Equity Analyst, LightStream Research

Shifara Samsudeen, ACMA, CGMA

Equity Analyst

Long-Short Analysis on Japan, Asia and the World

LightStream Research

LightStream conducts quantitatively rigorous and data-driven analysis with a focus on Japan and Asia.

We consistently cover the Tech, Consumer and Industrial sectors, and provide ECM and Events coverage more broadly.

We supplement traditional qualitative insights from company relationships with a robust quantitative foundation that examines as much historical data as is available.
We further refine the accuracy of our insights and calls through the use of alternative data to flesh out current trends, and through a valuation framework that emphasises non-superficial peer group selection and a proper attempt to understand the metrics and changes that have driven security valuations in the past.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tencent-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26:1" rel="noopener">Tencent (700 HK)</a> reported 2Q2024 results today which beat consensus. Domestic gaming resumed growth driven by the successful launch of DnF Mobile which continues to dominate charts in China.</li>
<li>All three business segments saw improvement in margins driven by Tencent's high-margin businesses incl. mini-programs, video accounts, short-videos, etc.</li>
<li>We expect continued recovery in Tencent’s earnings, however, remain cautious given slowdown in consumption spending and macroeconomic uncertainties.</li>
</ul>



Tencent (700 HK) reported 2Q2024 results today which beat consensus. Domestic gaming resumed growth driven by the successful launch of DnF Mobile which continues to dominate charts in China.
All three business segments saw improvement in margins driven by Tencent's high-margin businesses incl. mini-programs, video accounts, short-videos, etc.
We expect continued recovery in Tencent’s earnings, however, remain cautious given slowdown in consumption spending and macroeconomic uncertainties.


Tencent 2Q: Recent Launch of DnF Mobile Helps Domestic Gaming Return to Growth

Overseas Chinese Equities, Aequitas Research

Ming Lu

Overseas Chinese Equities

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

<ul>
<li>Total revenue increased by 8% YoY in 2Q24, lightly higher than 1Q24 and 4Q23.</li>
<li>The gross margins of all business lines Improved significantly YoY.</li>
<li>We set the upside at 35% and the price target at HK$506 for the end of 2025. Buy.</li>
</ul>


Total revenue increased by 8% YoY in 2Q24, lightly higher than 1Q24 and 4Q23.
The gross margins of all business lines Improved significantly YoY.
We set the upside at 35% and the price target at HK$506 for the end of 2025. Buy.


Tencent (700 HK): 2Q24, Gross Margins of All Business Lines Improved Significantly

Equity Derivatives and Volatility Specialist, Clifton Derivatives

John Ley

Equity Derivatives and Volatility Specialist

Clifton Derivatives

Independent derivative and volatility research firm focusing on events/catalysts, earnings, relative value and cross asset volatility strategies.

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hong-kong-hang-seng-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22899" rel="noopener">Hang Seng Index (HSI INDEX)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shanghai-shenzhen-csi-300-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22906" rel="noopener">Shanghai Shenzhen CSI 300 Index (SHSZ300 INDEX EQUITY)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nikkei-225" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22909" rel="noopener">Nikkei 225 (NKY INDEX)</a> all have elevated implied vols vs their peers and vs historical observations for October.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nifty-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:23617" rel="noopener">NIFTY Index (NIFTY INDEX)</a> , <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/s-p-500-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22886" rel="noopener">S&amp;P 500 INDEX (SPX INDEX)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/s-p-asx-200" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22901" rel="noopener">S&amp;P/ASX 200 (AS51 INDEX)</a>  implied vols are on the low end of what is typically realized in October.</li>
<li>Most markets see price weakness in the 3rd week of the month with realized volatility underperforming over the back half of the month.</li>
</ul>



Hang Seng Index (HSI INDEX), Shanghai Shenzhen CSI 300 Index (SHSZ300 INDEX EQUITY) and Nikkei 225 (NKY INDEX) all have elevated implied vols vs their peers and vs historical observations for October.

NIFTY Index (NIFTY INDEX) , S&amp;P 500 INDEX (SPX INDEX) and S&amp;P/ASX 200 (AS51 INDEX)  implied vols are on the low end of what is typically realized in October.
Most markets see price weakness in the 3rd week of the month with realized volatility underperforming over the back half of the month.


EQD | Asia Monthly Vol Roadmap: Elevated IV's in CSI300 and Hang Seng Present Tactical Opportunity

Quantitative Equity Analyst, DMA

Charlotte van Tiddens, CFA

Quantitative Equity Analyst

Technology-First Company

DMA is a technology-first company that provides an end-to-end SaaS solution to institutional investors. DMA enables regulated entities like asset managers, wealth managers, investment managers and financial advisors to connect their front and back office, break silos and reduce headcount.

<ul>
<li>Last night, MSC published index changes due at the August rebalance. There will be no changes to SA constituents.</li>
<li>The rebalance is set to take place at the end of the month on Friday the 30th.</li>
<li>Tomorrow after the HK close, Tencent is expected to report results for 2Q FY24.</li>
</ul>


Last night, MSC published index changes due at the August rebalance. There will be no changes to SA constituents.
The rebalance is set to take place at the end of the month on Friday the 30th.
Tomorrow after the HK close, Tencent is expected to report results for 2Q FY24.


Tencent to Report 2Q FY24 Results (What Is Priced?), MSC Index Changes for Aug Rebalance Published

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

Travis Lundy

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

<ul>
<li>SOUTHBOUND was again a net buyer, for HK$15.2bn this week (now 27wks in a row of net buying), on smallish two-way volumes. Better than the previous month but still low.</li>
<li>Bank net buying, which had spiked the previous week, didn't follow through.</li>
<li>There were three ETFs in the top 15 SOUTHBOUND net buys this past week, reversing last week, which reversed the week before's flows.</li>
</ul>


SOUTHBOUND was again a net buyer, for HK$15.2bn this week (now 27wks in a row of net buying), on smallish two-way volumes. Better than the previous month but still low.
Bank net buying, which had spiked the previous week, didn't follow through.
There were three ETFs in the top 15 SOUTHBOUND net buys this past week, reversing last week, which reversed the week before's flows.


HK Connect SOUTHBOUND Flows (To 9 Aug 2024); Tencent the Big Buy Again

China

Tencent Holdings Limited operates as an investment holding company. The Company, through its subsidiaries, provides Internet and mobile value-added services (VAS), online advertising, and e-commerce transactions. Tencent Holdings offers services to users worldwide.

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Tencent Holdings (ADR) (TCEHY US)

Tencent 2Q: Recent Launch of DnF Mobile Helps Domestic Gaming Return to Growth

Tencent's 2Q2024 results beats consensus, driven by growth in domestic gaming and high-margin businesses. Domestic gaming resumed growth driven by...

Shifara Samsudeen, ACMA, CGMA

Tencent (700 HK): 2Q24, Gross Margins of All Business Lines Improved Significantly

Total revenue increased by 8% YoY in 2Q24, lightly higher than 1Q24 and 4Q23. The gross margins of all business lines Improved significantly YoY.

Ming Lu

EQD | Asia Monthly Vol Roadmap: Elevated IV's in CSI300 and Hang Seng Present Tactical Opportunity

Implied volatility levels across key Asian indices present several tactical opportunities this month for outright or pairs trades...

John Ley

Tencent to Report 2Q FY24 Results (What Is Priced?), MSC Index Changes for Aug Rebalance Published

Tencent is due to report 2Q FY24 results tomorrow. In this insight we explore what is priced and how Tencent has performed relative to peers since...

DMA

HK Connect SOUTHBOUND Flows (To 9 Aug 2024); Tencent the Big Buy Again

27th week in a row that SOUTHBOUND has been a net buyer of HK-listed shares. And for the second time in a row, Tencent was the top net buy. SB net...

Travis Lundy

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Tencent 2Q: Recent Launch of DnF Mobile Helps Domestic Gaming Return to Growth

​Tencent's 2Q2024 results beats consensus, driven by growth in domestic gaming and high-margin businesses. Domestic gaming resumed growth driven by...

Shifara Samsudeen, ACMA, CGMA

Tencent (700 HK): 2Q24, Gross Margins of All Business Lines Improved Significantly

Total revenue increased by 8% YoY in 2Q24, lightly higher than 1Q24 and 4Q23. The gross margins of all business lines Improved significantly YoY.

Ming Lu

EQD | Asia Monthly Vol Roadmap: Elevated IV's in CSI300 and Hang Seng Present Tactical Opportunity

​Implied volatility levels across key Asian indices present several tactical opportunities this month for outright or pairs trades...

John Ley

Tencent to Report 2Q FY24 Results (What Is Priced?), MSC Index Changes for Aug Rebalance Published

Tencent is due to report 2Q FY24 results tomorrow. In this insight we explore what is priced and how Tencent has performed relative to peers since...

DMA

HK Connect SOUTHBOUND Flows (To 9 Aug 2024); Tencent the Big Buy Again

27th week in a row that SOUTHBOUND has been a net buyer of HK-listed shares. And for the second time in a row, Tencent was the top net buy. SB net...

Travis Lundy

Tencent's 2Q2024 results beats consensus, driven by growth in domestic gaming and high-margin businesses. Domestic gaming resumed growth driven by...

Implied volatility levels across key Asian indices present several tactical opportunities this month for outright or pairs trades...