External broker reports(aggregated public sources), HDFC Securities

HDFC Securities

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

HDFC securities is the best online trading platform for stocks, IPOs, mutual fund in India. 

Content available is external broker reports authored by a third party outside the Smartkarma network and has been aggregated by an online aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed by Smartkarma in this format for user's convenience and general informational purposes only. Content does not constitute investment or financial advice and Smartkarma makes no representation or warranty regarding its accuracy or contents. Original third party author retains all copyright and other proprietary rights in the content. Access or use of third party links not controlled by Smartkarma are at the user's own risk.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>The power industry is expected to report 28.5% YoY earnings growth, owing to the strong generation growth (+7.3% YoY in Q3FY23) and improved coal availability</li><li>Peak power demand increased by 10% YoY during Q3FY23 to ~193GW, driven by the festive season</li><li>Coal inventory at power plants too improved significantly, led by increased usage of imported coal as the number of stations facing subcritical inventory level declined to 43 in Dec 2022, vs 69 YoY and 54 QoQ</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

The power industry is expected to report 28.5% YoY earnings growth, owing to the strong generation growth (+7.3% YoY in Q3FY23) and improved coal availabilityPeak power demand increased by 10% YoY during Q3FY23 to ~193GW, driven by the festive seasonCoal inventory at power plants too improved significantly, led by increased usage of imported coal as the number of stations facing subcritical inventory level declined to 43 in Dec 2022, vs 69 YoY and 54 QoQContent is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Power (3QFY23 Results Preview): Demand remains strong; coal inventory improves

<ul><li>Larsen &amp; Toubro: Larsen &amp; Toubro (LT) reported strong performance in Q2FY23, with revenue/EBITDA/PAT beating our estimates by 7/11/21% respectively</li><li>Tendering during the quarter was strong; however, awarding was muted with the award to tender ratio at 34% (vs 69% in Q1FY23)</li><li>EBITDA margin, at 11.5%, was stable due to improved performance in financial services and Hyderabad metro, which saw ridership improving to 355k per day</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Larsen &amp; Toubro: Larsen &amp; Toubro (LT) reported strong performance in Q2FY23, with revenue/EBITDA/PAT beating our estimates by 7/11/21% respectivelyTendering during the quarter was strong; however, awarding was muted with the award to tender ratio at 34% (vs 69% in Q1FY23)EBITDA margin, at 11.5%, was stable due to improved performance in financial services and Hyderabad metro, which saw ridership improving to 355k per dayContent is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

HSIE Results Daily: Larsen & Toubro, Tata Power, Supreme Industries

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>In Q2FY23, Tata Power’s consolidated revenue increased 43% YoY to INR140bn, above our estimate of INR132bn</li><li>Strong operational performance across its regulated, standalone (including Mundra), coal SPV and renewable business were the key underpinnings</li><li>EBITDA grew marginally 5.8% YoY on the back of higher availability at Mundra, capacity addition in renewables and higher efficiencies in the distribution business</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

In Q2FY23, Tata Power’s consolidated revenue increased 43% YoY to INR140bn, above our estimate of INR132bnStrong operational performance across its regulated, standalone (including Mundra), coal SPV and renewable business were the key underpinningsEBITDA grew marginally 5.8% YoY on the back of higher availability at Mundra, capacity addition in renewables and higher efficiencies in the distribution businessContent is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Tata Power (Q2FY23): Stable All-Round Performance. Upgrade to ADD

Pan-Asia Index Flows & Special Situations, Quiddity Advisors

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Pan-Asia Index Flows & Special Situations

Quiddity Advisors

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>In this insight, we take a look at the potential ADDs/DELs for the NIFTY 50, 100, and 500 Indices in the run up to the March 2023 Rebalance.</li>
<li>The completion of the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/housing-development-finance" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:252:1" rel="noopener">HDFC Limited (HDFC IN)</a> - <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hdfc-bank-ltd-4b6b7a92-9087-468d-9dbe-ab169e77f014" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:558:1" rel="noopener">HDFC Bank (HDFCB IN)</a> merger is the most significant event that can trigger intra-review changes in the next few months.</li>
<li>NIFTY Indices Limited also initiated a market consultation recently on the "treatment of merger/demerger in Nifty equity indices" and the outcome could have important index consequences for such intra-review changes.</li>
</ul>


In this insight, we take a look at the potential ADDs/DELs for the NIFTY 50, 100, and 500 Indices in the run up to the March 2023 Rebalance.
The completion of the HDFC Limited (HDFC IN) - HDFC Bank (HDFCB IN) merger is the most significant event that can trigger intra-review changes in the next few months.
NIFTY Indices Limited also initiated a market consultation recently on the "treatment of merger/demerger in Nifty equity indices" and the outcome could have important index consequences for such intra-review changes.


NIFTY Quiddity Leaderboard Mar 23: HDFC Merger, Pidilite, and Adani Power Leading the Race, and More

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

<ul>
<li>There was a lot of confusion around how NSE Indices would handle the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/housing-development-finance" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:252:1" rel="noopener">HDFC Limited (HDFC IN)</a> / <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hdfc-bank-ltd-4b6b7a92-9087-468d-9dbe-ab169e77f014" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:558:1" rel="noopener">HDFC Bank (HDFCB IN)</a> merger in its indices.</li>
<li>The market consultation seeks to change the index methodology to bring it in line with other index providers. That will result in much lower turnover than the existing index methodology.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/pidilite-industries-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20573:1" rel="noopener">Pidilite Industries (PIDI IN)</a> is a high probability add to the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nifty-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:23617:1" rel="noopener">NIFTY Index</a> possibly in the first quarter of 2023. There will also be changes to <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nifty-next-50-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36053:1" rel="noopener">Nifty Next 50 Index</a>.</li>
</ul>


There was a lot of confusion around how NSE Indices would handle the HDFC Limited (HDFC IN) / HDFC Bank (HDFCB IN) merger in its indices.
The market consultation seeks to change the index methodology to bring it in line with other index providers. That will result in much lower turnover than the existing index methodology.

Pidilite Industries (PIDI IN) is a high probability add to the NIFTY Index possibly in the first quarter of 2023. There will also be changes to Nifty Next 50 Index.


NIFTY Indices: HDFC/HDFCB Merger Driven Market Consultation

India

Tata Power Company Limited generates and supplies electricity in Mumbai and its suburbs. The Company also constructs and operates independent power plants as well as captive power plants for industrial concerns. Tata Power also provides various services related to electricity distribution, erects and commissions transmission lines, and is diversifying into the telecommunications market.

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Tata Power (TPWR IN)

Power (3QFY23 Results Preview): Demand remains strong; coal inventory improves

The power industry is expected to report 28.5% YoY earnings growth, owing to the strong generation growth (+7.3% YoY in Q3FY23) and improved coal...

HDFC Securities

HSIE Results Daily: Larsen & Toubro, Tata Power, Supreme Industries

Larsen & Toubro: Larsen & Toubro (LT) reported strong performance in Q2FY23, with revenue/EBITDA/PAT beating our estimates by 7/11/21% respectively

HDFC Securities

Tata Power (Q2FY23): Stable All-Round Performance. Upgrade to ADD

Strong operational performance across its regulated, standalone (including Mundra), coal SPV and renewable business were the key underpinnings

HDFC Securities

NIFTY Quiddity Leaderboard Mar 23: HDFC Merger, Pidilite, and Adani Power Leading the Race, and More

HDFC could get deleted from NIFTY 50 and 100 in 1H 2023. Currently, Pidilite and Adani Power are leading the race to become intra-review...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

NIFTY Indices: HDFC/HDFCB Merger Driven Market Consultation

NSE Indices' market consultation on merger/demerger treatment will significantly reduce index turnover. We expect the HDFC/HDFCB merger to complete...

Brian Freitas

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