Managing Director, Zero One, Zero One

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Managing Director, Zero One

Zero One

Founded in 2015, Zero One produces independent investment research and provides corporate finance advisory services with a focus on both listed and private technology companies. Founder Vincent Fernando has over 20 years of experience in US and Asia capital markets.

Independent Investment Research

Equity Bottom-Up

Taiwan Semiconductor (TSMC) - ADR / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>TSMC: 8.2% Premium -- Still Best to Wait for Better Levels</li>
<li>ASE: 6.4% Premium -- Wait for 5% as the Level to Go Long the Spread</li>
<li>ChipMOS: -0.5% Discount -- Stay Long the Spread if You Started at -2.0%</li>
</ul>


TSMC: 8.2% Premium -- Still Best to Wait for Better Levels
ASE: 6.4% Premium -- Wait for 5% as the Level to Go Long the Spread
ChipMOS: -0.5% Discount -- Stay Long the Spread if You Started at -2.0%


Taiwan Dual Listings Monitor: Spreads Generally Trading in the Middle of Their Ranges

Taiwan Tech Focused Senior Analyst

Patrick Liao

<ul>
<li>TSMC is expected to experience growth of ~15% YoY in 2024F.</li>
<li>TSMC's N3 is expected to dominate the market in 2024F, with applications in CPU, GPU, smartphone SoC, and more.</li>
<li>We also estimate that the N2 pilot run will begin in 4Q24.</li>
</ul>


TSMC is expected to experience growth of ~15% YoY in 2024F.
TSMC's N3 is expected to dominate the market in 2024F, with applications in CPU, GPU, smartphone SoC, and more.
We also estimate that the N2 pilot run will begin in 4Q24.


TSMC (2330.TT; TSM.US): 2024 High Conviction for Upside >15% YoY

Global TMT Analyst, Ex-PM, 30 years experience

Neil Campling

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>The second PE rumoured interest in ASMPT in 18 months, with KKR circling.</li>
<li>Semiconductor M&amp;A has surged in 2024 YTD with a 33% increase in deal activity compared to 2023.</li>
<li>ASM's leadership in TCB, potential growth within HBM, expansion at TSM and enabling the Nvidia Blackwell platform are all reasons for M&amp;A interest.</li>
</ul>


The second PE rumoured interest in ASMPT in 18 months, with KKR circling.
Semiconductor M&amp;A has surged in 2024 YTD with a 33% increase in deal activity compared to 2023.
ASM's leadership in TCB, potential growth within HBM, expansion at TSM and enabling the Nvidia Blackwell platform are all reasons for M&amp;A interest.


ASMPT (ASM Pacific). 522 HK. M&A. Takeover Target Talk. Déjà Vu ?

United Microelectron Sp Adr / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Given UMC's partnership with Intel to produce chips using Intel's 12nm fab capacity, we believe latest Intel developments increase the opportunity for Intel Foundry to take a stake in UMC.</li>
<li>Intel's Foundry business makes a strong partner for UMC who has deep foundry experience and talent, but doesn't have leading edge fabs nor the balance sheet to build them.</li>
<li>If Intel Foundry Services spins out or Intel strengthens its balance sheet through a deal with Qualcomm/Apollo, the potential for a deeper UMC-Intel Foundry partnership becomes even more compelling.</li>
</ul>


Given UMC's partnership with Intel to produce chips using Intel's 12nm fab capacity, we believe latest Intel developments increase the opportunity for Intel Foundry to take a stake in UMC.
Intel's Foundry business makes a strong partner for UMC who has deep foundry experience and talent, but doesn't have leading edge fabs nor the balance sheet to build them.
If Intel Foundry Services spins out or Intel strengthens its balance sheet through a deal with Qualcomm/Apollo, the potential for a deeper UMC-Intel Foundry partnership becomes even more compelling.


United Microelectronics: Intel Foundry Should Take a Stake; Latest News Makes This More Likely

<ul>
<li>TSMC: +15.9% Premium; Sales Rose 33% YoY in August &amp; Headroom Increased</li>
<li>UMC: +1.8% Premium; Largest Monthly Decrease in ADR Headroom, Has Consistently Been Decreasing Since May</li>
<li>ASE: +2.0% Premium; At Current Level Can Consider Going Long the Premium</li>
</ul>


TSMC: +15.9% Premium; Sales Rose 33% YoY in August &amp; Headroom Increased
UMC: +1.8% Premium; Largest Monthly Decrease in ADR Headroom, Has Consistently Been Decreasing Since May
ASE: +2.0% Premium; At Current Level Can Consider Going Long the Premium


Taiwan Dual-Listings Monitor: TSMC 33% Growth, UMC Headroom Decrease, ASE Historically Low Premium

Taiwan

Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Ltd. manufactures integrated circuits based on its proprietary designs.  The Company offers a comprehensive set of integrated circuit fabrication processes to manufacture CMOS logic, mixed-mode, volatile and non-volatile memory and BiCMOS chips.  Taiwan Semiconductor is an affiliate of Philips Electronics N.V.

Taiwan Semiconductor (TSMC) - ADR (TSM US)

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Taiwan Semiconductor (TSMC) - ADR (TSM US)

Taiwan Dual Listings Monitor: Spreads Generally Trading in the Middle of Their Ranges

In this piece, we provide our long and short levels for each dual-listing spread. Spreads are generally near the middle of their historical ranges.

Vincent Fernando, CFA

TSMC (2330.TT; TSM.US): 2024 High Conviction for Upside >15% YoY

TSMC is expected to experience growth of ~15% YoY in 2024F. TSMC's N3 is expected to dominate the market in 2024F, with applications in CPU, GPU,...

Patrick Liao

ASMPT (ASM Pacific). 522 HK. M&A. Takeover Target Talk. Déjà Vu ?

Private equity interest in ASMPT has surged due to its leadership in TCB, potential growth in HBM, expansion at TSM, and enabling the Nvidia...

Neil Campling

United Microelectronics: Intel Foundry Should Take a Stake; Latest News Makes This More Likely

UMC's partnership with Intel could lead to Intel Foundry taking a stake in UMC due to Intel's latest developments and UMC's foundry experience.

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Taiwan Dual-Listings Monitor: TSMC 33% Growth, UMC Headroom Decrease, ASE Historically Low Premium

We analyze the premium and discount levels of dual-listed Taiwan companies, suggesting potential spread trading levels based on historical trends.

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Taiwan Dual Listings Monitor: Spreads Generally Trading in the Middle of Their Ranges

In this piece, we provide our long and short levels for each dual-listing spread. Spreads are generally near the middle of their historical ranges.

Vincent Fernando, CFA

TSMC (2330.TT; TSM.US): 2024 High Conviction for Upside >15% YoY

TSMC is expected to experience growth of ~15% YoY in 2024F. TSMC's N3 is expected to dominate the market in 2024F, with applications in CPU, GPU,...

Patrick Liao

ASMPT (ASM Pacific). 522 HK. M&A. Takeover Target Talk. Déjà Vu ?

​Private equity interest in ASMPT has surged due to its leadership in TCB, potential growth in HBM, expansion at TSM, and enabling the Nvidia...

Neil Campling

United Microelectronics: Intel Foundry Should Take a Stake; Latest News Makes This More Likely

​UMC's partnership with Intel could lead to Intel Foundry taking a stake in UMC due to Intel's latest developments and UMC's foundry experience.

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Taiwan Dual-Listings Monitor: TSMC 33% Growth, UMC Headroom Decrease, ASE Historically Low Premium

We analyze the premium and discount levels of dual-listed Taiwan companies, suggesting potential spread trading levels based on historical trends.

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Private equity interest in ASMPT has surged due to its leadership in TCB, potential growth in HBM, expansion at TSM, and enabling the Nvidia...

UMC's partnership with Intel could lead to Intel Foundry taking a stake in UMC due to Intel's latest developments and UMC's foundry experience.