IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Event-Driven

Evergrande Property Services / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/evergrande-property-services" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:30921:1" rel="noopener">Evergrande Property Services (6666 HK)</a> is in a trading halt “pending the release of an announcement pursuant to the Code on Takeovers and Mergers which contains inside information of the Company.” </li>
<li>The trading halt likely relates to <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-evergrande-group" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:479:1" rel="noopener">Evergrande (3333 HK)</a> liquidators’ efforts to sell Evergrande Group’s majority interest in Evergrande Services.</li>
<li>The sale is likely to trigger an unconditional mandatory general offer. I estimate the potential offer price to be around HK$1.08 per share, a 17.8% premium to the last close.</li>
</ul>



Evergrande Property Services (6666 HK) is in a trading halt “pending the release of an announcement pursuant to the Code on Takeovers and Mergers which contains inside information of the Company.” 
The trading halt likely relates to Evergrande (3333 HK) liquidators’ efforts to sell Evergrande Group’s majority interest in Evergrande Services.
The sale is likely to trigger an unconditional mandatory general offer. I estimate the potential offer price to be around HK$1.08 per share, a 17.8% premium to the last close.


Evergrande Services (6666 HK): Liquidation of Evergrande’s Stake to Trigger an Unconditional MGO?

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyze the weekly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of August 29th.</li>
<li>The top stocks by inflows and outflows were tabulated for all market, HSCEI, mid cap and s/mid cap groups.</li>
<li>We highlight flows for Meituan, Alibaba, Tencent, AIA, Pop Mart Intl, Kuaishou, SMIC, Xiaomi, CNOOC.</li>
</ul>


We analyze the weekly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of August 29th.
The top stocks by inflows and outflows were tabulated for all market, HSCEI, mid cap and s/mid cap groups.
We highlight flows for Meituan, Alibaba, Tencent, AIA, Pop Mart Intl, Kuaishou, SMIC, Xiaomi, CNOOC.


HK Connect Flows Weekly (Aug 29th): Meituan, Alibaba, Tencent, AIA, Pop Mart Intl, Kuaishou, SMIC

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/jinke-smart-services-group-co" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29214:1" rel="noopener">Jinke Smart Services (9666 HK)</a> is in a trading halt “pending the release of an announcement pursuant to the Hong Kong Code on Takeovers and Mergers which constitutes inside information.”</li>
<li>It is likely that Boyu, the largest shareholder, is seeking to privatise Jinke. The privatisation of PRC-incorporated entities is usually done through a merger by absorption.</li>
<li>I use several methods to triangulate the likely offer price, which suggests a price range of HK$10.00-16.86, with an average of HK$12.47, a 45% premium to the last close.</li>
</ul>



Jinke Smart Services (9666 HK) is in a trading halt “pending the release of an announcement pursuant to the Hong Kong Code on Takeovers and Mergers which constitutes inside information.”
It is likely that Boyu, the largest shareholder, is seeking to privatise Jinke. The privatisation of PRC-incorporated entities is usually done through a merger by absorption.
I use several methods to triangulate the likely offer price, which suggests a price range of HK$10.00-16.86, with an average of HK$12.47, a 45% premium to the last close.


Jinke Smart Services (9666 HK): Boyu to Launch a Privatisation Offer?

<ul>
<li>We analyze the weekly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of August 30th.</li>
<li>The top stocks by inflows and outflows were tabulated for all market, HSCEI, mid cap and s/mid cap groups.</li>
<li>We highlight flows for Tencent (700 HK), Xiaomi Corporation (1810 HK).</li>
</ul>


We analyze the weekly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of August 30th.
The top stocks by inflows and outflows were tabulated for all market, HSCEI, mid cap and s/mid cap groups.
We highlight flows for Tencent (700 HK), Xiaomi Corporation (1810 HK).


Hong Kong Connect Flows (Aug 30th): Tencent, Xiaomi Corporation

Asian Hedge Fund Manager, Long Short Equity, Macro

David Mudd

Cross Asset Strategy

<ul>
<li>Japan equity ETF flows have not recovered from the carry trade sell off.  Hong Kong Southbound Connect flows continue to be positive this month.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/qifu-technology-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36657:1" rel="noopener">Qifu Technology (3660 HK)</a> , <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/q-technology-group-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:79:1" rel="noopener">Q Technology Group (1478 HK)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/jd-logistics-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31500:1" rel="noopener">JD Logistics (2618 HK)</a> all advanced on strong 2Q earnings announcements. 
</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tencent-music-entertainment-group" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36601:1" rel="noopener">Tencent Music Entertainment Group (1698 HK)</a> disappointed on earnings and monthly user numbers.  <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/country-garden-services-holdin" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27343:1" rel="noopener">Country Garden Services (6098 HK)</a> declined in anticipation of a large drop in earnings in 2Q 2024.
</li>
</ul>


Japan equity ETF flows have not recovered from the carry trade sell off.  Hong Kong Southbound Connect flows continue to be positive this month.

Qifu Technology (3660 HK) , Q Technology Group (1478 HK) and JD Logistics (2618 HK) all advanced on strong 2Q earnings announcements. 


Tencent Music Entertainment Group (1698 HK) disappointed on earnings and monthly user numbers.  Country Garden Services (6098 HK) declined in anticipation of a large drop in earnings in 2Q 2024.



The Heat Is On: News Flow and Sentiment in CHINA / HONG KONG (August 16)

China

Sunac Services Holdings Limited provides property management service. The Company offers property management services including security, cleaning, greening, gardening, and repair and maintenance services for the operation of common area facilities. Sunac Services Holdings also offers real estate brokerage, property interior decoration, and community living services.

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Sunac Services Holdings (1516 HK)

Evergrande Services (6666 HK): Liquidation of Evergrande’s Stake to Trigger an Unconditional MGO?

The trading halt likely relates to Evergrande liquidators’ efforts to sell Evergrande Group’s majority interest in Evergrande Services, which could...

Arun George

HK Connect Flows Weekly (Aug 29th): Meituan, Alibaba, Tencent, AIA, Pop Mart Intl, Kuaishou, SMIC

We analyzed southbound Hong Kong connect flows in the past week and highlighted flows for Meituan, Alibaba, Tencent, AIA, Pop Mart Intl, Kuaishou,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Jinke Smart Services (9666 HK): Boyu to Launch a Privatisation Offer?

I use several methods to triangulate the likely offer price, which suggests a price range of HK$10.00-16.86, with an average of HK$12.47, a 45%...

Arun George

Hong Kong Connect Flows (Aug 30th): Tencent, Xiaomi Corporation

We analyzed southbound Hong Kong connect flows in the past week and highlighted flows for Tencent (700 HK), Xiaomi Corporation (1810 HK).

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

The Heat Is On: News Flow and Sentiment in CHINA / HONG KONG (August 16)

Japan ETF flows have been light after the massive outflow from carry trade unwind. Qifu Tech, Q Tech and JDL all had positive earnings announcement...

David Mudd

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)