Tracking developments across tech supply chains, Tech Supply Chain Tracker

Tech Supply Chain Tracker

Tracking developments across tech supply chains

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>Taiwan cable cut near China raises concerns about geopolitical tensions and gray zone tactics in the region.</li><li>Samsung Electro-Mechanics and SoulBrain's collaboration on advanced glass substrates aims for mass production by 2027.</li><li>India drives semiconductor aspirations with GaN and SiC technology, showcasing its commitment to technological advancements in the industry.</li></ul>

Taiwan cable cut near China raises concerns about geopolitical tensions and gray zone tactics in the region.Samsung Electro-Mechanics and SoulBrain's collaboration on advanced glass substrates aims for mass production by 2027.India drives semiconductor aspirations with GaN and SiC technology, showcasing its commitment to technological advancements in the industry.

Tech Supply Chain Tracker (23-Jan-2025): Taiwan cable cut raises concerns.

<ul><li>LG Innotek sees record 2Q24 results from iPhone 15 sales, while Tesla and Nvidia vie for top spot in autonomous driving tech.</li><li>US bans Chinese EVs, EU examines high taxes, prompting potential semiconductor strategy changes in South Korea and Taiwan post-US election.</li><li>Amkor receives CHIPS Act incentives, Huawei sues MediaTek in China as YMTC anticipates chip demand, India's iVP Semi targets local market. Taiwan diversifies workforce with ASEAN talent.</li></ul>

LG Innotek sees record 2Q24 results from iPhone 15 sales, while Tesla and Nvidia vie for top spot in autonomous driving tech.US bans Chinese EVs, EU examines high taxes, prompting potential semiconductor strategy changes in South Korea and Taiwan post-US election.Amkor receives CHIPS Act incentives, Huawei sues MediaTek in China as YMTC anticipates chip demand, India's iVP Semi targets local market. Taiwan diversifies workforce with ASEAN talent.

Tech Supply Chain Tracker (30-Jul-2024): LG Innotek's record 2Q24 driven by iPhone 15 boom.

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), Daishin Securities

Daishin Securities

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

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<ul><li>Consensus (W94.5bn) beat likely with 2Q24 OP forecast at W154.1bn</li><li>2H24 OP projected at W0.83tn, up 23.8% yoy.</li><li>Heightened expectations for increased iPhone 16 sales</li></ul><p><em>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.</em></p>

Consensus (W94.5bn) beat likely with 2Q24 OP forecast at W154.1bn2H24 OP projected at W0.83tn, up 23.8% yoy.Heightened expectations for increased iPhone 16 salesContent is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

LG Innotek (011070 KS) - Earnings Forecast Raised Further, IPhone 16 Expectations High

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>There are 11 stocks (maybe 12) in Korea that could be deleted from a global index in February and that will result in large selling from passive trackers.</li>
<li>With announcement in a week and implementation in just over 3 weeks, there is positioning in a lot of the names.</li>
<li>With short selling still banned, positioning will not be as high as the passive selling and the stocks could still drop over the next few weeks.</li>
</ul>


There are 11 stocks (maybe 12) in Korea that could be deleted from a global index in February and that will result in large selling from passive trackers.
With announcement in a week and implementation in just over 3 weeks, there is positioning in a lot of the names.
With short selling still banned, positioning will not be as high as the passive selling and the stocks could still drop over the next few weeks.


Korea: 11 Potential Index Deletions in February

<ul>
<li>There are quite a few stocks in Korea that have underperformed their peers and could be deleted from global passive portfolios in February.</li>
<li>There are still 3 weeks left for the stocks to redeem themselves and avoid relegation from the K League, so watch out for big price moves.</li>
<li>Based on our estimate of passive assets, trackers will need to trade between US$45m to US$114m of the stocks. Impact will vary between 2.6x-30x of ADV to trade.</li>
</ul>


There are quite a few stocks in Korea that have underperformed their peers and could be deleted from global passive portfolios in February.
There are still 3 weeks left for the stocks to redeem themselves and avoid relegation from the K League, so watch out for big price moves.
Based on our estimate of passive assets, trackers will need to trade between US$45m to US$114m of the stocks. Impact will vary between 2.6x-30x of ADV to trade.


Korea: Potential Relegations from K League 1

South Korea

LG Innotek Co., Ltd. develops and produces cellular phone parts such as mini vibration motors, LCD modules, light emitting diode (LED), camera modules, protection circuit modules. The Company also manufactures liquid crystal displays (LCD) and plasma display panels (PDP) parts such as inverters, intelligent power modules, multi chip modules, and tuners.

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Lg Innotek (011070 KS)

Tech Supply Chain Tracker (23-Jan-2025): Taiwan cable cut raises concerns.

Taiwan submarine cable cut near China raises concerns about gray zone tactics, while Samsung Electro-Mechanics and SoulBrain collaborate on...

Tech Supply Chain Tracker

Tech Supply Chain Tracker (30-Jul-2024): LG Innotek's record 2Q24 driven by iPhone 15 boom.

LG Innotek's record results driven by iPhone 15 sales, Tesla and Nvidia battle for autonomous driving, US bans Chinese EVs, EU cautious on taxes,...

Tech Supply Chain Tracker