Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

99 Speed Mart Retail Holdings / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>There is a high probability of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/gamuda-bhd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:14363:1" rel="noopener">Gamuda Bhd (GAM MK)</a> replacing <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/genting-malaysia-bhd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:3141:1" rel="noopener">Genting Malaysia (GENM MK)</a> in the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kuala-lumpur-composite-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22913:1" rel="noopener">Kuala Lumpur Composite Index (KLCI) (FBMKLCI INDEX)</a> in December.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/99-speed-mart-retail-holdings" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:40977:1" rel="noopener">99 Speed Mart Retail Holdings (99SPD MK)</a> is a close add and needs small outperformance over the next week to be added. That could see <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/genting-bhd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:14210:1" rel="noopener">Genting Bhd (GENT MK)</a> deleted.</li>
<li>Passive funds benchmarked to the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kuala-lumpur-composite-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22913:1" rel="noopener">Kuala Lumpur Composite Index (KLCI) (FBMKLCI INDEX)</a> will need to buy 0.3-0.75x ADV on the potential adds and sell 0.9-1.3x ADV on the potential deletes.</li>
</ul>


There is a high probability of Gamuda Bhd (GAM MK) replacing Genting Malaysia (GENM MK) in the Kuala Lumpur Composite Index (KLCI) (FBMKLCI INDEX) in December.

99 Speed Mart Retail Holdings (99SPD MK) is a close add and needs small outperformance over the next week to be added. That could see Genting Bhd (GENT MK) deleted.
Passive funds benchmarked to the Kuala Lumpur Composite Index (KLCI) (FBMKLCI INDEX) will need to buy 0.3-0.75x ADV on the potential adds and sell 0.9-1.3x ADV on the potential deletes.


KLCI Index Rebalance Preview: One High Probability Change; One at the Cusp

Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>We are seeing snap-back rallies in the largest global economies -- notably the U.S. and Japan, and also Europe to a lesser extent. However...</li>
<li>We're expecting to see lower highs develop at prior breakdown levels at 2690-2700 on the TOPIX and 4884 on the EURO STOXX 50, which are significant resistance levels.</li>
<li>Watching SPX resistance at 5585, or possible test of YTD highs/marginal new high, all fitting with our ongoing belief (since July 25) that ACWI-US going through 1-to 4-month pullback/consolidation.</li>
</ul>


We are seeing snap-back rallies in the largest global economies -- notably the U.S. and Japan, and also Europe to a lesser extent. However...
We're expecting to see lower highs develop at prior breakdown levels at 2690-2700 on the TOPIX and 4884 on the EURO STOXX 50, which are significant resistance levels.
Watching SPX resistance at 5585, or possible test of YTD highs/marginal new high, all fitting with our ongoing belief (since July 25) that ACWI-US going through 1-to 4-month pullback/consolidation.


MSCI ACWI Consolidation Continues; Outlook Remains Neutral; Buys Across Defensives & Other Sectors

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), Hong Leong Investment Bank Berhad

Hong Leong Investment Bank Berhad

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

Hong Leong Investment Bank Berhad operates as an investment banking company. The Company provides debt and equity funding, private debt securities issuance, merger and acquisitions, initial public offerings, corporate restructuring, and stockbroking services. 

Content available is external broker reports authored by a third party outside the Smartkarma network and has been aggregated by an online aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed by Smartkarma in this format for user's convenience and general informational purposes only. Content does not constitute investment or financial advice and Smartkarma makes no representation or warranty regarding its accuracy or contents. Original third party author retains all copyright and other proprietary rights in the content. Access or use of third party links not controlled by Smartkarma are at the user's own risk.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>Sunway announced that it is acquiring 245 acres of freehold industrial land in Kuang, Rawang for a purchase consideration of RM115m through its 70%-owned JV.</li><li>The development has an indicative GDV of &gt;RM2bn with target launch in early-2026 to be developed over an estimated period of 10 years.</li><li>We are positive on the acquisition given (i) strategic location of land with good connectivity to KLIA and Port Klang; (ii) fair acquisition price; (iii) attractive industrial segment benefitting from strong FDI flow trend; and (iv) the venture allows the group to diversify its revenue stream. </li></ul><p><em>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.</em></p>

Sunway announced that it is acquiring 245 acres of freehold industrial land in Kuang, Rawang for a purchase consideration of RM115m through its 70%-owned JV.The development has an indicative GDV of &gt;RM2bn with target launch in early-2026 to be developed over an estimated period of 10 years.We are positive on the acquisition given (i) strategic location of land with good connectivity to KLIA and Port Klang; (ii) fair acquisition price; (iii) attractive industrial segment benefitting from strong FDI flow trend; and (iv) the venture allows the group to diversify its revenue stream. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Sunway - Acquisition of Rawang Industrial Land

APAC IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Ethan Aw

APAC IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

Pavilion Real Estate Investment Trust / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/pavilion-real-estate-investment-trust" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:17395:1" rel="noopener">Pavilion Real Estate Investment Trust (PREIT MK)</a> is looking to raise up to MYR$517m (US$115m) in its primary placement. </li>
<li>The proceeds will be used to partially finance its acquisition of Pavilion Bukit Jalil (PBJ) mall.</li>
<li>In this note, we'll run the deal through our ECM framework and comment on deal dynamics.</li>
</ul>



Pavilion Real Estate Investment Trust (PREIT MK) is looking to raise up to MYR$517m (US$115m) in its primary placement. 
The proceeds will be used to partially finance its acquisition of Pavilion Bukit Jalil (PBJ) mall.
In this note, we'll run the deal through our ECM framework and comment on deal dynamics.


Pavilion REIT Placement - Very Well Flagged, Has Been Expected for Some Time

Research from SooChow CSSD Capital Markets (Asia), SCCM Asia Research

SCCM Asia Research

Research from SooChow CSSD Capital Markets (Asia)

Headquartered in Singapore, SooChow CSSD Capital Markets (Asia) is an investment bank focusing on emerging growth companies across Asia, providing a full suite of investment banking services, including corporate finance, mergers and acquisitions advisory, equity capital markets, institutional equities sales and trading and equities research.

SooChow CSSD Capital Markets (Asia)

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>Condo and HDB rents continued rising in Feb22; Rents could rise 8-12% in 2022</li><li>Commercial en bloc sales may not see significant impacts from new strata subdivision rule</li><li>Singapore commercial real estate investment volume recovered in 2021</li></ul>

Condo and HDB rents continued rising in Feb22; Rents could rise 8-12% in 2022Commercial en bloc sales may not see significant impacts from new strata subdivision ruleSingapore commercial real estate investment volume recovered in 2021

ASEAN Builder's Scoop (17Mar22) - Condo/HDB Rents Continued Rising in Feb22

Malaysia

Sunway Bhd. is a property development and construction company. The Company's other business divisions include quarrying and building materials trading and manufacturing, hospitality, leisure, and healthcare.

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Sunway Bhd (SWB MK)

KLCI Index Rebalance Preview: One High Probability Change; One at the Cusp

There is one high probability change for the KLCI in December. Depending on price movements over the next week, there could be a second change....

Brian Freitas

MSCI ACWI Consolidation Continues; Outlook Remains Neutral; Buys Across Defensives & Other Sectors

MSCI $ACWI Consolidation Continues; Outlook Remains Neutral; Snap-Back Rallies in Japan $Nikkei $TOPIX, U.S. $SPX, Europe $STOXX fits with our view...

Vermilion Research

Sunway - Acquisition of Rawang Industrial Land

Sunway announced that it is acquiring 245 acres of freehold industrial land in Kuang, Rawang for a purchase consideration of RM115m through its 70%...

Hong Leong Investment Bank Berhad

Pavilion REIT Placement - Very Well Flagged, Has Been Expected for Some Time

Pavilion Real Estate Investment Trust (PREIT MK) is looking to raise up to MYR$517m (US$115m) in its primary placement. The proceeds will be used...

Ethan Aw

ASEAN Builder's Scoop (17Mar22) - Condo/HDB Rents Continued Rising in Feb22

Min impact for commercial enbloc sales from new ruling; Phils remittances sustain growth in Jan22; SWB secures Surety Bond facility from Berkshire

SCCM Asia Research

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