Asia L/S Equity PM/Macro/Thematic Idea Generation

Rikki Malik

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Company Forecasts extremely conservative at current and expected metal prices</li>
<li>Scarcity Value for a liquid, large-cap gold miner in Japan</li>
<li>Balance Sheet will allow future share buybacks and dividend in the harvesting phase</li>
</ul>


Company Forecasts extremely conservative at current and expected metal prices
Scarcity Value for a liquid, large-cap gold miner in Japan
Balance Sheet will allow future share buybacks and dividend in the harvesting phase


Sumitomo Metal Mining -  A Shiny Mix of Gold, Copper and Nickel

<ul>
<li>While there may be still be some overhang once the rights shares start trading, this is a good entry point</li>
<li>Applications for 6.4 Billion excess rights shares received from 11 applications</li>
<li>Rights shares will start trading on Tuesday 16th of July</li>
</ul>


While there may be still be some overhang once the rights shares start trading, this is a good entry point
Applications for 6.4 Billion excess rights shares received from 11 applications
Rights shares will start trading on Tuesday 16th of July


MMG Limited (1208.HK) Rights Issue - 98.18% Taken Up

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>With <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/toyota-motor-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:73:1" rel="noopener">Toyota (7203 JP)</a> having sold some of its stake in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/denso-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:18703:1" rel="noopener">Denso</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kddi-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:639:1" rel="noopener">KDDI</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/harmonic-drive-systems-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10238:1" rel="noopener">Harmonic Drive</a> this year, it has firmly set the ball rolling for unwinding some of its cross-shareholding.</li>
<li>Toyota has a shareholding in around 60 listed companies, with its combined disposable stake worth over US$26bn.</li>
<li>In this note, we take a look at its stakes in various companies to see which ones could possibly be candidates for further selldowns.</li>
</ul>


With Toyota (7203 JP) having sold some of its stake in Denso, KDDI and Harmonic Drive this year, it has firmly set the ball rolling for unwinding some of its cross-shareholding.
Toyota has a shareholding in around 60 listed companies, with its combined disposable stake worth over US$26bn.
In this note, we take a look at its stakes in various companies to see which ones could possibly be candidates for further selldowns.


Toyota Cross-Shareholding - To Say a Whole Lot Is Left Would Be a US$26bn Understatement

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs, Douglas Research Advisory

Douglas Kim

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs

Douglas Research Advisory

Equity Capital Markets

JX Advanced Metals / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>JX Advanced Metals raised 438.6 billion yen (US$3 billion) on its IPO offering after pricing the IPO at 820 yen per share, valuing the company at 761.3 billion yen. </li>
<li>Our base case valuation of JX Advanced Metals is price per share of 863 yen, based on P/E of 9.9x using our estimated net profit of 81 billion yen (2026E).</li>
<li>Therefore, we would sell into strength if the share price of JX Advanced Metals rises to the 863 yen to 1,044 yen per share.</li>
</ul>


JX Advanced Metals raised 438.6 billion yen (US$3 billion) on its IPO offering after pricing the IPO at 820 yen per share, valuing the company at 761.3 billion yen. 
Our base case valuation of JX Advanced Metals is price per share of 863 yen, based on P/E of 9.9x using our estimated net profit of 81 billion yen (2026E).
Therefore, we would sell into strength if the share price of JX Advanced Metals rises to the 863 yen to 1,044 yen per share.


IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/jx-advanced-metals-corporation" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:44346:1" rel="noopener">JX Advanced Metals (5016 JP)</a> priced its IPO at JPY820 per share to raise gross proceeds of US$2.5 billion. The shares will start trading on 19 March.</li>
<li>Relevant notes: <strong><em><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/jx-advanced-metals-5016-jp-ipo-the-bull-case" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:176683" rel="noopener">JX Advanced Metals (5016 JP) IPO: The Bull Case</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/jx-advanced-metals-5016-jp-ipo-the-bear-case" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:176843" rel="noopener">JX Advanced Metals (5016 JP) IPO: The Bear Case</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/jx-advanced-metals-5016-jp-ipo-price-range-is-fair" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:178246" rel="noopener">JX Advanced Metals (5016 JP) IPO: Price Range Is Fair</a></em></strong>.</li>
<li>Since the price range was announced, the peers have modestly re-rated. My SoTP valuation of JPY859 is slightly above the IPO price, suggesting the price is fair.</li>
</ul>



JX Advanced Metals (5016 JP) priced its IPO at JPY820 per share to raise gross proceeds of US$2.5 billion. The shares will start trading on 19 March.
Relevant notes: JX Advanced Metals (5016 JP) IPO: The Bull Case, JX Advanced Metals (5016 JP) IPO: The Bear Case, JX Advanced Metals (5016 JP) IPO: Price Range Is Fair.
Since the price range was announced, the peers have modestly re-rated. My SoTP valuation of JPY859 is slightly above the IPO price, suggesting the price is fair.


JX Advanced Metals (5016 JP) IPO: Trading Debut

Japan

Sumitomo Metal Mining Co., Ltd. develops and mines non-ferrous metals in Japan and overseas.  The Company's primary products include copper, gold, silver, nickel, lead, and zinc.  The Company refines, produces, and sells precious metals.  Sumitomo Metal Mining also produces and markets electronic & housing construction materials and provides civil engineering works.

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
Market Cap (USDm)	0.00
P/E	0.00
Dividend (Yield)	0.00

Sumitomo Metal Mining (5713 JP)

Sumitomo Metal Mining - A Shiny Mix of Gold, Copper and Nickel

This miner has extremely conservative forecasts, some scarcity value, and a strong balance sheet for potential future buybacks and dividends.

Rikki Malik

MMG Limited (1208.HK) Rights Issue - 98.18% Taken Up

Good entry point for investors as excess rights shares receive strong demand, trading to begin on July 16th, and copper has had its correction

Rikki Malik

Toyota Cross-Shareholding - To Say a Whole Lot Is Left Would Be a US$26bn Understatement

Toyota, Toyota Industries and Denso are tag teaming to unwind some of their stake in Aisin, in a deal worth over US$1bn. While the timing of the...

Sumeet Singh

JX Advanced Metals IPO Trading

JX Advanced Metals priced the IPO at 820 yen per share. We would sell into strength if the share price of JX Advanced Metals rises to the 863 yen...

Douglas Kim

JX Advanced Metals (5016 JP) IPO: Trading Debut

Since the price range was announced, the peers have modestly re-rated. My SoTP valuation of JPY859 is slightly above the IPO price, suggesting the...

Arun George

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Sumitomo Metal Mining - A Shiny Mix of Gold, Copper and Nickel

This miner has extremely conservative forecasts, some scarcity value, and a strong balance sheet for potential future buybacks and dividends.

Rikki Malik

MMG Limited (1208.HK) Rights Issue - 98.18% Taken Up

​Good entry point for investors as excess rights shares receive strong demand, trading to begin on July 16th, and copper has had its correction

Rikki Malik

Toyota Cross-Shareholding - To Say a Whole Lot Is Left Would Be a US$26bn Understatement

Toyota, Toyota Industries and Denso are tag teaming to unwind some of their stake in Aisin, in a deal worth over US$1bn. While the timing of the...

Sumeet Singh

JX Advanced Metals IPO Trading

JX Advanced Metals priced the IPO at 820 yen per share. We would sell into strength if the share price of JX Advanced Metals rises to the 863 yen...

Douglas Kim

JX Advanced Metals (5016 JP) IPO: Trading Debut

Since the price range was announced, the peers have modestly re-rated. My SoTP valuation of JPY859 is slightly above the IPO price, suggesting the...

Arun George

Good entry point for investors as excess rights shares receive strong demand, trading to begin on July 16th, and copper has had its correction