Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>The National Company Law Tribunal (NCLT) has ordered a meeting of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/housing-development-finance" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:252:1" rel="noopener">HDFC Limited</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hdfc-bank-ltd-4b6b7a92-9087-468d-9dbe-ab169e77f014" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:558:1" rel="noopener">HDFC Bank</a> shareholders on 25 November to consider and approve the proposed Scheme of Amalgamation.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/pidilite-industries-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20573:1" rel="noopener">Pidilite Industries (PIDI IN)</a> is a high probability ad hoc inclusion to the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nifty-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:23617:1" rel="noopener">NIFTY Index (NIFTY INDEX)</a> with <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tata-power-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15618:1" rel="noopener">Tata Power (TPWR IN)</a> a lower probability inclusion candidate.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tata-motors-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:216:1" rel="noopener">Tata Motors Ltd (TTMT IN)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/adani-enterprises-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:245:1" rel="noopener">Adani Enterprises (ADE IN)</a> could be added to the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/s-p-bse-sensex-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31494:1" rel="noopener">SENSEX INDEX</a> in December replacing <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/housing-development-finance" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:252:1" rel="noopener">HDFC Limited (HDFC IN)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/dr-reddy-s-laboratories-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16406:1" rel="noopener">Dr. Reddy's Laboratories (DRRD IN)</a>.</li>
</ul>


The National Company Law Tribunal (NCLT) has ordered a meeting of HDFC Limited and HDFC Bank shareholders on 25 November to consider and approve the proposed Scheme of Amalgamation.

Pidilite Industries (PIDI IN) is a high probability ad hoc inclusion to the NIFTY Index (NIFTY INDEX) with Tata Power (TPWR IN) a lower probability inclusion candidate.

Tata Motors Ltd (TTMT IN) and Adani Enterprises (ADE IN) could be added to the SENSEX INDEX in December replacing HDFC Limited (HDFC IN) and Dr. Reddy's Laboratories (DRRD IN).


HDFC/HDFCB Merger in the Home Stretch: Potential Changes to NIFTY50, NIFTY100 & SENSEX Indices

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), HDFC Securities

HDFC Securities

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

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Content available is external broker reports authored by a third party outside the Smartkarma network and has been aggregated by an online aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed by Smartkarma in this format for user's convenience and general informational purposes only. Content does not constitute investment or financial advice and Smartkarma makes no representation or warranty regarding its accuracy or contents. Original third party author retains all copyright and other proprietary rights in the content. Access or use of third party links not controlled by Smartkarma are at the user's own risk.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>The power industry is expected to report 19.4% YoY earnings growth, owing to the ongoing spur in power demand and merchant rates, which continued in Q2FY23 as well</li><li>However, demand growth softened to ~5% YoY during Q2FY23 (vs ~17% YoY in Q1FY23) due to high YoY base and monsoon season</li><li>Coal inventory at power plants improved significantly as the number of stations facing subcritical inventory levels declined to 54 in Q2FY23, vs 88 YoY and 79 QoQ</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

The power industry is expected to report 19.4% YoY earnings growth, owing to the ongoing spur in power demand and merchant rates, which continued in Q2FY23 as wellHowever, demand growth softened to ~5% YoY during Q2FY23 (vs ~17% YoY in Q1FY23) due to high YoY base and monsoon seasonCoal inventory at power plants improved significantly as the number of stations facing subcritical inventory levels declined to 54 in Q2FY23, vs 88 YoY and 79 QoQContent is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Power (2QFY23 Results Preview): Demand remains strong; coal inventory improves

<ul>
<li>We attended a solar conference organised by Mercom in New Delhi, which saw participation from notable players like MNRE, SECI, NTPC, Adani Green, Tata Power, Vikram Solar, Azure Power, Acme, Renewsys, Jackson EPC, Longi, and many sectoral experts</li>
<li>The crux of the discussion was on opportunity, scalability, RPO obligations, measures of viability, funding opportunities, and the challenges the industry is facing at present in the renewable sector</li>
<li>While PSUs maintained a positive stance on achievement of the targeted 280GW of solar capacity by FY30, a few unlisted EPC players and developer community were of the opinion that, with issues like the increase in module prices, rupee depreciation, duty imposition on imported cells/modules, land availability, and grid congestion, the country would only be able to achieve ~70% of this target</li>
</ul>
Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.


We attended a solar conference organised by Mercom in New Delhi, which saw participation from notable players like MNRE, SECI, NTPC, Adani Green, Tata Power, Vikram Solar, Azure Power, Acme, Renewsys, Jackson EPC, Longi, and many sectoral experts
The crux of the discussion was on opportunity, scalability, RPO obligations, measures of viability, funding opportunities, and the challenges the industry is facing at present in the renewable sector
While PSUs maintained a positive stance on achievement of the targeted 280GW of solar capacity by FY30, a few unlisted EPC players and developer community were of the opinion that, with issues like the increase in module prices, rupee depreciation, duty imposition on imported cells/modules, land availability, and grid congestion, the country would only be able to achieve ~70% of this target

Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Indian Power Sector: Renewable Solar Summit July 2022

<ul><li>We attended a solar conference organised by Mercom in New Delhi, which saw participation from notable players like MNRE, SECI, NTPC, Adani Green, Tata Power, Vikram Solar, Azure Power, Acme, Renewsys, Jackson EPC, Longi, and many sectoral experts</li><li>The crux of the discussion was on opportunity, scalability, RPO obligations, measures of viability, funding opportunities, and the challenges the industry is facing at present in the renewable sector</li><li>While PSUs maintained a positive stance on achievement of the targeted 280GW of solar capacity by FY30, a few unlisted EPC players and developer community were of the opinion that, with issues like the increase in module prices, rupee depreciation, duty imposition on imported cells/modules, land availability, and grid congestion, the country would only be able to achieve ~70% of this target</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

We attended a solar conference organised by Mercom in New Delhi, which saw participation from notable players like MNRE, SECI, NTPC, Adani Green, Tata Power, Vikram Solar, Azure Power, Acme, Renewsys, Jackson EPC, Longi, and many sectoral expertsThe crux of the discussion was on opportunity, scalability, RPO obligations, measures of viability, funding opportunities, and the challenges the industry is facing at present in the renewable sectorWhile PSUs maintained a positive stance on achievement of the targeted 280GW of solar capacity by FY30, a few unlisted EPC players and developer community were of the opinion that, with issues like the increase in module prices, rupee depreciation, duty imposition on imported cells/modules, land availability, and grid congestion, the country would only be able to achieve ~70% of this targetContent is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Indian Power Sector - Renewable Solar Summit July 2022

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>In Q1FY23, Tata Power’s consolidated revenue increased 43% YoY to INR145bn, led by strong operational performance across its regulated, standalone (including Mundra plant) and renewable business, which was offset by lower execution in the solar EPC segment</li><li>EBITDA, however, declined 28% YoY, led by higher coal prices, margin contraction across the solar EPC business due to increased module prices, and higher Q1FY22 base on favourable tariff order for Mundra</li><li>Accordingly, margin deteriorated to 11.6% in Q1FY23 vs 23.1% YoY</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

In Q1FY23, Tata Power’s consolidated revenue increased 43% YoY to INR145bn, led by strong operational performance across its regulated, standalone (including Mundra plant) and renewable business, which was offset by lower execution in the solar EPC segmentEBITDA, however, declined 28% YoY, led by higher coal prices, margin contraction across the solar EPC business due to increased module prices, and higher Q1FY22 base on favourable tariff order for MundraAccordingly, margin deteriorated to 11.6% in Q1FY23 vs 23.1% YoYContent is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Tata Power - Higher Profitability in Coal SPV Offsets Losses at EPC

India

Adani Transmission Limited provides utility services. The Company offers electricity generation, transmission, and distribution services. Adani Transmission conducts its business globally.

Torrent Power Limited generates, transmits and distributes power. The Company also implements large power projects in India.

SJVN Limited develops, owns, and operates Hydro-electric power projects in India. The Company operates power generating plants in states that include Himachal Pradesh,

CESC Limited generates and supplies electricity in and around Kolkata. The Company also provides consultancy services for setting up power plants and for erecting transformers and electrical equipment.

India Grid Trust operates as an infrastructure investment trust. The Company invests, designs, finances, constructs, and maintains power transmission projects. India Grid Trust serves customers in India.

Reliance Infrastructure Ltd. generates, distributes, and transmits electricity. The Company also builds highways, roads, bridges, rapid transit systems, airports, and other projects. Reliance Infrastructure is a member of the Reliance Anil Dhirubhai Ambani Group.

JSW Energy Limited generates power by using Corex gas and coal. The Company, through its subsidiary, also operates lignite thermal power plant in Rajasthan and has a capacity to produce 3,140 megawatts of electricity. JSW is also present in the power trading and transmission businesses.

GAIL India Limited processes and distributes natural gas and liquefied petroleum gas. The Company is a Government of India undertaking.

NHPC Ltd is a hydro-power development company based in India. The Company has constructed approximately 11 hydro-power projects in India and abroad with a total installed capacity of 2554.35 MW.

Gujarat Gas Limited provides natural gas. The Company supplies piped natural gas to residential, commercial, and industrial customers. Gujarat Gas serves customers in India.

CK Infrastructure Holdings Limited (CKI) operates as a real assets investment company. The Company invests in energy, transportation, water, and electricity generation sectors. CKI serves customers worldwide.

Tenaga Nasional Berhad transmits, distributes, and sells electricity under license issued by the Director General of Electricity Supply. Through its subsidiaries, the Company manufactures, sells and repairs transformers and switchgears. Tenaga Nasional also provides project management and consultancy, engineering works and energy project development services.

Brookfield Infrastructure Partners LP owns and operates infrastructure assets. The Company operates utilities, transport, energy, and communications infrastructure assets in North and South America, Australia, and Europe.

Brookfield Infrastructure Partners L.P. (BIP US)

Alliant Energy Corporation provides public-utility service to customers in the Midwest.  The Company's utility subsidiaries serve electric, natural gas, and water customers in Illinois, Iowa, Minnesota, and Wisconsin.

The Kansai Electric Power Company, Incorporated generates electricity from hydroelectric, thermal, geothermal, and nuclear power sources.  The Company distributes electricity to Osaka and the surrounding Kansai area.  Kansai Electric also constructs and maintains electrical power facilities.

Terna - Rete Elettrica Nazionale SpA transmits electricity over the high-voltage and extra-high voltage grid in Italy.  Through subsidiaries, the Company owns a substantial share of the national electricity transmission grid.

Terna - Rete Elettrica Nazionale (TRN IM)

EDP - Energias de Portugal, S.A. generates, supplies and distributes electricity and the supply of gas in Portugal and Spain. Through subsidiaries, the Company is involved with electricity distribution, generation and supply in Brazil, and wind power promotion, construction and operations in Spain, Portugal, France and Belgium.

Fortum Oyj provides a full range of energy related products and services. The Company's activities cover the generation, distribution, and sale of electricity and heat and steam, as well as the operation of power plants and energy-related services. Fortum operates worldwide but mainly in Northern Europe.

Hydro One Limited is an electrical transmission and distribution utility in Ontario. The company delivers electricity safely and reliably to customers across the province, and to large industrial customers and municipal utilities. Hydro One owns and operates Ontario's transmission and low-voltage distribution network.

Centrais Eletricas Brasileiras S.A. (Eletrobras) generates, transmits, and markets electricity through regional companies in Brazil.  The Company plans, finances, coordinates, and supervises expansion projects for its subsidiaries.

Tata Power Company Limited generates and supplies electricity in Mumbai and its suburbs. The Company also constructs and operates independent power plants as well as captive power plants for industrial concerns. Tata Power also provides various services related to electricity distribution, erects and commissions transmission lines, and is diversifying into the telecommunications market.

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Tata Power (TPWR IN)

HDFC/HDFCB Merger in the Home Stretch: Potential Changes to NIFTY50, NIFTY100 & SENSEX Indices

Approval of the scheme of amalgamation by HDFC & HDFCB shareholders on 25 Nov will trigger changes to the NIFTY and NIFTYJR in December. Sensex...

Brian Freitas

Power (2QFY23 Results Preview): Demand remains strong; coal inventory improves

The power industry is expected to report 19.4% YoY earnings growth, owing to the ongoing spur in power demand and merchant rates, which continued...

HDFC Securities

Indian Power Sector: Renewable Solar Summit July 2022

The crux of the discussion was on opportunity, scalability, RPO obligations, measures of viability, funding opportunities, and the challenges the...

HDFC Securities

Indian Power Sector - Renewable Solar Summit July 2022

The crux of the discussion was on opportunity, scalability, RPO obligations, measures of viability, funding opportunities, and the challenges the...

HDFC Securities

Tata Power - Higher Profitability in Coal SPV Offsets Losses at EPC

Profit improved significantly in the Indonesian coal business, led by high coal prices but earnings from Tata projects were impacted on higher...

HDFC Securities

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