Managing Director, Zero One, Zero One

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Managing Director, Zero One

Equity Bottom-Up

Taiwan Semiconductor (TSMC) / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>TSMC is planning to build a second Arizona fab that could produce its highest-end 3nm chips, according to the WSJ.</li>
<li>TSMC ADR Premium Impact: The TSMC ADR premium is near zero, and increased U.S. investor enthusiasm could lead to a significant bounce for the premium.</li>
<li>INTC vs. TSMC Impact: News flow could favor TSMC over Intel over the next few days, at least until a November 14th conference Intel will be attending.</li>
</ul>


TSMC is planning to build a second Arizona fab that could produce its highest-end 3nm chips, according to the WSJ.
TSMC ADR Premium Impact: The TSMC ADR premium is near zero, and increased U.S. investor enthusiasm could lead to a significant bounce for the premium.
INTC vs. TSMC Impact: News flow could favor TSMC over Intel over the next few days, at least until a November 14th conference Intel will be attending.


Intel Vs. TSMC & ADR Monitor: TSMC to Build New High-End Fab In Arizona, Premium Bounce Potential

Hon Hai Precision Industry / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hon-hai-precision-industry-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:745:1" rel="noopener">Hon Hai Precision Industry (2317 TT)</a>  announced today that it will invest up to US$170m into <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/lordstown-motors-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:33123:1" rel="noopener">Lordstown Motors Corp (RIDE US).</a>
</li>
<li>The deal represents favorable terms for Hon Hai in our view, given the conversion price of preferred shares involved in the deal and the after-market price for Lordstown shares.</li>
<li>Germany is expected to block a chip facility acquisition by <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/navtech-inc-china" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:25361:1" rel="noopener">Navtech Inc/China (300456 CH)</a>; Alibaba and Biren are slowing chip speeds due to U.S. curbs; Lithuan-Taiwan chip partnership.</li>
</ul>



Hon Hai Precision Industry (2317 TT)  announced today that it will invest up to US$170m into Lordstown Motors Corp (RIDE US).

The deal represents favorable terms for Hon Hai in our view, given the conversion price of preferred shares involved in the deal and the after-market price for Lordstown shares.
Germany is expected to block a chip facility acquisition by Navtech Inc/China (300456 CH); Alibaba and Biren are slowing chip speeds due to U.S. curbs; Lithuan-Taiwan chip partnership.


Taiwan Tech Weekly: Hon Hai U.S. Listco EV Deal, Germany Likely to Block China Co's Factory Purchase

Technical Analysis / Chartered Market Technician, The Markets Academy

David Coloretti, CMT

Technical Analysis / Chartered Market Technician

The Markets Academy

TMA implements 2 strategies. 1) Tactical ... Trend Sustainability Score (TSS) allows TMA to identify exhaustion / reversal points in interim trends by utilising our proprietary analysis of ST momentum indicators. 2) Medium Term ... our 3 Pillars approach to technical analysis allows TMA to determine high probability medium term outcomes in markets.

Technical Analysis

Taiwan Semiconductor (TSMC) - ADR / Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>TSM US has declined 35% since mid-August 2022 and 59% from its January 2022 peak. </li>
<li>A new 2022 low of 59.43 was produced on Thursday 3 November amid extreme bullish ST momentum failure.</li>
<li>Our TSS methodology triggered a TSS &lt; 10 at the low and justifies a further 6-8% upside in the coming 1-2 weeks.</li>
</ul>


TSM US has declined 35% since mid-August 2022 and 59% from its January 2022 peak. 
A new 2022 low of 59.43 was produced on Thursday 3 November amid extreme bullish ST momentum failure.
Our TSS methodology triggered a TSS &lt; 10 at the low and justifies a further 6-8% upside in the coming 1-2 weeks.


Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co Ltd (TSM US): TSS < 10 - Target Tactical 6-8% Upswing

Research and consultancy, Tabbush Report

Daniel Tabbush

Research and consultancy

Tabbush Report

We provide research and consultancy on Asian banks. Our focus is on what we call “Asian bank research, without the noise.” We are interested in the most critical swing-factors for banks, the NPL and credit cycle, and where we believe there is a gap between perception and reality. We often focus on the less studied components of bank financial statements.  Our research is highly thematic, sometimes examining unlisted banks and companies as a window on mainstream banks. 

Being independent allows us to look at smaller banks, often overlooked by others. Analysis of BIS bank guidelines in the context of Asia, is also a focal point, while we also analyze global banks operating in the region. We use what we believe is the most comprehensive, reliable financials database, SNL Financial. S&P Capital IQ augments our database, with corporate data and CEIC, with economics. 

Asian bank research, without the noise.

Formosa Sumco Technology / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>The company recently announced poor earnings down 56% YoY in 1Q24</li>
<li>Dwindling cash is another major concern especially with higher debt/ebitda</li>
<li>At 15-25% ROE is sensible but now back toward 5% there is less enthusiasm </li>
</ul>


The company recently announced poor earnings down 56% YoY in 1Q24
Dwindling cash is another major concern especially with higher debt/ebitda
At 15-25% ROE is sensible but now back toward 5% there is less enthusiasm 


Formosa Sumco Technology - Earnings, Returns, Financial Position, Worsening Dramatically

Global Emerging Market Equities, Propitious Research

Wium Malan, CFA

Global Emerging Market Equities

Independent, Fundamental Quantitative Research

Propitious Research

Fully independent, fundamental and quantitative equity research, focused on companies in the Telecommunication, Media, Technology, Internet and Healthcare sectors in the Global Emerging Markets. Idea generation focused on Quality stocks, trading below their intrinsic Value, with sound Corporate Governance.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>An overview (and output) of our machine learning-driven GEM screening model, which seeks to find the best medium-term long ideas within the top100 stocks in the MSCI GEM Index.</li>
<li>The model is based on 1) a quantitative multifactor screening model, enhanced by two AI Technology-based approaches; 2) a Deep Neural Network model, and 3) a Recurrent Neural Network model.</li>
<li>Developed over roughly 4 years and implemented in its current state for over 2 years, the model has a solid real-world alpha-generating performance track record, discussed in detail below.</li>
</ul>


An overview (and output) of our machine learning-driven GEM screening model, which seeks to find the best medium-term long ideas within the top100 stocks in the MSCI GEM Index.
The model is based on 1) a quantitative multifactor screening model, enhanced by two AI Technology-based approaches; 2) a Deep Neural Network model, and 3) a Recurrent Neural Network model.
Developed over roughly 4 years and implemented in its current state for over 2 years, the model has a solid real-world alpha-generating performance track record, discussed in detail below.


Taiwan

Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Ltd. manufactures integrated circuits based on its proprietary designs.  The Company offers a comprehensive set of integrated circuit fabrication processes to manufacture CMOS logic, mixed-mode, volatile and non-volatile memory and BiCMOS chips.  Taiwan Semiconductor is an affiliate of Philips Electronics N.V.

Taiwan Semiconductor (TSMC) - ADR (TSM US)

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Taiwan Semiconductor (TSMC) - ADR (TSM US)

Intel Vs. TSMC & ADR Monitor: TSMC to Build New High-End Fab In Arizona, Premium Bounce Potential

TSMC ADR Premium Impact: The TSMC ADR premium is near zero, and increased U.S. investor enthusiasm could lead to a significant bounce for the premium.

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Taiwan Tech Weekly: Hon Hai U.S. Listco EV Deal, Germany Likely to Block China Co's Factory Purchase

Hon Hai-Lordstown deal represents favorable terms for Hon Hai in our view, given the conversion price of preferred shares involved in the deal.

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co Ltd (TSM US): TSS < 10 - Target Tactical 6-8% Upswing

Our proprietary TSS methodology aims to identify extreme short-term momentum failures in established interim trends that justify tangible tactical...

David Coloretti, CMT

Formosa Sumco Technology - Earnings, Returns, Financial Position, Worsening Dramatically

Company is seeing far lower net profit, with the just-announced quarter one of the worst on record in recent years. Debt is now a factor and SG&A...

Daniel Tabbush

Screening for GEMs: November 2022

This insight provides an overview of our, machine learning-driven, proprietary GEM screening model, based on a Multifactor model, a Deep Neural...

Wium Malan, CFA

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