Managing Director, Zero One, Zero One

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Managing Director, Zero One

Equity Bottom-Up

Taiwan Semiconductor (TSMC) / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>TSMC is planning to build a second Arizona fab that could produce its highest-end 3nm chips, according to the WSJ.</li>
<li>TSMC ADR Premium Impact: The TSMC ADR premium is near zero, and increased U.S. investor enthusiasm could lead to a significant bounce for the premium.</li>
<li>INTC vs. TSMC Impact: News flow could favor TSMC over Intel over the next few days, at least until a November 14th conference Intel will be attending.</li>
</ul>


TSMC is planning to build a second Arizona fab that could produce its highest-end 3nm chips, according to the WSJ.
TSMC ADR Premium Impact: The TSMC ADR premium is near zero, and increased U.S. investor enthusiasm could lead to a significant bounce for the premium.
INTC vs. TSMC Impact: News flow could favor TSMC over Intel over the next few days, at least until a November 14th conference Intel will be attending.


Intel Vs. TSMC & ADR Monitor: TSMC to Build New High-End Fab In Arizona, Premium Bounce Potential

Hon Hai Precision Industry / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hon-hai-precision-industry-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:745:1" rel="noopener">Hon Hai Precision Industry (2317 TT)</a>  announced today that it will invest up to US$170m into <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/lordstown-motors-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:33123:1" rel="noopener">Lordstown Motors Corp (RIDE US).</a>
</li>
<li>The deal represents favorable terms for Hon Hai in our view, given the conversion price of preferred shares involved in the deal and the after-market price for Lordstown shares.</li>
<li>Germany is expected to block a chip facility acquisition by <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/navtech-inc-china" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:25361:1" rel="noopener">Navtech Inc/China (300456 CH)</a>; Alibaba and Biren are slowing chip speeds due to U.S. curbs; Lithuan-Taiwan chip partnership.</li>
</ul>



Hon Hai Precision Industry (2317 TT)  announced today that it will invest up to US$170m into Lordstown Motors Corp (RIDE US).

The deal represents favorable terms for Hon Hai in our view, given the conversion price of preferred shares involved in the deal and the after-market price for Lordstown shares.
Germany is expected to block a chip facility acquisition by Navtech Inc/China (300456 CH); Alibaba and Biren are slowing chip speeds due to U.S. curbs; Lithuan-Taiwan chip partnership.


Taiwan Tech Weekly: Hon Hai U.S. Listco EV Deal, Germany Likely to Block China Co's Factory Purchase

Technical Analysis / Chartered Market Technician, The Markets Academy

David Coloretti, CMT

Technical Analysis / Chartered Market Technician

The Markets Academy

TMA implements 2 strategies. 1) Tactical ... Trend Sustainability Score (TSS) allows TMA to identify exhaustion / reversal points in interim trends by utilising our proprietary analysis of ST momentum indicators. 2) Medium Term ... our 3 Pillars approach to technical analysis allows TMA to determine high probability medium term outcomes in markets.

Technical Analysis

Taiwan Semiconductor (TSMC) - ADR / Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>TSM US has declined 35% since mid-August 2022 and 59% from its January 2022 peak. </li>
<li>A new 2022 low of 59.43 was produced on Thursday 3 November amid extreme bullish ST momentum failure.</li>
<li>Our TSS methodology triggered a TSS &lt; 10 at the low and justifies a further 6-8% upside in the coming 1-2 weeks.</li>
</ul>


TSM US has declined 35% since mid-August 2022 and 59% from its January 2022 peak. 
A new 2022 low of 59.43 was produced on Thursday 3 November amid extreme bullish ST momentum failure.
Our TSS methodology triggered a TSS &lt; 10 at the low and justifies a further 6-8% upside in the coming 1-2 weeks.


Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co Ltd (TSM US): TSS < 10 - Target Tactical 6-8% Upswing

Global Emerging Market Equities, Propitious Research

Wium Malan, CFA

Global Emerging Market Equities

Independent, Fundamental Quantitative Research

Propitious Research

Fully independent, fundamental and quantitative equity research, focused on companies in the Telecommunication, Media, Technology, Internet and Healthcare sectors in the Global Emerging Markets. Idea generation focused on Quality stocks, trading below their intrinsic Value, with sound Corporate Governance.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>An overview (and output) of our machine learning-driven GEM screening model, which seeks to find the best medium-term long ideas within the top100 stocks in the MSCI GEM Index.</li>
<li>The model is based on 1) a quantitative multifactor screening model, enhanced by two AI Technology-based approaches; 2) a Deep Neural Network model, and 3) a Recurrent Neural Network model.</li>
<li>Developed over roughly 4 years and implemented in its current state for over 2 years, the model has a solid real-world alpha-generating performance track record, discussed in detail below.</li>
</ul>


An overview (and output) of our machine learning-driven GEM screening model, which seeks to find the best medium-term long ideas within the top100 stocks in the MSCI GEM Index.
The model is based on 1) a quantitative multifactor screening model, enhanced by two AI Technology-based approaches; 2) a Deep Neural Network model, and 3) a Recurrent Neural Network model.
Developed over roughly 4 years and implemented in its current state for over 2 years, the model has a solid real-world alpha-generating performance track record, discussed in detail below.


<ul>
<li>Last week saw a wave of major tech companies report earnings with significance toward the semiconductor and technology space in Taiwan.</li>
<li>Memory chip takeaways - SK Hynix, Samsung see better supply/demand in 2023E. PC market -- Recent results discuss slight decline, potential stabilization in 2023E.</li>
<li>Mobile phones -- Relative strength in high-end vs. low-end. Auto &amp; Industrial -- Relative strength seen continuing. AMD, Qualcom, Elan, CHIPMos, Acer, Globalwafers results ahead.</li>
</ul>


Last week saw a wave of major tech companies report earnings with significance toward the semiconductor and technology space in Taiwan.
Memory chip takeaways - SK Hynix, Samsung see better supply/demand in 2023E. PC market -- Recent results discuss slight decline, potential stabilization in 2023E.
Mobile phones -- Relative strength in high-end vs. low-end. Auto &amp; Industrial -- Relative strength seen continuing. AMD, Qualcom, Elan, CHIPMos, Acer, Globalwafers results ahead.


Taiwan Tech Weekly: Earnings Insights Emerging for Memory, Mobiles, PCs, and Autos

Taiwan

Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company, Ltd. manufactures and markets integrated circuits. The Company provides the following services: wafer manufacturing, wafer probing, assembly and testing, mask production, and design services. TSMC's ICs are used in computer, communication, consumer electronics, automotive, and industrial equipment industries.

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Taiwan Semiconductor (TSMC) (2330 TT)

Intel Vs. TSMC & ADR Monitor: TSMC to Build New High-End Fab In Arizona, Premium Bounce Potential

TSMC ADR Premium Impact: The TSMC ADR premium is near zero, and increased U.S. investor enthusiasm could lead to a significant bounce for the premium.

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Taiwan Tech Weekly: Hon Hai U.S. Listco EV Deal, Germany Likely to Block China Co's Factory Purchase

Hon Hai-Lordstown deal represents favorable terms for Hon Hai in our view, given the conversion price of preferred shares involved in the deal.

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co Ltd (TSM US): TSS < 10 - Target Tactical 6-8% Upswing

Our proprietary TSS methodology aims to identify extreme short-term momentum failures in established interim trends that justify tangible tactical...

David Coloretti, CMT

Screening for GEMs: November 2022

This insight provides an overview of our, machine learning-driven, proprietary GEM screening model, based on a Multifactor model, a Deep Neural...

Wium Malan, CFA

Taiwan Tech Weekly: Earnings Insights Emerging for Memory, Mobiles, PCs, and Autos

Last week saw a wave of major tech companies report earnings with significance toward the semiconductor and technology space in Taiwan.

Vincent Fernando, CFA

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