Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

Travis Lundy

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>In August, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/t-k-toka-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:18678:1" rel="noopener">T&amp;K Toka Co Ltd (4636 JP)</a> announced a TOB by Bain with a clearance hurdle of selling a 3.51% stake in Hangzhou Toka Ink (SH:688571) before launch.</li>
<li>Friday, the company <a href="https://www.tk-toka.co.jp/ir/detail/files/2023112401.pdf" target="_blank" rel="noopener">announced</a> that they put up a 3.6% stake for auction, with the sale to be executed that day. That likely triggers an early launch of the TOB.</li>
<li>The TOB Price is offensively cheap at 0.63x "official" book, and 0.53x book adjusted for equity affiliate price. The shares have traded through terms since launch. This should get bumped.</li>
</ul>


In August, T&amp;K Toka Co Ltd (4636 JP) announced a TOB by Bain with a clearance hurdle of selling a 3.51% stake in Hangzhou Toka Ink (SH:688571) before launch.
Friday, the company announced that they put up a 3.6% stake for auction, with the sale to be executed that day. That likely triggers an early launch of the TOB.
The TOB Price is offensively cheap at 0.63x "official" book, and 0.53x book adjusted for equity affiliate price. The shares have traded through terms since launch. This should get bumped.


T&K TOKA (4636 JP): Imminent TOB Launch? Imminent Bump Needed?

IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/t-k-toka-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:18678:1" rel="noopener">T&amp;K Toka Co Ltd (4636 JP)</a> has satisfied the precondition of selling its Hangzhou Toka Ink stake to hold less than 30%. The offer is targeted for early January.</li>
<li>Due to Dalton's stake building, the shares have consistently traded above Bain’s pre-conditional JPY1,400 offer. Bain can either launch the tender with unchanged terms or bump the offer.</li>
<li>A bump is likely as, despite the irrevocables, satisfying the minimum acceptance condition is challenging. The Board will struggle to recommend the offer if the shares remain above terms. </li>
</ul>



T&amp;K Toka Co Ltd (4636 JP) has satisfied the precondition of selling its Hangzhou Toka Ink stake to hold less than 30%. The offer is targeted for early January.
Due to Dalton's stake building, the shares have consistently traded above Bain’s pre-conditional JPY1,400 offer. Bain can either launch the tender with unchanged terms or bump the offer.
A bump is likely as, despite the irrevocables, satisfying the minimum acceptance condition is challenging. The Board will struggle to recommend the offer if the shares remain above terms. 


T&K Toka (4636 JP): Bain Decision Time as Progress Made on a Pre-Condition

David Blennerhassett

<ul>
<li>For the month of March 2024, 8 new transactions (firm and non-binding) were discussed on Smartkarma with an overall announced deal size of ~US$4bn.</li>
<li>The average premium for the new transactions announced (or first discussed) in March was ~55%. The average premium YTD is ~39%.</li>
<li>This compares to the average premium for transactions in 2023 (117 transactions), 2022 (106), 2021 (165), 2020 (158), and 2019 (145 ) of 39%, 41%, 33%, 31%, and 31% respectively.</li>
</ul>


For the month of March 2024, 8 new transactions (firm and non-binding) were discussed on Smartkarma with an overall announced deal size of ~US$4bn.
The average premium for the new transactions announced (or first discussed) in March was ~55%. The average premium YTD is ~39%.
This compares to the average premium for transactions in 2023 (117 transactions), 2022 (106), 2021 (165), 2020 (158), and 2019 (145 ) of 39%, 41%, 33%, 31%, and 31% respectively.


(Mostly) Asia M&A, Mar 2024: Chilled & Frozen, TDCX, MMA Offshore, JSR, Roland DG, SciClone

Chilled & Frozen Logistics Holdings / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/chilled-frozen-logistics-holdings-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:40987:1" rel="noopener">Chilled &amp; Frozen Logistics Holdings (9099 JP)</a> last week announced its "Action to Implement Management That is Conscious of Cost of Capital and Stock Price".
</li>
<li>Today it announced <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/az-com-maruwa-holdings" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:17280:1" rel="noopener">AZ-Com Maruwa Holdings (9090 JP)</a> had announced its intention to launch a Tender Offer on C&amp;F Logistics without having contacted C&amp;F first. A HOSTILE deal. Yum.</li>
<li>The deal is proposed at a 50% premium, with the goal of getting to a minimum of 50.00%. This will be interesting.</li>
</ul>



Chilled &amp; Frozen Logistics Holdings (9099 JP) last week announced its "Action to Implement Management That is Conscious of Cost of Capital and Stock Price".

Today it announced AZ-Com Maruwa Holdings (9090 JP) had announced its intention to launch a Tender Offer on C&amp;F Logistics without having contacted C&amp;F first. A HOSTILE deal. Yum.
The deal is proposed at a 50% premium, with the goal of getting to a minimum of 50.00%. This will be interesting.


Chilled & Frozen Logistics (9099) - Hostile Takeover Launched by AZ-Com Maruwa (9090)

<ul>
<li>I tally 51 - mostly firm, mostly Asia-Pac - transactions currently being discussed and analysed on Smartkarma. Inside is a timetable of upcoming key events for each deal.</li>
<li>Just one new deal was discussed this week on Smartkarma (possible four): <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/electric-power-development-c" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:292:1" rel="noopener">Electric Power Development C (9513 JP)</a>'s tilt for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/genex-power-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29079:1" rel="noopener">Genex Power Ltd (GNX AU)</a>.</li>
<li>Key updates took place on: <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/alumina-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:939:1" rel="noopener">Alumina Ltd (AWC AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/azure-minerals-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16538:1" rel="noopener">Azure Minerals (AZS AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/vinda-international-holdings-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:475:1" rel="noopener">Vinda International (3331 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/jsr-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:17620:1" rel="noopener">JSR Corp (4185 JP)</a>, and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shinko-electric-industries" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15066:1" rel="noopener">Shinko Electric Industries (6967 JP)</a> 
</li>
</ul>


I tally 51 - mostly firm, mostly Asia-Pac - transactions currently being discussed and analysed on Smartkarma. Inside is a timetable of upcoming key events for each deal.
Just one new deal was discussed this week on Smartkarma (possible four): Electric Power Development C (9513 JP)'s tilt for Genex Power Ltd (GNX AU).
Key updates took place on: Alumina Ltd (AWC AU), Azure Minerals (AZS AU), Vinda International (3331 HK), JSR Corp (4185 JP), and Shinko Electric Industries (6967 JP) 



(Mostly) Asia-Pac M&A: Genex, Alumina, Azure Minerals, Vinda, JSR Corp, Shinko Electric Industries

Japan

T&K TOKA CO., LTD. manufactures and sells specialized inks for printing applications.  The Company exports its products throughout Southeast Asia.

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T&K Toka Co Ltd (4636 JP)

T&K TOKA (4636 JP): Imminent TOB Launch? Imminent Bump Needed?

Trading 2% through terms now, and consistently through terms almost every day since the announcement, there is probably enough stock in the AGAINST...

Travis Lundy

T&K Toka (4636 JP): Bain Decision Time as Progress Made on a Pre-Condition

A bump is likely as, despite the irrevocables, satisfying the minimum acceptance condition is challenging. The Board will struggle to recommend the...

Arun George

(Mostly) Asia M&A, Mar 2024: Chilled & Frozen, TDCX, MMA Offshore, JSR, Roland DG, SciClone

For the month of March, 8 new deals were discussed on Smartkarma with an overall deal size of ~US$4bn. The average premium for the new deals...

David Blennerhassett

Chilled & Frozen Logistics (9099) - Hostile Takeover Launched by AZ-Com Maruwa (9090)

Logistics biz serial acquiror AZ-Com Maruyu wanted C&F Logistics. They approached, were rebuffed, and months later, they are going hostile. Nidec...

Travis Lundy

(Mostly) Asia-Pac M&A: Genex, Alumina, Azure Minerals, Vinda, JSR Corp, Shinko Electric Industries

This insight provides a summary of gross/annualised spreads (on deals discussed on Smartkarma) across Asia-Pacific as at the last trading date, and...

David Blennerhassett

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