China/Asia TMT

Shawn Yang

China growth and global non-US Internet equities

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Blue Lotus Research is a Hong Kong Type 4 Licensed investment advisory firm focusing on Chinese growth equities and global non-US Internet equities

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>Futu Holdings: Zero-commission stock trading to debut in Japan next month（-）</li>
<li>BIDU/700.HK/BABA: CAC has approved the filing of 11 LLM products and they are now open to the whole society(+)</li>
<li>Boss Zhipin: China PMI marginal improved, employment activities remain lukewarm</li>
</ul>


Futu Holdings: Zero-commission stock trading to debut in Japan next month（-）
BIDU/700.HK/BABA: CAC has approved the filing of 11 LLM products and they are now open to the whole society(+)
Boss Zhipin: China PMI marginal improved, employment activities remain lukewarm


China TMT Update-FUTU/BIDU/700.HK/BABA/Boss Zhipin-FUTU Expand in Japan/Approval to AI/PMI Improved

<ul>
<li>Novecure's TTF Phase III trial failed to reach end point, negative for ZLAB （-）</li>
<li>"Shining! Umamusume: Pretty Derby" launched by Bilibili on August 29</li>
<li>NPPA recently released the latest batch of August approvals of game license</li>
</ul>


Novecure's TTF Phase III trial failed to reach end point, negative for ZLAB （-）
"Shining! Umamusume: Pretty Derby" launched by Bilibili on August 29
NPPA recently released the latest batch of August approvals of game license


China TMT Update-Zlab/BILI/Tencent/NetEase-The Latest Batch of Game Code/Umamusume: Pretty Derby

Equity Analyst, LightStream Research

Shifara Samsudeen, ACMA, CGMA

Equity Analyst

Long-Short Analysis on Japan, Asia and the World

LightStream Research

LightStream conducts quantitatively rigorous and data-driven analysis with a focus on Japan and Asia.

We consistently cover the Tech, Consumer and Industrial sectors, and provide ECM and Events coverage more broadly.

We supplement traditional qualitative insights from company relationships with a robust quantitative foundation that examines as much historical data as is available.
We further refine the accuracy of our insights and calls through the use of alternative data to flesh out current trends, and through a valuation framework that emphasises non-superficial peer group selection and a proper attempt to understand the metrics and changes that have driven security valuations in the past.

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>Vietnamese tech start-up <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/vng-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26716:1" rel="noopener">VNG (VinaGame) (VNG US)</a> has filed for an IPO in the US and according to news media outlets, the company plans to raise proceeds of around US$300-400m.</li>
<li>VNG’s business model resembles that of China’s <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tencent-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26:1" rel="noopener">Tencent (700 HK)</a> with games accounting for most of VNG’s revenues. Other business segments are in early stages of monetisation.</li>
<li>Our analysis suggests that VNG’s businesses have strong potential and the company could further reduce its operating losses with scale and further financial discipline.</li>
</ul>


Vietnamese tech start-up VNG (VinaGame) (VNG US) has filed for an IPO in the US and according to news media outlets, the company plans to raise proceeds of around US$300-400m.
VNG’s business model resembles that of China’s Tencent (700 HK) with games accounting for most of VNG’s revenues. Other business segments are in early stages of monetisation.
Our analysis suggests that VNG’s businesses have strong potential and the company could further reduce its operating losses with scale and further financial discipline.


<ul>
<li>At the recent Gamescom-Cologne event, both Tencent and NetEase showcased their latest games. We believe that NetEase has a stronger game pipeline compared to Tencent.</li>
<li>According to our estimates, the total annual gross billings from all the games showcased by Tencent should be around RMB 9-12 bn, while NetEase's should be 10-13 bn. </li>
<li>This accounts for approximately 6.3% and 15.6% of their respective gaming revenues in 2024. We maintain a buy rating for both companies, but NetEase remains our top pick.</li>
</ul>


At the recent Gamescom-Cologne event, both Tencent and NetEase showcased their latest games. We believe that NetEase has a stronger game pipeline compared to Tencent.
According to our estimates, the total annual gross billings from all the games showcased by Tencent should be around RMB 9-12 bn, while NetEase's should be 10-13 bn. 
This accounts for approximately 6.3% and 15.6% of their respective gaming revenues in 2024. We maintain a buy rating for both companies, but NetEase remains our top pick.


[Blue Lotus Entertainment Sector Update]: NetEase Has Better Pipeline in Gamescom-Cologne

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/vng-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26716:1" rel="noopener">VNG (VinaGame) (VNG US)</a>, Vietnam’s leading internet platform, aims to raise up to US$300m in its US IPO.</li>
<li>VNG is Vietnam’s leading homegrown digital ecosystem, as per the company, with diverse product offerings across games, communications and media, fintech and other opportunities</li>
<li>In this note, we talk about the not-so-positive aspects of the deal.</li>
</ul>



VNG (VinaGame) (VNG US), Vietnam’s leading internet platform, aims to raise up to US$300m in its US IPO.
VNG is Vietnam’s leading homegrown digital ecosystem, as per the company, with diverse product offerings across games, communications and media, fintech and other opportunities
In this note, we talk about the not-so-positive aspects of the deal.


VNG Pre-IPO - The Negatives - Vietnam’s Mini-Tencent

China

Tencent Holdings Limited operates as an investment holding company. The Company, through its subsidiaries, provides Internet and mobile value-added services (VAS), online advertising, and e-commerce transactions. Tencent Holdings offers services to users worldwide.

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Tencent Holdings (ADR) (TCEHY US)

China TMT Update-FUTU/BIDU/700.HK/BABA/Boss Zhipin-FUTU Expand in Japan/Approval to AI/PMI Improved

Futu: Zero-commission stock trading to debut in Japan next month;BIDU/700.HK/BABA: CAC has approved the filing of 11 LLM products;Boss Zhipin:...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

China TMT Update-Zlab/BILI/Tencent/NetEase-The Latest Batch of Game Code/Umamusume: Pretty Derby

Novecure's TTF Phase III trial failed to reach end point, negative for ZLAB;"Shining! Umamusume: Pretty Derby" launched by Bilibili on August 29;...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

VNG IPO: Scaling Up

Apart from games which account for a majority, VNG's other businesses are in early stages of monetisation. VNG's businesses show strong potential...

Shifara Samsudeen, ACMA, CGMA

[Blue Lotus Entertainment Sector Update]: NetEase Has Better Pipeline in Gamescom-Cologne

At the recent Gamescom-Cologne event, both Tencent and NetEase showcased their latest games. We believe that NetEase has a stronger game pipeline...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

VNG Pre-IPO - The Negatives - Vietnam’s Mini-Tencent

VNG (VinaGame) (VNG US), Vietnam’s leading internet platform, aims to raise up to US$300m in its US IPO. In this note, we talk about the not-so...

Sumeet Singh

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