Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Using data from the close on 19 April, there could be 5 changes to the Yuanta/​P-Shares Taiwan Dividend Plus ETF in June.</li>
<li>There will also be capping and funding flows that will lead to a one-way turnover of 13.6% and a one-way trade of US$885m.</li>
<li>There are 10 stocks with at least 3 days ADV to trade from passive trackers and another 10 stocks that have at least 1 day ADV to trade.</li>
</ul>


Using data from the close on 19 April, there could be 5 changes to the Yuanta/​P-Shares Taiwan Dividend Plus ETF in June.
There will also be capping and funding flows that will lead to a one-way turnover of 13.6% and a one-way trade of US$885m.
There are 10 stocks with at least 3 days ADV to trade from passive trackers and another 10 stocks that have at least 1 day ADV to trade.


Yuanta/​P-Shares Taiwan Dividend Plus ETF: June Rebalance Preview

Korea / Special Sits, Pairs, Index Rebalancing, Clepsydra Capital

Sanghyun Park

Korea / Special Sits, Pairs, Index Rebalancing

Clepsydra Capital

Investigate special situations, pairs, and index rebalancing trades in Korea.

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>Suppose we grouped S1 and Taiwan Secom with the Physical/Integrated Security weighting and then applied the Cybersecurity weighing to Ahnlab and CyberOne. <strong>We would have 11.40x, substantially lower than 14.85x</strong>.</li>
<li>SK Shieldus' sales were ₩1.55T, an increase of ₩0.22T (16.8%) from the previous year. But<strong> 65% of last year's sales increase was derived from the internal deals with SK Group</strong>.</li>
<li>How the company and the bankers will respond to those mentioned above two controversial aspects will be the most crucial point in determining the success or failure of this IPO.</li>
</ul>


Suppose we grouped S1 and Taiwan Secom with the Physical/Integrated Security weighting and then applied the Cybersecurity weighing to Ahnlab and CyberOne. We would have 11.40x, substantially lower than 14.85x.
SK Shieldus' sales were ₩1.55T, an increase of ₩0.22T (16.8%) from the previous year. But 65% of last year's sales increase was derived from the internal deals with SK Group.
How the company and the bankers will respond to those mentioned above two controversial aspects will be the most crucial point in determining the success or failure of this IPO.


SK Shieldus Controversies: Excessive Valuations & Suspicious Surge in Internal Sales

IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sk-shieldus-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:35799:1" rel="noopener">SK Shieldus (ABFHIZ KS)</a> is a leading South Korean security provider. It is seeking a KRX IPO to raise up to US$0.9 billion. </li>
<li>The primary change in the updated prospectus is the syndicate's valuation methodology which results in a 10% lower value per share. The IPO price range of KRW31,000-38,800 is unchanged.</li>
<li>Sentiment on IPOs remains poor. For investors willing to look at IPOs, our valuation analysis suggests that the IPO price range remains reasonable.  </li>
</ul>



SK Shieldus (ABFHIZ KS) is a leading South Korean security provider. It is seeking a KRX IPO to raise up to US$0.9 billion. 
The primary change in the updated prospectus is the syndicate's valuation methodology which results in a 10% lower value per share. The IPO price range of KRW31,000-38,800 is unchanged.
Sentiment on IPOs remains poor. For investors willing to look at IPOs, our valuation analysis suggests that the IPO price range remains reasonable.  


SK Shieldus IPO: The Syndicate's Revised Methodology

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

<ul>
<li>SK Shieldus (SKS) aims to raise around US$800m via issuing a mix of primary and secondary shares in its Korea IPO.</li>
<li>SKS is the security subsidiary of SK Square. It provides security services across four main categories: information security/Cybersecurity, convergence security, physical security, and Safety &amp; Care.</li>
<li>In this note, we will look at the refiling updates.</li>
</ul>


SK Shieldus (SKS) aims to raise around US$800m via issuing a mix of primary and secondary shares in its Korea IPO.
SKS is the security subsidiary of SK Square. It provides security services across four main categories: information security/Cybersecurity, convergence security, physical security, and Safety &amp; Care.
In this note, we will look at the refiling updates.


SK Shieldus IPO - Refiling Disclosures Should Make Multiples Move, LOWER.

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs, Douglas Research Advisory

Douglas Kim

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs

<ul>
<li>After the market close today, SK Shieldus revised its IPO filing, especially for the valuation comps. However, it maintained the same IPO price range of 31,000 won to 38,800 won.</li>
<li>Bankers included two new comps (Taiwan Secom and Cyberone). Bankers excluded ADT Inc, Alarm.com, and Qualys as comps.</li>
<li>Our valuation of SK Shieldus suggests market cap of 4.1 trillion won or target price of 44,892 won (28.6% higher than the mid-point of the IPO price range). </li>
</ul>


After the market close today, SK Shieldus revised its IPO filing, especially for the valuation comps. However, it maintained the same IPO price range of 31,000 won to 38,800 won.
Bankers included two new comps (Taiwan Secom and Cyberone). Bankers excluded ADT Inc, Alarm.com, and Qualys as comps.
Our valuation of SK Shieldus suggests market cap of 4.1 trillion won or target price of 44,892 won (28.6% higher than the mid-point of the IPO price range). 


SK Shieldus IPO: Revises IPO Filing But Maintains Same Price Range

Taiwan

Taiwan Secom Co Ltd provides diversified technology-based integrated security solutions for commercial enterprises and residences.  The Company monitors and maintains security systems devices, such as burglar and fire alarms for offices, shops, parking lots, and residences.  Taiwan Secom also provides security system consulting, designing, engineering, and integration services.

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Taiwan Secom (9917 TT)

Yuanta/P-Shares Taiwan Dividend Plus ETF: June Rebalance Preview

There could be 5 changes for the Yuanta/P-Shares Taiwan Dividend Plus ETF in June. There will also be capping/funding flows that will lead to a...

Brian Freitas

SK Shieldus Controversies: Excessive Valuations & Suspicious Surge in Internal Sales

This post investigates two controversial aspects found in SK Shieldus' revised IPO prospectus as the bookbuilding is currently in progress.

Sanghyun Park

SK Shieldus IPO: The Syndicate's Revised Methodology

The primary change in the updated prospectus is the syndicate's valuation methodology which results in a 10% lower value per share. The unchanged...

Arun George

SK Shieldus IPO - Refiling Disclosures Should Make Multiples Move, LOWER.

SK Shieldus (SKS) aims to raise around US$800m via issuing a mix of primary and secondary shares in its Korea IPO. In this note we will look at the...

Sumeet Singh

SK Shieldus IPO: Revises IPO Filing But Maintains Same Price Range

After the market close today, SK Shieldus revised its IPO filing, especially for the valuation comps. However, it maintained the same IPO price...

Douglas Kim

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Yuanta/​P-Shares Taiwan Dividend Plus ETF: June Rebalance Preview

There could be 5 changes for the Yuanta/​P-Shares Taiwan Dividend Plus ETF in June. There will also be capping/funding flows that will lead to a...

Brian Freitas

SK Shieldus Controversies: Excessive Valuations & Suspicious Surge in Internal Sales

This post investigates two controversial aspects found in SK Shieldus' revised IPO prospectus as the bookbuilding is currently in progress.

Sanghyun Park

SK Shieldus IPO: The Syndicate's Revised Methodology

The primary change in the updated prospectus is the syndicate's valuation methodology which results in a 10% lower value per share. The unchanged...

Arun George

SK Shieldus IPO - Refiling Disclosures Should Make Multiples Move, LOWER.

SK Shieldus (SKS) aims to raise around US$800m via issuing a mix of primary and secondary shares in its Korea IPO. In this note we will look at the...

Sumeet Singh

SK Shieldus IPO: Revises IPO Filing But Maintains Same Price Range

After the market close today, SK Shieldus revised its IPO filing, especially for the valuation comps. However, it maintained the same IPO price...

Douglas Kim

Yuanta/P-Shares Taiwan Dividend Plus ETF: June Rebalance Preview

There could be 5 changes for the Yuanta/P-Shares Taiwan Dividend Plus ETF in June. There will also be capping/funding flows that will lead to a...