Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Index Rebalance

99 Speed Mart Retail Holdings / Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>There is a high probability of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/gamuda-bhd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:14363:1" rel="noopener">Gamuda Bhd (GAM MK)</a> replacing <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/genting-malaysia-bhd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:3141:1" rel="noopener">Genting Malaysia (GENM MK)</a> in the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kuala-lumpur-composite-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22913:1" rel="noopener">Kuala Lumpur Composite Index (KLCI) (FBMKLCI INDEX)</a> in December.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/99-speed-mart-retail-holdings" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:40977:1" rel="noopener">99 Speed Mart Retail Holdings (99SPD MK)</a> is a close add and needs small outperformance over the next week to be added. That could see <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/genting-bhd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:14210:1" rel="noopener">Genting Bhd (GENT MK)</a> deleted.</li>
<li>Passive funds benchmarked to the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kuala-lumpur-composite-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22913:1" rel="noopener">Kuala Lumpur Composite Index (KLCI) (FBMKLCI INDEX)</a> will need to buy 0.3-0.75x ADV on the potential adds and sell 0.9-1.3x ADV on the potential deletes.</li>
</ul>


There is a high probability of Gamuda Bhd (GAM MK) replacing Genting Malaysia (GENM MK) in the Kuala Lumpur Composite Index (KLCI) (FBMKLCI INDEX) in December.

99 Speed Mart Retail Holdings (99SPD MK) is a close add and needs small outperformance over the next week to be added. That could see Genting Bhd (GENT MK) deleted.
Passive funds benchmarked to the Kuala Lumpur Composite Index (KLCI) (FBMKLCI INDEX) will need to buy 0.3-0.75x ADV on the potential adds and sell 0.9-1.3x ADV on the potential deletes.


KLCI Index Rebalance Preview: One High Probability Change; One at the Cusp

Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>We are seeing snap-back rallies in the largest global economies -- notably the U.S. and Japan, and also Europe to a lesser extent. However...</li>
<li>We're expecting to see lower highs develop at prior breakdown levels at 2690-2700 on the TOPIX and 4884 on the EURO STOXX 50, which are significant resistance levels.</li>
<li>Watching SPX resistance at 5585, or possible test of YTD highs/marginal new high, all fitting with our ongoing belief (since July 25) that ACWI-US going through 1-to 4-month pullback/consolidation.</li>
</ul>


We are seeing snap-back rallies in the largest global economies -- notably the U.S. and Japan, and also Europe to a lesser extent. However...
We're expecting to see lower highs develop at prior breakdown levels at 2690-2700 on the TOPIX and 4884 on the EURO STOXX 50, which are significant resistance levels.
Watching SPX resistance at 5585, or possible test of YTD highs/marginal new high, all fitting with our ongoing belief (since July 25) that ACWI-US going through 1-to 4-month pullback/consolidation.


MSCI ACWI Consolidation Continues; Outlook Remains Neutral; Buys Across Defensives & Other Sectors

APAC IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Ethan Aw

APAC IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

Pavilion Real Estate Investment Trust / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/pavilion-real-estate-investment-trust" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:17395:1" rel="noopener">Pavilion Real Estate Investment Trust (PREIT MK)</a> is looking to raise up to MYR$517m (US$115m) in its primary placement. </li>
<li>The proceeds will be used to partially finance its acquisition of Pavilion Bukit Jalil (PBJ) mall.</li>
<li>In this note, we'll run the deal through our ECM framework and comment on deal dynamics.</li>
</ul>



Pavilion Real Estate Investment Trust (PREIT MK) is looking to raise up to MYR$517m (US$115m) in its primary placement. 
The proceeds will be used to partially finance its acquisition of Pavilion Bukit Jalil (PBJ) mall.
In this note, we'll run the deal through our ECM framework and comment on deal dynamics.


Pavilion REIT Placement - Very Well Flagged, Has Been Expected for Some Time

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), TA Securities Holdings Berhad

TA Securities Holdings Bhd

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

Equity Bottom-Up

<p>Timely Land Replenishment in Singapore Last Traded: RM1.75 Sunway, in a joint venture (JV) with Hoi Hup Realty (30:70), has won a competitive bid for the en bloc acquisition of Flynn Park in Singapore, with a bid of SGD371mn [...] With this development, the group’s Singapore projects account for 4% of the group’s total GDV of RM54.4bn. [...] Required Rate of Return of 7% is defined as the yield for one-year Malaysian government treasury plus assumed equity risk premium. [...] It implemented a Zero Single Plastic Use Policy in its property division’s assets, venues, and events.</p><div class="content-highlight"><em>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.</em></div>

Timely Land Replenishment in Singapore Last Traded: RM1.75 Sunway, in a joint venture (JV) with Hoi Hup Realty (30:70), has won a competitive bid for the en bloc acquisition of Flynn Park in Singapore, with a bid of SGD371mn [...] With this development, the group’s Singapore projects account for 4% of the group’s total GDV of RM54.4bn. [...] Required Rate of Return of 7% is defined as the yield for one-year Malaysian government treasury plus assumed equity risk premium. [...] It implemented a Zero Single Plastic Use Policy in its property division’s assets, venues, and events.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

<div class="content-highlight"><em>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.</em></div>

Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Malaysia

Sunway Bhd. is a property development and construction company. The Company's other business divisions include quarrying and building materials trading and manufacturing, hospitality, leisure, and healthcare.

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Sunway Bhd (SWB MK)

KLCI Index Rebalance Preview: One High Probability Change; One at the Cusp

There is one high probability change for the KLCI in December. Depending on price movements over the next week, there could be a second change....

Brian Freitas

MSCI ACWI Consolidation Continues; Outlook Remains Neutral; Buys Across Defensives & Other Sectors

MSCI $ACWI Consolidation Continues; Outlook Remains Neutral; Snap-Back Rallies in Japan $Nikkei $TOPIX, U.S. $SPX, Europe $STOXX fits with our view...

Vermilion Research

Pavilion REIT Placement - Very Well Flagged, Has Been Expected for Some Time

Pavilion Real Estate Investment Trust (PREIT MK) is looking to raise up to MYR$517m (US$115m) in its primary placement. The proceeds will be used...

Ethan Aw

Timely Land Replenishment in Singapore

<p>Timely Land Replenishment in Singapore Last Traded: RM1.75 Sunway, in a joint venture (JV) with Hoi Hup Realty (30:70), has won a competitive...

TA Securities Holdings Bhd

Operational Disruptions from FMCO

Buy Sunway Berhad: Operational Disruptions from FMCO. - By: TA Securities Holdings Bhd

TA Securities Holdings Bhd

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