Senior Credit Analyst, Lucror Analytics

Trung Nguyen

Senior Credit Analyst

High Yield Experts

Lucror Analytics

Lucror Analytics is a leading credit and ESG research specialist and a provider of technology solutions for differentiated fixed income strategies. Our roots are in bottom-up fundamental credit analysis with a specialization in high yield corporate credits from Europe, Asia and Latin America. We are one of few research specialists integrating ESG considerations with fundamental credit research through a dedicated ESG platform. Our ESG assessment covers five key criteria: Disclosure, E,S, & G Pillars, Controversies, ESG Impact on Credit and ESG Momentum.

Recognizing the importance and value-add of Factor Investing in fixed income, Lucror developed the Smart Quant Navigator (SQN), an intuitive platform that helps clients devise and implement factor-based strategies ranging from pure quant to active fundamental, with integrated ESG.

Our company has been at the forefront of developments in the fixed income markets, identifying opportunities and consistently delivering new products and value-adding solutions to clients. Lucror has close relationships with the largest and most reputable asset managers, family offices, hedge funds, investment and wealth managers globally.

Credit

In our view, Tata Motors’ Q3/22-23 results were solid and much better than expected, especially in terms of profitability and cash flows. The strong performance was driven by gradual improvement in chip supply, cost savings, product mix and softer commodity prices. Guidance is also positive. The financial risk profile should improve, supported by significantly higher earnings and slightly lower debt. Liquidity, at least at Jaguar Land Rover (JLR), remains sound. JLR has no debt maturities until January 2024. While Tata Motors will likely be able to deliver earnings improvement in H2/22-23, we believe it might be difficult for the company to achieve net-zero auto debt in two years as guided, considering the challenging operating environment. In this context, a revision of this target is warranted.

  In our view, Tata Motors’ Q3/22-23 results were solid and much better than expected, especially in terms of profitability and cash flows. The strong performance was driven by gradual improvement in chip supply, cost savings, product mix and softer commodity prices. Guidance is also positive. The financial risk profile should improve, supported by significantly higher earnings and slightly lower debt. Liquidity, at least at Jaguar Land Rover (JLR), remains sound. JLR has no debt maturities until January 2024.   While Tata Motors will likely be able to deliver earnings improvement in H2/22-23, we believe it might be difficult for the company to achieve net-zero auto debt in two years as guided, considering the challenging operating environment. In this context, a revision of this target is warranted. 

Tata Motors - Earnings Flash - Q3 FY 2022-23 Results - Lucror Analytics

Leonard Law, CFA

Lucror Analytics Morning Views comprise our fundamental credit analysis, opinions and trade recommendations on high yield issuers in the region, based on key company-specific developments in the past 24 hours. Our Morning Views include a section with a brief market commentary, key market indicators and a macroeconomic and corporate event calendar.<ul><li><a href='#lucror-entity-246'>Adani Ports & Special Economic Zone</a></li><li><a href='#lucror-entity-28320'>Azure Power Global Ltd</a></li><li><a href='#lucror-entity-3121'>Lippo Karawaci</a></li><li><a href='#lucror-entity-12763'>Tata Motors ADR</a></li></ul>

Lucror Analytics Morning Views comprise our fundamental credit analysis, opinions and trade recommendations on high yield issuers in the region, based on key company-specific developments in the past 24 hours. Our Morning Views include a section with a brief market commentary, key market indicators and a macroeconomic and corporate event calendar.Adani Ports & Special Economic ZoneAzure Power Global LtdLippo KarawaciTata Motors ADR

Morning Views Asia: Adani Ports & Special Economic Zone, Azure Power Global Ltd, Lippo Karawaci

Lucror Analytics Weekly Wraps provide an overview of all Morning Views comments and reports published by our analyst team in the past week, and also showcase a list of the most-read reports.In this Insight:<ol><li><a href='/entities/china-jinmao-holdings-group' target='_blank' rel='noopener'>China Jinmao Holdings</a></li><li><a href='/entities/guangzhou-r-f-properties-h' target='_blank' rel='noopener'>Guangzhou R&F Properties</a></li><li><a href='/entities/sunac-china-holdings-ltd' target='_blank' rel='noopener'>Sunac China Holdings</a></li><li><a href='/entities/china-evergrande-group' target='_blank' rel='noopener'>Evergrande</a></li><li><a href='/entities/central-china-real-estate-ltd' target='_blank' rel='noopener'>Central China Real Estate</a></li></ol>and more...

Lucror Analytics Weekly Wraps provide an overview of all Morning Views comments and reports published by our analyst team in the past week, and also showcase a list of the most-read reports.In this Insight:China Jinmao HoldingsGuangzhou R&F PropertiesSunac China HoldingsEvergrandeCentral China Real Estateand more...

Pan-Asia Index Flows & Special Situations, Quiddity Advisors

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Pan-Asia Index Flows & Special Situations

Quiddity Advisors

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>With roughly a week left in the reference period, we take a look at the potential ADDs/DELs for the NIFTY 50, 100, and 500 Indices for the March 2023 Rebalance.</li>
<li>For NIFTY 50, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/pidilite-industries-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20573:1" rel="noopener">Pidilite Industries (PIDI IN)</a> is the highest-ranked Potential ADD while <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bharat-petroleum-corp-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10222:1" rel="noopener">Bharat Petroleum Corp (BPCL IN)</a> is the highest-ranked Potential DELETE according to our estimates.</li>
<li>In this insight, we take a look at the recent price performance of names that can potentially be involved in index changes and our flow expectations.</li>
</ul>


With roughly a week left in the reference period, we take a look at the potential ADDs/DELs for the NIFTY 50, 100, and 500 Indices for the March 2023 Rebalance.
For NIFTY 50, Pidilite Industries (PIDI IN) is the highest-ranked Potential ADD while Bharat Petroleum Corp (BPCL IN) is the highest-ranked Potential DELETE according to our estimates.
In this insight, we take a look at the recent price performance of names that can potentially be involved in index changes and our flow expectations.


Quiddity Final Expectations for NIFTY Mar 23: Pidilite Could Be an Interesting Pre-Event Bet

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/lg-energy-solution" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:33464:1" rel="noopener">LG Energy Solution (373220 KS)</a> (LGES) raised US$10.8bn in its South Korea IPO, after pricing at the top-end of the IPO price range.</li>
<li>The stock was listed on 27th Jan 22. Its one-year lockup is set to expire soon.</li>
<li>In this note, we will talk about the lock-up dynamics and updates since our last note</li>
</ul>



LG Energy Solution (373220 KS) (LGES) raised US$10.8bn in its South Korea IPO, after pricing at the top-end of the IPO price range.
The stock was listed on 27th Jan 22. Its one-year lockup is set to expire soon.
In this note, we will talk about the lock-up dynamics and updates since our last note


LG Energy IPO Lock-Up - Last of the Lockups at US$3bn

India

Tata Motors Limited manufactures cars and commercial automotive vehicles. The Company designs, manufactures, and sells heavy, medium, and small commercial vehicles including trucks, tankers, vans, buses, ambulances and minibuses. Tata also manufactures small cars and sports utility vehicles.

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Tata Motors Ltd (TTMT IN)

Tata Motors - Earnings Flash - Q3 FY 2022-23 Results - Lucror Analytics

In our view, Tata Motors’ Q3/22-23 results were solid and much better than expected, especially in terms of profitability and cash flows. The...

Lucror Analytics

Morning Views Asia: Adani Ports & Special Economic Zone, Azure Power Global Ltd, Lippo Karawaci

Lucror Analytics Morning Views comprise our fundamental credit analysis, opinions and trade recommendations on high yield issuers in the region,...

Lucror Analytics

Weekly Wrap - 20 Jan 2023

Lucror Analytics Weekly Wraps provide an overview of all Morning Views comments and reports published by our analyst team in the past week, and...

Lucror Analytics

Quiddity Final Expectations for NIFTY Mar 23: Pidilite Could Be an Interesting Pre-Event Bet

There could be 3.8mn shares to buy in Pidilite in March 2023 which is around 11.3 days of volume and translates to a flow size of US$115mn.

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

LG Energy IPO Lock-Up - Last of the Lockups at US$3bn

LG Energy Solution (373220 KS) raised US$10.8bn in its South Korea IPO, after pricing at the top-end of the IPO price range. Its one-year lockup...

Sumeet Singh

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