Managing Director, Zero One, Zero One

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Managing Director, Zero One

Zero One

Founded in 2015, Zero One produces independent investment research and provides corporate finance advisory services with a focus on both listed and private technology companies. Founder Vincent Fernando has over 20 years of experience in US and Asia capital markets.

Independent Investment Research

Equity Bottom-Up

Taiwan Semiconductor (TSMC) - ADR / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>TSMC: +16.6% ADR Premium, Still High After CNY Multi-Day Taiwan Market Close</li>
<li>UMC: 1.3% ADR Premium, Still Historically High After CNY Break</li>
<li>ChipMOS: +4.2% Premium, Very Rare &amp; High Level, Not Sustainable</li>
</ul>


TSMC: +16.6% ADR Premium, Still High After CNY Multi-Day Taiwan Market Close
UMC: 1.3% ADR Premium, Still Historically High After CNY Break
ChipMOS: +4.2% Premium, Very Rare &amp; High Level, Not Sustainable


Taiwan Dual-Listings Monitor: High Spreads Persist After CNY Break

Taiwan Semiconductor (TSMC) / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Latest Performance: Taiwan AI Names Keep Flying; ASE &amp; Mediatek Lose Steam After Reporting</li>
<li>Largest Display Driver Maker in the World's Guidance Implies Growth Reversal Coming in Feb &amp; March</li>
<li>TSMC and Samsung Will Keep Their Most Advanced Chipmaking at Home</li>
</ul>


Latest Performance: Taiwan AI Names Keep Flying; ASE &amp; Mediatek Lose Steam After Reporting
Largest Display Driver Maker in the World's Guidance Implies Growth Reversal Coming in Feb &amp; March
TSMC and Samsung Will Keep Their Most Advanced Chipmaking at Home


Taiwan Tech Weekly: TSMC Sales Ahead; Display Driver Growth Reversal; AI Names Keep Flying

<ul>
<li>TSMC: +13.5% ADR Premium, Historically High Spread Represents Short Opportunity</li>
<li>UMC: -0.9% ADR Discount, Results Tomorrow Could Open Up Trade Opportunity</li>
<li>ASE: +9.1% Premium, Historically High But Likely Best to Wait for Higher Levels</li>
</ul>


TSMC: +13.5% ADR Premium, Historically High Spread Represents Short Opportunity
UMC: -0.9% ADR Discount, Results Tomorrow Could Open Up Trade Opportunity
ASE: +9.1% Premium, Historically High But Likely Best to Wait for Higher Levels


Taiwan Dual-Listings Monitor: Can TSMC Sustain Extreme ADR Spread?; UMC Results Catalyst Tomorrow

<ul>
<li>TSMC: Stock Prices Soared After Reporting Earnings, But ADR Rose Higher... Now +12.4% Premium, Shortable Level</li>
<li>ASE: ADR Spread Has Rebounded Substantially, Now +8.6%. Not Yet at Short Levels.</li>
<li>ChipMOS: ADR Spread Drops to -2.2%, Good Level to Go Long.</li>
</ul>


TSMC: Stock Prices Soared After Reporting Earnings, But ADR Rose Higher... Now +12.4% Premium, Shortable Level
ASE: ADR Spread Has Rebounded Substantially, Now +8.6%. Not Yet at Short Levels.
ChipMOS: ADR Spread Drops to -2.2%, Good Level to Go Long.


Taiwan Dual-Listings Monitor: TSMC ADRs Outpace Local, Extreme Spread; ChipMOS Good Long Level

Semiconductor & Technology Specialist, Ingenuity

William Keating

Semiconductor & Technology Specialist

Ingenuity

Our focus is exclusively on in-depth research & consulting in the broader semiconductor industry. We focus on the key players, namely Intel, Micron, Qualcomm, Apple, Samsung, NVIDIA, AMD, TSMC & Global Foundries - as well as some of the lesser known, but nonetheless critical, companies such as ASML (for EUV), Mellanox, Cavium, Xilinx etc. We specialise in their products, roadmaps, process technologies, competitive advantages & threats etc. We also help our clients understand the implications of new and emerging technologies, e.g. 3D X-Point, 3D NAND, Carbon Nanotubes, Autonomous Driving, Graphene, Silicon Photonics, Wafer-Level Optics, Artificial Intelligence, FPGA, GPU, ASIC etc. 

Semiconductor Analysis & Research

<ul>
<li>Q423 revenues of $19.62 billion, at the high end of guidance, up 13.8% QoQ and down 1.5% YoY. Net profit margin of 38.2% results in net income of ~$7.5 billion.</li>
<li>FY23 revenues of $69.3 billion, down 8.7% YoY, only the second such down year since 2005</li>
<li>Bullish FY24 forecast for &gt;20% YoY growth sends share price soaring in overnight trading. </li>
</ul>


Q423 revenues of $19.62 billion, at the high end of guidance, up 13.8% QoQ and down 1.5% YoY. Net profit margin of 38.2% results in net income of ~$7.5 billion.
FY23 revenues of $69.3 billion, down 8.7% YoY, only the second such down year since 2005
Bullish FY24 forecast for &gt;20% YoY growth sends share price soaring in overnight trading. 


Taiwan

ASE Technology Holding Co., Ltd. offers assembly and testing services. The Company provides outsourced assembly, semiconductor testing, semiconductor packaging, and other related services. ASE Technology Holding operates in Taiwan.

MediaTek Inc. is a fabless semiconductor company for wireless communications and digital multimedia solutions. The company provides SOC system solutions for wireless communications, high-definition TV, optical storage, DVD and Blu-ray products.

United Microelectronics Corporation designs, manufactures, and markets integrated circuits (ICs) and related electronic products.  The Company's main products are consumer electronic ICs, memory ICs, personal computer peripheral ICs, and communication ICs.

eMemory Technology, Inc. develops and provides logic non-volatile memory (LogicNVM) technology. The company licenses its intellectual property to semiconductor foundries, integrated devices manufacturers (IDMs), and fabless design houses around the world.

Nanya Technology Corp. manufactures and markets dynamic random access memories (DRAMs).  The Company sells its products in Taiwan and exports worldwide.

Realtek Semiconductor Corp. designs, tests, and distributes integrated circuits which are used in consumer electronics, computer systems and peripherals, and communication network hardware.  The Company also provides technical counseling and systems software services.

Global Unichip Corporation designs and produces a wide variety of silicon chips.

Novatek Microelectronics Corporation designs, manufactures, and markets integrated circuits (ICs).  The Company's products are used in telecommunication, computer peripherals, and LCD (liquid crystal display) drivers.

Vanguard International Semiconductor Corporation offers integrated circuit foundry services.  The Company manufactures 0.18um logic, mixed-signal, analog, high voltage, low power, CMOS RF, flash, embedded memory, and bipolar CMOS DMOS semiconductors.

Tokyo Electron Limited manufactures and sells industrial electronics products, such as semiconductor manufacturing machines, computer system, and electronic components.  The Company products are sold in US, Taiwan, and others as well as in Japan.

Applied Materials, Inc. develops, manufactures, markets, and services semiconductor wafer fabrication equipment and related spare parts for the worldwide semiconductor industry.  The Company's customers include semiconductor wafer and integrated circuit manufacturers, flat panel liquid crystal displays, solar photovoltaic cells and modules and other electronic devices manufacturers.

QUALCOMM, Inc . manufactures digital wireless communications equipment.  The Company licenses its code division multiple access (CDMA) and orthogonal frequency division multiplexing access intellectual property to other companies, and produces CDMA-based integrated circuits; and produces equipment and software used to track workers and assets; and software for wireless content enablement.

Broadcom Inc. designs, develops, and supplies semiconductor and infrastructure software solutions. The Company offers storage adapters, controllers, networking processors, motion control encoders, and optical sensors, as well as infrastructure and security software to modernize, optimize, and secure the most complex hybrid environments. Broadcom serves customers worldwide.

KLA-Tencor Corporation manufactures yield management and process monitoring systems for the semiconductor industry.  The Company's systems are used to analyze product and process quality at critical steps in the manufacture of circuits and provide feedback so that fabrication problems can be identified. KLA-Tencor operates sales, service, and application centers worldwide.

Lam Research Corporation manufactures, markets, and services semiconductor processing equipment used in the making of integrated circuits.  The Company's products are used to deposit special films on a silicon wafer and etch away portions of various films to create a circuit design.  Lam sells its products around the world.

Monolithic Power Systems Inc specializes in high-performance, integrated power solutions. The Company provides small, highly energy efficient, easy-to-use power solutions for systems found in industrial applications, telecom infrastructures, cloud computing, automotive, and consumer applications.

ON Semiconductor Corporation supplies analog, standard logic, and discrete semiconductors for data and power management. The Company's products include integrated circuits, and analog ICs. ON also offers discrete semiconductors in a variety of surface mount and standard packages.

Lasertec Corporation develops, designs, manufactures and markets photomask inspection systems to make semiconductor devices, confocal scanning laser microscopes and liquid crystal display (LCD) inspection systems.

Microchip Technology Incorporated designs, manufactures, and markets microcontrollers, related mixed-signal and memory products, and application development systems for high-volume embedded control applications. The Company also designs, develops, and markets linear/mixed-signal, power management, and thermal management products.

Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company, Ltd. manufactures and markets integrated circuits. The Company provides the following services: wafer manufacturing, wafer probing, assembly and testing, mask production, and design services. TSMC's ICs are used in computer, communication, consumer electronics, automotive, and industrial equipment industries.

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Taiwan Semiconductor (TSMC) (2330 TT)

Taiwan Dual-Listings Monitor: High Spreads Persist After CNY Break

Taiwan semiconductor companies TSMC, UMC, and ChipMOS continue to maintain high ADR premiums after the Chinese New Year break, with ChipMOS'...

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Taiwan Tech Weekly: TSMC Sales Ahead; Display Driver Growth Reversal; AI Names Keep Flying

Taiwan AI names soar, ASE and Mediatek stumble; world's largest display driver maker predicts growth decline; TSMC and Samsung prioritize domestic...

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Taiwan Dual-Listings Monitor: Can TSMC Sustain Extreme ADR Spread?; UMC Results Catalyst Tomorrow

TSMC's ADR premium history suggests a short opportunity, while UMC's results tomorrow could open up a trade. Also, why waiting for ASE's premium...

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Taiwan Dual-Listings Monitor: TSMC ADRs Outpace Local, Extreme Spread; ChipMOS Good Long Level

Stock prices for TSMC surged after its earnings report, with its ADR spread expanding. ASE's ADR spread increased as well. ChipMOS's ADR spread...

Vincent Fernando, CFA

TSMC. Roaring Into Year Of The Dragon

FY23 revenues of $69.3 billion, down 8.7% YoY, only the second such down year since 2005. Bullish FY24 forecast for >20% YoY growth sends share...

William Keating

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Taiwan Dual-Listings Monitor: High Spreads Persist After CNY Break

​Taiwan semiconductor companies TSMC, UMC, and ChipMOS continue to maintain high ADR premiums after the Chinese New Year break, with ChipMOS'...

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Taiwan Tech Weekly: TSMC Sales Ahead; Display Driver Growth Reversal; AI Names Keep Flying

​Taiwan AI names soar, ASE and Mediatek stumble; world's largest display driver maker predicts growth decline; TSMC and Samsung prioritize domestic...

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Taiwan Dual-Listings Monitor: Can TSMC Sustain Extreme ADR Spread?; UMC Results Catalyst Tomorrow

​TSMC's ADR premium history suggests a short opportunity, while UMC's results tomorrow could open up a trade. Also, why waiting for ASE's premium...

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Taiwan Dual-Listings Monitor: TSMC ADRs Outpace Local, Extreme Spread; ChipMOS Good Long Level

​Stock prices for TSMC surged after its earnings report, with its ADR spread expanding. ASE's ADR spread increased as well. ChipMOS's ADR spread...

Vincent Fernando, CFA

TSMC. Roaring Into Year Of The Dragon

FY23 revenues of $69.3 billion, down 8.7% YoY, only the second such down year since 2005. Bullish FY24 forecast for >20% YoY growth sends share...

William Keating

Taiwan semiconductor companies TSMC, UMC, and ChipMOS continue to maintain high ADR premiums after the Chinese New Year break, with ChipMOS'...

Taiwan AI names soar, ASE and Mediatek stumble; world's largest display driver maker predicts growth decline; TSMC and Samsung prioritize domestic...

TSMC's ADR premium history suggests a short opportunity, while UMC's results tomorrow could open up a trade. Also, why waiting for ASE's premium...

Stock prices for TSMC surged after its earnings report, with its ADR spread expanding. ASE's ADR spread increased as well. ChipMOS's ADR spread...