Managing Director, Zero One, Zero One

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Managing Director, Zero One

Zero One

Founded in 2015, Zero One produces independent investment research and provides corporate finance advisory services with a focus on both listed and private technology companies. Founder Vincent Fernando has over 20 years of experience in US and Asia capital markets.

Independent Investment Research

Equity Bottom-Up

Taiwan Semiconductor (TSMC) - ADR / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>TSMC: +17% Premium; Has Remained Above 15% for Over Nearly Two Weeks</li>
<li>ASE: +11.8% Premium; We Continue to View 14%+ as Range to Short From</li>
<li>CHT: +0.6% Premium; Can Consider Shorting the Spread at Current Level</li>
</ul>


TSMC: +17% Premium; Has Remained Above 15% for Over Nearly Two Weeks
ASE: +11.8% Premium; We Continue to View 14%+ as Range to Short From
CHT: +0.6% Premium; Can Consider Shorting the Spread at Current Level


Taiwan Dual-Listings Monitor: TSMC Spread Trading at New High Range, CHT Spread at Short Levels

Tracking developments across tech supply chains, Tech Supply Chain Tracker

Tech Supply Chain Tracker

Tracking developments across tech supply chains

<ul>
<li>Tech titans foresee the obsolescence of AI PC by Computex 2024, sparking anticipation for new technological advancements.</li>
<li>Disney and Warner's collaboration in the streaming market introduces fresh competition, shaking up the industry landscape.</li>
<li>ASML's thriving in the Angstrom Era credits its success to relentless innovation and adaptability within the semiconductor sector.</li>
</ul>


Tech titans foresee the obsolescence of AI PC by Computex 2024, sparking anticipation for new technological advancements.
Disney and Warner's collaboration in the streaming market introduces fresh competition, shaking up the industry landscape.
ASML's thriving in the Angstrom Era credits its success to relentless innovation and adaptability within the semiconductor sector.


Tech Supply Chain Tracker (18-May-2024): AI PC term will be obsolete soon, tech titans predict at pre-Computex event.

Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>Since mid-April we discussed how downside was limited on MSCI ACWI and EURO STOXX 50, and May 2nd discussed it was "quite possible" the lows were in.</li>
<li>Now, the MSCI ACWI, ACWI ex-US, EAFE, and EM indexes have all broken out to new multi-year highs. Our bullish outlook (since early-November 2023) remains intact; expect higher prices ahead.</li>
<li>China (MSCI China) continues to lead the EM turnaround, and we remain bullish on the space. We highlight many large-cap EM buys within Communications, Technology, Discretionary; we remain bullish miners.</li>
</ul>


Since mid-April we discussed how downside was limited on MSCI ACWI and EURO STOXX 50, and May 2nd discussed it was "quite possible" the lows were in.
Now, the MSCI ACWI, ACWI ex-US, EAFE, and EM indexes have all broken out to new multi-year highs. Our bullish outlook (since early-November 2023) remains intact; expect higher prices ahead.
China (MSCI China) continues to lead the EM turnaround, and we remain bullish on the space. We highlight many large-cap EM buys within Communications, Technology, Discretionary; we remain bullish miners.


Bullish Outlook Intact; EM and China Continue to Bottom; Buys in Comms, Tech, Discretionary, Miners

<ul>
<li>Microsoft's China AI teams relocate due to US rules, focusing on Wi-Fi 7 development for improved connectivity and performance.</li>
<li>Amazon's stake in Alchip suggests potential synergy in AI tech and expanded market reach, while Kymco launches eco-friendly e-scooter.</li>
<li>Tencent Cloud partners with BRI and Hi Cloud Indo for banking innovation, while Veolia opens first regeneration plant in China for sustainable water treatment. Tron Future secures funding for counter-drone tech.</li>
</ul>


Microsoft's China AI teams relocate due to US rules, focusing on Wi-Fi 7 development for improved connectivity and performance.
Amazon's stake in Alchip suggests potential synergy in AI tech and expanded market reach, while Kymco launches eco-friendly e-scooter.
Tencent Cloud partners with BRI and Hi Cloud Indo for banking innovation, while Veolia opens first regeneration plant in China for sustainable water treatment. Tron Future secures funding for counter-drone tech.


Tech Supply Chain Tracker (17-May-2024): Microsoft China AI teams may relocate due to US restrictions.

ASE Technology Holding   / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>ASE plans to boost sales in the second half of 2024 with cutting-edge technology and innovative solutions. Introspect CEO discusses how their GDDR7 memory test system outperforms competitors, helping customers stay ahead of the curve.</li><li>Taiwan's space dreams face hurdles from regulations and geopolitics, hindering progress. N Chandrasekaran becomes chair of Tata Electronics, signaling entry into semiconductor industry. Indian GaN startup targets global expansion in telecom and EV markets for growth.</li><li>Triton ignites Taiwan's push for satellite self-sufficiency; Apple partnership speculation with a leading EV startup generates buzz. Lam Research seeks chipmaking tool partners in India to drive innovation and collaboration. #Apple #EVstartup #newsroundup</li></ul>

ASE plans to boost sales in the second half of 2024 with cutting-edge technology and innovative solutions. Introspect CEO discusses how their GDDR7 memory test system outperforms competitors, helping customers stay ahead of the curve.Taiwan's space dreams face hurdles from regulations and geopolitics, hindering progress. N Chandrasekaran becomes chair of Tata Electronics, signaling entry into semiconductor industry. Indian GaN startup targets global expansion in telecom and EV markets for growth.Triton ignites Taiwan's push for satellite self-sufficiency; Apple partnership speculation with a leading EV startup generates buzz. Lam Research seeks chipmaking tool partners in India to drive innovation and collaboration. #Apple #EVstartup #newsroundup

Tech Supply Chain Tracker (14-May-2024): ASE to speed up 2H24 sales growth.

Taiwan

Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company, Ltd. manufactures and markets integrated circuits. The Company provides the following services: wafer manufacturing, wafer probing, assembly and testing, mask production, and design services. TSMC's ICs are used in computer, communication, consumer electronics, automotive, and industrial equipment industries.

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Taiwan Semiconductor (TSMC) (2330 TT)

Taiwan Dual-Listings Monitor: TSMC Spread Trading at New High Range, CHT Spread at Short Levels

TSMC now trading with a higher ADR premium than ASE, when before ASE had persistently always had a higher ADR premium. CHT is at the higher end of...

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Tech Supply Chain Tracker (18-May-2024): AI PC term will be obsolete soon, tech titans predict at pre-Computex event.

Tech titans foresee AI PCs replacing current technology; Disney and Warner's streaming partnership shakes up the market; ASML's innovation drives...

Tech Supply Chain Tracker

Bullish Outlook Intact; EM and China Continue to Bottom; Buys in Comms, Tech, Discretionary, Miners

Bullish Outlook Intact $ACWI; EM and China Continue to Lead; U.S. Dollar (DXY), WTI Crude Oil, and Gasoline Prices Rolling Over; Buys in: Comms,...

Vermilion Research

Tech Supply Chain Tracker (17-May-2024): Microsoft China AI teams may relocate due to US restrictions.

Microsoft AI teams relocating, Wi-Fi 7 advancements, Amazon's stake in Alchip, Kymco e-scooter launch, Tencent Cloud partnership, Veolia's...

Tech Supply Chain Tracker

Tech Supply Chain Tracker (14-May-2024): ASE to speed up 2H24 sales growth.

ASE boosting sales, Introspect CEO's GDDR7 memory test system, Taiwan's space dreams hindered, N Chandrasekaran chair of Tata Electronics, Indian...

Tech Supply Chain Tracker

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Taiwan Dual-Listings Monitor: TSMC Spread Trading at New High Range, CHT Spread at Short Levels

​TSMC now trading with a higher ADR premium than ASE, when before ASE had persistently always had a higher ADR premium. CHT is at the higher end of...

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Tech Supply Chain Tracker (18-May-2024): AI PC term will be obsolete soon, tech titans predict at pre-Computex event.

Tech titans foresee AI PCs replacing current technology; Disney and Warner's streaming partnership shakes up the market; ASML's innovation drives...

Tech Supply Chain Tracker

Bullish Outlook Intact; EM and China Continue to Bottom; Buys in Comms, Tech, Discretionary, Miners

Bullish Outlook Intact $ACWI; EM and China Continue to Lead; U.S. Dollar (DXY), WTI Crude Oil, and Gasoline Prices Rolling Over; Buys in: Comms,...

Vermilion Research

Tech Supply Chain Tracker (17-May-2024): Microsoft China AI teams may relocate due to US restrictions.

Microsoft AI teams relocating, Wi-Fi 7 advancements, Amazon's stake in Alchip, Kymco e-scooter launch, Tencent Cloud partnership, Veolia's...

Tech Supply Chain Tracker

Tech Supply Chain Tracker (14-May-2024): ASE to speed up 2H24 sales growth.

ASE boosting sales, Introspect CEO's GDDR7 memory test system, Taiwan's space dreams hindered, N Chandrasekaran chair of Tata Electronics, Indian...

Tech Supply Chain Tracker

TSMC now trading with a higher ADR premium than ASE, when before ASE had persistently always had a higher ADR premium. CHT is at the higher end of...