Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs, Douglas Research Advisory

Douglas Kim

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs

Event-Driven

Taiwan Semiconductor (TSMC) - ADR / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>This insight will discuss the impact of Buffett's investment in Taiwan Semiconductor (TSMC) - ADR (TSM US) on Samsung Electronics (005930 KS) and SK Hynix (000660 KS).</li>
<li>We believe that Buffett's sizeable investment in TSMC is likely to have a positive impact on Samsung Electronics and SK Hynix.</li>
<li>This would be similar to how Buffett's investment in the Japanese trading companies which has had a positive impact on the major Korean trading companies. </li>
</ul>


This insight will discuss the impact of Buffett's investment in Taiwan Semiconductor (TSMC) - ADR (TSM US) on Samsung Electronics (005930 KS) and SK Hynix (000660 KS).
We believe that Buffett's sizeable investment in TSMC is likely to have a positive impact on Samsung Electronics and SK Hynix.
This would be similar to how Buffett's investment in the Japanese trading companies which has had a positive impact on the major Korean trading companies. 


Buffett's Investment in TSMC - Impact on Samsung Electronics and SK Hynix

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

<ul>
<li>Overnight, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/berkshire-hathaway-inc-cl-b" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8635:1" rel="noopener">Berkshire Hathaway Inc Cl B (BRK/B US)</a> announced that it held 60.06m shares (US$4.43bn) of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/taiwan-semiconductor-sp-adr" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8587:1" rel="noopener">Taiwan Semiconductor (TSMC) - ADR (TSM US)</a> as of 30 September.</li>
<li>That caused the ADR to spike after-hours and the local shares have rallied 8% today to close the gap with the ADR.</li>
<li>The ADR premium is trading near the lows and with Berkshire buying up a substantial chunk, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/taiwan-semiconductor-sp-adr" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8587:1" rel="noopener">Taiwan Semiconductor (TSMC) - ADR</a> should trade at a bigger premium to <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/taiwan-semiconductor-manufacturing-company" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:11230:1" rel="noopener">Taiwan Semiconductor (2330)</a>.</li>
</ul>


Overnight, Berkshire Hathaway Inc Cl B (BRK/B US) announced that it held 60.06m shares (US$4.43bn) of Taiwan Semiconductor (TSMC) - ADR (TSM US) as of 30 September.
That caused the ADR to spike after-hours and the local shares have rallied 8% today to close the gap with the ADR.
The ADR premium is trading near the lows and with Berkshire buying up a substantial chunk, Taiwan Semiconductor (TSMC) - ADR should trade at a bigger premium to Taiwan Semiconductor (2330).


TSMC (TSM/2330 TT): Berkshire Buying Could Push ADR Premium Higher

Managing Director, Zero One, Zero One

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Managing Director, Zero One

Equity Bottom-Up

Taiwan Semiconductor (TSMC) - ADR / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Berkshire Hathaway Inc Cl B (BRK/B US) disclosed that it has acquired about 60.1m shares in Taiwan Semiconductor (TSMC) - ADR (TSM US).  </li>
<li>Hon Hai is receiving local government support to recruit/return workers in order to ease its crisis there. Meanwhile, it will also quadruple its India-based iPhone manufacturing staff.</li>
<li>UMC's ADR premium is 0% and could see a bounce given the surge in TSMC.</li>
</ul>


Berkshire Hathaway Inc Cl B (BRK/B US) disclosed that it has acquired about 60.1m shares in Taiwan Semiconductor (TSMC) - ADR (TSM US).  
Hon Hai is receiving local government support to recruit/return workers in order to ease its crisis there. Meanwhile, it will also quadruple its India-based iPhone manufacturing staff.
UMC's ADR premium is 0% and could see a bounce given the surge in TSMC.


Taiwan Tech Weekly: Buffet Invests in TSMC, Hon Hai Issues Improving, China Chip Imports Slump

Global Emerging Market Equities, Propitious Research

Wium Malan, CFA

Global Emerging Market Equities

Independent, Fundamental Quantitative Research

Propitious Research

Fully independent, fundamental and quantitative equity research, focused on companies in the Telecommunication, Media, Technology, Internet and Healthcare sectors in the Global Emerging Markets. Idea generation focused on Quality stocks, trading below their intrinsic Value, with sound Corporate Governance.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>The Global Emerging Markets weekly provides a summary of the key news and related developments impacting the largest countries and constituents of the Global Emerging Markets equity indices.</li>
<li>
 Macro data points: Chinese inflation data; Malaysian and Indonesian GDP growth</li>
<li>
 Companies mentioned:<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/taiwan-semiconductor-manufacturing-company" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:11230:1" rel="noopener">Taiwan Semiconductor (TSMC) (2330 TT)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/reliance-communications-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:5197:1" rel="noopener">Reliance Communications (RCOM IN)</a>, Jio</li>
</ul>


The Global Emerging Markets weekly provides a summary of the key news and related developments impacting the largest countries and constituents of the Global Emerging Markets equity indices.

 Macro data points: Chinese inflation data; Malaysian and Indonesian GDP growth

 Companies mentioned:Taiwan Semiconductor (TSMC) (2330 TT), Reliance Communications (RCOM IN), Jio


GEM Weekly (11 Nov 2022): Chinese Inflation, Malaysia, Indonesia GDP; Reliance, Jio, TSMC

Technical Analysis / Chartered Market Technician, The Markets Academy

David Coloretti, CMT

Technical Analysis / Chartered Market Technician

The Markets Academy

TMA implements 2 strategies. 1) Tactical ... Trend Sustainability Score (TSS) allows TMA to identify exhaustion / reversal points in interim trends by utilising our proprietary analysis of ST momentum indicators. 2) Medium Term ... our 3 Pillars approach to technical analysis allows TMA to determine high probability medium term outcomes in markets.

Technical Analysis

Taiwan Semiconductor (TSMC) - ADR / Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>The development of TSS has been a life's work. We are pleased to acknowledge that our second TSS publication on Smartkarma produced an impressive and rapid result.</li>
<li>On 7 November we determined that the new interim downtrend low below 59.51 had failed and would likely produce a minimum 6-8% correction in 1-2 weeks. </li>
<li>TSM US subsequently produced a 13.4% gain in the following 3 days. Job done! Chart and further details attached.</li>
</ul>


The development of TSS has been a life's work. We are pleased to acknowledge that our second TSS publication on Smartkarma produced an impressive and rapid result.
On 7 November we determined that the new interim downtrend low below 59.51 had failed and would likely produce a minimum 6-8% correction in 1-2 weeks. 
TSM US subsequently produced a 13.4% gain in the following 3 days. Job done! Chart and further details attached.


Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co Ltd (TSM US): TSS Target Achieved in 3 Days (+13.4%)

Taiwan

Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Ltd. manufactures integrated circuits based on its proprietary designs.  The Company offers a comprehensive set of integrated circuit fabrication processes to manufacture CMOS logic, mixed-mode, volatile and non-volatile memory and BiCMOS chips.  Taiwan Semiconductor is an affiliate of Philips Electronics N.V.

Taiwan Semiconductor (TSMC) - ADR (TSM US)

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Taiwan Semiconductor (TSMC) - ADR (TSM US)

Buffett's Investment in TSMC - Impact on Samsung Electronics and SK Hynix

This insight will discuss the impact of Buffett's investment in Taiwan Semiconductor (TSMC) - ADR (TSM US) on Samsung Electronics (005930 KS) and...

Douglas Kim

TSMC (TSM/2330 TT): Berkshire Buying Could Push ADR Premium Higher

Berkshire buying 60m TSM US will reduce supply. A rising SOX could increase demand for TSM US at the same time. The ADR premium to the local shares...

Brian Freitas

Taiwan Tech Weekly: Buffet Invests in TSMC, Hon Hai Issues Improving, China Chip Imports Slump

Berkshire Hathaway Inc Cl B (BRK/B US) disclosed that it has acquired about 60.1m shares in Taiwan Semiconductor (TSMC) - ADR (TSM US).

Vincent Fernando, CFA

GEM Weekly (11 Nov 2022): Chinese Inflation, Malaysia, Indonesia GDP; Reliance, Jio, TSMC

The Global Emerging Markets weekly provides a summary of the key news and related developments impacting the largest countries and constituents of...

Wium Malan, CFA

Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co Ltd (TSM US): TSS Target Achieved in 3 Days (+13.4%)

Our proprietary Trend Sustainability Score (TSS) methodolody is proven to identify high probability reversals in exhausted interim trends.

David Coloretti, CMT

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