Taiwan Tech Focused Senior Analyst

Patrick Liao

Equity Bottom-Up

King Yuan Electronics Co, Ltd. / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nvidia-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:5891:1" rel="noopener">NVIDIA Corp (NVDA US)</a> drives <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/king-yuan-electronics-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6630:1" rel="noopener">King Yuan Electronics Co, Ltd. (2449 TT)</a> stock price, but their growth is still limited in 2023F.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/king-yuan-electronics-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6630:1" rel="noopener">King Yuan Electronics Co, Ltd. (2449 TT)</a> acts as a buffer for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/mediatek-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:772:1" rel="noopener">Mediatek Inc (2454 TT)</a> end demand during 2023F.</li>
<li>Although it is not yet the time to reverse the downturn in 2023F, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/king-yuan-electronics-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6630:1" rel="noopener">King Yuan Electronics Co, Ltd. (2449 TT)</a> is expected to continue its upward trend throughout 2H23F.</li>
</ul>



NVIDIA Corp (NVDA US) drives King Yuan Electronics Co, Ltd. (2449 TT) stock price, but their growth is still limited in 2023F.

King Yuan Electronics Co, Ltd. (2449 TT) acts as a buffer for Mediatek Inc (2454 TT) end demand during 2023F.
Although it is not yet the time to reverse the downturn in 2023F, King Yuan Electronics Co, Ltd. (2449 TT) is expected to continue its upward trend throughout 2H23F.


KYEC (2449.TT): Beneficiary of AI with Contribution of CoWoS Testing

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

Kokusai Electric  / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>KKR is looking to raise around US$750m via selling a stake in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kokusai-electric-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:40152:1" rel="noopener">Kokusai Electric (6525 JP)</a> (KE) in its Japan IPO.</li>
<li>KE main business activities consist of the manufacturing, sales and maintenance service of semiconductor manufacturing equipment.</li>
<li>In this note, we talk about the not-so-positive aspects of the deal.</li>
</ul>


KKR is looking to raise around US$750m via selling a stake in Kokusai Electric (6525 JP) (KE) in its Japan IPO.
KE main business activities consist of the manufacturing, sales and maintenance service of semiconductor manufacturing equipment.
In this note, we talk about the not-so-positive aspects of the deal.


Kokusai Electric Pre-IPO - The Negatives - Can't Avoid the Cycles

Asset Allocation & Fund Positioning, Copley Fund Research

Steven Holden

Asset Allocation & Fund Positioning

Copley Fund Research

Copley Fund Research provide research and data on asset allocation among Global and Emerging Market equity funds.  The analysis details absolute and relative positioning across countries, sectors and industries together with highly granular data on single stock and single fund allocations.  The data is updated monthly with time series going back to January 2011.

Global Research - Analysis of 165 prominent Global equity funds, combined AUM $335bn
GEM Research - Analysis of 127 prominent global EM equity funds, combined AUM $250bn

Asset Allocation - Global and GEM Equity

Cross Asset Strategy

<ul>
<li>The heavy decline in EM allocations that started in early 2021 came to an end last October. Since then, a growing number of Global Equity funds are raising allocations.</li>
<li>Taiwan, China &amp; HK, Mexico and Indonesia are at the heart of these moves, but all major countries are still held underweight, on average.</li>
<li>Stock exposures remain heavily skewed to the large caps, with 38% of the EM allocation in 6 key companies.</li>
</ul>


The heavy decline in EM allocations that started in early 2021 came to an end last October. Since then, a growing number of Global Equity funds are raising allocations.
Taiwan, China &amp; HK, Mexico and Indonesia are at the heart of these moves, but all major countries are still held underweight, on average.
Stock exposures remain heavily skewed to the large caps, with 38% of the EM allocation in 6 key companies.


Global Equity Managers Trim EM Underweight, but Remain Bearish

<ul>
<li>KKR is looking to raise around US$750m via selling a stake in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kokusai-electric-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:40152:1" rel="noopener">Kokusai Electric (6525 JP)</a> (KE) in its Japan IPO.</li>
<li>KE main business activities consist of the manufacturing, sales and maintenance service of semiconductor manufacturing equipment.</li>
<li>In this note, we talk about the positive aspects of the deal.</li>
</ul>


KKR is looking to raise around US$750m via selling a stake in Kokusai Electric (6525 JP) (KE) in its Japan IPO.
KE main business activities consist of the manufacturing, sales and maintenance service of semiconductor manufacturing equipment.
In this note, we talk about the positive aspects of the deal.


Kokusai Electric Pre-IPO - The Positives - Well Established with High Market Share

<ul>
<li>There is a misconception that "MediaTek is gaining the Google TPU v7 project entirely in 2024-25F."</li>
<li>Transsion Holding is placing a new order with MediaTek in 4Q23F, which is larger than ~25mn and has the lowest ASP.</li>
<li>Our current view remains bearish on smartphone demand for 2H23F.</li>
</ul>


There is a misconception that "MediaTek is gaining the Google TPU v7 project entirely in 2024-25F."
Transsion Holding is placing a new order with MediaTek in 4Q23F, which is larger than ~25mn and has the lowest ASP.
Our current view remains bearish on smartphone demand for 2H23F.


MediaTek (2454.TT): Gaining Google TPU V7 Project Entirely Could Be a Misconception

Taiwan

ASE Technology Holding Co., Ltd. offers assembly and testing services. The Company provides outsourced assembly, semiconductor testing, semiconductor packaging, and other related services. ASE Technology Holding operates in Taiwan.

MediaTek Inc. is a fabless semiconductor company for wireless communications and digital multimedia solutions. The company provides SOC system solutions for wireless communications, high-definition TV, optical storage, DVD and Blu-ray products.

United Microelectronics Corporation designs, manufactures, and markets integrated circuits (ICs) and related electronic products.  The Company's main products are consumer electronic ICs, memory ICs, personal computer peripheral ICs, and communication ICs.

Nanya Technology Corp. manufactures and markets dynamic random access memories (DRAMs).  The Company sells its products in Taiwan and exports worldwide.

Realtek Semiconductor Corp. designs, tests, and distributes integrated circuits which are used in consumer electronics, computer systems and peripherals, and communication network hardware.  The Company also provides technical counseling and systems software services.

Global Unichip Corporation designs and produces a wide variety of silicon chips.

Novatek Microelectronics Corporation designs, manufactures, and markets integrated circuits (ICs).  The Company's products are used in telecommunication, computer peripherals, and LCD (liquid crystal display) drivers.

Vanguard International Semiconductor Corporation offers integrated circuit foundry services.  The Company manufactures 0.18um logic, mixed-signal, analog, high voltage, low power, CMOS RF, flash, embedded memory, and bipolar CMOS DMOS semiconductors.

Globalwafers Co., Ltd. specializes in silicon wafer manufacturing and also provides solar wafers and crystal rods. The Company possesses a complete production line from ingot growth, slicing, etching, diffusion, polishing to epitaxy. Their products include Epi wafers, polished wafers, etched wafers, ultra thin wafers and deep diffusion wafers.

Tokyo Electron Limited manufactures and sells industrial electronics products, such as semiconductor manufacturing machines, computer system, and electronic components.  The Company products are sold in US, Taiwan, and others as well as in Japan.

Applied Materials, Inc. develops, manufactures, markets, and services semiconductor wafer fabrication equipment and related spare parts for the worldwide semiconductor industry.  The Company's customers include semiconductor wafer and integrated circuit manufacturers, flat panel liquid crystal displays, solar photovoltaic cells and modules and other electronic devices manufacturers.

QUALCOMM, Inc . manufactures digital wireless communications equipment.  The Company licenses its code division multiple access (CDMA) and orthogonal frequency division multiplexing access intellectual property to other companies, and produces CDMA-based integrated circuits; and produces equipment and software used to track workers and assets; and software for wireless content enablement.

Broadcom Inc. designs, develops, and supplies semiconductor and infrastructure software solutions. The Company offers storage adapters, controllers, networking processors, motion control encoders, and optical sensors, as well as infrastructure and security software to modernize, optimize, and secure the most complex hybrid environments. Broadcom serves customers worldwide.

KLA-Tencor Corporation manufactures yield management and process monitoring systems for the semiconductor industry.  The Company's systems are used to analyze product and process quality at critical steps in the manufacture of circuits and provide feedback so that fabrication problems can be identified. KLA-Tencor operates sales, service, and application centers worldwide.

Lam Research Corporation manufactures, markets, and services semiconductor processing equipment used in the making of integrated circuits.  The Company's products are used to deposit special films on a silicon wafer and etch away portions of various films to create a circuit design.  Lam sells its products around the world.

Monolithic Power Systems Inc specializes in high-performance, integrated power solutions. The Company provides small, highly energy efficient, easy-to-use power solutions for systems found in industrial applications, telecom infrastructures, cloud computing, automotive, and consumer applications.

ON Semiconductor Corporation supplies analog, standard logic, and discrete semiconductors for data and power management. The Company's products include integrated circuits, and analog ICs. ON also offers discrete semiconductors in a variety of surface mount and standard packages.

Skyworks Solutions, Inc., a wireless semiconductor company, designs and manufactures radio frequency and complete semiconductor system solutions for mobile communications applications.  The Company provides front-end modules, radio frequency subsystems, and system solutions to wireless handset and infrastructure customers worldwide.

Microchip Technology Incorporated designs, manufactures, and markets microcontrollers, related mixed-signal and memory products, and application development systems for high-volume embedded control applications. The Company also designs, develops, and markets linear/mixed-signal, power management, and thermal management products.

Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company, Ltd. manufactures and markets integrated circuits. The Company provides the following services: wafer manufacturing, wafer probing, assembly and testing, mask production, and design services. TSMC's ICs are used in computer, communication, consumer electronics, automotive, and industrial equipment industries.

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Taiwan Semiconductor (TSMC) (2330 TT)

KYEC (2449.TT): Beneficiary of AI with Contribution of CoWoS Testing

It is not yet the time to judge, the upturn in 2023F, KYEC is expected to continue its upward trend throughout 2H23F. Nvidia is the driver of...

Patrick Liao

Kokusai Electric Pre-IPO - The Negatives - Can't Avoid the Cycles

KKR is looking to raise around US$750m via selling a stake in Kokusai Electric (6525 JP) (KE) in its Japan IPO. In this note we talk about the not...

Sumeet Singh

Global Equity Managers Trim EM Underweight, but Remain Bearish

A growing number of Global Equity long-only funds are rotating back in, or moving to an overweight stance in Emerging Markets.

Steven Holden

MediaTek (2454.TT): Gaining Google TPU V7 Project Entirely Could Be a Misconception

There is a misconception "MediaTek is gaining the Google TPU v7 project in 2024-25F." Transsion Holding is placing a new order with MediaTek in...

Patrick Liao

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52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

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KYEC (2449.TT): Beneficiary of AI with Contribution of CoWoS Testing

It is not yet the time to judge, the upturn in 2023F, KYEC is expected to continue its upward trend throughout 2H23F. Nvidia is the driver of...

Patrick Liao

Kokusai Electric Pre-IPO - The Negatives - Can't Avoid the Cycles

KKR is looking to raise around US$750m via selling a stake in Kokusai Electric (6525 JP) (KE) in its Japan IPO. In this note we talk about the not...

Sumeet Singh

Global Equity Managers Trim EM Underweight, but Remain Bearish

A growing number of Global Equity long-only funds are rotating back in, or moving to an overweight stance in Emerging Markets.

Steven Holden

Kokusai Electric Pre-IPO - The Positives - Well Established with High Market Share

KKR is looking to raise around US$750m via selling a stake in Kokusai Electric (6525 JP) (KE) in its Japan IPO. In this note we talk about the...

Sumeet Singh

MediaTek (2454.TT): Gaining Google TPU V7 Project Entirely Could Be a Misconception

There is a misconception "MediaTek is gaining the Google TPU v7 project in 2024-25F." Transsion Holding is placing a new order with MediaTek in...

Patrick Liao