Equity Analyst, LightStream Research

Shifara Samsudeen, ACMA, CGMA

Equity Analyst

Long-Short Analysis on Japan, Asia and the World

LightStream Research

LightStream conducts quantitatively rigorous and data-driven analysis with a focus on Japan and Asia.

We consistently cover the Tech, Consumer and Industrial sectors, and provide ECM and Events coverage more broadly.

We supplement traditional qualitative insights from company relationships with a robust quantitative foundation that examines as much historical data as is available.
We further refine the accuracy of our insights and calls through the use of alternative data to flesh out current trends, and through a valuation framework that emphasises non-superficial peer group selection and a proper attempt to understand the metrics and changes that have driven security valuations in the past.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tencent-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26:1" rel="noopener">Tencent (700 HK)</a>  reported 2Q2022 results today. Revenue increased 3.1% YoY to RMB134.0bn (vs consensus RMB134.6bn) while reported OP for the quarter decreased 42.7% YoY to RMB30.bn (vs consensus RMB36.3bn).</li>
<li>Excluding interest income and gains, adjusted OP decreased 21.2% YoY to RMB23.7bn driven by drop in GPM across all three business segments.</li>
<li>Tencent also mentioned that news article regarding a possible stake sale of Meituan is inaccurate.</li>
</ul>



Tencent (700 HK)  reported 2Q2022 results today. Revenue increased 3.1% YoY to RMB134.0bn (vs consensus RMB134.6bn) while reported OP for the quarter decreased 42.7% YoY to RMB30.bn (vs consensus RMB36.3bn).
Excluding interest income and gains, adjusted OP decreased 21.2% YoY to RMB23.7bn driven by drop in GPM across all three business segments.
Tencent also mentioned that news article regarding a possible stake sale of Meituan is inaccurate.


Overseas Chinese Equities, Aequitas Research

Ming Lu

Overseas Chinese Equities

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

<ul>
<li>In 2Q22, revenue decreased YoY for the first time on record.</li>
<li>Unexpectedly, FinTech revenue stopped growing in 2Q22, as users are conservative in borrowing and investing money.</li>
<li>However, we still believe Tencent’s stock price is overly impacted.</li>
</ul>


In 2Q22, revenue decreased YoY for the first time on record.
Unexpectedly, FinTech revenue stopped growing in 2Q22, as users are conservative in borrowing and investing money.
However, we still believe Tencent’s stock price is overly impacted.


Tencent (700 HK): Revenue Decreased for First Time, Margin Recovering, Price Overly Impacted

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tencent-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26:1" rel="noopener">Tencent (700 HK)</a>'s reported sale of its <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/meituan-dianping" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26970:1" rel="noopener">Meituan (3690 HK)</a> stake led to a selloff on Meituan and on other companies that Tencent has invested in.</li>
<li>There are 10 listed companies where <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tencent-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26:1" rel="noopener">Tencent (700 HK)</a>'s holding is over US$1bn. Some stakes are more likely to be sold than others. </li>
<li>A complete stake sale will benefit some companies more than others since they are part of a wider array of indices and that will bring in passive flow.</li>
</ul>



Tencent (700 HK)'s reported sale of its Meituan (3690 HK) stake led to a selloff on Meituan and on other companies that Tencent has invested in.
There are 10 listed companies where Tencent (700 HK)'s holding is over US$1bn. Some stakes are more likely to be sold than others. 
A complete stake sale will benefit some companies more than others since they are part of a wider array of indices and that will bring in passive flow.


Tencent's Potential Sale of Meituan Stake - Read Across to Other Stocks & Index Implications

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

Australia & New Zealand Bankin / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>ANZ announced a US$2.4bn (A$3.5bn) raising via a renounceable entitlement offer to part fund the purchase of Suncorp Bank in Jul 2022.</li>
<li>The institutional part of the entitlement offer saw a strong take up and the shares have held up well since the deal was announced.</li>
<li>In this note, we will talk about the upcoming retail shortfall bookbuild and other updates since our last note.</li>
</ul>


ANZ announced a US$2.4bn (A$3.5bn) raising via a renounceable entitlement offer to part fund the purchase of Suncorp Bank in Jul 2022.
The institutional part of the entitlement offer saw a strong take up and the shares have held up well since the deal was announced.
In this note, we will talk about the upcoming retail shortfall bookbuild and other updates since our last note.


ANZ Renounceable Entitlement Offer - Could Be a Relatively Large (A$550-750m) Retail Shortfall

Alibaba Group Holding  / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Express parcels increased by 8% YoY in China in July.</li>
<li>TikTok was still the top non-game app in the world in July.</li>
<li>Meituan raised its prices of bike sharing on August 10.</li>
</ul>


Express parcels increased by 8% YoY in China in July.
TikTok was still the top non-game app in the world in July.
Meituan raised its prices of bike sharing on August 10.


China Internet Weekly (15Aug2022): Alibaba, Tencent, Meituan, TikTok, JD, NetEase, Dingdong

China

Tencent Holdings Limited operates as an investment holding company. The Company, through its subsidiaries, provides Internet and mobile value-added services (VAS), online advertising, and e-commerce transactions. Tencent Holdings offers services to users worldwide.

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Tencent (700 HK)

Tencent 2Q: Earnings Weaken Further

2Q2022 earnings fell below consensus as all three segments faced declines. Fintech growth was less than 1% due to Covid where previous outbreak in...

Shifara Samsudeen, ACMA, CGMA

Tencent (700 HK): Revenue Decreased for First Time, Margin Recovering, Price Overly Impacted

In 2Q22, revenue decreased YoY for the first time on record. Unexpectedly, FinTech revenue stopped growing in 2Q22. However, the operating margin...

Ming Lu

Tencent's Potential Sale of Meituan Stake - Read Across to Other Stocks & Index Implications

A Reuters report that Tencent intended to sell its stake in Meituan led to a selloff across Tencent's investee companies. The impact of passive...

Brian Freitas

ANZ Renounceable Entitlement Offer - Could Be a Relatively Large (A$550-750m) Retail Shortfall

ANZ announced a US$2.4bn (A$3.5bn) raising via a renounceable entitlement offer to part fund the purchase of Suncorp Bank in Jul 2022. The retail...

Sumeet Singh

China Internet Weekly (15Aug2022): Alibaba, Tencent, Meituan, TikTok, JD, NetEase, Dingdong

Express parcels increased by 8% YoY in China in July. TikTok is still the top non-game app in the world in July. Meituan raised its prices of bike...

Ming Lu

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