Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

Shanghai Fosun Pharmaceutical (Group) / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Inside is a recap of movements in the last week relating to the Shanghai and Shenzhen-Hong Kong Stock Connect facilities, broken down by company and industry</li>
<li>Overall, the net inflow over the past week was ~HK$4.1bn, split (+HK$1.7bn) for Shanghai and (+HK$2.4bn) for Shenzhen.</li>
<li>The largest inflows were in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tencent-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26:1" rel="noopener">Tencent (700 HK)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/wuxi-apptec" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:23679:1" rel="noopener">Wuxi Biologics (2269 HK)</a>. The largest outflows were in<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/koolearn-technology-holding" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27796:1" rel="noopener">Koolearn (1797 HK)</a>and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-mobile-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27:1" rel="noopener">China Mobile (941 HK)</a>.</li>
</ul>


Inside is a recap of movements in the last week relating to the Shanghai and Shenzhen-Hong Kong Stock Connect facilities, broken down by company and industry
Overall, the net inflow over the past week was ~HK$4.1bn, split (+HK$1.7bn) for Shanghai and (+HK$2.4bn) for Shenzhen.
The largest inflows were in Tencent (700 HK) and Wuxi Biologics (2269 HK). The largest outflows were inKoolearn (1797 HK)and China Mobile (941 HK).


Shanghai/​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​Shenzhen Southbound Connect: Weekly Moves (11 November 2022)

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), CMB International

CMB International

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

Incorporated in Hong Kong, supported by the mainland and targeting in global market, CMB International Capital Corporation Limited (“CMBI”) is an integrated financial institution providing comprehensive and professional services. As a wholly-owned subsidiary of China Merchants Bank ("CMB"), by leveraging on the Group’s synergy and coordination in domestic and overseas markets, as well as CMB’s strong resources and outstanding social reputation, CMBI and its subsidiaries have been actively implementing diversified business strategies and set up an overall layout of main business segments including Corporate Finance, Asset Management, Wealth Management, Global Markets and Structured Finance, etc. Adhering to the philosophy of “being clients oriented and increasing our own values by the way of creating value for clients”, CMBI endeavors to provide quality and integrated financial services to institutional, corporate and individual customers both domestic and overseas including Hong Kong IPO sponsorship and underwriting, share placement and rights issue for listed companies, financial advisors, bonds issuance services, asset management, direct investment, wealth management, equity sales and trading, etc.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>China IaaS + PaaS market grew 30.7% YoY in 1H22, according to IDC data.</li><li>However, this may have slowed to 10-20% YoY in 3Q22, reflected by China Telecom/ China Mobile sluggish cloud revenue growth. </li><li>China cloud spending in 2023E could remain conservative with structural changes</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

China IaaS + PaaS market grew 30.7% YoY in 1H22, according to IDC data.However, this may have slowed to 10-20% YoY in 3Q22, reflected by China Telecom/ China Mobile sluggish cloud revenue growth. China cloud spending in 2023E could remain conservative with structural changesContent is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

China Software & IT Services – China IaaS + PaaS growth slowed further in 3Q22

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyze statistics on top repurchases over one week, one month, one quarter and one year periods ended on Nov 11th based on HKEx daily reports.</li>
<li>In the past 7 days, the top 3 companies that repurchased the most shares from the market were Aia (1299 HK), PetroChina (386 HK), Swire Pacific (19 HK).</li>
<li>In the past 30 days, the top 3 companies that repurchased the most shares from the market were Aia (1299 HK), Tencent (700 HK), Wuxi Biologics (2269 HK).</li>
</ul>


We analyze statistics on top repurchases over one week, one month, one quarter and one year periods ended on Nov 11th based on HKEx daily reports.
In the past 7 days, the top 3 companies that repurchased the most shares from the market were Aia (1299 HK), PetroChina (386 HK), Swire Pacific (19 HK).
In the past 30 days, the top 3 companies that repurchased the most shares from the market were Aia (1299 HK), Tencent (700 HK), Wuxi Biologics (2269 HK).


Hong Kong Buybacks Weekly (Nov 11th): AIA, PetroChina, Swire Pacific

<ul><li>For 3Q22E, social entertainment platforms still face intensifying competition and macro challenges that can weigh on their revenue growth and margin expansion.</li><li>Social entertainment platforms need to innovate their monetization methods and enhance operating efficiency in order to fend off competition and macro headwind, in our view.</li><li>Platforms with concentrated revenue exposure to ad business like Weibo and loss-making platforms like BiliBili (Bili) might be more sensitive to the competition and macro environment.</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

For 3Q22E, social entertainment platforms still face intensifying competition and macro challenges that can weigh on their revenue growth and margin expansion.Social entertainment platforms need to innovate their monetization methods and enhance operating efficiency in order to fend off competition and macro headwind, in our view.Platforms with concentrated revenue exposure to ad business like Weibo and loss-making platforms like BiliBili (Bili) might be more sensitive to the competition and macro environment.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

China Internet– Social Entertainment 3Q22 Preview: Remains Under Pressure

Senior Equity Derivatives Trader

Simon Harris

<ul>
<li>Tencent are due to report earnings next week on Nov 16th</li>
<li>Implied vols are bid up into the event causing an inverted term structure</li>
<li>We see an opportunity to buy long calendar spreads to play a reversion in vol surface</li>
</ul>


Tencent are due to report earnings next week on Nov 16th
Implied vols are bid up into the event causing an inverted term structure
We see an opportunity to buy long calendar spreads to play a reversion in vol surface


EQD | Tencent (700 HK): Buy Calendar Spreads into Earnings

China

Tencent Holdings Limited operates as an investment holding company. The Company, through its subsidiaries, provides Internet and mobile value-added services (VAS), online advertising, and e-commerce transactions. Tencent Holdings offers services to users worldwide.

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Tencent Holdings (ADR) (TCEHY US)

Shanghai/Shenzhen Southbound Connect: Weekly Moves (11 November 2022)

Inside is a recap of movements in the Shanghai/Shenzhen-HK Connect. Overall, the net inflow over the past week was ~HK$4.1bn, split (+HK$1.7bn) for...

David Blennerhassett

China Software & IT Services – China IaaS + PaaS growth slowed further in 3Q22

China IaaS + PaaS market grew 30.7% YoY in 1H22, according to IDC data. However, this may have slowed to 10-20% YoY in 3Q22, reflected by China...

CMB International

Hong Kong Buybacks Weekly (Nov 11th): AIA, PetroChina, Swire Pacific

We analyzed the Hong Kong buyback data in the past week and highlight the top 3 companies that repurchased the most shares were Aia (1299 HK),...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

EQD | Tencent (700 HK): Buy Calendar Spreads into Earnings

A look at the upcoming earnings in Tencent (700 HK). We identify an opportunity to trade the volatility term structure using calendar spreads.

Simon Harris

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Shanghai/​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​Shenzhen Southbound Connect: Weekly Moves (11 November 2022)

Inside is a recap of movements in the Shanghai/Shenzhen-HK Connect. Overall, the net inflow over the past week was ~HK$4.1bn, split (+HK$1.7bn) for...

David Blennerhassett

China Software & IT Services – China IaaS + PaaS growth slowed further in 3Q22

China IaaS + PaaS market grew 30.7% YoY in 1H22, according to IDC data. However, this may have slowed to 10-20% YoY in 3Q22, reflected by China...

CMB International

Hong Kong Buybacks Weekly (Nov 11th): AIA, PetroChina, Swire Pacific

We analyzed the Hong Kong buyback data in the past week and highlight the top 3 companies that repurchased the most shares were Aia (1299 HK),...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

China Internet– Social Entertainment 3Q22 Preview: Remains Under Pressure

For 3Q22E, social entertainment platforms still face intensifying competition and macro challenges that can weigh on their revenue growth and...

CMB International

EQD | Tencent (700 HK): Buy Calendar Spreads into Earnings

A look at the upcoming earnings in Tencent (700 HK). We identify an opportunity to trade the volatility term structure using calendar spreads.

Simon Harris

Shanghai/Shenzhen Southbound Connect: Weekly Moves (11 November 2022)