was +HK6.0bn. Net buys every day and now 22 days straight, but buying still appears foreign-led price-taking action. </li>
<li>The only big news this week in China/HK was probably the Politburo's new stance of trying to do more for the mainland property market, concentrating on unsold homes. </li>
</ul>


A-Shares only two days of the week and were up small Monday and Tuesday. H-shares took a breather Wednesday after trailing A-shares, then rallied hard on Thursday and Friday. 
Net SOUTHBOUND buying was +HK6.0bn. Net buys every day and now 22 days straight, but buying still appears foreign-led price-taking action. 
The only big news this week in China/HK was probably the Politburo's new stance of trying to do more for the mainland property market, concentrating on unsold homes. 


HK Connect SOUTHBOUND Flows (To 30-Apr/3-May 2024); Banks/SOEs Bought, Meituan, Tencent, Mobile Sold

China

Baidu, Inc. operates an Internet search engine. The Company offers algorithmic search, enterprise search, news, MP3, and image searches, voice assistance, online storage, and navigation services. Baidu serves clients globally.

East Money Information Co., Ltd. operates online financial information platform.  The Company's products include internet advertising and financial data.

NetEase, Inc. is an Internet technology company that develops applications, services and other Internet technologies in China. The Company's core businesses consist of email service, web portal and online entertainment, including online gaming services. NetEase also offers online advertising, search, mobile applications and e-commerce.

Hithink RoyalFlush Information Network Co Ltd provides online financial data, data analysis software, and other financial software system.

Hithink RoyalFlush Information Network (300033 CH)

People.cn Company Limited mainly engages in internet advertising, information services, mobile value-added and technical services. The Company's main products include original messages, government information services, public opinion research and consulting, mobile news, and ISP services.

Autohome Inc is an online destination for automobile consumers in China.  The Company delivers comprehensive, independent and interactive content to automobile buyers and owners.

Wangsu Science & Technology Co., Ltd. provides online business solutions in China. The Company also provides Content Delivery Network (CDN), and Internet Data Centers (IDC).

Shanghai Wangsu Science & Technology Co (300017 CH)

Beijing Sinnet Technology Company Limited provides customers with broadband access services, IDC and its value-added services, and other internet integrated services. The Company's core business are broadband access services, IDC and its value-added services.

GDS Holdings Limited operates as a holding company. The Company, through its subsidiaries, develops and operates data centers. GDS Holdings offers risk and security management, information technology planing, remote monitoring, cloud hosting, virtualization, disaster recovery, and remote data protection services.

INESA Intelligent Tech Inc. operates in the IT industry. The Company designs and manages cloud servers and big data applications for businesses. INESA Intelligent also manufactures electronic components.

eBay Inc. operates an online trading community.  The Company's service is used by buyers and sellers for the exchange of products and services such as coins, collectibles, computers, memorabilia, stamps and toys, as well as concert and sporting tickets.  eBay also offers, through a subsidiary, secure online payment services.

VeriSign Inc provides domain names and Internet security, enabling the world to connect online with reliability and confidence, anytime, anywhere. The Company ensures the security, stability and resiliency of key Internet infrastructure including the .com and .net top-level domains among others. VeriSign also offers intelligence-driven security services.

GoDaddy, Inc. provides a cloud-based web platform for small businesses, web design professionals and individuals. The Company's platform provides applications that help them connect to their customers, manage their businesses and get found online.

Naver Corp. provides Internet site with web portal services, such as search engine, online game and content development.  The Company also offers marketing service through text and banner advertisement.

CoStar Group Inc. provides building-specific information to the United States commercial real estate industry and related industries. The Company's database details office and industrial space. The database provides digitized photographs and floor plan images on individual commercial buildings in the company's markets.

Yandex NV operates an Internet website in Russia.  The Company's website offers an Internet search engine, news, shopping information, blogs, photographs and videos.  Yandex earns its revenues from online advertising.

SPS Commerce Inc provides on-demand supply chain management solutions through an online hosted software suite.  The Company uses pre-built integrations to eliminate on-premise software and support staff to shorten supply cycle times, optimize inventory levels and reduce costs.

Akamai Technologies, Inc. provides services for accelerating and improving the delivery of content and applications over the Internet; ranging from live and on-demand streaming video capabilities to conventional content on websites, to tools that help people transact business and reach out to new and existing customers.

NEXTDC Ltd. develops data centers. The Company develops and operates carrier and systems integrator neutral data centers in Australia. NEXTDC's customers will also be able to use the data centers as connectivity and content hubs.

AppFolio, Inc. provides cloud-based software solutions. The Company offers a cloud-based property management software that allows apartment and residential property managers to market, manage, and grow their business. AppFolio conducts business in the United States.

Tencent Holdings Limited operates as an investment holding company. The Company, through its subsidiaries, provides Internet and mobile value-added services (VAS), online advertising, and e-commerce transactions. Tencent Holdings offers services to users worldwide.

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Tencent (700 HK)

Tencent (700 HK): 1Q24, Highest Margin in Seven Years

The operating margin in 1Q24 reached the highest since 2Q16, as the gross margins of all businesses improved. The growth rate of online advertising...

Ming Lu

Tencent (700 HK): Q1 FY24 Results Quick Take, Margin Expansion Drives Decent Set of Results

Tencent reported a decent set of results for Q1 FY24, driven by notable margin expansion across segments (well ahead of consensus estimates).

DMA

Tencent 4Q2023: Gaming Declines Yet Again, Margins Have Further Upside

Tencent's 4Q revenue and OP grew YoY, but below consensus estimates. Games biz declined again after seeing growth in the last 3-quarters. New high...

Shifara Samsudeen, ACMA, CGMA

Tencent (700 HK): 1Q24 Preview, EPS Up by 40%, But Upside Narrowed by Significant Price Rise

We believe, in 1Q24, rrevenue will grow by 7% YoY and EPS will grow by 41%. The stock has risen by 26% since our last Buy rating, but there is...

Ming Lu

HK Connect SOUTHBOUND Flows (To 30-Apr/3-May 2024); Banks/SOEs Bought, Meituan, Tencent, Mobile Sold

SOUTHBOUND traded only two days this week as Mainland markets were closed Weds onward. Still, they were net buyers. HK ramped sharply Thursday and...

Travis Lundy

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Tencent (700 HK): 1Q24, Highest Margin in Seven Years

The operating margin in 1Q24 reached the highest since 2Q16, as the gross margins of all businesses improved. The growth rate of online advertising...

Ming Lu

Tencent (700 HK): Q1 FY24 Results Quick Take, Margin Expansion Drives Decent Set of Results

Tencent reported a decent set of results for Q1 FY24, driven by notable margin expansion across segments (well ahead of consensus estimates).

DMA

Tencent 4Q2023: Gaming Declines Yet Again, Margins Have Further Upside

​Tencent's 4Q revenue and OP grew YoY, but below consensus estimates. Games biz declined again after seeing growth in the last 3-quarters. New high...

Shifara Samsudeen, ACMA, CGMA

Tencent (700 HK): 1Q24 Preview, EPS Up by 40%, But Upside Narrowed by Significant Price Rise

We believe, in 1Q24, rrevenue will grow by 7% YoY and EPS will grow by 41%. The stock has risen by 26% since our last Buy rating, but there is...

Ming Lu

HK Connect SOUTHBOUND Flows (To 30-Apr/3-May 2024); Banks/SOEs Bought, Meituan, Tencent, Mobile Sold

SOUTHBOUND traded only two days this week as Mainland markets were closed Weds onward. Still, they were net buyers. HK ramped sharply Thursday and...

Travis Lundy

Tencent's 4Q revenue and OP grew YoY, but below consensus estimates. Games biz declined again after seeing growth in the last 3-quarters. New high...