IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Equity Capital Markets

Growatt Technology / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/growatt-technology" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36103:1" rel="noopener">Growatt Technology (1833969D CH)</a>, a leading PV inverters manufacturer, will seek a listing hearing for a US$1 billion HKEx IPO in October, according to press reports.</li>
<li>In <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/growatt-technology-ipo-the-bull-case" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:80963" rel="noopener">Growatt Technology IPO: The Bull Case</a>, we highlighted the key elements of the bull case. In this note, we outline the bear case. </li>
<li>The key elements of the bear case rest on rising customer concentration risk, high dependence on Brazil for growth, limited pricing power and a shift to FCF burn. </li>
</ul>



Growatt Technology (1833969D CH), a leading PV inverters manufacturer, will seek a listing hearing for a US$1 billion HKEx IPO in October, according to press reports.
In Growatt Technology IPO: The Bull Case, we highlighted the key elements of the bull case. In this note, we outline the bear case. 
The key elements of the bear case rest on rising customer concentration risk, high dependence on Brazil for growth, limited pricing power and a shift to FCF burn. 


Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyze the weekly Shanghai/Shenzhen northbound Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of September 23rd.</li>
<li>We estimate the weekly outflows to be US$854.1 million, led by industrials, consumer staples, and offset by communication services, consumer discretionary, real estate.</li>
<li>We highlight flows for Tianqi Lithium, Midea Group, Moutai, Sungrow.</li>
</ul>


We analyze the weekly Shanghai/Shenzhen northbound Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of September 23rd.
We estimate the weekly outflows to be US$854.1 million, led by industrials, consumer staples, and offset by communication services, consumer discretionary, real estate.
We highlight flows for Tianqi Lithium, Midea Group, Moutai, Sungrow.


Northbound Flows (Sep 23rd): Tianqi Lithium, Midea Group, Moutai, Sungrow

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Inside is a recap of movements in the last week relating to the Hong Kong Stock Exchange -Shanghai and Shenzhen Northbound Connect facilities, broken down by company and industry.</li>
<li>Overall, net outflow over the past week was ~US$1.4bn, split between Shanghai (-US$0.8bn) and Shenzhen (-US$0.6bn).</li>
<li>The largest inflows were into <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sichuan-tianqi-lithium-industries-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:5698:1" rel="noopener">Tianqi Lithium (002466 CH)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/midea-group-co-ltd-a" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16185:1" rel="noopener">Midea Group (000333 CH)</a>. The largest outflows were in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/east-money-information-co-a" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8075:1" rel="noopener">East Money Information (300059 CH)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kweichow-moutai-co-ltd-a" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1553:1" rel="noopener">Kweichow Moutai (600519 CH)</a>.</li>
</ul>


Inside is a recap of movements in the last week relating to the Hong Kong Stock Exchange -Shanghai and Shenzhen Northbound Connect facilities, broken down by company and industry.
Overall, net outflow over the past week was ~US$1.4bn, split between Shanghai (-US$0.8bn) and Shenzhen (-US$0.6bn).
The largest inflows were into Tianqi Lithium (002466 CH) and Midea Group (000333 CH). The largest outflows were in East Money Information (300059 CH) and Kweichow Moutai (600519 CH).


Shanghai/​​​​​​​​​​​​​Shenzhen Northbound Connect: Weekly Moves (22 September 2022)

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/growatt-technology" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36103:1" rel="noopener">Growatt Technology (1833969D CH)</a>, a leading PV inverters manufacturer, will seek a listing hearing for a US$1 billion HKEx IPO in October, according to press reports.</li>
<li>According to Frost &amp; Sullivan, in 2021, Growatt was the third-largest player in the global PV inverter market with a 6.8% market share in shipments. </li>
<li>The key elements of the bull case rest on a large market, improving sector market sentiment, and sector-leading revenue growth and profitability.</li>
</ul>



Growatt Technology (1833969D CH), a leading PV inverters manufacturer, will seek a listing hearing for a US$1 billion HKEx IPO in October, according to press reports.
According to Frost &amp; Sullivan, in 2021, Growatt was the third-largest player in the global PV inverter market with a 6.8% market share in shipments. 
The key elements of the bull case rest on a large market, improving sector market sentiment, and sector-leading revenue growth and profitability.


<ul>
<li>We analyze the weekly Shanghai/Shenzhen northbound Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of September 16th.</li>
<li>We estimate the weekly outflows to be US$850.0 million, led by financials, industrials, and offset by information technology, energy.</li>
<li>We highlight flows for Ping An Insurance, Shaanxi Coal, CMB and CATL.</li>
</ul>


We analyze the weekly Shanghai/Shenzhen northbound Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of September 16th.
We estimate the weekly outflows to be US$850.0 million, led by financials, industrials, and offset by information technology, energy.
We highlight flows for Ping An Insurance, Shaanxi Coal, CMB and CATL.


Northbound Flows (Sep 16th): Ping An Insurance, Shaanxi Coal, CMB and CATL

China

Sungrow Power Supply Company Limited develops, produces, sells and provides services for solar PV inverters, wind power converters and other power supply. The Company also provides system solutions to renewable energy industry users.

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Sungrow Power Supply (300274 CH)

Growatt Technology IPO: The Bear Case

The bear case's key elements are rising customer concentration risk, high dependence on Brazil for growth, limited pricing power and a shift to FCF...

Arun George

Northbound Flows (Sep 23rd): Tianqi Lithium, Midea Group, Moutai, Sungrow

We analyzed northbound Shanghai/Shenzhen connect and highlight flows for Tianqi Lithium, Midea, Kweichow Moutai, Sungrow Power.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Shanghai/Shenzhen Northbound Connect: Weekly Moves (22 September 2022)

Overall, net outflow over the past week in the HK -Shanghai-Shenzhen Northbound Connect facilities was ~US$1.4bn, split between Shanghai (...

David Blennerhassett

Growatt Technology IPO: The Bull Case

The key elements of the bull case rest on a large market, improving sector market sentiment, and sector-leading revenue growth and profitability.

Arun George

Northbound Flows (Sep 16th): Ping An Insurance, Shaanxi Coal, CMB and CATL

We analyzed northbound Shanghai/Shenzhen connect flows in the past week and highlight flows for Ping An Insurance, Shaanxi Coal, CMB, CATL.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Growatt Technology IPO: The Bear Case

The bear case's key elements are rising customer concentration risk, high dependence on Brazil for growth, limited pricing power and a shift to FCF...

Arun George

Northbound Flows (Sep 23rd): Tianqi Lithium, Midea Group, Moutai, Sungrow

We analyzed northbound Shanghai/Shenzhen connect and highlight flows for Tianqi Lithium, Midea, Kweichow Moutai, Sungrow Power.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Shanghai/​​​​​​​​​​​​​Shenzhen Northbound Connect: Weekly Moves (22 September 2022)

Overall, net outflow over the past week in the HK -Shanghai-Shenzhen Northbound Connect facilities was ~US$1.4bn, split between Shanghai (...

David Blennerhassett

Growatt Technology IPO: The Bull Case

The key elements of the bull case rest on a large market, improving sector market sentiment, and sector-leading revenue growth and profitability.

Arun George

Northbound Flows (Sep 16th): Ping An Insurance, Shaanxi Coal, CMB and CATL

We analyzed northbound Shanghai/Shenzhen connect flows in the past week and highlight flows for Ping An Insurance, Shaanxi Coal, CMB, CATL.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Shanghai/Shenzhen Northbound Connect: Weekly Moves (22 September 2022)